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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 27 April 2008
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Palms Foyer Conference Registration
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Azalea AB Speaker Ready Room and Email Stations (Open Monday thru Friday During Conference Hours)
Monday, 28 April 2008
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday, Palms Foyer Conference Registration Continues through Friday May 2nd
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Palms E Session 1 Opening General Session
Chairs: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Frank D. Marks, Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 1.1 Dr. Yoshio Kurihara's contribution to modeling, the GFDL hurricane model and its place in the current FSU multimodel superensemble   T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 8:45 AM 1.2 Yoshio Kurihara: His contributions to tropical meteorological research and forecasting through numerical modeling   Robert E. Tuleya, SAIC@Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP, Norfolk, VA; and M. A. Bender and I. Ginis 9:00 AM 1.3 Tropical Cyclone Response to Periodic Forcing   Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL 9:15 AM 1.4 Revisiting the physics of tropical cyclone intensification in three dimensions   Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School and NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith and S. V. Nguyen 9:30 AM 1.5 Bob Burpee's influence on hurricane forecasting   Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
	9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Palms ABCD Coffee Break
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Palms GF Session 2A Tropical Cyclone Modeling I: WRF
Chair: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
10:15 AM 2A.1 Advancement of the HWRF for next generation hurricane prediction at NCEP's Environmental Modeling Center   Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, V. Tallapragada, and Y. C. Kwon 10:30 AM 2A.2 Forecast track and intensity sensitivities of tropical cyclones to various parameterizations using the WRF-ARW model   Nick P. Bassill, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan 10:45 AM 2A.3 Distinct Structure and Intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Ophelia (2005) in Coupled WRF-HYCOM Model   Jie Ming, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, MIAMI, FL; and S. S. Chen, W. Zhao, and J. Michalakes 11:00 AM 2A.4 Advanced Numerical Prediction and Modeling of Tropical Cyclones Using WRF-NMM modeling system   S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers, R. Atlas, F. D. Marks, and S. Aberson 11:15 AM 2A.5 Inner core structures and intensity change simulated with the Advanced Hurricane WRF model   Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Wang, J. M. Done, and C. Davis 11:30 AM 2A.6 Preliminary Results Using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Vortex Specification Algorithm for the WRF-ARW Using NHC/TPC Observations and Vertical Structures Derived from Analytical and Observational Models   Henry R. Winterbottom, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson 11:45 AM 2A.7 The role of cloud microphysical processes in the development and intensification of hurricane Dennis (2005): WRF simulations and observations   Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. Schneider, G. McFarquhar, M. S. Gilmore, F. J. LaFontaine, R. E. Hood, and G. M. Heymsfield
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Palms E Session 2B Tropical Climatology and Climate Change
Chair: C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM 2B.1 A new set of mean soundings for the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea   Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 10:30 AM 2B.2 Latent heating profiles over the tropical oceans   Samson M. Hagos, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang 10:45 AM 2B.3 A climatology of ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the tropical Atlantic   Amato Evan, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, N. Mahowald, and C. S. Velden 11:00 AM 2B.4 Characterizing the synoptic timescale ITCZ in the eastern to central Pacific   Gudrun Magnusdottir, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. C. Wang, H. Stern, P. Smyth, and L. Scharenbroich 11:15 AM 2B.5 A Comparison of Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic Basin with Australian East-Coast Cyclones   Aviva J. Braun, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 11:30 AM 2B.6 Troposphere Cloud Ice: Satellite Measurements, ECMWF and GEOS5 Analyses, and GCM Simulations   Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. D. Chern, J. Bacmeister, J. Jiang, D. Genio, R. Rossow, M. Kharitondov, H. Meng, P. Minnis, S. S. Mack, A. M. Tompkins, W. K. Tao, Z. Kuang, D. G. Vane, G. Stephens, and D. L. Wu 11:45 AM 2B.7 Robust projections of vertical wind shear changes for the 21st Century   Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. A. Vecchi
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Palms H Session 2C AMMA I: Waves
Chair: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe Germany
10:15 AM 2C.1 On the genesis of African easterly waves   Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis 10:30 AM 2C.2 Moist Singular Vectors and African Easterly Waves   Brian J. Hoskins, NCAS Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. J. Cornforth 10:45 AM 2C.3 The interaction between convection and African Easterly Waves: a model case study   Juliane Schwendike, Universität Karlsruhe/Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany 11:00 AM 2C.4 MIT radar observations of the evolution of the West African Monsoon during the AMMA IOP   Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach, N. Guy, and E. R. Williams 11:15 AM 2C.5 Coastal Observations and Model Simulations associated with African Easterly Wave Passage during the 2006 AMMA SOP-3 field Campaign   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, P. A. Kucera, J. D. Fuentes, A. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, D. Bouniol, A. Protat, N. Viltard, and S. Chiao 11:30 AM 2C.6 Evolution of AEWs and MCSs off West Africa observed during AMMA SOP-3 in September 2006   Joël Arnault, Laboratoire d'Aérologie (CNRS-UPS), Toulouse, France; and F. Roux
