The results presented will examine the influence of several factors upon ITCZ variability. These include:
(1) SST and SST gradient anomalies; (2) Variability in the intensity and frequency of transient disturbances; (3) Variability in the large-scale, cross-equator pressure gradient.
There are some significant differences in the causes of ITCZ variability in the two regions examined. For example, ENSO accounts for much of the SST variability in the Pacific (and in turn, upon the ITCZ through its influence on the boundary layer moisture, temperature and pressure distribution), but no single mode of SST variability dominates in the Atlantic region. There are also causes of interannual variability that two regions share in common. For example, precipitation in both regions is influenced by the transient disturbances known as "easterly waves". Variations in the strength and frequency of these disturbances over the course of a month to a season will contribute to the interannual variability in the amount of precipitation. Also, in both regions there is a strong cross-equatorial boundary layer pressure gradients during the boreal summer season. Variations in the strength of this pressure gradient, owing to the influence of both the northern and southern hemispheres, can influence the strength and location of convection in the ITCZ's through variability in the cross-equator divergent flow in the boundary layer (Tomas and Webster, 1997; Tomas, Holton and Webster, 1999).
Tomas, Holton and Webster, 1999: The influence of cross-equatorial pressure gradients on the location of near-equatorial convection, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, pp. 1107-1127.
Tomas and Webster, 1997: The role of inertial instability in determining the location and strength of near-equatorial convection, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, pp. 1445-1482.