Program: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes (32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)/20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes)

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Registration

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 1

Mesoscale Convective Systems

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: Elisa Murillo

8:30 AM

1.1

Objectively Diagnosing Characteristics of Mesoscale Organization from Radar Reflectivity and Ambient Winds

Ewan Short, Univ. of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia; and T. Lane and C. Vincent

8:45 AM

1.2

Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Summertime Mesoscale Convective Systems: A Simple Lagrangian Parcel Model Perspective

Qiu Yang, PNNL, Richland, WA; PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung, Z. Feng, and X. Chen

Handout (11.9 MB)

9:00 AM

1.3

Processes of Colliding Cold Pools Derived from a 356-m High Met-Tower during an Extremely Heavy Rainfall Event Associated with a Squall Line

Yu Du, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, China; and C. Mai and M. Li

9:15 AM

1.4

Environmental Controls on MCS Lifetime Rainfall over Tropical Oceans

Xingchao Chen, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and L. R. Leung, Z. Feng, and Q. Yang

9:30 AM

1.5

Monsoonal MCS Initiation and Gravity Wave Propagation over the Bay of Bengal: Observation and a Linear Theory

Chin-Hsuan Peng, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and X. Chen

Virtual Poster Session

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

V1

Simulations of Rising Thermals Using a Lagrangian Stochastic Closure for the Subgrid Turbulent Fluxes

Valerian Jewtoukoff, Univ. of Warsaw, Faculty of Physics, Poland, Warsaw, Poland; and G. C. Abade and M. Wacławczyk

V3

Climatological Characteristics of Hydrometeors in Precipitating Clouds over Eastern China and Their Relationship with Precipitation Based on ERA5 Reanalysis

Wenhua Gao, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 11, China

V4

Diurnal Off-Mountain Propagation of Rainfall and Low-Level Vertical Velocity over the Leeside of the Yungui Plateau: A Gravity Wave Mechanism

V5

The Generation of Two Episodes of High Winds by a Long-Lived Quasi-Linear Convection System in South China

Xin Xu, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, 32, China

Handout (565.9 kB)

V6

Study of the Dynamics and Upstream Track Deflection Associated with Typhoon Nepartak (2016) Passing over Taiwan’s Central Mountain Range

Richarde Graham II, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. M. S. KARIM and Y. L. Lin

V7

Intercomparison of Tropospheric and Stratospheric Mesoscale Kinetic Energy Resolved by the High-Resolution Global Reanalysis Datasets

Li Ziyi, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, Guangdong, China; and J. Wei, PhD, B. Xinghua, and Y. Q. Sun

Handout (2.4 MB)

V8

The Role of Precipitation and Convective Features on Tropical Cyclone Intensification Derived from 16-yr TRMM Observations

Xinxi Wang, Florida International Univ., Miami, FL; and H. Jiang and O. F. Guzman

Manuscript (86.1 kB)

Handout (966.2 kB) Handout (965.8 kB)

V9

Examining the Rainfall Asymmetries during the Landfalling Process of Tropical Cyclones Using 20-Year NASA IMERG Satellite Data

Oscar Fernando Guzman Rey, Florida International Univ., Miami, FL; and H. Jiang

V10

Improving the Anticipation of Potential Tornado Intensity Across Different Time Scales

Michael Sessa, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. J. Trapp

Handout (249.3 kB)

V11

Hyperspectral IR Data Inversion from IASI and CrIS over the Arctic: Assimilating Retrievals in Clear Sky and Cloudy Conditions in Numerical Weather Models

V12

Extended Range Predictability of Severe Convective Storm Environments in Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12 Reforecasts

Andrew Berrington, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations (CIWRO), Norman, OK; and K. A. Hoogewind and A. J. Clark

Handout (3.2 MB)

V14

Jua Vilhelm: A Novel End-to-End AI System for Global Weather Prediction

Marvin Vincent Gabler, Jua.ai AG, Pfäffikon, Switzerland; and J. Wuilloud, H. Taheri Shahraiyni, D. Neupert, A. Grigoryev, R. Almeida, G. Martin Hernandez, J. D. Daubinet, N. Ekhtiari, R. J. Song, P. Dudbridge, and E. Tarakci

Handout (8.5 MB)

V15

The Effect of Surface Roughness on Storm-Relative Helicity

Timothy A. Coleman, Severe Weather Institute - Radar and Lightning Laboratories, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp

V16

Comparison of Arctic Cyclones in CESM2 Large Ensemble and ERA5

Madeline Clark Frank, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

V17

Implementation of Organized Convection Parameterization in the Met Office Unified Model

Zhixiao Zhang, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom; and M. Muetzelfeldt, H. Christensen, T. Woollings, R. Plant, A. Stirling, M. Whitall, and M. Moncrieff

V18

RaXPol Doppler-Radar Observations of Mesoscale Structures in Winter Storms in the Northeastern U. S. During IMPACTS 2022 and 2023

Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Schvartzman, S. Emmerson, H. W. Hsu, G. Heymsfield, B. L. Cheong, T. Y. Yu, D. Sexton, and D. Feland

Handout (1.3 MB)

Queer Gatherings (QG) @ Madison

Location: Fair Trade Coffee House

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

AM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

NOAA Testbeds & Proving Grounds: Who We Are and How to Engage

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Cochairs: Louisa Bogar Nance; Stephanie J. Avey; Curtis R. Alexander

Session 2

Gravity Waves and Turbulence

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Chair: Leah D. Grant, Colorado State University

11:15 AM

2.1

Spatiotemporal Variation and Characteristics of Gravity Waves in China Revealed by High-Resolution Radiosonde Network

Yuhan Luo, Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Zhuhai, Guangdong, China; and Y. Du

11:30 AM

2.2

Gravity Waves Associated with Frontal Rainfall as a Preconditioning Mechanism for Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall in South China

Hongpei Yang, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, 44, China; and Y. Du and Z. Chen

11:45 AM

2.3

Global Distributions of Tropospheric and Stratospheric Gravity Wave Momentum Fluxes Resolved By the 9-Km ECMWF Experiments

Junhong Wei, PhD, Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Zhuhai, Guangdong, China; and F. Zhang, J. H. Richter, M. J. Alexander, and Y. Q. Sun

Handout (26.1 MB)

12:00 PM

2.4

Shear-Driven Turbulent Eddies within Frontal Systems Approaching Steep Terrain and the Impact on Precipitation

Na Zhou, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and A. R. Naeger

12:15 PM

2.5

Spatial Patterns of Turbulence Near Thunderstorms

Stacey M. Hitchcock, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 3

Organized Moist Convection I

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Erik R. Nielsen; Hongpei Yang

2:00 PM

3.1

AMS STAC Mesoscale Processes Awardee Keynote Talk: The Role of Mesoscale Environmental Variability in Determining Supercell Evolution

Casey Davenport, PhD, The Univ. of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC

2:30 PM

3.2

How is Convection Initiation Sensitive to Hodograph Characteristics?

