Session 7 Ensemble Forecasting

Friday, 12 May 2000: 10:30 AM-11:48 AM
Host: 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Organizer:
Lawrence Wilson, AES, AES, Dorval, PQ

Papers:
10:30 AM
7.1
On the Economic Value Of Ensemble Based Weather Forecasts
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/GSC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus

10:50 AM
7.2
A method for recalibrating and combining ensemble forecasts
Simon J. Mason, SIO/UCSD, San Diego, CA; and N. E. Graham and J. S. Galpin

7.3
Evolution of Ensemble-based PDF of Initial States

7.4
A Hybrid Ensemble Kalman Filter / 3D-Variational Analysis Scheme

11:10 AM
7.5
Regime signatures in the phase-space tendencies and PDF of an AGCM
Judith Berner, NCAR, Boulder, CO and Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and G. Branstator

11:30 AM
7.6
Simulation of Bay of Bengal cyclone tracks: a multimodel superensemble approach
Mukul Tewari, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, Delhi, India; and C. M. Kishtawal and P. K. Patra

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- Indicates an Award Winner
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