Session 4
	Ensemble Forecasting
	Cochairs: David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA
	8:45 AM	4.1	The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS)   Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. Lefaivre, G. Brunet, P. L. Houtekamer, Y. Zhu, R. Wobus, Y. Pelletier, R. Verret, L. Wilson, B. Cui, G. Pellerin, B. A. Gordon, D. Michaud, E. Olenic, D. Unger, and S. Beauregard
	9:00 AM	4.2	Recent changes in the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System   Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and Q. Liu
	9:15 AM	4.3	Will Perturbing Soil Moisture Improve Warm-Season Ensemble Forecasts? A Proof of Concept   Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Warner and C. J. Sutton
	9:30 AM	4.4	Pre-emptive forecasts from an ensemble Kalman filter   Brian Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC
	9:45 AM		Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	11:00 AM	4.5	A Stochastic Parameterization Scheme within NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System   Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu
	11:15 AM	4.6	An implementation of the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter on the NCEP GFS   Istvan Szunyogh, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. J. Kostelich and G. Gyarmati
	11:30 AM	4.7	An ensemble data assimilation scheme that has mixed Gaussian and non-Gaussian errors   Steven J. Fletcher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Zupanski

Tuesday, 31 January 2006: 8:45 AM-11:45 AM, A304

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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