Session: Wednesday Poster Session (32nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)/20th Conference on Mesoscale Processes)

39

The Plan for the All-Sky Radiance Assimilation over Land in the NCEP Global Model

Azadeh Gholoubi, EMC, College Park, MD; and H. E. Liu, A. Collard, and D. T. Kleist

40

Physically Explainable Deep Learning for Convection Initiation Nowcasts

Da Fan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. J. Greybush and D. J. Gagne II, Ph.D.

41

A Deep Learning Approach to Severe Weather Subseasonal Forecasting Over the United States

Maria M. Madsen, AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES), Norman, OK

Handout (2.6 MB)

42

Extended Range Machine-Learning Severe Weather Guidance Based on the Operational GEFS

Adam J. Clark, NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Hill, K. A. Hoogewind, A. Berrington, and E. D. Loken

43

An Evaluation of a Convolutional Neural Network for Classifying Images from In-situ Cloud Probes

Marwa Majdi, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and D. Delene and C. Nairy

Handout (527.0 kB)

44

Objectively Assessing Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Organization in an Operational Convection Permitting Model

Ewan Short, Univ. of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; and T. Lane

Handout (3.3 MB)

45

Preliminary Evaluation of Real-Time, 8-Day, Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts over the Conterminous United States

Craig Schwartz, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. A. Sobash, L. M. Harris, K. Y. Cheng, M. Morin, and L. Zhou

46

Comparing Storm Environments and Forecast Performance in the HRRR, RRFS, and the NSSL MPAS Models

Corey K. Potvin, NSSL, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, M. G. Duda, T. A. Jones, K. H. Knopfmeier, E. Mansell, L. J. Reames, W. Skamarock, Y. Wang, L. J. Wicker, and N. Yussouf

Handout (1.9 MB)

47

The Impact on Simulated Bow Echoes of Changing Grid Spacing from 3 km to 1 km in WRF

William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State Univ., AMES, IA; and D. J. Dodson

48

Validation of Offshore Winds in the ERA5 Reanalysis and HRRR Model Using Two Floating LIDARS South of Long Island, NY

Christopher Fragano, SUNY at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle and J. M. Freedman

Handout (1.6 MB)

49

Examination of False Alarm and Missed Mesoscale Convective Systems Predicted by the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model

Sam Ritter, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and N. Sonntag and W. A. Gallus Jr.

50

Regime Dependence of Predictability of Springtime Medium-Range Severe Weather over CONUS within Two GEFS Reforecast Ensembles

51

Towards Defining the Elevated Convection Problem

52

Census of Valley and Mountain Profiling Radar Characteristics during Winter Storms along Utah's Wasatch Front

Ashley Nicole Evans, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. Veals, M. L. Wasserstein, and J. Steenburgh

53

Impact of Assimilating WSR-88D Radar Observations on Snowband Prediction within the Comma Head of Northeast U.S. Cyclone

Keenan Fryer, Spire Global, Boulder, CO; and B. A. Colle

54

Examining Vertical Velocities in the Dendritic Growth Zones of WRF Simulations of High Impact East Coast Winter Storms

Jacob D. Hair, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. J. Greybush, Y. Zhang, PhD, and M. Kumjian

Handout (6.6 MB)

55

Characteristics of Lake-Effect Precipitation over the Black River Valley and Western Adirondack Mountains

Jim Steenburgh, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. A. Cunningham, P. Bergmaier, B. N. Geerts, and P. Veals

56

Observations of Arctic Cyclones and their Interactions with Clouds and Sea Ice during THINICE

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. Riviere, J. Delanoë, and J. Methven

Handout (7.3 MB)

57

Using Airborne Measurements to Evaluate HRRR Forecasts of Freezing Drizzle Aloft: Results from the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Megan Rebecca Schiede, Univ. at Albany, Albany, NY; and J. R. Minder

58

Synoptic-Scale Predictability of Two Near-Freezing Precipitation Events during the WINTRE-MIX Field Campaign

Clairisse Alison Reiher, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. C. Winters

59

Contributing Factors to Simulated Vertical Structure of Microscale Features in the Snake River Plain

Joseph Edward Wermter, SRNL= Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. R. Chiswell

60

The Development and Testing of a Bias Correction Algorithm for Mesonet Wind Observations in 3D-RTMA

Matthew Thomas Morris, SAIC @ NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and R. J. Purser, M. Pondeca, E. Colon, G. Zhao, A. M. Gibbs, and J. R. Carley

61

Impact of Assimilating New York Stat MesoNet and Two Offshore LiDARs on Modeling the New York Bight Jet

Nicholas M. Leonardo, Stony Brook Univ., Stony Brook, MA; and B. A. Colle and J. M. Freedman

62

A Review and Analysis of the Addition of TAC and High Resolution BUFR Format Sonde Data and GPS Information to EMC's Observations Processing

Nicholas R. Esposito, SAIC @ NOAA NWS NCEP EMC, College Park, MD; NOAA, College Park, MD; and A. Collard, I. Genkova, C. Hill, D. T. Kleist, and D. Merkova

63

The Possible Wind Effect on the Travelling Speed and Collisional Breakup of Raindrops in the Near-Surface of Landfalling Typhoons

64

The Use of METplus in Testbeds for Research to Operations Activities

Tara L. Jensen, National Center for Atmospheric Research and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and J. Opatz, T. J. Hertneky, M. A. Harrold, K. M. Newman, W. Mayfield, C. P. Kalb, J. Beck, W. Li, L. Pan, M. Zhang, L. B. Nance, M. B. Ek, M. Smith, and J. L. Vigh

65

Assessment of RRFS Based Cloud Forecasts at the Aviation Weather Testbed

Robert M. Hepper, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. E. Cross, S. J. Avey, T. A. Higginbotham, and A. P. Korner

Handout (5.6 MB)

66

FV3-LAM Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts and Ensemble Consensus Products for the 13th HMT Winter Weather Experiment

Phillip Spencer, CAPS, Norman, OK; and K. A. Brewster

Handout (2.0 MB)

67

Formulation and Evaluation of a Calibrated Tornado Forecast Guidance Ensemble

David E. Jahn, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and B. T. Smith, I. L. Jirak, C. Karstens, E. D. Loken, B. T. Gallo, and T. A. Supinie

Manuscript (878.6 kB)

68

An Initial Assessment of Environmental Influences on QLCS-tornadogenesis from PERiLS Field Campaign Datasets and High-Resolution Simulations

Aaron J. Hill, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Dowell and C. C. Weiss

69

Quase-Linear Convective Systems Over Complex Terrain in South of Brazil

William Coelho, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and D. L. HERDIES and L. Nolasco

70

The Impacts of Assimilating Aeolus Horizontal Line-of-Sight Winds on Numerical Predictions of Hurricane Ida (2021) and a Mesoscale Convective System over the Atlantic Ocean

Chengfeng Feng, The Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

71

Resolved Convection Improves the Representation of Equatorial Waves and Tropical Rainfall Variability in a Global Nonhydrostatic Model