J15 Predictability of Arctic Cyclones II

Thursday, 20 July 2023: 2:00 PM-3:30 PM
Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Chair:
Ola Persson

Papers:
2:00 PM
JointJ15.1
Investigating the Relationship between Tropopause Polar Vortices and Arctic Cyclone Longevity
Steven M. Cavallo, Univ. of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK

2:15 PM
JointJ15.2
Characteristics and Lifecycles of Anticyclonic Tropopause Polar Vortices
Joseph Burzdak, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo and D. B. Parsons

2:30 PM
JointJ15.3
Sensitivity of the February 2021 U.S. Cold-Air Outbreak to Tropopause Polar Vortex Intensity
Tomer Burg, CIRES @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and S. Cavallo

2:45 PM
JointJ15.4
Impact of Assimilating the THINICE2022 Continuous Windborne Observations inside a TPV on the Predictability of an Arctic Cyclone
ZHIHONG CHEN, The Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Johnson, X. Wang, J. Creus-Costa, and T. Hutchinson

3:00 PM
JointJ15.5
Impact of Windborne Observation Assimilation on Prediction of a TPV Merger and Arctic Cyclogenesis Case Study from THINICE
Aaron T. Johnson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang, J. Creus-Costa, and T. Hutchinson

3:15 PM
JointJ15.6
The Impact of Assimilated Clear-Sky and Cloudy Retrievals on Arctic Prediction During THINICE 2022
Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and T. Dunn, P. Antonelli, T. Cherubini, P. Scaccia, A. Valletti, and T. Corrigan

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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