J9 Predictability of Arctic Cyclones I

Wednesday, 19 July 2023: 8:30 AM-9:45 AM
Madison Ballroom CD (Monona Terrace)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes; the 32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting; and the 28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Submitters:
Rosimar Rios-Berrios and Yunji Zhang, PhD, The Pennsylvania State University, Dept of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, and ADAPT Center, University Park, PA
CoChair:
Steven Cavallo, University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, OK

Papers:
8:30 AM
JointJ9.1
Sensitivity and Predictability of Mesoscale Polar Lows
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. A. Biernat

Handout (7.5 MB)

8:45 AM
JointJ9.2
Sensitivity of an August 2022 Arctic Cyclone to Sea Ice and Ocean Representation in Polar WRF
Kyle K. Ahern, SUNY, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser

9:00 AM
JointJ9.3
Coupled Simulations of a Wintertime Arctic Cyclone with Significant Surface Impacts Observed During MOSAiC
Ola Persson, CIRES and NSIDC, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO; Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. B. Solomon, J. Hutchings, D. Watkins, J. Haapala, G. Svensson, and T. Stanton

9:15 AM
JointJ9.4
Comparing the Predictability of Arctic and Atlantic Basin Cyclones Using Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis of MPAS Forecasts
Peyton K. Capute, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY

9:30 AM
JointJ9.5
Investigating Arctic Cyclone-Tropopause Polar Vortex Interactions with Observing System Simulation Experiments
Matthew Bray, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Cavallo

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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