Thursday, 17 January 2002: 11:14 AM
Capabilities of ensemble filters for data assimilation
Ensemble filter assimilation methods represent a fusion of the ensemble
prediction and data assimilation problems. The past few years have seen
the development of a number of related ensemble filtering methods that
are more or less closely related to traditional Kalman filters. One such
filter, the ensemble adjustment Kalman filter is described as an approximation
to solutions of the nonlinear Bayesian filtering problem. Results from a
variety of perfect model observing system simulation experiments
are used to demonstrate the wide-ranging capabilities of ensemble
filters. Assimilations using a fully-parameterized global numerical weather
prediction model demonstrate the filters' ability to work in very large
systems. Assimilations of only observations of surface pressure in a global
primitive equation model demonstrate
an ability to address 'difficult' assimilation problems where the
physically based relations between observations and state variables
are not obvious. A brief comparison to the capabilities of 4D-variational
assimilation in low order models includes an analysis of the computational
cost of ensemble filter methods. Finally, a report on initial experiences
from applying an ensemble filter in a Pacific basin version of the Modular
Ocean Model (MOM) is presented.
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