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Palms I Session 2D Air-Sea Interaction I
Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:15 AM 2D.1 Eastern Pacific Ocean heat content estimates from altimetry for operational hurricane intensity forecasts   Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and M. Mainelli 10:30 AM 2D.2 Improving hurricane heat content estimates   S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. deMatthaeis 10:45 AM 2D.3 Typhoon intensity change by ocean heat content in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean   KiRyong Kang, National Institute of Meteorological Research/Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and J. H. Park, K. Y. Chung, and S. Lee 11:00 AM 2D.4 Hurricane-induced differential mixed layer cooling over strong oceanic background flows   Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay 11:15 AM 2D.5 Impact of mesoscale oceanic features on tropical cyclone intensity   Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis 11:30 AM 2D.6 Improving the ocean model response to tropical cyclones   George R. Halliwell, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, J. Brewster, and W. J. Teague 11:45 AM 2D.7 A fresh look at ocean's part of necessary conditions in supertyphoon's intensification   I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. Pun and C. Wu
	12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Palms GF Session 3A Tropical Cyclone Modeling II: Special Observations and Data Assimilation
Chair: Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:15 PM 3A.1 Study on radar data assimilation for improving hurricane intensity and structure forecasts   Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin 1:30 PM 3A.2 Impacts of Airborne Doppler Radar Data Assimilation on Hurricane using WRF-Var   Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao, C. Davis, and J. D. Tuttle 1:45 PM 3A.3 Impact of satellite multi-sensor and in-situ data on high-resolution numerical simulation of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005)   Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li 2:00 PM 3A.4 Impact of Assimilating Scatterometer Vector Winds on High-Resolution Hurricane Model Prediction   Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, R. Foster, S. Majumdar, and W. T. Liu 2:15 PM 3A.5 Sensitivities of hurricane intensity to planetary boundary layer schemes in a full physics three dimensional nonhydrostatic mesoscale model   Treng-Shi Huang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. T. Montgomery and C. -. C. Wu 3A.6 The Capacity and Preliminary Improvement of Cumulus Parameterization on Typhoon Numerical Prediction   Leiming Ma, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Z. M. Tan 3A.7 The dffects of the full Coriolis force on the structure and motion of a tropical cyclone due to horizontal motion   Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Palms E Session 3B Hurricanes and Climate I: Seasonal Overviews and Climatology
Chair: Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
1:15 PM 3B.1 Highlights of the 2007 Atlantic and eastern North Pacific Hurricane Seasons. A year of extremes in the Atlantic basin   Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL 1:30 PM 3B.2 Life-cycle of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)   Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY 1:45 PM 3B.3 Hurricanes Ioke (2006) and Flossie (2007): Examples of recent operations at CPHC   Sam H. Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and W. Browning 2:00 PM 3B.4 Historical Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone inactivity during 2007   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart 2:15 PM 3B.5 Tropical cyclones of the eastern North Pacific Ocean, 1949-2006   Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL 2:30 PM 3B.6 Late season tropical cyclogenesis in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean: 1975-2005   Rachel G. Mauk, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 2:45 PM 3B.7 Climatology of tropical cyclone rainfall in the Southeastern United States   David Knight, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Davis
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Palms H Session 3C AMMA II: Large-Scale Circulations
Chair: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
1:15 PM 3C.1 The AMMA radiosonde programme and its implications for the future of atmospheric monitoring over Africa   Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink, D. J. Parker, S. Janicot, J. B. Ngamini, M. W. Douglas, E. Afiesimama, A. Agusti-Panareda, A. Beljaars, F. Dide, A. Diedhiou, T. Lebel, J. Polcher, J. L. Redelsperger, C. Thorncroft, and G. Wilson 1:30 PM 3C.2 Annual cycle of the moisture transports associated with the Saharan heat low and their role in the coupled West African monsoon system   Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrillé 1:45 PM 3C.3 Assessment of water budgets computed from NWP models and observational datasets during AMMA-EOP   Olivier Bock, Service d'Aeronomie (CNRS/IPSL), Paris, France 2:00 PM 3C.4 Influence of large-scale atmospheric moisture fluxes on the interannual to multidecadal rainfall variability of the West African Monsoon   Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and S. Eikenberg 3C.5 The role of 25-90 day variability of tropical convection in the West African summer monsoon onset in 2006   Serge Janicot, IRD, Paris, France; and F. Mounier, N. M. J. Hall, S. Leroux, B. Sultan, and G. N. Kiladis 2:15 PM 3C.6 Analysis of the West African monsoon using an idealized two-dimensional model   Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger 2:30 PM 3C.7 Rainfall Events during the West African Dry-Season: Forcing from the Extratropics and Predictability   Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Palms I Session 3D Air-Sea Interaction II
