The Doug Lilly Symposium (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 28 January 2006
7:30 AM-7:31 AM, Saturday
Short Course and Student Conference Registration
Sunday, 29 January 2006
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
Monday, 30 January 2006
7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February
12:00 PM-1:10 PM, Monday
Plenary Session 1 AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College, London United Kingdom; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
12:00 PMPL1.1Forum opening  
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna
12:10 PMPL1.2How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?  
Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM, Monday
Holton Symposium Banquet
Tuesday, 31 January 2006
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhbits Open (T)
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Plenary Session Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
Wednesday, 1 February 2006
11:00 AM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open (W)
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (W)
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (W2)
3:45 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day (W)
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 2 February 2006
12:00 AM, Thursday
Symposium Ends
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, A302
Joint Session 3 Using Numerical Models in Real-Time to Improve Forecasts of Convective Storms (Joint between the Doug Lilly Symposium and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Chair: Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
8:30 AMWelcoming Remarks  
8:45 AMJ3.2Experiences with 0-36 hour Explicit Convective Forecasting with the WRF-ARW Model: A Vision of the Future?   wrf recording
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:15 AMJ3.3Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Its Impact on Numerical Prediction of Thunderstorms   wrf recording
Juanzhen Sun, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall A2
Poster Session 1 Doug Lilly Symposium Posters
 P1.1Turbulence parameter space, budgets, scaling laws,and structure parameter models for stably stratified shear flows from aircraft measurements  
Owen R. Coté, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and D. Wroblewski, J. Hacker, R. J. Dobosy, and J. R. Roadcap
 P1.2Tornado intensification near the ground: suction vortices  
Brian Fiedler, The Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma
 P1.3The potential of the stable isotope analysis of water vapor as a dynamic tracer of water transport in the atmosphere  
James Robert Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and S. D. Gedzelman
 P1.4The application of WRF-Climate in the East Africa: the customization of buffer zones  
Xuejin Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, F. H. M. Semazzi, and X. Z. Liang
 P1.5The application of the Extended-GBVTD method to derive the typhoon asymmetric structures  
Yu-Chieng Liou, National Central Univ., Chung-Li, Taiwan; and T. C. C. Wang, W. C. Lee, and Y. J. Chang
 P1.6The "Relax to Balance" approximation for cumulus ensemble models  
David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. Sessions
 P1.7Stratified Flow over Topography: Wave Generation and Boundary Layer Separation  
Bruce R. Sutherland, Univ. of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and D. Aguilar
 P1.8Sierra Nevada mountain waves and rotors  
Vanda Grubisic, DRI, Reno, NV; and B. J. Billings
 P1.9Potential of Infrasonic Observing Systems for Monitoring Mountain-Induced Turbulence  
Alfred J. Bedard Jr., ETL, Boulder, CO; and R. T. Nishiyama and P. Stauffer
 P1.10Perfect prog statistical approach to prediction of Boulder downslope windstorms  
Andrew Edward Mercer, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. B. Richman, H. B. Bluestein, and J. M. Brown
 P1.11LES study of interactions between drizzle and stratocumulus cloud dynamics  
Yefim L. Kogan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 P1.12IJK 2004. Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl: The Trough Triumvirate  
Ryan Maue, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. S. Peng, R. Langland, and C. A. Reynolds
 P1.13Hurricane Vortex Initialization with AMSU and AMSR-E Measurements  
Tong Zhu, Colorado State Univ./CIRA at NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng, X. Zhang, and T. Li
 P1.14From downslope windstorms to gravity-wave drag: Evolution of the simulation and parameterization of gravity waves  
Young-Joon Kim, NRL, Monterey, CA
 P1.15Exergetics of Deep Moist Convection  
Peter R. Bannon, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
 P1.16Examination of the the dynamics of drizzle-cells observed during DYCOMS-II  
David Leon, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and G. Vali and J. R. Snider
 P1.17Environmental Factors Influencing Propagation of West African Squall Lines  
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and M. Sullivan