Luke Justin LeBel, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski

2:45 PM

3.3

Disparate Controls of Convective Cell Deepening and Intensification Based on Cell Width

Adam Varble, PhD, PNNL, Richland, WA; and Z. Feng, J. Marquis, Z. Zhang, and J. Hardin

3:00 PM

3.4

Characteristics and Development of Streamwise Vorticity Currents in Simulated Supercells with Varying Midlevel Shear Vector Orientations

Kevin Thomas Gray, Univ. of Illinois Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and J. W. Frame

3:15 PM

3.5

The Influence of Midlevel Shear and Horizontal Rotors on Supercell Updraft Dynamics

Andrew James Muehr, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and J. H. Ruppert Jr., M. Flournoy, and J. M. Peters

J3

Winter Storms: Advances in Forecasting I (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction)

Location: Madison Ballroom A (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Cochairs: Sarah Perfater, NWS; Jason M. Cordeira

2:00 PM

J3.1

Innovations in Winter Storm Forecasting and Decision Support Services

David R. Novak, NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and S. Perfater

2:15 PM

J3.2

3D Characteristics of Snow Bands and Implications for Surface Snowfall in Northeast Winter Storms

Laura M Tomkins, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and M. A. Miller

2:30 PM

J3.3

The Once-in-a-Generation Buffalo Blizzard and Lake Effect Event of December 23-26 2022

David A Zaff, NWS, Buffalo, NY

2:45 PM

J3.4

Regime-Dependent Predictability of Cold Season Precipitation Events in the St. Lawrence River Valley

Andrew C. Winters, Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and N. P. Bassill, J. R. Gyakum, and J. R. Minder

3:00 PM

J3.5

Improving Cool-Season Snowfall Forecasts from Operational Modeling Systems over the Western Continental United States

Peter Veals, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh, M. Wessler, and M. D. Pletcher

3:15 PM

J3.6

Validation of Cool-Season Precipitation Forecasts at a High-Elevation Site in Utah's Little Cottonwood Canyon

Michael David Pletcher, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, M. Wessler, D. Church, K. J. Harnos, J. Correia Jr., R. Chase, and J. Steenburgh

AMS Student Engagement Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

PM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

J4

Predictability Involving Multi-Scale Processes and Interactions

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Cochairs: Thomas Galarneau; Alexander Lojko

4:15 PM

JointJ4.1

Multi-Scale Interaction and Predictability of the Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification

Masashi Minamide, Univ. of Tokyo / JPL, Tokyo, Japan; and D. J. Posselt, PhD

4:30 PM

JointJ4.2

Error-Growth Dynamics in Idealized Midlatitude Cyclones with Different Moist Baroclinic Life Cycles

Daniel James Lloveras, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. R. Durran and J. D. Doyle

Handout (18.5 MB)

4:45 PM

JointJ4.3

An Object-Based Approach to Atmospheric Predictability

Falko Judt, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO

5:00 PM

JointJ4.4

An Analysis of the Predictability of Warm-Season Progressive Derechos Using Synoptic-Scale Composites and Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts

Bruno Ribeiro, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and S. J. Weiss

5:15 PM

JointJ4.5

Investigating the Model Representation of Cloud Tops: Toward a Better Understanding of Overshoot Dynamics

Devin Bissell, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and G. L. Mullendore and C. J. Nowotarski

Welcome Reception

Location: Rooftop Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Registration

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 5

Extratropical Cyclones and Winter Storms

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Kristen L. Corbosiero, SUNY; Luke R. Allen, North Carolina State University

8:30 AM

5.1

Coastal and Orographic Influences on Lake-Effect Systems:Results from Recent Observational and Modeling Studies

Jim Steenburgh, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, T. M. Gowan, L. Campbell, J. R. Minder, D. J. McKinney, S. Nakai, and S. Yamaguchi

8:45 AM

5.2

The Dynamics and Predictability of a Mesoscale Windstorm and Wildfire Outbreak in the Central Great Plains on 15 December 2021

Thomas Galarneau, NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. R. R. Spencer

9:00 AM

5.3

Microscale Updrafts Within the U.S. Northeast Coastal Snowstorms Using High-Resolution Cloud Radar Measurements

Mariko Oue, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, S. E. Yuter, P. Kollias, P. Yeh, and L. M. Tomkins

9:15 AM

5.4

Enhanced Layers of Spectrum Width within Northeast U.S. Coastal Storms and Their Relationship with Precipitation Structures

Erin Leghart, Stony Brook Univ., Farmingdale, NY; and B. A. Colle, M. Oue, E. Luke, and P. Kollias

9:30 AM

5.5

The Development of Snow Multi-Bands in High-Resolution Idealized Baroclinic Wave Simulations

Nicholas M. Leonardo, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, MA; and B. A. Colle

Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Tuesday Poster Session

Location: Hall of Ideas (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

1

Mesoscale Convective System Parameterization for Global Climate Models

Mitchell William Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Richter and C. C. Chen

2

Utilization of Novel Observational Platforms and Numerical Weather Prediction Tools to Facilitate Prediction, Detection, and Warning Strategies for Meteotsunami Events within the Laurentian Great Lakes

Bryan Mroczka, NOAA, Ann Arbor, MI

3

Intraseasonal Variability of Recurving EPAC Tropical Cyclones

Alexander Kyle Mitchell, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

4

Causes of Differences in Depiction of Convective Lines in 1-km and 3-km CM1 Simulations

Samuel Luthi, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA

5

The Advanced Quantitative Precipitation Information Project (AQPI)

Jonathan J. Rutz, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and D. Roberts, V. Chandra, R. Cifelli, J. F. Kalansky, and J. Jasperse

Handout (2.1 MB)

6

The Total Water Uniform PDF in Ice Nucleation

Ruiyu Sun, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Ellicott City, MD; IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Ellicott City, MD; and F. Yang

7

Impacts of Moisture on the Organizational Modes of Mesoscale Convective Systems Associated with Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall

Zhiyong Meng, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking Univ., Beijing, China; and S. Li

8

The Marshall Fire of 30 December 2021: The Operational Utility of HRRR Forecasts for a Wildfire Resulting from a Perfect Storm of Climate, Mesoscale and Urban/Open Space Factor

Edward J. Szoke, CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, E. P. James, P. T. Schlatter, and J. M. Brown

9

Linear Mountain Waves Past a Mountain Range with Concavity and Convexity

Kazuo Saito, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan

Handout (1.7 MB)

10

A Multi-Scale Study of the 23 October 2022 Southern England QLCS

Kenneth L. Pryor, PhD, NESDIS, College Park, MD; and D. Smart, D. Flack, and M. Clark

Manuscript (6.4 MB)

Handout (23.9 MB) Handout (4.0 MB)

11

The Vertical and Horizontal Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems on a Temporal Scale

Michell Tinoco-Morales, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

Handout (2.0 MB)

12

The Role of North American Convective Storms on Jet Stream Dynamics: A Negative Potential Vorticity Perspective

Alexander Lojko, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. C. Winters, C. Jablonowski, and A. E. Payne

Handout (2.6 MB)

13

Changes in Seasonal Occurrence and Interannual Variability of Tornado Outbreaks

Matthew Graber, Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL; and R. J. Trapp and Z. Wang

14

Numerical Simulations of Three Downslope Windstorm Cases in Korea under the Different Synoptic-Scale Conditions

Yewon Shin, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South korea; and J. H. Kim

15

Cold-Season Embedded Orographic Convection and Its Impact on Precipitation: An Observational and Modeling Case Study

Bart nmn Geerts, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY

16

Identification of Mesovortexgenesis Mechanisms in QLCSs using PERiLS Radar Data

Sean Donald Melanson, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker, K. A. Kosiba, S. W. Nesbitt, R. J. Trapp, and J. Wurman

Handout (1.7 MB)

17

Evaluating the CAPE-Shear Parameter Space of Southeastern US QLCS Environments

Zachary Andrew Chalmers, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker, K. A. Kosiba, S. W. Nesbitt, R. J. Trapp, and J. Wurman