Chair: Lynn Shay, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
1:15 PM 3D.2 A report on EASI (Extreme Air-Sea Interaction) buoy's encounter with Noel   William Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and N. Williams 1:30 PM 3D.1 New findings on drag coefficient behavior in tropical cyclones   Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 1:45 PM 3D.3 Exchange coefficients and air-sea interaction in tropical cyclones   Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and G. Brassington and P. Sandery 2:00 PM 3D.4 Assessment of hurricane wind stress estimation using a 4DVAR ocean assimilation system   Sarah E. Zedler, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and I. Hoteit, R. Korty, and B. Cornuelle 2:15 PM 3D.5 Air-Sea Coupling-Induced Asymmetry in Hurricane Boundary Layer and Surface Fluxes   Chiaying Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 2:30 PM 3D.6 Simple nonlinear bounday layer model for tropical cyclones   Ralph C. Foster, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday, Palms ABCD Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Palms GF Session 4A Tropical Cyclone Modeling III: Operational Models
Chair: Jim Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM 4A.1 Tropical cyclone initialisation in the Met Office global model: Is it still necessary and can it be improved?   Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom 3:45 PM 4A.2 Initalizations in Advanced Operational Hurricane WRF (HWRF) Model   Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, V. Tallapragada, and Y. Kwon 4:00 PM 4A.3 Interpretation of tropical cyclone forecast sensitivity and dynamics from a NOGAPS singular vector perspective   Jan-Huey Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and C. -. C. Wu 4:15 PM 4A.4 Improvements to the Navy's version of the GFDL Tropical Cyclone Model (GFDN) and evaluation of its Prediction Skill   Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis and R. M. Yablonsky 4:30 PM 4A.5 Performance of the Advanced Operational HWRF Modeling System during pre-implementation testing and in real-time 2007 hurricane season   Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, R. Tuleya, and W. O'Connor 4:45 PM 4A.6 Improving wind-pressure relationship and intensity forecast skill of the operational HWRF   Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, and V. Tallapragada 5:00 PM 4A.7 Evaluation of tropical cyclone surface wind structure in operational NWP model forecasts   Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Rogers and M. Powell
	3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Palms E Session 4B Hurricanes and Climate II: Data Issues
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
3:30 PM 4B.1 Wind speed time averaging conversions for tropical cyclone conditions   Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Kepert and J. Ginger 3:45 PM 4B.2 A comparison of typhoon best-track data in the western North Pacific: irreconcilable differences   Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam 4:00 PM 4B.3 Developing a unified "SuperSet" in quantifying ambiguities among tropical cyclone best track data for the western North Pacific   Michael R. Lowry, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) / Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien and M. Griffin 4:15 PM 4B.4 Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data sets: Low-Earth orbit infrared and microwave data   Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 4:30 PM 4B.5 The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis   Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart 4:45 PM 4B.6 Rescuing data from a black hole: Consolidation of tropical cyclone data sets into an information repository for improved data access   Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN 5:00 PM 4B.7 A reanalysis of twelve U.S. landfalling major hurricanes   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Dickinson and D. Strahan
	3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Palms H Session 4C Amma III - NAMMA
Chair: Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne Germany
3:30 PM 4C.1 NASA's 2006 tropical cyclogenesis experiment in the east Atlantic   Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 3:45 PM 4C.2 The NASA Real Time Mission Monitor – a situational awareness tool for conducting tropical cyclone field experiments   H. Michael Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. J. Blakeslee, J. M. Hall, P. Parker, and Y. M. He 4:00 PM 4C.3 Dual-Frequency Airborne Precipitation Radar observations in the tropics during 2006 and 2007   Simone Tanelli, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. L. Durden and E. Im 4:15 PM 4C.4 An analysis of the interaction between the SAL and convective systems during the NAMMA 2006 field campaign and possible linkage to tropical cyclogenesis   Aaron Pratt, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins 4:30 PM 4C.5 Impacts of Saharan Dust Acting as CCN on the Evolution of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone   Henian Zhang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar 4:45 PM 4C.6 Multiscale numerical simulation of tropical cyclone Debby (2006) and validation with NAMMA data   Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and J. Zawislak 5:00 PM 4C.7 Barotropic energy conversion as a predictor of development for NAMMA African easterly waves   Robert S. Ross, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
	3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Palms I Session 4D Air-Sea Interaction III
