26 MCS:PRIME - Environmental Precursors to Mesoscale Convective Systems

Tuesday, 18 July 2023
Hall of Ideas (Monona Terrace)
Mark Robert Muetzelfeldt, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and R. S. Plant, Z. Zhang, H. Christensen, and T. Woollings

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are important components of the Earth’s weather and climate systems. They produce a large fraction of tropical rainfall and their top-heavy heating profiles can feedback onto atmospheric dynamics. Understanding the large-scale environmental precursor conditions that support their formation is often done as case studies or on a regional basis. Here, we take a global view on this problem, linking tracked MCSs to the environmental conditions that lead to their growth and maintenance. We consider common variables associated with deep convection, such as CAPE, total column water vapour, and moisture convergence. We take care to distinguish between conditions associated with deep convection, and conditions associated with MCSs specifically.
Furthermore, we pose the question in a way that is useful for the development of an MCS parametrization scheme, by asking what environmental conditions lead to MCS occurrence, instead of locating an MCS and then finding the associated conditions. Thus, the work here will serve as a useful basis for implementing a novel MCS parametrization scheme, which is the goal of the MCS:PRIME project.
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