18

Dynamics of Orographic and Thermal Forcing on the Environment Conducive to the Formation of the Tubbs Fire (2017)

Jackson Tyler Wiles, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and M. L. Kaplan and Y. L. Lin

19

Examining the Sensitivity of Simulated Midlatitude and Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems to Horizontal Grid Spacing

Manda B. Chasteen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. F. Prein, D. Wang, and M. Ge

20

Characteristics of Observed Surface Pressure Waves (Gravity Waves) in the Contexts of Storm Structure and Reflectivity Features

Luke Robert Allen, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter, M. A. Miller, and L. M. Tomkins

21

Size Spectra and Controls on Mesoscale Convective Systems: Evidence from East Atlantic NASA CPEX-CV Program

Edward J. Zipser, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Rajagopal, A. K. Rowe, N. Sakaeda, and R. Rios-Berrios

22

C³IEL, The Cluster for Cloud Evolution Climate and Lightning Mission to Study Convective Clouds at High Spatial And Temporal Resolution

Céline Cornet, Laboratoire d’Optique Atmosphérique, CNRS/Université de Lille, Villeneuve d'Ascq, 59, France; and D. Rosenfeld, E. Defer, A. Deschamps, C. Price, and D. Ricard

23

Structures of Cold Pools from PERiLS 2022 & 2023

Miranda Kaylene Silcott, North Carolina State Univ., Garner, NC; North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker, K. A. Kosiba, S. W. Nesbitt, R. J. Trapp, and J. Wurman

24

Environmental Conditions Controlling the Morphology of Shallow Orographic Convection

Jialin Liu, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and D. J. Kirshbaum

Handout (873.1 kB)

25

Numerical Simulations of Near-Cloud Turbulence in the Upper-Level Outflows of Tropical Cyclones in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean

Juheon Lee, Seoul National Univ., Seoul , 41, South korea; and J. H. Kim

26

MCS:PRIME - Environmental Precursors to Mesoscale Convective Systems

Mark Robert Muetzelfeldt, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and R. S. Plant, Z. Zhang, H. Christensen, and T. Woollings

28

Dynamical Processes Perturbing Right-Moving Supercell Storm Motions

Nicholas Goldacker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC

29

Lifetimes of Overshooting Convective Events Using High-Frequency Gridded Radar Composites

Daniel Jellis, Texas A&M Univ., Bryan, TX; and K. Bowman and A. D. Rapp

30

Modeling Study of Serve Downslope Winds during the Grassland Fire of Marshall, Colorado

Nicholas Golden, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and J. Zhang

31

Evaluation of the Evolution of Severe Storm Environments through Use of the Lapse Rate Tendency Equation

Alan Garcia Rosales, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and J. T. Allen

32

Observations of Convectively Generated Gravity Waves within the Stratiform Region of Mesoscale Convective Systems

Hannah Vagasky, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA; and R. D. Adams-Selin, C. Evans, and D. V. Blount

Handout (3.7 MB)

33

Entrainment Makes Pollution More Likely to Weaken Deep Convective Updrafts Than Invigorate Them

John M Peters, Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and Z. Lebo, D. R. Chavas, and C. Y. Su

34

Vertically-Pointing Radar Observations of Convective Updrafts and Downdrafts Associated with Cool-Season QLCSs over Northern Alabama

Melissa Gonzalez-Fuentes, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL

Handout (5.6 MB)

35

An Empirical Examination of the Environmental Factors That Regulated Thunderstorm Longevity on 22 May 2019 in Oklahoma

Kyle Pittman, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston

36

The Rain-Induced Boundary Layer Transition in Quasi-Linear Convective Systems

Matthew Starke, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp

37

On the Detection of Averaged Intensity for Wave Patterns/Tropical Cyclones Under Different ISO Propagation Routes over the East Asian Monsoon Region

Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan

38

Linking Stratospheric Polar Vortex Geometries with S2S Forecasting

Elena Fernandez, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. A. L. Lang

Session 6

Orographic Flows and Rainfall

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Casey Davenport, PhD; Logan Twohey

11:15 AM

6.1

The Isotopic Composition of Rainfall on a Subtropical Mountainous Island

Giuseppe Torri, Univ. of Hawai`i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI; and A. D. Nugent, B. N. Popp, and M. Tang

11:30 AM

6.2

Ensemble Modelling of Moist Convection in Complex Terrain, a Case Study from the CACTI Field Campaign

Andres Yamil Lopez, McGill, Montreal, QC, Canada; and D. J. Kirshbaum

6.3

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall over Complex Terrain in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin during the Warm Seasons of 2016-2020

11:45 AM

Q&A / Discussion

12:00 PM

6.4

Vertical Motions in Orographic Cloud Systems over the Payette River Basin: Controls on Liquid Water Content, Drop Number Concentrations, and Drop Size Distributions

Troy Justin Zaremba, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, B. N. Geerts, J. R. French, S. A. Tessendorf, L. Xue, PhD, K. Friedrich, C. Weeks, R. M. Rasmussen, M. L. Kunkel, and D. Blestrud

12:15 PM

6.5

Orographic Modifications to Heavy Mei-Yu Rainfall in Taiwan

Ian Cornejo, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. Rowe, K. L. Rasmussen, Ph.D., and Y. Zhang, PhD

12:30 PM

Q&A / Discussion

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 7

Mesoscale Convective Systems II

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Christopher J. Nowotarski, Texas A&M University; Andrew James Muehr

2:00 PM

7.1

Investigate the Forcing Mechanisms Leading to the Formation of the African Easterly Waves Preceding the Genesis of Hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean

S. M. SHAJEDUL KARIM, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and J. T. Wiles and Y. L. Lin

Manuscript (4.4 MB)

2:15 PM

7.2

A Preliminary Analysis of Low-Frequency Gravity Wave, Line-End Vortex, and Environmental Flow Contributions to Rear-to-Front Flow in Observed MCSs

Dillon V. Blount, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, R. D. Adams-Selin, and H. Vagasky

2:30 PM

7.3

General Features of MCSs with the Organization of Multiple Parallel Rain Bands in China

Peiyu Wang, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking Univ., Beijing, China., Beijing, China

2:45 PM

7.4

Impacts of Low-Level Shear Orientation and Magnitude on Structure and Mesovortex Production in Idealized Squall Lines

Matthew C. Brown, NSSL, Norman, OK; and G. R. Marion and M. C. Coniglio

3:00 PM

7.5

An Analytical Model Connecting Tropical MCS Convective Cores to Stratiform Region Growth Rates

Gregory S. Elsaesser, NASA GISS and Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and R. Roca, T. Fiolleau, A. Del Genio, J. Wu, S. Giangrande, and A. F. Prein

3:15 PM

7.6

Near-Storm Environments of Tropical Oceanic Convection As Observed from Recent NASA Airborne Campaigns

Angela Rowe, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and B. D. Rodenkirch and E. J. Zipser

J7

Winter Storms: Advances in Forecasting II (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction)

Location: Madison Ballroom A (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Cochairs: Andrew C. Winters; Peter Veals

2:00 PM

JointJ7.1

High-impact Observations for Enhancing Great Lakes Snowfall Forecasting

Claire Pettersen, University of Michigan, MADISON, WI; and S. W. Nesbitt, M. S. Kulie, J. Lenters, J. R. Richter, and M. R. Peters

2:15 PM

JointJ7.2

Challenges with Winter Weather Products in the National Weather Service National Blend of Models