Chair: Peter Black, NRL, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM 4D.1 Impact of Sea Spray on Hurricane Simulations   Shouping Wang Wang, Naval Research Laboratory at Monterey, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin 3:45 PM 4D.2 Analysis of a resonant-like regime in the oceanic mixed layer induced by a hurricane   Guillaume Samson, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and H. Giordani, G. Caniaux, D. Barbary, and F. Roux 4:00 PM 4D.3 Simulating the baroclinic ocean current response to a tropical cyclone   Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay 4:15 PM 4D.4 Coupled wind-wave-current processes in hurricanes   Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, and B. Thomas 4:30 PM 4D.5 Investigating the impacts of wave state and sea spray on typhoon via a coupled atmosphere-wave system: the idealized case   Bin Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and C. Guan and L. Xie 4:45 PM 4D.6 Aircraft Observations of the Turbulence Structure in the Hurricane Boundary Layer   Jun Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan 5:00 PM 4D.7 KORDI program for typhoon-ocean interaction in the shelf seas and Northwestern Pacific   Sok Kuh Kang, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and H. W. Kang, Y. H. Kim, J. K. So, J. H. Lee, H. J. Lie, S. W. Yeh, E. J. Kim, O. H. Seo, and I. Ginis
	6:00 PM-8:00 PM, Monday, Palms ABCD Ice Breaker Reception
	8:00 PM-9:00 PM, Monday, Palms I Session Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3)–Application of the Global Hawk For Hurricane Studies
Tuesday, 29 April 2008
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Palms GF Session 5A Tropical Cyclone Modeling IV: Ensemble Systems
Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter United Kingdom
5A.1 Performance of TC track ensemble prediction system in NMC/Beijing   Suhong Ma, NWPD/NMC/Beijing, Beijing, China 8:00 AM 5A.2 Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part I: Description and general performance   Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. G. McLay, J. S. Goerss, and J. Teixeira 8:15 AM 5A.3 Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part II: Tropical cyclone track forecast performance   James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds 8:30 AM 5A.4 Ensemble Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) from TCLAPS: Intensity and Track Sensitivity and Vortex Structure Evolution   Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, MELBOURNE, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder and N. E. Davidson 8:45 AM 5A.5 Ensemble-based synoptic sensitivity during the tropical cyclone life cycle   Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL 9:00 AM 5A.6 High-resolution ensemble data assimilation applied to Hurricane Katrina (2005)   Ryan Torn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Hakim 9:15 AM 5A.7 Promising EnKF analyses and Forecasts of Hurricane Humberto (2007)   Yonghui Weng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang, Z. Meng, J. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Palms E Session 5B Hurricanes and Climate III: Long-Term Variability
Chair: James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
8:00 AM 5B.1 Erroneous use of the historical data base to link global warming with increased tropical cyclone activity   Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 8:15 AM 5B.2 Understanding of tropical cyclone intensity change in a warming world   Liguang Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 8:30 AM 5B.3 An Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensification Index for the Last 2000 Years: A Significant ~510 Year Climate Cyclic Pulse Reconstructed   Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico 8:45 AM 5B.4 Downscaling hurricane climatologies from global models and re-analyses   Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. Sundararajan and J. Williams 9:00 AM 5B.5 Global Warming, Climate Variability and Atlantic Hurricanes   Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee and D. B. Enfield 9:15 AM 5B.6 Large Contribution of Sea Surface Warming to Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity   Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea 9:30 AM 5B.7 The role of salinity as the primary driver for the Atlantic Ocean's multi-decadal parameter variations   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Palms H Session 5C Field Programs: RAINEX
Chair: Robert Rogers, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
8:00 AM 5C.1 Principal rainbands of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita as observed in RAINEX   Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze, Jr. 8:15 AM 5C.2 Vortical structures accompanying secondary eyewall formation in Hurricane Rita (2005)   Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. F. Smull 8:30 AM 5C.3 The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part I: The model and basic results   David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and Y. Moon 8:45 AM 5C.4 The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part II: Comparisons to RAINEX observations and high resolution simulations   Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan 9:00 AM 5C.5 Effect of environmental moisture on rainbands in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)   Derek Ortt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 9:15 AM 5C.6 Convectively-induced PV and Vortex Rossby Waves in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)   Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 9:30 AM 5C.7 New Challenges in High-Resolution Coupled Air-Sea Modeling of Hurricanes: What we have Learned from RAINEX and CBLAST   Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Palms I Session 5D Air-Sea Interaction IV
Chair: S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
5D.1 Air, sea and land interactions of the South American Monsoon   Vasubandhu Misra, COLA, Calverton, MD 8:00 AM 5D.3 Wave-related changes in tropical surface turbulent heat fluxes   Mark A. Bourassa, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL 8:15 AM 5D.4 Tropical instability waves and ITCZ breakdown   Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. X. Giraldo 8:30 AM 5D.5 Simulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) using a HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM)   Yanyun Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and J. M. Morrison 8:45 AM 5D.6 Diurnal sea surface temperature variability and the transition phase of the MJO   Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 9:00 AM 5D.7 A numerical study on the effects of wave-current interactions on the height and propagation of sea surface waves in Charleston Harbor during Hurricane Hugo 1989   Huiqing Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie
