| Sunday, 17 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Annual Meeting Registration Begins |
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| 12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday
Weatherfest |
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| 3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, B314
First-Time Attendee Briefing |
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| 5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Sunday, B314
Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards |
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| 6:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Exhibit Hall B2
Fellows Reception |
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| Monday, 18 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Registration Open |
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| 9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2
Presidential Forum |
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| 10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, B314
Panel Discussion 1 Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation |
Panelists: Jack Hayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Jaime Figueroa, FAA, Washington, DC
Moderator: Steve Abelman, NOAA/NWS Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, B314
Session 1 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 1 |
Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
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| 1:30 PM | 1.1 | Evaluation of enroute convective weather avoidance models based on planned and observed flight
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura |
| 1:45 PM | 1.2 | Methods for estimating air traffic capacity reductions due to convective weather for verification
Geary J. Layne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Lack |
| 2:00 PM | 1.3 | Traffic Management Advisor (TMA) – weather integration
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. J. Davison-Reynolds and J. E. Evans |
| 2:15 PM | 1.4 | An Integrated Strategic-Tactical Approach to Managing Traffic Flows to the Northeast During Severe Convective Weather
James Evans, MIT, Lexington, MA; and M. Robinson, J. Cho, and M. Evans |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session 1 Convection, Decision Support Systems and ATM Posters |
| | P1.1 | Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of cumulonimbus clouds from World Area Forecast Centres
Andrew K. Mirza, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, P. Gill, and L. Reid |
| | P1.2 | Convection diagnosis and nowcasting system for transoceanic aircraft
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, M. Donovan, E. R. Williams, R. Bankert, and J. Hawkins |
| | P1.3 | Optical Turbulence Simulations from a Numerical Weather Prediction Model in Support of Air to Air Laser Communications
Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann TASC, Chantilly, VA; and B. Felton |
| | P1.4 | Severe high altitude aircraft turbulence on thunderstorm peripheries
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS; and J. A. Knox and P. D. Williams |
| | P1.5 | How to represent the weather impact on aviation in a global air traffic model
Stephan Himmelsbach, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and T. Hauf and C. H. Rokitansky |
| | P1.6 | Convective Initiation in the northern Mid-Atlantic during the Summer Season
Paul J. Croft, Kean Univ., Union, NJ; and A. Wuestenberg, D. Fadeski, and J. Schulte |
| | P1.7 | Diameters of cumulonimbi over land and ocean and their dependence on cloud base height
Earle R. Williams, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. F. Donovan, Z. J. Luo, C. Kessinger, H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, J. Hawkins, R. Bankert, and D. Bou Karam |
| | P1.8 | Operational Scoring of Forecasts of Convective Weather Impacts in the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)
John Hayward, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews |
| | P1.9 | Translating an Ensemble Weather Forecast into Operational Disruption for the National Airspace System
John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Duquette, D. Bright, J. Racy, G. Grosshans, and B. Sherman |
| | P1.10 | The “Barn Door” Effect
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA |
| | P1.11 | Multi-sensor visualization and assessment of the state of the atmosphere during the June 1 2009 AF447 crash
Gregory Leptoukh, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga, H. H. Aumann, Z. Liu, and A. Savtchenko |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Poster Session 2 Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Posters |
| | P2.1 | Weather Research Coordination and Challenges of NextGen
Darien L. Davis, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and W. Fellner and J. J. Murray |
| | P2.2 | The new Aviation Meteorology specialization in the Graduate Aeronautics program at Embry-Riddle
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and E. A. Roberts |
| | P2.3 | Aviation Weather Tools Available on the Houston Center Weather Service Unit Web Site
Eric Avila, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX |
| | P2.4 | Adventures in technology transfer
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wallace |
| | P2.5 | Impacts of haze on high-capacity airport operations
Randall A. Skov, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA |
| | P2.6 | A Look at Airport Delays Due to Ceiling and Visibility Conditions
Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, B. Lambi, and R. E. Bateman |
| | P2.7 | Comparison of Precipitation Rate Intensities as Determined by Visibility Versus Liquid Water Equivalent Measurements
Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rasmussen and S. Landolt |
| | P2.8 | A Combined Sensor Method for Detecting Frost Formation
Grant E. Gutierrez, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, R. Rasmussen, J. Black, and A. Gaydos |
| | P2.9 | A Comparison of an Automated Freezing Drizzle Algorithm to Human Observations
Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Politovich, R. Rasmussen, and A. Gaydos |
| | P2.10 | FRAM-S Freezing Fog Project: Emphasis On Visibility Forecasting
Ismail Gultepe, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. M. Rasmussen, B. Zhou, R. K. Ungar, and R. Nitu |
| | P2.11 | Can CoSPA improve the predictability of C&V events?