Adam D. Schnapp, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. E. Rudack, R. James, S. Perfater, and G. Manikin

2:30 PM

JointJ7.3

Combining Radar and NWP to Build a Snow Rate AI Algorithm

Andrew A. Rosenow, PhD, CIWRO - Cooperative Institute for Severe and High Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves

2:45 PM

JointJ7.4

Unifying and Simplifying Winter Precipitation Accumulations in NCEP Models

Geoffrey Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. J. Levit, H. Y. Chuang, E. A. Aligo, M. J. Barlage, F. Yang, and J. Meng

3:00 PM

JointJ7.5

Simulating the Transition From Freezing Rain to Ice Pellets: The Role of Secondary Ice Production During WINTRE-MIX IOP4

Bin Han, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. R. Minder

3:15 PM

JointJ7.6

P-type Processes and Predictability: A Case Study from the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multiscale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX)

Justin R Minder, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and N. P. Bassill, F. Fabry, J. R. French, K. Friedrich, I. Gultepe, J. R. Gyakum, K. A. Kosiba, M. Lachapelle, D. Michelson, L. Nichman, C. Nguyen, J. M. Thériault, A. C. Winters, M. Wolde, and J. Wurman

PM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 8

Organized Moist Convection II

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: Adam L. Houston, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

4:15 PM

8.1

A Theory for the Role of Vertical Wind Shear in Deep Convection Initiation

John M Peters, Penn State Univ., State College, PA

4:30 PM

8.2

The Simulated Organization of Deep Convection during MJO

Mingyue Tang, Univ. of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, HONOLULU, HI; and G. Torri

4:45 PM

8.3

Low-Level Jet Influences on the Warm Season Convective Environment in Central Argentina

Clayton Robert Stanley Sasaki, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. K. Rowe and L. McMurdie

5:00 PM

8.4

Enhancing our Understanding of Tropical Convective Processes through the INCUS Mission

Susan C. Van Den Heever, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and Z. S. Haddad, J. Bukowski, R. Chase, B. Dolan, S. W. Freeman, L. D. Grant, P. Kollias, G. Leung, Z. J. Luo, P. J. Marinescu, M. G. Morris, D. J. Posselt, PhD, K. L. Rasmussen, S. Prasanth, R. Schulte, I. Singh, G. L. Stephens, R. L. Storer, O. Sy, H. Takahashi, S. Tanelli, and Z. Xu

5:15 PM

8.5

Synoptic and Mesoscale Environment Variability of US Large Hail Events

John T. Allen, Central Michigan Univ., MOUNT PLEASANT, MI; and C. J. Nixon and K. J. Gillett

Coriolis EDIB Reception

Location: Rooftop Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Registration

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

J9

Predictability of Arctic Cyclones I

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

CoChair: Steven Cavallo, University of Oklahoma

8:30 AM

JointJ9.1

Sensitivity and Predictability of Mesoscale Polar Lows

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. A. Biernat

Handout (7.5 MB)

8:45 AM

JointJ9.2

Sensitivity of an August 2022 Arctic Cyclone to Sea Ice and Ocean Representation in Polar WRF

Kyle K. Ahern, SUNY, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser

9:00 AM

JointJ9.3

Coupled Simulations of a Wintertime Arctic Cyclone with Significant Surface Impacts Observed During MOSAiC

Ola Persson, CIRES and NSIDC, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO; Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. B. Solomon, J. Hutchings, D. Watkins, J. Haapala, G. Svensson, and T. Stanton

9:15 AM

JointJ9.4

Comparing the Predictability of Arctic and Atlantic Basin Cyclones Using Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis of MPAS Forecasts

Peyton K. Capute, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

9:30 AM

JointJ9.5

Investigating Arctic Cyclone-Tropopause Polar Vortex Interactions with Observing System Simulation Experiments

Matthew Bray, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Wednesday Poster Session

Location: Hall of Ideas (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

39

The Plan for the All-Sky Radiance Assimilation over Land in the NCEP Global Model

Azadeh Gholoubi, EMC, College Park, MD; and H. E. Liu, A. Collard, and D. T. Kleist

40

Physically Explainable Deep Learning for Convection Initiation Nowcasts

Da Fan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. J. Greybush and D. J. Gagne II, Ph.D.

41

A Deep Learning Approach to Severe Weather Subseasonal Forecasting Over the United States

Maria M. Madsen, AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES), Norman, OK

Handout (2.6 MB)

42

Extended Range Machine-Learning Severe Weather Guidance Based on the Operational GEFS

Adam J. Clark, NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Hill, K. A. Hoogewind, A. Berrington, and E. D. Loken

43

An Evaluation of a Convolutional Neural Network for Classifying Images from In-situ Cloud Probes

Marwa Majdi, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and D. Delene and C. Nairy

Handout (527.0 kB)

44

Objectively Assessing Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Organization in an Operational Convection Permitting Model

Ewan Short, Univ. of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; and T. Lane

Handout (3.3 MB)

45

Preliminary Evaluation of Real-Time, 8-Day, Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts over the Conterminous United States

Craig Schwartz, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Sobash, L. M. Harris, K. Y. Cheng, M. Morin, and L. Zhou

46

Comparing Storm Environments and Forecast Performance in the HRRR, RRFS, and the NSSL MPAS Models

Corey K. Potvin, NSSL, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, M. G. Duda, T. A. Jones, K. H. Knopfmeier, E. Mansell, L. J. Reames, W. Skamarock, Y. Wang, L. J. Wicker, and N. Yussouf

Handout (1.9 MB)

47

The Impact on Simulated Bow Echoes of Changing Grid Spacing from 3 km to 1 km in WRF

William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and D. J. Dodson

48

Validation of Offshore Winds in the ERA5 Reanalysis and HRRR Model Using Two Floating LIDARS South of Long Island, NY

Christopher Fragano, SUNY at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and J. M. Freedman

Handout (1.6 MB)

49

Examination of False Alarm and Missed Mesoscale Convective Systems Predicted by the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model

Sam Ritter, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and N. Sonntag and W. A. Gallus Jr.

50

Regime Dependence of Predictability of Springtime Medium-Range Severe Weather over CONUS within Two GEFS Reforecast Ensembles

51

Towards Defining the Elevated Convection Problem

52

Census of Valley and Mountain Profiling Radar Characteristics during Winter Storms along Utah's Wasatch Front

Ashley Nicole Evans, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, M. L. Wasserstein, and J. Steenburgh

53

Impact of Assimilating WSR-88D Radar Observations on Snowband Prediction within the Comma Head of Northeast U.S. Cyclone

Keenan Fryer, Spire Global, Boulder, CO; and B. A. Colle

54

Examining Vertical Velocities in the Dendritic Growth Zones of WRF Simulations of High Impact East Coast Winter Storms

Jacob D. Hair, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. J. Greybush, Y. Zhang, PhD, and M. Kumjian

Handout (6.6 MB)

55

Characteristics of Lake-Effect Precipitation over the Black River Valley and Western Adirondack Mountains

Jim Steenburgh, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. A. Cunningham, P. Bergmaier, B. N. Geerts, and P. Veals

56

Observations of Arctic Cyclones and their Interactions with Clouds and Sea Ice during THINICE

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. Riviere, J. Delanoë, and J. Methven

Handout (7.3 MB)

57

Using Airborne Measurements to Evaluate HRRR Forecasts of Freezing Drizzle Aloft: Results from the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Megan Rebecca Schiede, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and J. R. Minder

58

Synoptic-Scale Predictability of Two Near-Freezing Precipitation Events during the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Clairisse Alison Reiher, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. C. Winters