	9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Tuesday, Palms Foyer Coffee Break
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms GF Session 6A Tropical Cyclone Modeling V: Structure and Environment Interactions
Chair: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
10:15 AM 6A.1 The effect of La Réunion island (Indian ocean) on tropical cyclone Dina (2002): a comparative numerical study   Samuel Jolivet, LPA, Saint-Denis, France; and D. Barbary, F. Chane ming, F. Roux, and S. Westrelin 10:30 AM 6A.2 Spatial structure and evolution of low-level winds in modeled hurricanes at landfall   Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL 10:45 AM 6A.3 Effect of Typhoon Songda on Remote Precipitation in Japan and its Adjacent   Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Z. Ding 11:00 AM 6A.4 Large Eddy Simulations of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone   Yongsheng Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno, C. Davis, W. Wang, J. Dudhia, and G. Holland 11:15 AM 6A.5 Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005)   Shuguang Wang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and T. J. Dunkerton and F. Zhang 11:30 AM 6A.6 The combined state-parameter estimation problem and its relevance to tropical cyclone prediction   William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and E. A. Smith 11:45 AM 6A.7 Tropical cyclone formation and structure studies using a moist adjoint model   Kevin K. W. Cheung, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms E Session 6B Hurricanes and Climate IV: Seasonal Forecasting
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
10:15 AM 6B.1 Seasonal prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity   Elinor Whitney Keith, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie 10:30 AM 6B.2 Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane simulations   Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim, D. W. Shin, E. Chassignet, and S. Cocke 10:45 AM 6B.3 New operational forecasts of tropical storm activity using the Met Office dynamical seasonal prediction model   Richard J. Graham, Met Office, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. R. Huddleston 11:00 AM 6B.4 Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August   Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 11:15 AM 6B.5 High-resolution WRF simulations of an Atlantic hurricane season   Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann 11:30 AM 6B.6 Multi-model Statistical-Dynamical Climate Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Landfall   Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms H Session 6C Field Programs: RAINEX, TCSP and IFEX
Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM 6C.1 Axisymmetric concentric eyewall evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005)   Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, R. A. Houze, B. Smull, and M. T. Montgomery 10:30 AM 6C.2 A Convective Burst Event in Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005)   Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bell and R. A. Houze 10:45 AM 6C.3 Boundary layer roll dynamic and thermodynamic structures as determined by dropwindsondes   Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and D. P. Stern 11:00 AM 6C.4 An observational analysis of the genesis tropical storm Gert (2005)   Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun 11:15 AM 6C.5 On the Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) associated with the ITCZ Breakdowns   Chanh Q. Kieu, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang 11:30 AM 6C.6 Conditions Influencing Hurricane Emily's (2005) Precipitation Patterns, Convection and Upper Tropospheric Outflow   Kevin R. Quinlan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. Cecil and J. R. Mecikalski 11:45 AM 6C.7 Ensemble-based data assimilation for cloud-resolving hurricane prediction: experiments with radar and dropsonde observations from RAINEX   Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and Y. Weng, Z. Meng, Y. Chen, S. S. Chen, and P. G. Black
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms I Session 6D Intraseasonal Variability I
Chair: Steven T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
10:15 AM 6D.1 Synoptic feedback to intraseasonal variability through the modulation of the surface heat flux   Chunhua Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li 10:30 AM 6D.2 Equatorial Superrotation in the IPESD Multi-scale MJO Model   Joseph A. Biello, University if California, Davis, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda and M. W. Moncrieff 10:45 AM 6D.3 Topographic effect on the MJO in the maritime continent   H.-H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Wu 11:00 AM 6D.4 Activation process toward MJO convectively active phase in the Indian Ocean observed during MISMO-IOP   Masaki Katsumata, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Fort Collins, CO 11:15 AM 6D.5 Madden-Julian Oscillations simulated with the Reduce Acceleration in the VErtical (RAVE) approach   Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and C. Walker 11:30 AM 6D.6 MJO signals in latent heating   Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos, W. K. Tao, and S. E. Lang 11:45 AM 6D.7 Satellite-Observed Subseasonal Rainfall Variations in Tropical East Atlantic-West Africa   Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD
	12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	12:05 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday, Cedar AMS Committee on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Luncheon