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, and J. Black |
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| 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B312
Joint Session 2 The emergence of new scientific partnerships (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, and the First Environment and Health Symposium) |
Chair: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ
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| 4:00 PM | J2.1 | Climate Adaptation Partnerships in Semiarid North America
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ |
| 4:15 PM | J2.2 | The FEMA Hurricane Liaison Team: Bridging the Communication Gap (because Great Minds Don't Always Think Alike)
Matthew Green, FEMA, TBA, GA |
| 4:30 PM | J2.3 | Partnership between the Državni hidrometeorološki zavod (DHMZ) and the University of Oklahoma (OU)
Ivan Cacic, Državni hidrometeorološki zavod, Zagreb, Croatia; and B. Ivančan-Picek, B. Lipovšćak, K. Pandzic, B. Terek, V. Tutiš, G. Zuccon, K. Crawford, R. A. McPherson, K. L. Nemunaitis, and J. T. Snow |
| 4:45 PM | J2.4 | The Norman, Oklahoma Chamber of Commerce Weather Committee: A Framework for New Partnerships Among Industry, Government and Academia
Kelvin K. Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. L. Qualley, V. Rose, and A. M. Suggs |
| 5:00 PM | J2.5 | The Weather And Society *Integrated Studies (WAS*IS) Program: yesterday, today, and tomorrow
G. Thomas Behler Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gruntfest, J. Demuth, J. K. Lazo, and E. Laidlaw |
| 5:15 PM | J2.6 | User engagement activities at NOAA's national climatic data center
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
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| 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, B314
Session 2 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 2 |
Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
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| 4:00 PM | 2.1 | Improved thunderstorm weather information for pilots through ground and satellite based observing systems
Arnold Tafferner, DLR - Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Wessling, Germany; and C. Forster, T. Hauf, and R. W. Lunnon |
| 4:15 PM | 2.2 | Convective initiation nowcasting using SEVIRI infrared and visible data
John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. M. MacKenzie and M. Koenig |
| 4:30 PM | 2.3 | The High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Recent enhancements and evaluation during the 2009 convective season
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, C. R. Alexander, S. G. Benjamin, K. J. Brundage, B. D. Jamison, and S. R. Sahm |
| 4:45 PM | 2.4 | Creation of real-time probabilistic thunderstorm guidance products from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES-Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, and S. G. Benjamin |
| 5:00 PM | 2.5 | Aviation Impact Forecasting based on time-lagged HRRR Ensembles
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. Megenhardt, R. DeLaura, M. Robinson, S. S. Weygandt, and C. Alexander |
| 5:15 PM | 2.6 | Evaluating supplemental relationships between convective forecast products for aviation
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, M. P. Kay, S. Madine, and J. Mahoney |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception |
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| Tuesday, 19 January 2010 |
| 8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, 313b
Joint Session 3 Data Collection, Interpretation, Assimilation, and Stewardship (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, and the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology) |
Chair: Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO
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| 8:30 AM | J3.1 | The Impacts on Air Traffic of Volcanic Ash from the 2009 Mt. Redoubt Eruption
Alexander Matus, NASA, Hampton, VA; and L. A. Hudnall, J. J. Murray, and A. Krueger |
| 8:45 AM | J3.2 | UrbanNet: Urban Environment Monitoring and Modeling with a Wireless Sensor Network
Paul J. Croft, Kean Univ., Union, NJ; and P. Morreale, F. Qi, A. Tropek, and M. Andujar |
| 9:00 AM | J3.3 | Network of Weather and Climate Observing Networks (NOWCON)
Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Stailey and S. J. Taijeron |
| 9:15 AM | J3.4 | Comparison of COOP and new HCN-M temperature products
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL |
| 9:30 AM | J3.5 | The Impact of Temporally Varying Snowfall Rates on Holdover Time using the LWE and Check Time Systems
Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, J. Black, and A. Gaydos |
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| 8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Tuesday, B314
Session 3 Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 3 |
Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA
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| 8:30 AM | 3.1 | A Comparison of Air Traffic Management Decision Aids and Meteorological Tools
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA |
| 8:45 AM | 3.2 | Severe weather avoidance program performance metrics for New York departure operations
Ngaire Underhill, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Robinson |
| 9:00 AM | 3.3 | Use of Aircraft-Based Data to Evaluate Factors in Pilot Decision Making in Enroute Airspace
Bradley Crowe, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews |
| 9:15 AM | 3.4 | Diagnosis of phase errors in high-resolution NWP model forecasts of precipitation and application to improved aviation weather forecasts
Cody L. Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Pinto, D. Albo, and M. Steiner |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Joint Poster Session 1 Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space Posters (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather and the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology) |
| | JP1.1 | Validation of the operational D-Region Absorption Prediction (D-RAP) model at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Rashid A. Akmaev, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO; and A. Newman, M. V. Codrescu, J. Vickroy, C. Schultz, E. Nerney, S. Hill, and H. Sauer |
| | JP1.2 | Developments in Aviation Space Weather Services
Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and C. Dyer, A. Hands, R. Iles, K. Ryden, M. Smith, M. Stills, and G. Taylor |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session 3 In-flight Icing Posters |