59

Contributing Factors to Simulated Vertical Structure of Microscale Features in the Snake River Plain

Joseph Edward Wermter, SRNL= Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. R. Chiswell

60

The Development and Testing of a Bias Correction Algorithm for Mesonet Wind Observations in 3D-RTMA

Matthew Thomas Morris, SAIC @ NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and R. J. Purser, M. Pondeca, E. Colon, G. Zhao, A. M. Gibbs, and J. R. Carley

61

Impact of Assimilating New York Stat MesoNet and Two Offshore LiDARs on Modeling the New York Bight Jet

Nicholas M. Leonardo, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, MA; and B. A. Colle and J. M. Freedman

62

A Review and Analysis of the Addition of TAC and High Resolution BUFR Format Sonde Data and GPS Information to EMC's Observations Processing

Nicholas R. Esposito, SAIC @ NOAA NWS NCEP EMC, College Park, MD; NOAA, College Park, MD; and A. Collard, I. Genkova, C. Hill, D. T. Kleist, and D. Merkova

63

The Possible Wind Effect on the Travelling Speed and Collisional Breakup of Raindrops in the Near-Surface of Landfalling Typhoons

64

The Use of METplus in Testbeds for Research to Operations Activities

Tara L. Jensen, National Center for Atmospheric Research and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and J. Opatz, T. J. Hertneky, M. A. Harrold, K. M. Newman, W. Mayfield, C. P. Kalb, J. Beck, W. Li, L. Pan, M. Zhang, L. B. Nance, M. B. Ek, M. Smith, and J. L. Vigh

65

Assessment of RRFS Based Cloud Forecasts at the Aviation Weather Testbed

Robert M. Hepper, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. E. Cross, S. J. Avey, T. A. Higginbotham, and A. P. Korner

Handout (5.6 MB)

66

FV3-LAM Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts and Ensemble Consensus Products for the 13th HMT Winter Weather Experiment

Phillip Spencer, CAPS, Norman, OK; and K. A. Brewster

Handout (2.0 MB)

67

Formulation and Evaluation of a Calibrated Tornado Forecast Guidance Ensemble

David E. Jahn, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and B. T. Smith, I. L. Jirak, C. Karstens, E. D. Loken, B. T. Gallo, and T. A. Supinie

Manuscript (878.6 kB)

68

An Initial Assessment of Environmental Influences on QLCS-tornadogenesis from PERiLS Field Campaign Datasets and High-Resolution Simulations

Aaron J. Hill, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Dowell and C. C. Weiss

69

Quase-Linear Convective Systems Over Complex Terrain in South of Brazil

William Coelho, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and D. L. HERDIES and L. Nolasco

70

The Impacts of Assimilating Aeolus Horizontal Line-of-Sight Winds on Numerical Predictions of Hurricane Ida (2021) and a Mesoscale Convective System over the Atlantic Ocean

Chengfeng Feng, The Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

71

Resolved Convection Improves the Representation of Equatorial Waves and Tropical Rainfall Variability in a Global Nonhydrostatic Model

Falko Judt, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO

Climate and Covid 19 challenges on rice farming in Ikwo, Ebonyi state Nigeria

72

Application of Adjoint-Derived Ensemble for Tropical Cyclones Rapid Intensification

Zoe A. Zibton, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

73

Rainfall Distribution And Extreme Flash Floods in Semi-Arid Region of El Paso, Texas

Nakul Nitin Karle, PhD, NCAS-M, Beltsville, MD; Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Chiao, J. Laney, J. Barham, and G. Lundeen

74

The Mesoscale Meteorology of the June 2021 Northwest Heatwave

Clifford F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Ovens

75

Update on the Use of WRF TKE Profiles in SCIPUFF Dipole Pride 26 Field Test Comparison

David R. Stauffer, Xator Corporation, a Parsons Company, State College, PA

76

Got Code ? Join the UFS Community !

Hendrik L. Tolman, Dr. Ir., NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

Session 10

Prediction Of and Data Assimilation in Mesoscale Processes and Mesoscale Extremes

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Xingchao Chen, The Pennsylvania State University; Matthew Graber, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

11:15 AM

10.1

Simultaneous Assimilation of Polarimetric and All-Sky Satellite Data for Ensemble Convection Forecasts

Keenan Christopher Eure, The Pennsylvania State Univ., State College, PA; and Y. Zhang, PhD, D. J. Stensrud, and M. Kumjian

11:30 AM

10.2

Impact of Soil Moisture Data Assimilation on the Numerical Simulation of Landfalling Hurricanes

Zhaoxia Pu, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

11:45 AM

10.3

Assessing the Value of Assimilating Surface, PBL, and Free Atmosphere Observations from TORUS on Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts

Matthew Wilson, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. L. Houston

12:00 PM

10.4

Improving the Prediction and Discernment of Frontal Boundaries with Deep Learning

Andrew Douglas Justin, NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES), Norman, OK; and A. McGovern and J. T. Allen

12:15 PM

10.5

Improving Prediction and Advancing Understanding of Weather Systems over North Africa and the Tropical Atlantic Using CPEX-CV Lidar Observations

Shu-Hua Chen, Univ. of California, Davis, Davis, CA

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 11

Science and Prediction of Extreme Rainfall

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Angela Rowe; Ian Cornejo, University of Wisconsin - Madison

2:00 PM

11.1

Environmental Properties of Heavy Rainfall Events under Extremely Humid Conditions during the Rainy Season (Baiu) in Japan

Tetsuya Takemi, PhD, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Japan; and N. Naka

2:15 PM

11.2

Evaluation and Assimilation of Low-Level Moisture from the MPD during the

Yunji Zhang, PhD, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and X. Chen

2:30 PM

11.3

The Role of Wind Shear, Vertical Vorticity, and Pressure Perturbations on a Terrain Anchored, High-Precipitation Supercell

Terrence Corrigan, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger

2:45 PM

11.4

Recent Observed Trends and Interannual Variability of Summertime Extreme Convective Rainfall Events in the Central and Eastern United States

Jason Chiappa, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. B. Parsons, A. Shapiro, and J. C. Furtado

3:00 PM

11.5

Sensitivity of Tropical Oceanic Convection to Horizontal Model Resolution in Idealized Simulations Forced with PRECIP Observations

Rosimar Rios-Berrios, ; and G. H. Bryan

3:15 PM

11.6

Sources of Forecast Errors for Extreme-Rain-Producing Mesoscale Convective Systems

Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. J. Hill

PM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 12

Organized Moist Convection III

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: Stacey M. Hitchcock

4:15 PM

12.1

The Covariability of Microphysical and Dynamical Processes within Convective Updrafts in Different Environments and Storm Types

Peter J. Marinescu, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. C. van den Heever, J. Bukowski, L. D. Grant, D. J. Posselt, PhD, and I. Singh

4:30 PM

12.2

Sensitivity Study of Deep Convection Dynamics to Tropospheric Humidity Using Large-Eddy Simulations

Didier Ricard, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and M. Sellier and C. Lac

4:45 PM

12.3

Dry Air Above the PBL As a Convection Initiation Failure Mode in Idealized Simulations

Christopher Nowotarski, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and D. Bissell, J. M. Peters, and J. P. Mulholland

5:00 PM

12.4

The Impact of CIN Depth on Simulated Deep Convection Initiation

Adam L. Houston, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE

5:15 PM

12.5

Convective Stratospheric Hydration, AACPs, & Tropopause Height

Elisa Murillo, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. R. Homeyer and G. L. Mullendore

