18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences

Session 4


Ensemble Forecasting

 Cochairs: David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA
8:45 AM4.1The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS)  
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. Lefaivre, G. Brunet, P. L. Houtekamer, Y. Zhu, R. Wobus, Y. Pelletier, R. Verret, L. Wilson, B. Cui, G. Pellerin, B. A. Gordon, D. Michaud, E. Olenic, D. Unger, and S. Beauregard
9:00 AM4.2Recent changes in the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System  
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and Q. Liu
9:15 AM4.3Will Perturbing Soil Moisture Improve Warm-Season Ensemble Forecasts? A Proof of Concept  
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Warner and C. J. Sutton
9:30 AM4.4Pre-emptive forecasts from an ensemble Kalman filter  
Brian Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AM4.5A Stochastic Parameterization Scheme within NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System  extended abstract wrf recording
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu
11:15 AM4.6An implementation of the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter on the NCEP GFS  
Istvan Szunyogh, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. J. Kostelich and G. Gyarmati
11:30 AM4.7An ensemble data assimilation scheme that has mixed Gaussian and non-Gaussian errors  extended abstract wrf recording
Steven J. Fletcher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Zupanski

Tuesday, 31 January 2006: 8:45 AM-11:45 AM, A304

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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