Session 9
	Mesoscale predictability and ensembles
	Organizer: M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
	9:30 AM	9.1	Short Term Mesoscale Ensembles over the Southwest United States during the Monsoon   David R. Bright, NOAA/NWSFO, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen and D. J. Stensrud
	9:45 AM	9.2	Predictability studies with the NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF) system   M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du
	10:00 AM		Coffee Break
	10:30 AM	9.3	Evaluation of a Mesoscale Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System over the Pacific Northwest   Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass
	10:45 AM	9.4	Sensitivity of the 3-4 May 1999 Tornadic Outbreak to Synoptic Scale Initial Conditions   Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. M. Schultz and R. Romero
	11:00 AM	9.5	Status report on the predictability of mesoscale gravity waves with numerical weather prediction models   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO
		9.6	The influence of moist convection on the predictability of large scales   Fuqing Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder and R. Rotunno
	11:14 AM	9.6a	Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter at convective scales (formerly paper P6.1 in 18WAF/14NWP)   C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Sun, N. A. Crook, and F. Zhang
	11:29 AM	9.7	Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Mid-latitude Cyclones   Mohan K. Ramamurthy, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. Cui
	11:44 AM		Discussion
	11:59 AM		Lunch Break (12:00–1:00 p.m.)
	12:29 PM		Joint Weather Briefing by Miami NWS WFO (12:30-1:00 p.m.)
	12:59 PM		Session 9: Continued
	1:00 PM	9.8	A Comparison of Mesoscale Model Forecast Accuracy Using Random and a Simplified Targetting Approach   Wendell A. Nuss, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. K. Miller
	1:14 PM	9.9	Inferences of predictability associated with warm season precipitation episodes   R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Tuttle, D. A. Ahijevych, and S. B. Trier
	1:29 PM	9.10	Forecast evaluation of a mixed-physics ensemble   Matthew S. Wandishin, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen, D. J. Stensrud, and H. E. Brooks

Wednesday, 1 August 2001: 9:30 AM-1:44 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Browse or search the entire meeting