Session

AMS Student Engagement Social Hour

Location: Rooftop Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Registration

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 13

Professor Lev Gutman's 100th Anniversary I

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Garik Gutman, NASA; Roger A. Pielke, Univ. of Colorado

8:30 AM

13.1

The Legacy of Prof. Lev Gutman: A Short Bio and Curious Facts

Garik Gutman, NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC

9:00 AM

13.2

Professor Lev Gutman’s Multiple Seminal Contributions to Mesoscale Meteorology

Roger A. Pielke Sr., CIRES, Highlands Ranch, CO

9:30 AM

13.3

Gutman and Mesoscale Modelling

Svante Bodin, Phd, International Cryosphere Climate Initiative, Stockholm, Sweden

J13

Winter Storms: Effects of Extreme Temperature Outbreaks

Location: Madison Ballroom A (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Cochairs: Andrew A. Rosenow, PhD; Steven J. Greybush

8:30 AM

JointJ13.1

An Analysis of the Predictability of the February 2021 Cold Air Outbreak at S2S Timescales

Grace Elizabeth Dines, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY

8:45 AM

JointJ13.2

A Space-Based Analysis of North Atlantic Snowfall and Clouds during Marine Cold-Air Outbreaks

Marian Mateling, Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, MADISON, WI; Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and C. Pettersen, M. S. Kulie, and T. S. L'Ecuyer

9:00 AM

JointJ13.3

Direct and Indirect Relationships Between Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in Colorado

Xun Zou, Univ. of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and J. M. Cordeira, S. B. BATTULA, J. J. Rutz, and Z. Zhang

9:15 AM

JointJ13.4

Climatological Perspective and Synoptic Analysis of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in California During December 2022 and January 2023

Jason M. Cordeira, UCSD/SIO/CW3E, La Jolla, CA; and S. M. Bartlett, L. F. Bosart, C. Castellano, A. Cobb, C. W. Hecht, T. Y. HSU, J. F. Kalansky, B. Kawzenuk, T. C. Leicht, A. K. Mitchell, B. J. Moore, D. L. Nash, M. M. Ralph, and X. zou

9:30 AM

JointJ13.5

Cold-Season Subtropical Air Mass Intrusions into North American Extratropical Latitudes: Dynamic and Thermodynamic Impacts on Extreme Precipitation

John Richard Gyakum, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada

Poster Viewing and Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Thursday Poster Session

Location: Hall of Ideas (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes )

77

A Numerical Study of Hurricane Maria 2017 Using a Fast Version Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model

Jiali Wang, ANL, Lemont, IL; and G. Sever, C. Jung, W. J. Pringle, and R. Kotamarthi

78

Development of an Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Metric for Tropical Cyclone Hazard Forecasts

Melissa Piper, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

79

Effect of Northward Ageostrophic Winds Associated with a Tropical Cyclone on PRE Rainfall Enhancement

Kazuo Saito, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan; Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and T. Matsunobu and T. Oizumi

Handout (2.2 MB)

80

Analysis on the Track Deflection of Hurricane Florence (2018) Using HWRF Modeling and Vorticity Budget Analysis

Lela Shumpert, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and L. Liu and Y. L. Lin

Manuscript (3.0 MB)

81

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Onset Using an Adjoint Model

Zoe A. Zibton, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

82

Examining Tropical Cyclone Rainbands as Detected by Ground- and Space-Based Radars

Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and Z. S. Ali, K. Wood, and S. E. Zick

Manuscript (922.4 kB)

83

Evaluation of the GPM IMERG Precipitation Products Using Rain Gauge Network Dataset over the Tibetan Plateau

Yuanchun Zhang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Beijing, Beijing, China; and Y. Huang and J. Sun

84

Impact of Frontal Boundaries on Tornadogenesis Associated with Landfalling Hurricanes

85

Kinematic Modeling Study of the Re-Organization of Snowfall Beneath Cloud-Top Generating Cells in Midlatitude Cyclones

Andrew Janiszeski, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. M. Rauber, B. Jewett, G. M. McFarquhar, T. J. Zaremba, and J. E. Yorks

86

A Preliminary Assessment of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model’s Ability to Predict the Great Lakes Lake-Breeze Front and Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer

Collin DeYoung, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans

87

Simulation of Surface Mesovortices Formation and Maintenance in the St. Louis Metropolitan Area

88

Examining Multi-Scale Atmospheric Processes and Land-Atmosphere Interactions Associated with Drought over the Western U.S. in 2021-2022

Michael John Pye, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

89

Idealized Simulations of the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer Response to Varying Coastal Land Surface Properties

Peter M Finocchio, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. A. Biernat and J. D. Doyle

90

Effects of Land Surface Type on Sea-Breeze Convection in the Houston Area

Benjamin David Ascher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. M. Saleeby, P. J. Marinescu, and S. C. Van Den Heever

91

Environmental Conditions, Evolution and Mechanisms of the EF4 Tornado in Kaiyuan of Liaoning Province on 3 July 2019

Yongguang Zheng Sr., National Meteorological Centre of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, Beijing, China; and Y. Lan

Manuscript (1.0 MB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

92

Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation in the NOAA’s Next Generation Regional Model - Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS)

Xiaoyan Zhang, EMC, College Park, MD; SAIC @ NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and T. lei, S. Liu, H. Lin, and J. R. Carley

93

Evolution of Multiband Structures Within the 16 February 2023 Midwest Cyclone During the IMPACTS Field Campaign

Phillip Yeh, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle

94

Precipitation Growth Processes in the Comma Head Region of the 7 February 2020 Northeast Snowstorm: Results from IMPACTS

Troy Justin Zaremba, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Varcie, R. M. Rauber, G. M. McFarquhar, J. Finlon, L. McMurdie, A. V. Ryzhkov, M. Schnaiter, E. Järvinen, F. Waitz, D. J. Delene, M. Poellot, and A. Janiszeski

96

A Multi-Probe Automated Classification of Ice Crystal Habits During the IMPACTS Campaign

Julian Christopher Schima, CIWRO, Norman, OK; and G. M. McFarquhar, D. Delene, A. J. Heymsfield, A. Bansemer, M. Schnaiter, J. Finlon, E. Järvinen, and F. Waitz

97

Mesoscale Processes Leading to Warm Sector Convection Initiation During the 27 April 2011 Afternoon Supercell Outbreak

Manda B. Chasteen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno, S. E. Koch, and G. S. Romine

98

An Examination of Tornadogenesis during the 01 January 2022 Triana, Alabama Tornado

Zebulon W. Leffler, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL

99

Using Machine Learning to Predict Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Skill: Evaluation with the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System

Corey K. Potvin, NSSL, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Flora, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, and B. C. Matilla

Handout (1.4 MB)

100

Analysis of Uncertainty in Location and Motion Information in Tornado Warnings

Kevin Ash, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and C. M. Feemster, C. L. Williams, J. Boehnert, J. L. Demuth, D. J. Gagne II, Ph.D., R. E. Morss, O. Wilhelmi, F. Bowser, M. Bunkers, C. Karstens, J. G. LaDue, and D. D. Nietfeld

101

Geospatial Analysis of Tornado Path Locations within and Near Storm-Based Tornado Warnings

Caley Feemster, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL

102

Effects of Terrain and Land Cover on Radar-Observed 3-Dimensional Tornado Wind Fields

Jana B. Houser, PhD, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and B. Price, H. B. Bluestein, K. A. Kosiba, Z. B. Wienhoff, and J. Wurman

