Tuesday, 31 July 2001: 11:29 AM
3DVAR analysis in the Rapid Update Cycle
A 3D-VAR analysis was developed with the intention of operational application
in the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) at NCEP. In the 3D-VAR method we combine
background fields with observations from different sources in an optimal
way. The main sources of observations are RAOBs, METARs, buoys, aircrafts,
wind profilers, boundary layer profilers, radar (VAD) winds, satellites,
and GPS precipitable retrievals. New observation error terms are applied
and a new, better balanced
background term was introduced. The background error correlations
are applied through a linear combination of digital pseudo-Gaussian filters,
which approximates SOAR-type correlations. The observation
error variances guarantee good fit to the observations. This ensures
an accurate reproduction of the
observed atmospheric structures, which is essential for
nowcasting type applications
of the analysis. Analysis corrections are applied in a
variation of quasi-isentropic coordinate used in the RUC
forecast model. This structure is, of course, adaptive in space
and time. The 3D-VAR scheme is tested using idealized observations
and also using actual observations in a real time
cycled environment at the NOAA Forecast
Systems Laboratory. The description of the analysis method and its
testing results will be presented. The implementation of 3dvar
into the RUC has important consequences for RUC forecast users
regarding fit to observations and 3d-structures. It also sets
the stage for future assimilation of radar reflectivity and
radial winds, and satellite radiances.
Supplementary URL: