Session 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere

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- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Monday, 22 May 2000

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 22 May 2000


SUN 28 MAY

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 22 May 2000


Conference Registration

Tuesday, 23 May 2000

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 23 May 2000


MON 29 MAY

7:00 AM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 23 May 2000


Conference Registration

5:30 PM-5:45 PM: Tuesday, 23 May 2000


Icebreaker/Reception

Wednesday, 24 May 2000

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


TUE 30 MAY

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Conference Registration Continues through Friday, 2 June

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Joint Session 1
Ocean interaction effects on tropical cyclone intensity I (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Yuqing Wang, Univ. of Hawaii
8:00 AM
J1.1
Hurricane directional wave spectrum spatial variation in the open ocean
C. Wayne Wright, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and E. J. Walsh, D. C. Vandemark, W. B. Krabill, A. W. Garcia, S. H. Houston, M. D. Powell, P. G. Black, and F. D. Marks

8:15 AM
J1.2
Global Analogues of Deep Warm Upper Ocean Layers: Hurricane Heat Potential Estimates
Lynn K. Shay, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and G. J. Goni, P. G. Black, S. D. Jacob, J. J. Cione, and E. Uhlhorn

8:30 AM
J1.3
Role of the Upper Ocean Structure on the Intensification of Hurricane Bret From Satellite Altimetry
Gustavo J. Goni, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, S. D. Jacob, T. M. Cook, J. J. Cione, and E. Uhlhorn

8:45 AM
J1.4
Hurricane intensity change modulated by air-sea interaction effects based on unique airborne measurements during the 1998–99 hurricane seasons
Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. J. Cione, G. J. Goni, L. K. Shay, S. D. Jacob, E. J. Walsh, and E. A. D'Asaro

9:00 AM
J1.5
Operational heat content charts at the Tropical Prediction Center
Michelle Mainelli Huber, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and R. J. Pasch

9:15 AM
J1.6
The GFDL/URI coupled hurricane ocean prediction system and its performance evaluation in the 1999 hurricane season
Isaac Ginis, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and C. Rowley, L. Rothstein, S. A. Frolov, and M. A. Bender

9:30 AM
J1.7
Effects of planetary vorticity gradient and uniform current on Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Johnny C. L. Chan, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China; and Y. Duan

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Coffee Break

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Joint Session 2
Ocean Interaction Effects on Tropical Cyclone Intensity II/JASMINE I (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Pete Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD
10:15 AM
J2.1
A Study of Ocean-atmospheric Interactions over the Gulf of Mexico during Non Cyclonic and Cyclonic Activity
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and R. Guyton and R. L. Miller

10:30 AM
J2.2
How sea spray can affect the intensity of tropical cyclones
Edgar L Andreas, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and K. A. Emanuel

10:45 AM
J2.3
On the Effect of Sea Spray Evaporation on Tropical Cyclone Boundary-layer Structure and Intensity
Yuqing Wang, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. D. Kepert and G. J. Holland

11:00 AM
J2.4
11:15 AM
J2.5
Deep Convection Observed During the May-August 1999 Indian Monsoon
Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. M. Lawrence and P. J. Webster

11:30 AM
J2.6
The northward propagating envelope of convection during JASMINE
David M. Lawrence, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster

12:00 PM-1:45 PM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Poster Session: 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorlogy (Buffet Luncheon with sponsorship from Aerosonde Robotic Aircraft Pty Ltd, Hawthorn, Vic., Australia)

2:00 PM-3:29 PM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Joint Session 3
JASMINE II (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmospehere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Peter Webster, Univ. of Colorado
2:01 PM
J3.2
Cloud Statistics during JASMINE from 35 GHz Cloud Radar
Michelle N. Ryan, Science & Technology Corporation, Boulder, CO; and T. Uttal

2:30 PM
J3.4
JASMINE observations of upper ocean structure and variability in the Bay of Bengal during the southwest monsoon
Peter Hacker, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Lukas, E. Firing, and J. S. Godfrey

2:45 PM
J3.5
Heat and Freshwater Budgets From Two Intensive Upper Ocean Surveys During JASMINE
Roger Lukas, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Feng and P. Hacker

3:00 PM
J3.6
Air-Sea Flux Measurements in the Bay of Bengal during the JASMINE Field Program
C. W. Fairall, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. E. Hare, A. A. Grachev, and E. F. Bradley

3:15 PM
J3.7
Air-sea interaction in the Bay of Bengal during the post-monsoon period
E. Frank Bradley, CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australia; and J. S. Godfrey, T. J. Ansell, and M. G. Wells

3:30 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Coffee Break
3:30 PM
Morning Coffee Break

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 24 May 2000


Joint Session 4
Influence of air-sea interactions on monsoon development, variability and predictability (Joint Session with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Victor Magana, National Autonomous Univ. of Mexico
4:00 PM
J4.1
Relationships between Northern Gulf of California Sea Surface Temperatures and Arizona Summer Rainfall
David L. Mitchell, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Ivanova, R. Rabin, and K. Redmond

4:15 PM
J4.2
4:30 PM
J4.3
Mechanisms of the ENSO-Monsoon Interaction During Mature-Decay Phase of ENSO Cycle
Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Wu and X. Fu

4:45 PM
J4.4
Intraseasonal Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Interaction during Northern Summer
Huang-Hsiung Hsu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Weng

5:00 PM
J4.5
Annual cycle and interannual variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon system
Michio Yanai, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and X. Liu

5:15 PM
J4.6
The role of SST on the Asian summer monsoon circulation
P. L. S. Rao, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India

5:30 PM
J4.7
Intraseasonal and Interannual Variability of the Indian Ocean
Galina Chirokova, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster

5:45 PM
J4.8

Thursday, 25 May 2000

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


WED 31 MAY

8:00 AM-8:15 AM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Joint Session 5
Debate: "Is There Skill in Forecasting El Nino and La Nina Events?" (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
8:00 AM
J5.1
Write-up of Debate
D. Enfield, R. Livezey, J. Knaff,

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Coffee Break

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Joint Session 6
Predictability of the tropical atmosphere-ocean system on seasonal timescales (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii
10:15 AM
J6.1
Air-sea feedbacks in the western Pacific using a coupled single-column model
Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and A. Chen

10:30 AM
J6.2
A unified theory for the El Nino-Southern Oscillation
Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL

10:45 AM
J6.3
A Generalized Canonical Mixed Regression Model for ENSO Prediction with Its Experiment
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, China; and S. Neng and D. Yuguo

11:00 AM
J6.4
How much "skill" was there in forecasting the strong 1997-98 El Nino and 1998-2000 La Nina events?
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. A. Knaff

11:15 AM
J6.5
Multi-model superensemble forecasts for Weather and seasonal climate
T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, Z. Zhang, T. LaRow, D. R. Bachiochi, C. E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran

11:30 AM
J6.6
A Poisson generalised linear model for the extended range forecasting of seasonal typhoon numbers
F. P. Roberts, Univ. College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Lunch Break

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Joint Session 7
Atmospheric and oceanic boundary layers in tropical cyclones I (Joint Session with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Joe Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD
1:15 PM
J7.1
A Smart Balloon Designed to Investigate Hurricane Inflow Energetics
Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes, R. Johnson, and J. A. Businger

1:30 PM
J7.2
Analysis Of a Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer Database Against MM5 Model Simulations
Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and Y. Li and R. Mahecha

1:45 PM
J7.3
Large eddy simulations of the hurricane boundary layer
Shouping Wang, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and E. W. McCaul Jr. and K. R. Knupp

2:00 PM
J7.4
Development of an over-water gust factor model for hurricane conditions
Craig A. Miller, Risk Management Solutions Ltd, London, United Kingdom

2:15 PM
J7.5
Comparison of Gust Factor Data from Hurricanes
Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson

2:30 PM
J7.6
A numerical study of the Gulf Stream response to hurricanes
Sergey A. Frolov, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis

2:45 PM
J7.7
Sea surface salinity reduction in the upper ocean induced by tropical cyclones
Vladimir Pudov, Institute of Experimental Meteorology, Obninsk, Russia; and I. Ginis

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Coffee Break

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Joint Session 8
Atmospheric & Oceanic Boundary Layers on Tropical Cyclones II (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
Organizer: Nick Shay, Univ. of Miami, RSMAS
3:30 PM
J8.1
Tropical cyclone boundary layer wind variability
Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and T. A. Reinhold and R. D. Marshall

3:45 PM
J8.2
High Surface Winds in Tropical Cyclones: Boundary-Layer Models vs. Dropsonde Observations
Lixin Zeng, E.W. Blanch Co., Minneapolis, MN; and R. A. Brown

4:00 PM
J8.3
Inflow Layer Energetics of Hurricane Bonnie near Landfall
Derek R. Wroe, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

4:15 PM
J8.4
Turbulence in the Ocean Boundary Layer Below Hurricane Dennis
Eric A. D'Asaro, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. G. Black

4:30 PM
J8.5
Response of the Coastal Ocean to Hurricanes Floyd and Irene at the South Florida Ocean Measurement Center
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. H. Weisberg and M. E. Luther

4:45 PM
J8.6
Upper Ocean Response to Hurricane Wind Asymmetries
S. Daniel Jacob, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, and S. H. Houston

5:00 PM
J8.7
Coupled Air-Sea Interactions During Hurricane Bonnie
Thomas M. Cook, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, G. J. Goni, M. M. Huber, S. D. Jacob, and J. J. Cione

5:15 PM
J8.8
Atmospheric boundary layer and upper ocean structure observed in Hurricane Erika (1997)
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn and P. G. Black

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Thursday, 25 May 2000


Session 11C
Conference Banquet, Speaker: Peter Davies
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology; and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere )
7:00 PM
11C.1
Biography of Banquet Speaker
Peter Davies, Author, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom

Friday, 26 May 2000

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Friday, 26 May 2000


THUR 1 JUNE

8:30 AM-11:45 AM: Friday, 26 May 2000


Session 1
Air-sea interactions in the warm water pool and other tropical regions
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizers: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona; Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
8:30 AM
1.1
8:45 AM
1.2
Intraseasonal Fluctuations at the onset of the 1997–98 El Nino
John W. Bergman, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and H. H. Hendon and K. M. Weickmann

9:00 AM
1.3
SST Variation due to Interactive Convective-Radiative Processes
W.-K. Tao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. L. Shie, D. Johnson, J. Simpson, X. Li, and C. H. Sui

9:15 AM
1.4
A New Look at an Old Problem: The Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall over Tropical Oceans
David B. Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Guichard, E. Miller, S. Cohn, W. O. J. Brown, and K. Yoneyama

9:30 AM
1.5
Horizontal Structure of the Near-Surface Temperature and Salinity Fields in the Western Equatorial Pacific Warm Pool
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. Lukas and P. Hacker

10:15 AM
1.8
The interannual variability in the tropical Indian Ocean
Bohua Huang, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. L. Kinter III

10:30 AM
1.9
10:45 AM
1.10
Simulation of the tropical Atlantic interannual variability
Lishan Tseng, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. R. Mechoso

11:00 AM
1.11
A Discussion on the Master-Servant Relation of Air-Sea Interaction over NINO3 Region and the Equatorial Eastern Indian Ocean
Jinhai He, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Xu and B. Zhou

11:15 AM
1.5a
Morning Coffee Break

11:45 AM-1:45 PM: Friday, 26 May 2000


Session 2
Influence of freshwater flux and salinity on sea surface temperatures and ocean dynamics
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizer: Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
11:45 AM
2.1
Upper ocean heat and salt variability in the equatorial Pacific
Heidi Zeleznik, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson

12:00 PM
2.2
Influence of Rainfall on the Subtropical North Pacific Mixed Layer
Roger Lukas, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

12:15 PM
2.2a
Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:45 PM: Friday, 26 May 2000


Session 3
Air-sea interaction and Pacific Decadal Variability
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii
2:15 PM
3.2
Propagation of North Pacific interdecadal subsurface temperature anomalies in an ocean GCM
Masami Nonaka, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Tokyo, Japan and Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie

2:30 PM
3.3
Spatiotemporal Structure of decadal scale variability observed in the Global SST and lower-tropospheric circulation fields
Tomohiko Tomita, Frontier Research Program for Global Change, Tokyo, Japan and Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang, T. Yasunari, and H. Nakamura

2:45 PM
3.4
Decadal variability and the anomalous 1990s ENSO events
Qin Zhang, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Ding and L. Yi

3:00 PM
3.5
A "Heat Pump" Picture for the ENSO System
De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, Colorado

3:15 PM
3.6
Is the PDO a Single Mode of Climate Variability or the Result of Several? Implications for the Next Decade
Robert E. Livezey, CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and T. M. Smith

3:30 PM
3.6a
Afternoon Coffee Break

3:45 PM-4:45 PM: Friday, 26 May 2000


Session 4
Air-sea interactions and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizer: Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
3:45 PM
4.1
4:00 PM
4.2
Response of an Atmospheric GCM to Tropical Atlantic SST Dipole
Yuko Okumura, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie, A. Numaguti, and Y. Tanimoto

Saturday, 27 May 2000

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Saturday, 27 May 2000


FRI 2 JUNE

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Saturday, 27 May 2000


Session 5
Turbulent surface fluxes and SSTs
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizer: Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue Univ.
8:30 AM
5.1
SEAFLUX: Ocean Surface Turbulent Flux Project
Judith A. Curry, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

8:45 AM
5.2
Uncertainties in global sea surface turbulent flux algorithms
Michael A. Brunke, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng

9:00 AM
5.3
Effect of Precipitation and Clouds on Ocean Surface Fluxes at Different Spatial Scales
Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Q. Zhang, D. Johnson, and W. K. Tao

9:15 AM
5.4
Measuring heat flux with differential absorption techniques
Walter J. McKeown, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS

9:45 AM
5.6
Evaluation of AVHRR and GOES SST algorithms using skin temperature data
John W. Makevich Jr., Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng, X. Li, and X. Wu

10:00 AM
5.6a
Morning Coffee Break

10:30 AM-11:30 AM: Saturday, 27 May 2000


Session 6
Coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena
Host: 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere
Organizer: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona
10:30 AM
6.1
A coupled atmosphere-ocean model applied to the simulation of Mediterranean lows and hurricanes
P. Lionello, Univ. of Lecce, Lecce, Italy; and P. Malguzzi, E. Caldognetto, and A. Sanna

10:45 AM
6.2
Dynamical and thermal feedback mechanisms between the atmosphere and ocean surface
Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Zhang and Q. Zheng

11:00 AM
6.3
A Numerical Study of Air-Sea Interaction in the Japan/East Sea
Li Wang, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and J. Tenerelli

11:15 AM
6.4
Anomalous cloud lines over the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays
Todd D. Sikora, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and E. O'Marr and R. Gasparavic

11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 27 May 2000


CONFERENCE ENDS

1:00 PM-1:00 PM: Saturday, 27 May 2000