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms GF Session 7A Tropical Cyclone Modeling VI: High Resolution Simulations
Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
1:15 PM 7A.1 Typhoon simulation with the JMA/MRI 20 km mesh high-resolution global spectral model   Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 1:30 PM 7A.2 A method of initializing tropical cyclones for high-resolution numerical models   Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Sashegyi 1:45 PM 7A.3 Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Intensity Forecast of Tropical Cyclones: High Resolution Numerical Simulations and Doppler Radar Data Assimilation   Xuanli Li, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu 2:00 PM 7A.4 High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Larry (2006): Sensitivity to Orography   Hamish A. Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie 2:15 PM 7A.5 Intermediate and high resolution simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical depression   Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton 2:30 PM 7A.6 Polygonal eyewalls in a 2 km WRF simulation of Wilma (2005)   Chris E. Blanton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC 2:45 PM 7A.7 Hurricane super-intensity through mixing   Olivier Pauluis, New York University, New York, NY; and S. T. Garner and A. A. S. Mrowiec
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms E Session 7B Hurricanes and Climate V: Modeling Studies
Chair: Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:15 PM 7B.1 A modeling study of the extreme 2005 Atlantic hurricane season relative to recent years   Kurt Davidson Korte, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. H. Bowden, N. N. Davis, X. Zhang, M. Diaz, L. Xie, and F. H. Semazzi 1:30 PM 7B.2 Model simulated changes in maximum TC intensity due to global warming   Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and A. Aiyyer 1:45 PM 7B.3 Simulated impact of projected 21st century warming on Atlantic hurricane activity   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, G. A. Vecchi, and I. M. Held 2:00 PM 7B.4 Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part I: Simulation design and primary results   David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin 2:15 PM 7B.5 Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part II: Mechanisms and other applications   Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and G. A. Vecchi 2:30 PM 7B.6 The effects of cumulus parameterizations and radiation schemes on tropical cyclone frequency and structure   David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 2:45 PM 7B.7 Hurricane Tracking in the Atlantic and Associated Insurance Losses   Sabine Kleppek, Climate and Environmental Physics, University Bern, Switzerland, Bern, Switzerland; and C. C. Raible, V. Muccione, T. S. Stocker, P. Heck, and D. N. Bresch
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms H Session 7C Tropical Cyclone Observations
Chair: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:15 PM 7C.1 Drifting buoy deployments into Hurricane Dean, 2007   Rick Lumpkin, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and P. P. Niiler and P. Black 1:30 PM 7C.2 The dynamic behaviour of the GPS dropwindsonde in a simulated boundary layer   Amir Mohammad Yadghar, The Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller 1:45 PM 7C.3 Inter-comparison of targeted observation guidances for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific   C.-C. Wu, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. D. Aberson, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, S. G. Chen, and P. H. Lin 2:00 PM 7C.4 Inner-core characteristics of Ophelia (2005) and Noel (2007) as revealed by Aerosonde data   Guy Cascella, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. W. Uhlhorn, and S. J. Majumdar 2:15 PM 7C.5 NOAA and NASA collaborative efforts using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in Tropical Cyclones: Recent successes and a future path forward   Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Turlington 2:30 PM 7C.6 Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS08) Field Experiment in the Western North Pacific during 2008   Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. Ferek, S. W. Chang, P. A. Harr, and D. Eleuterio 2:45 PM 7C.7 An overview of the THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) during August-September 2008   David Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Harr, T. Nakazawa, S. Jones, and M. Weissmann
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms I Session 7D Intraseasonal Variability II
Chair: Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:15 PM 7D.1 Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wavetrain and the Indian Monsoon   Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang 1:30 PM 7D.2 Intraseasonal variability of Asian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal hindcasts   Prince K. Xavier, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and F. J. Doblas-Reyes 1:45 PM 7D.3 Characteristic patterns associated with atmospheric circulation changes over the Northeastern Tropical Pacific in summer   Rosario Romero-Centeno, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. Raga 2:00 PM 7D.4 A numerical case study on the initiation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL 2:15 PM 7D.5 Relevance of the vertical internal mode decomposition approach for the study of the MJO   Daniel Nethery, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and J. I. Yano 2:30 PM 7D.6 Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability and its link with the upper ocean structure   Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and H. Bellenger, B. Pohl, and P. Camberlin 2:45 PM 7D.7 Sensitivity to vertical shear and moist stability in a probabilistic regional dynamical model   Stephen T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Formal Poster Viewing
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1A Poster Session Convection