103

A Virtual Workshop Involving College Students to Explore the Relative Role of Visualization and Stakeholder Interaction on Risk Perception

Josef Moses, Stony Brook Univ., North Babylon, NY; Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, J. R. Hathaway, E. Bojsza, S. S. Davis, K. E. Rowan, A. Hills, E. C. Duesterhoeft, S. Boorboor, A. E. Kaufman, and S. E. Brennan

Poster 104 is now Paper 17.5A

105

Factors Contributing to the Offshore Propagation of Coastal Rainfall over Western Africa As Deduced from CPEX-CV Observations

Rosimar Rios-Berrios, ; and K. M. Nunez-Ocasio, S. N. Wu, N. Sakaeda, and E. R. Martin

106

Towards an Updated Climatology of Overland Tropical Cyclone Maintenance and Intensification in Non-/Weakly Baroclinic Environments

Andrew O. Hickok, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and M. P. Vossen and C. Evans

107

A Climatology of Mesoscale Airmasses with High Theta-e Across the Continental United States

Charles Kropiewnicki, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Mullica Hill, NJ; Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston and J. M. Keeler

108

Understanding the Clustering of Proximity Sounding Profiles and Sounding Derived Parameters for Near-Storm Environments

Zhanxiang Hua, Univ. of Washington Seattle, Seattle, WA; and A. Anderson-Frey

109

Synoptic Control on the Initiation and Upscale Growth of Warm-season MCSs over the South China Coast

Chenli Wang, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and X. Chen, K. zhao, and C. H. Peng

Handout (571.4 kB)

110

Using an Ensemble Prediction System to Evaluate the Factors Influencing the Stationary Behavior of a Landfalling Atmospheric River over Central California

Ivan Leonel Fontanez, SUNY, Aguas Buenas, PR; and R. D. Torn

111

Contribution of Atmospheric Rivers to Seasonal Precipitation in the US Intermountain West

Divya Rea, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL; and R. M. Rauber

113

Spatiotemporal Variability in Convective Cells and their Thermodynamic and Aerosol Environments during TRACER

Milind Sharma, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. Nowotarski, A. D. Rapp, S. D. Brooks, S. Thompson, and B. Chen

114

Sensitivity of Weather Forecasts to Soil Moisture Perturbations in Coastal Regions

Kevin A. Biernat, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and P. M. Finocchio and J. D. Doyle

115

Sensitivity Experiments of Gravity Wave Drag Parameterizations for Unified Forecast Systems (UFS)

Song You Hong, NOAA/PSL and Univ. of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and M. D. Toy, J. W. Bao, J. B. Olson, and F. Yang

Phenomenological Analyses of Alternate Energy Sources

Using Machine Learning Techniques to Switch Between Distributions to Improve Data Assimilation

Session 14

Professor Lev Gutman's 100th Anniversary II

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Garik Gutman, NASA; Pinhas Alpert

11:15 AM

14.1

Mesometeorological Motions Caused By Topography

Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew Univ. of Jerusalem, Israel, Jerusalem, Israel

14.2

The potential of an index for mesoscale activity based on high resolution INCA-analysis data

11:30 AM

14.2A

Urban and Boundary Layer Meso-Meteorological Modeling for Integrated Systems: In Memory of Prof. L. Gutman

Alexander Baklanov, WMO, Geneva, Geneva canton, Switzerland; WMO, Geneve, Switzerland

11:45 AM

14.3

Numerical Modeling of Dust Distribution in the Atmosphere of the Caucasus Region with Complex Terrain

Aleksandre Surmava, Tbilisi, Georgia

12:00 PM

14.4

Exact Solutions of the Ekman Problem with Periodic Forcing

Georgy Burde, Ben-Gurion Univ. of the Negev, Midreshet Ben Gurion, Negev, Israel

14.5

On the Contribution of Prof. Lev Gutman to Nonhydrostatic Atmospheric Modeling for Weather Prediction in the USSR-Russia

12:15 PM

14.6

The Potential of an Index for Mesoscale Activity – Based on High Resolution INCA-Analysis Data

Pinhas Alpert, Tel Aviv Univ., Tel-Aviv, Israel; and D. Mordochovich

J14

Winter Storms: Results from NASA IMPACTS Field Campaign (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction)

Location: Madison Ballroom A (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

Cochairs: Claire Pettersen; Marian Mateling

11:15 AM

JointJ14.1

Micro- and Mesoscale Structures within Snowbands in Winter Storms: Preliminary Results from the Inestigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) Field Campaign

Lynn McMurdie, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. Heymsfield, J. E. Yorks, and J. Finlon

11:30 AM

JointJ14.2

Assessing Predictability of Winter Storms during the NASA IMPACTS Field Campaign

Steven J. Greybush, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. Seibert, S. Zhang, J. D. Hair, E. Myskowski, Y. Zhang, PhD, and M. Kumjian

11:45 AM

JointJ14.3

Passive Microwave Observations of Mesoscale Snow Bands from NASA IMPACTS

Matthew A. Miller, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and L. M. Tomkins

12:00 PM

JointJ14.4

Multimodal Ice Crystal Size Distributions in Atlantic Coast Snowstorms: Results from IMPACTS 2020

Peter Anthony Brechner, MS, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. M. McFarquhar, J. Schima, D. J. Delene, C. Nairy, K. L. Thornhill, J. Finlon, D. W. Toohey, A. J. Heymsfield, A. Bansemer, R. M. Rauber, E. Järvinen, and M. Schnaiter

12:15 PM

JointJ14.5

Variability of Cool Season Precipitation Structures Within the Cyclone Comma Head

Phillip Yeh, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; SUNY Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, L. M. Tomkins, and S. E. Yuter

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

J15

Predictability of Arctic Cyclones II

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Chair: Ola Persson

2:00 PM

JointJ15.1

Investigating the Relationship between Tropopause Polar Vortices and Arctic Cyclone Longevity

Steven M. Cavallo, Univ. of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK

2:15 PM

JointJ15.2

Characteristics and Lifecycles of Anticyclonic Tropopause Polar Vortices

Joseph Burzdak, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo and D. B. Parsons

2:30 PM

JointJ15.3

Sensitivity of the February 2021 U.S. Cold-Air Outbreak to Tropopause Polar Vortex Intensity

Tomer Burg, CIRES @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and S. Cavallo

2:45 PM

JointJ15.4

Impact of Assimilating the THINICE2022 Continuous Windborne Observations inside a TPV on the Predictability of an Arctic Cyclone

ZHIHONG CHEN, The Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Johnson, X. Wang, J. Creus-Costa, and T. Hutchinson

3:00 PM

JointJ15.5

Impact of Windborne Observation Assimilation on Prediction of a TPV Merger and Arctic Cyclogenesis Case Study from THINICE

Aaron T. Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang, J. Creus-Costa, and T. Hutchinson

3:15 PM

JointJ15.6

The Impact of Assimilated Clear-Sky and Cloudy Retrievals on Arctic Prediction During THINICE 2022

Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and T. Dunn, P. Antonelli, T. Cherubini, P. Scaccia, A. Valletti, and T. Corrigan

PM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 16

Impacts of Inhomogeneous Underlying Surfaces on Convection Initiation and Organization I

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: James N. Marquis

4:15 PM

16.1

Lake-Breeze-Front-Like Features During Large-Scale Onshore Flow and Their Influence on Convection Initiation

Christian H Boyer, Lynker at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. M. Keeler

4:30 PM

16.2

Instability Maxima on the Cool Side of Lake-Breeze Fronts and Their Influence on Convection Initiation

Jason M. Keeler, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and C. H. Boyer

4:45 PM

16.3

DEsert-oasis COnvergence line and Deep convection Experiment (DECODE)

Zhiyong Meng, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking Univ., Beijing, China; and X. Meng and C. Wang Sr.

