Friday, 26 May 2000: 2:45 PM
By using wavelet transform, the ENSO cycle (2-7 yr.) signal and
decadal variability(8-20 yr.) are filtered out from the data sets in order
to investigate the features of the decadal variability and its affect on
ENSO cycle. There are two decadal SST modes------ horseshoe and
horsesaddle patterns in the tropical Pacific. The former dominated the
decadal change before 1990s, the later mainly did in 1990s. As
the response of the ocean, there are two kinds of decadal wind
patterns. One is prevailing by the zonal anomalous component, the other by
the meridional anomalous component. These patterns can also be thought as
different phases of the decadal oscillation. Evidences of both diagnose of
observation data sets show that affect of the two decadal mode on ENSO
cycle is diffierent. The horse saddle mode has stronger impact on ENSO
cycle than the horseshoe does.
Basis on the analysis, the possible mechanism of the decadal
variability influence on ENSO cycle is figured out. The thermocline along
the equator where is deep in West Pacific and shallow in East Pacific
shifts up or down together when decadal variability is horseshoe
pattern. But the see-saw gets curved oppositely in central and eastern
Pacific where horse saddle pattern. Therefore it has stronger affect on
ENSO cycle. At last, the numerical experiments are designed to identify
the effect by running a hybrid tropical Pacific coupled model with the
decadal changes. The results indicate that ENSO is rather sensitive to
these change in the background conditions, coincided with the conclusions
in diagnostic study.
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