P1A.1 The Role of three-dimensional radiative Transfer on convective Cloud Formation   Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and B. Mayer   P1A.2 Validation of west and east Pacific rainfall estimates from the TRMM PR using a radiative transfer model   Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, T. Kubota, S. Kida, and K. Okamoto   P1A.3 Evaluation of Troposphere Cloud Ice Simulations in CWB Global Forecast System using A-Train Measurements   Feng-Ju Wang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan; and C. -. T. Fong, J. L. Li, H. -. M. Juang, C. P. Woods, D. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, G. Stephens, D. G. Vane, D. L. Wu, M. D. Cheng, and M. M. Lu   P1A.4 Convective momentum transport in 3D cloud resolving model simulations of TOGA COARE   Susana M. Mendes, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington and University of Evora, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton   P1A.5 Energetics of deep moist convection   Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA   P1A.6 Diurnal cycle of deep convection in the super cluster embedded in the MJO   Tsuneaki Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan   P1A.7 A Multi-Sensor Satellite-Based Approach to Retrieving Convective Momentum Fluxes   Christopher P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski   P1A.8 Convectively Coupled Gravity Waves traveling in an Equatorial Precipitating Region   Juliana Dias, Courant Institute of Mathematical Science, NYU, New York, NY; and O. Pauluis   P1A.9 Predictability aspects of aqua-planet model runs with explicit convection   Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh   P1A.10 Extreme thunderstorms around the global tropics and subtropics   Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and M. Felix   P1A.11 A Bayesian framework for storm tracking using a hidden-state representation   Lucas Scharenbroich, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, H. Stern, and C. C. Wang   P1A.12 Cloud vertical structure over the Bay of Bengal and eastern tropical Pacific   Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL   P1A.13 An intense MCS observed over Niamey, Niger on 11 August 2006   Matthew A. Janiga, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and E. Williams   P1A.14 Using high-resolution numerical simulations to understand the role of East African mountains in the initiation of long-lived episodes of organized convection   A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, C. A. Davis, and R. E. Carbone   P1A.15 On the use of microwave Sounder data for high-temporal rainfall maps based on microwave radiometers   Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Yamamoto, T. Tsukiyama, S. Kida, T. Kubota, and K. Okamoto   P1A.16 The large-scale response of tropical atmosphere to latent heating estimated from the TRMM PR   Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu and Y. Morikawa   P1A.17 Spatial and diurnal variability in the Saharan Boundary Layer during GERBILS (2007)   Christian M. Grams, Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. C. Jones, D. J. Parker, J. Haywood, V. Heuveline, J. H. Marsham, and C. Schwierz   P1A.18 The benefits of increased resolution in simulating precipitation over Sub-Saharan Africa. A comparison of AMIP integrations of GEM at 1° and 2° model resolution   Anne Daloz, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1B Poster Session Monsoons
P1B.1 Wind-evaporation feedback and the transition to axisymmetric, angular momentum conserving Hadley flow   William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA   P1B.2 Multiyears Hindcast Experiments of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0)   Sajjad Saeed, Pakistan Meteorological Department, Islamabad, Pakistan   P1B.2 Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Positive and Negative Indian Ocean Dipole with and without ENSO   Chi-Cherng Hong, Department of Science Education, TMUE, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. M. Lu and M. Kanamitsu P1B.4 PAPER WITHDRAWN     P1B.3 Interannual variability of the North American Monsoon: Large-scale conditions and small-scale effects   Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and M. Jones   P1B.4 Regional Differences in South American Monsoon Onset: Implications for Onset Predictability   Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto-Ferreira, D. Herdies, and S. W. Nesbitt   P1B.5 Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: II. The Asian-Australian monsoon system   Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1C Poster Session Tropical Climatology
P1C.1 Summer Mean Fields Over Tropical Africa, Indian and Atlantic Oceans During El Nino and La Nina Years   Mostafa El -Rafy, CAIRO UNIVERSITY, Giza, Egypt   P1C.2 A Methodology for Identifying Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic   Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and A. J. Braun   P1C.3 Multidecadal variability in the Hadley circulation   Damianos Florin Mantsis, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL   P1C.4 Frequency distribution of daily ITCZ patterns over the Western/Central Pacific   Baode Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and B. Chen, X. Lin, and J. Bacmeister   P1C.5 Five-year climatology of tropical dry air intrusions as viewed by AIRS/Aqua   Sean P. F. Casey, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler and C. Schumacher   P1C.6 The energy budget of a tropical intraseasonal oscillation in a climate model   Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR   P1C.7 Diurnal changes in the atmospheric boundary layer height in tropical coastal regions   Aaron Paget, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and K. Campbell and P. Ruscher   P1C.8 Impacts of mid-latitude SST variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode   Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont   P1C.9 Equatorial Kelvin wave propagation past Sumatra: June 2006 case analysis and forecast sensitivity experiments with COAMPS®   James A. Ridout, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. K. Flatau   P1C.10 Mapping the spatial extent of the Central American mid-summer drought with MODIS and GOES imagery   Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and R. Orozco