5:00 PM

16.4

Evaluation of Real-Time Forecasts during DECODE 2022 in China

Murong ZHANG, Xiamen Univ., Xiamen, Fujian, China; and Z. Meng, Y. Yang, H. Liu, L. Zhu, Y. Huang, and X. Wang

5:15 PM

16.5

Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Observations and Large Eddy Simulations over an Irrigation Gradient

Eric Rappin, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY

Speaker Ready Room

Location: Hall of Ideas G (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Registration

Location: Counter 2 (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 17

Diurnal Cycle, Radiative Feedback, Clouds, and Organized Moist Convection

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: Gretchen L. Mullendore, University of North Dakota; Mingyue Tang

8:30 AM

17.1

Stratiform–Radiation Feedback: A Dynamic Pathway of Upscale Convective Growth through Cloud–Radiation Feedback

James H. Ruppert Jr., Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

8:45 AM

17.2

Decomposing Forcing Mechanisms and Impacts of Simulated Diurnal Pulses

Jeremiah Otero Piersante, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. L. Corbosiero and R. G. Fovell

9:00 AM

17.3

Global Characteristics of On-the-Clock and Off-the-Clock Tropical Cyclone Diurnal Pulses

Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and X. Zhang, S. D. Ditchek, and W. XU

9:15 AM

17.4

The Influence of Land–Sea Contrast and Topography on the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in the Bay of Bengal

ZiJian Chen, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, Guang Dong, China; and Y. Du

17.5

Changes in the Structure and Intensity of Tropical Cyclones associated with Diurnal Pulsing

9:30 AM

17.5A

Diurnal and Seasonal Evolution of the Urban Boundary Layer in Augusta, Georgia

Joseph Edward Wermter, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and J. M. Shepherd and M. Appelbaum

9:45 AM

17.6

Land Breeze Characteristics Off the West Coast of Sumatra

Ryan North, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. J. Schumacher, C. C. Epifanio, H. Bai, G. Deranadyan, and A. W. Putra

AM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 18

Mesoscale Boundary-Layer Circulations

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Cochairs: James H. Ruppert Jr., Pennsylvania State University; ZiJian Chen

10:45 AM

18.1

Observations of Boundary-Layer Convergence Lines and Associated Updrafts in the US Southern Great Plains

Shanhe Liu, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and D. J. Kirshbaum and K. D. Sindhu

11:00 AM

18.2

Variability of Successive Cold Pools in BACS-I

Christine Neumaier, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Grant, S. C. van den Heever, B. D. Ascher, J. A. Escobedo, N. M. Falk, S. W. Freeman, G. Leung, A. Mazurek, D. S. Veloso-Aguila, P. J. DeMott, S. M. Kreidenweis, R. J. Perkins, and E. A. Stone

11:15 AM

18.3

Variability Within and Among Midlatitude Cold Pools

Leah D. Grant, Colorado State Univ., FORT COLLINS, CO; and B. Kirsch, N. M. Falk, J. Bukowski, C. Neumaier, F. Ament, S. C. van den Heever, B. D. Ascher, J. A. Escobedo, S. W. Freeman, G. Leung, A. Mazurek, D. S. Veloso-Aguila, P. J. DeMott, S. M. Kreidenweis, R. J. Perkins, and E. A. Stone

11:30 AM

18.4

What Causes Haboobs to Propagate Faster or Slower?

Nicholas Michael Falk, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Grant and S. C. van den Heever

11:45 AM

18.5

The Relevance of Mean-State Critical Levels for the Intensification of Downslope Winds

Gert-Jan Duine, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. Carvalho, W. O. J. Brown, C. B. Clements, S. F. J. De Wekker, D. Emmitt, H. Fernando, C. Jones, S. Oncley, Z. Wang, and L. D. White

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 19

Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: Falko Judt, NCAR

1:30 PM

19.1

Asymmetric Tropical Cyclone Structures and Processes in Reanalyses and Climate Models

Jacob Carstens, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and C. M. Zarzycki and A. C. Didlake Jr.

19.2

Formation of Tropical Storm Debby (2006) due to Thermal and Mechanical Forcing Associated with the Passage of the Pre-Debby African Easterly Waves over the Guinea Highlands

1:45 PM

Break / Discussion

2:00 PM

19.3

Differences in Tropical Cyclone Tornado Activities and Key Tornadic Environments between China and the U.S

Jingyi Wen, Beijing, Beijing, 11, China; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking Univ., Beijing, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng

2:15 PM

19.4

Manifestation of Elevated Convection in Wintertime Extratropical Cyclones During IMPACTS

Kaylee Heimes Lundstrom, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL

2:30 PM

19.5

Preconditioning and Intensification of Upstream Extratropical Cyclones through Surface Fluxes

Reuben Demirdjian, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, C. A. Reynolds, and P. M. Finocchio

PM Coffee Break

Location: Grand Terrace (Monona Terrace)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )

Session 20

Impacts of Inhomogeneous Underlying Surfaces on Convection Initiation and Organization II

Location: Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)

Host: 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

CoChair: Zhiyong Meng

3:30 PM

20.1

Some Clouds Just Really like Mountain Climbing: Relationships between LES-Modeled Deep Convection Initiation Events and Orographic Circulations.

James N. Marquis, PNNL, Richland, WA; and A. Varble, PhD, Z. Feng, W. I. Gustafson Jr., PhD, and E. Jo

3:45 PM

20.2

Synoptic Impacts on the Occurrence of Mesoscale Boundaries and Their Associated Convection Over an Area of Sharp Vegetation Contrast

Yipeng Huang, Xiamen Meteorological Bureau, Xiamen, Fujian, China; and Z. Meng and M. ZHANG, PhD

4:00 PM

20.3

Effects of Land-Surface Heterogeneity on Sea-Breeze Convection

Benjamin David Ascher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. Davis, S. M. Saleeby, and S. C. Van Den Heever

4:15 PM

20.4

Convection Initiation Associated with a Boundary Layer Convergence Line over a Real-world Sharp Vegetation-Contrast Area

Hongjun Liu, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking Univ., Beijing, China

4:30 PM

20.5

Environmental Characteristics of Coastal Convection in the Houston Region

Katherine McKeown, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and K. Lombardo and M. Kumjian

4:45 PM

20.6

Diurnal Cycle and Dipolar Pattern of Precipitation over Borneo during the MJO

Shuguang Wang, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and Y. Zhou and J. Fang

Session 20 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes

Sunday, 16 July 2023

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 16 July 2023

Monday, 17 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

Tuesday, 18 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

Wednesday, 19 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 19 July 2023

Thursday, 20 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 20 July 2023

Friday, 21 July 2023

8:00 AM-3:30 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

8:00 AM-4:00 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 21 July 2023

10:00 AM-10:45 AM: Friday, 21 July 2023

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

2:45 PM-3:30 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Friday, 21 July 2023

Sunday, 16 July 2023

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 16 July 2023

Monday, 17 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 17 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 17 July 2023

Tuesday, 18 July 2023

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

9:45 AM-11:15 AM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

11:15 AM-12:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

12:30 PM-2:00 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

4:15 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 18 July 2023