 P1.18Effects of surface friction on downslope wind and mountain waves  
Wen-Yih Sun, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and W. R. Hsu
 P1.19Cliff-ramp patterns and Kelvin-Helmholtz billows in stably stratified shear flow in the upper troposphere: Analsis of aircraft measurem,ents  
Donald Wroblewski, Boston Univ., Boston, MA; and O. R. Coté, J. Hacker, and R. J. Dobosy
 P1.20Assimilation of simulated CASA radar data and prediction of varied convective storm types using ensemble square-root Kalman Filter  
Elaine S. Godfrey, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Tong, M. Xue, and K. K. Droegemeier
 P1.21Assimilation of Radar Data for Thunderstorm Prediction with Ensemble Kalman Filter: A Real Case Study  
Mingjing Tong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and M. Hu
 P1.22Aspects of gravity wave breaking predictability for the 11 January 1972 windstorm  
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Q. Jiang
 P1.23An investigation of severe hailstorm activity under present and future climate conditions over the greater Sydney region  
Lance M. Leslie, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Leplastrier and B. W. Buckley
 P1.24A comparison of sensitivity fields from an adjoint and from a random perturbation technique  
William J. Martin, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
 P1.25Turbulence generation by gravity waves within upper-level jet-front systems  
Steven E. Koch, NOAA Research-Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and C. Lu
 P1.26Simulations of the atmospheric boundary layer using subfilter-scale reconstruction and the dynamic Wong-Lilly SGS model  
Fotini Katopodes Chow, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA; and R. L. Street and M. Xue
 P1.27Large-eddy simulation of evaporatively driven entrainment into cloud-topped mixed layer  
Takanobu Yamaguchi, Coloraso State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall
 P1.28Interpreting stratocumulus climatology using Lilly's mixed-layer theory  
Yunyan Zhang, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and B. Stevens, B. Medeiros, and M. Ghil
 P1.29A Three-Dimension Variational Data Assimilation Method for A Nonhydorstatic Storm-scale Model with equation constraints  
Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. Brewster, and K. K. Droegemeier
11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open (Th)
11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday, A302
Session 1 Boundary Layer and Turbulence Studies
Chair: Evgeni Fedorovich, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:00 AM1.1Boundary layer structure: how our ideas have changed in the last 40 years   wrf recording
Margaret LeMone, NCAR, Boulder, CO
11:30 AM1.2Air motion measurements from aircraft: a historical perspective and contributions to current understanding   wrf recording
Donald H. Lenschow, NCAR, Boulder, CO
12:00 PM1.3Stratocumulus Mixed Layer Modeling and Entrainment—The View After 38 Years of Standing on Doug Lilly's Shoulders   wrf recording
Christopher S. Bretherton, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (Th)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, A302
Session 2 Severe Storm Dynamics and Prediction
Chair: Gregory Byrd, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM2.1Theoretical Aspects of Severe Local Storm Dynamics   wrf recording
Yvette P. Richardson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
2:00 PM2.2Convective Storm Morphology as a Function of Environmental Profile Structure: An Eight-dimensional Numerical Parameter Space Study   wrf recording
Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL
2:30 PM2.3The Numerical Prediction of Storm-Scale Weather: Fifteen Years of Progress Following Lilly's Bold Vision   wrf recording
Kelvin Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle (Th2)
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, A302
Session 3 Mesoscale Dynamics and Modeling
Chair: Kelvin Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
3:30 PM3.1The interaction between mountain waves and an evolving synoptic-scale flow   wrf recording
Dale R. Durran, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
4:00 PM3.2Numerical Design Issues as seen from the Eta Experience: Review and Outlook   wrf recording
Fedor Mesinger, Univ. Maryland, College Park, MD
4:30 PM3.3Could hurricanes develop from random convection in a warmer world?   wrf recording
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and K. A. Emanuel and E. D. Rappin
4:45 PM3.4Tornadogenesis and Tornado Dynamics as Revealed by Ultra-high-resolution Numerical Simulations of a Tornadic Thunderstorm   wrf recording
Ming Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
5:00 PM3.5Convective storms, hurricanes and mesoscale predictability-a tribute to Doug Lilly and an optimistic look to the future   wrf recording
Richard A. Anthes, UCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Close
6:00 PM, Thursday
Lilly Symposium Banquet

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