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1D Poster Session Air-Sea Interaction
P1D.1 Coastal ocean surface current response to hurricane Jeanne detected by WERA   Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Martinez-Pedraja, M. D. Powell, B. K. Haus, and J. K. Brewster   P1D.2 The effects of Hurricane Dean on seafloor pressure, atmospheric pressure and coastal water levels   Natalia A. Donoho, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. E. Zervas and R. Bouchard   P1D.3 Multi-sensor satellite and HYCOM analysis of the upper ocean response to Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico   Michelle M. Gierach, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and B. Subrahmanyam   P1D.4 Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds   Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and K. A. Emanuel   P1D.5 Some Aspects of Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions and Associated with Land-falling Hurricane Katrina Over the Gulf of Mexico   R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and C. Luckett and D. Liu   P1D.6 Impacts of the Ocean Surface Velocity on Wind Stress Coefficient and Wind Stress over Global Ocean during 1958-2001   Zengan Deng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, T. Yu, and K. Wu   P1D.7 Interpreting dropsonde measurements of turbulence in the tropical cyclone boundary layer   Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1E Poster Session Field Programs
P1E.1 The NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis Mission: balloon-borne radiosonde results from Cape Verde   F. J. Schmidlin, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and B. Morrison, T. Baldwin, and E. T. N. Northam   P1E.2 Preliminary analysis of Mesoscale Convective Systems transitioning off the West African Coast during NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA)   Bradley W. Klotz, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. A. Kucera   P1E.3 Ice microphysics observations in tropical cyclones from CAMEX-4 and NAMMA: Implications for hurricane models   Amanda L. Wisdom, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar   P1E.4 Aircraft measurements of temperature anomalies associated with tropical waves during NAMMA   Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia   P1E.5 Characteristics of Intense Deep Tropical Convection During TCSP and other NASA Field Campaigns   Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Tian and L. Li   P1E.6 Vorticity and entropy budgets of tropical cyclones during IFEX 2005   Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond   P1E.7 Storm Structure and Rainfall Evolution in Hurricane Dennis (2005)   Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and X. Zheng and R. Rogers
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1F Poster Session Numerical Modeling
P1F.1 Development of a new convective parameterization   Ian Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada   P1F.2 Sensitivity of numerically simulated tropical cyclone structure and intensity to changes in horizontal resolution   Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann   P1F.3 Application of ATOVS Radiance with ARW WRF/GSI Data Assimilation System in the Prediction of Hurricane Katrina   Jianjun Xu, JCSDA/UCAR/AFWA, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Rugg   P1F.4 Upgrading the simulation of tropical convective systems   Stephen E. Lang, SSAI/NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. -. K. Tao, W. S. Olson, X. Zeng, T. Matsui, and S. A. Braun   P1F.5 Typhoon-trough interaction from the perspective of the adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector (ADSSV)   Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, K. H. Chou, and P. H. Lin   P1F.6 Development of the typhoon initialization — combination of the bogused vortex and the dropwindsonde data in DOTSTAR   Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu P1F.7 Medium-Range tropical cyclone track prediction as a data assimilation problem   Mike Fiorino, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL   P1F.8 The relationship between flight level and 10-m winds in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes   Jackie Rauch, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball   P1F.9 An EdGCM modeling study of the effects of atmospheric trace gas concentration change on Atlantic tropical cyclone development parameters   George L. Limpert, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. L. Perrin and A. R. Lupo   P1F.10 A simple multicloud parametrization for convectively coupled waves with an active boundary layer   Michael L. Waite, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider   P1F.11 Numerical study on the vertical tilt of a typhoon vortex   Mitsuru Ueno, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan   P1F.12 Analysis and Simulation of a Dry Hurricane   Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis   P1F.13 Errors induced by cloud amount in cumulus parameterization   Akihiko Murata, Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   P1F.14 Improved TC forecasting through Initalization of MM5 with GFDL/GFS Merger   Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL   P1F.15 Evaluating the intensification of tropical cyclones with the GFS model   Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, DF, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and G. B. Raga   P1F.17 Initial and Boundary Condition Impacts on Hurricane Katrina Track and Intensity Forecasts   Hao Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, T. Campbell, and S. Gabersek   P1F.18 The sensitivity of a Katrina simulation to the distribution of vertical sigma levels   F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. E. Aplin and S. K. Kimball