| | P3.1 | An investigation of wintertime midlevel mixed-phase clouds with supercooled water droplets using in-situ measurements
Yoo-Jeong Noh, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. H. Vonder Haar |
| | P3.2 | The effect of advanced satellite products on an icing nowcasting system
Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Black, F. McDonough, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith |
| | P3.3 | Analysis of causes of icing conditions which contributed to the crash of Contentental flight 3407
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and D. Schaum |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Poster Session 4 Nowcasting and Modeling Posters |
| | P4.1 | Analog ensemble scheme for objective, short-term cloud forecasting
Timothy J. Hall, The Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and R. N. Thessin, G. J. Bloy, and C. N. Mutchler |
| | P4.2 | Improving cloud nowcasting via incorporation of cloud type
John Forsythe, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. M. Guillot and T. H. Vonder Haar |
| | P4.3 | Meteorological Support for Unmanned Aerial Systems at Dugway Proving Ground
Susan Krippner, Dugway Proving Ground West Desert Test Center, Dugway, UT; and E. N. Vernon and J. Pace |
| | P4.4 | Snowbands generated by the release of inertial, symmetric, and conditional instabilities
David M. Schultz, Univ. of Helsinki/FMI, Helsinki, Finland; and R. S. Schumacher and J. Knox |
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| 11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhibits Open |
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| 11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 4 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 1 |
Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
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| 11:00 AM | 4.1 | Status report on the Rapid Refresh
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, D. Dévényi, K. J. Brundage, J. B. Olson, W. R. Moninger, C. R. Alexander, G. A. Grell, B. D. Jamison, S. E. Peckham, and T. L. Smith |
| 11:15 AM | 4.2 | An objective verification of the North American Mesoscale Model for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station
William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL |
| 11:30 AM | 4.3 | Feasibility study on using high resolution numerical models to forecast severe aircraft turbulence associated with thunderstorms
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS |
| 11:45 AM | 4.4 | Estimating regional cloud base altitudes from local CloudSat observations via type-dependent statistical extrapolation
Steven D. Miller, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe, R. Bankert, P. T. Partain, and T. H. Vonder Haar |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall) |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B315
Joint Session 1 Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather) |
Cochairs: Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA, Washington, DC; Joseph Kunches, NOAA/SWPC, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | J1.1 | Federal Aviation Administration Examination of Space Weather in support of Aviation
Steven Albersheim, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and M. J. Gunzelman |
| 1:45 PM | J1.2 | NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center – Products and Services in Support of Aviation
William J. Murtagh, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO |
| 2:00 PM | J1.3 | Integrating Space Weather Observations & Forecasts into Aviation Operations: “Aviation Space Weather User Requirements”
Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and D. Boteler, G. Fisher, J. Kunches, W. J. Murtagh, D. Rome, D. Rose, and M. Stills |
| 2:15 PM | J1.4 | The use of Space Weather products at Delta Airlines
Andrew W. Schultz, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN |
| 2:30 PM | J1.5 | Protecting spaceflight participants and crew during "non-regulated" on-orbit operations
Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA, Washington, DC |
| 2:45 PM | J1.6 | Radiation exposure during suborbital commercial spaceflight
Ronald E. Turner, Analytic Services Inc. (ANSER), Arlington, VA; and S. Murray |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 5 Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 2 |
Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
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| 1:30 PM | 5.1 | Comparisons of Nowcasting Techniques for Oceanic Convection
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and C. Kessinger, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner |
| 1:45 PM | 5.2 | Satellite Data Applications for Nowcasting of Convective Initiation
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. M. Bedka, C. Ivaldi, J. Sieglaff, W. Feltz, M. M. Wolfson, and W. M. MacKenzie |
| 2:00 PM | 5.3 | Development of an advanced aviation nowcasting system in support of air traffic management by blending radar nowcasting data with NWP forecasts
Peter P.W. Li, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and W. K. Wong |
| 2:15 PM | 5.4 | The ganged phased array radar risk mitigation system: integrating weather effects
Mark Askelson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and J. Tilley, C. Theisen, and R. Johnson |
| 2:30 PM | 5.5 | Regime-based persistence probability of ceiling and visibility
Alister Ling, Canadian Meteorological Aviation Centre West, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; and B. Hansen and I. Gultepe |
| 2:45 PM | 5.6 | A comparison of tropical storm (TS) and non-TS gust factors for assessing peak wind probabilities at the Eastern Range
Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and W. Crawford |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall |
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, B314
Session 6 In-flight Icing |
Cochairs: Tim Wilfong, Wilfong and Associates, Boulder, CO; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 3:30 PM | 6.1 | A regional analysis of clouds containing supercooled liquid water
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff and M. K. Politovich |
| 3:45 PM | 6.2 | A comparison of WRF-RR and RUC forecasts of aircraft icing conditions
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough |
| 4:00 PM | 6.3 | Impacts of high thin cloud on the Current Icing Product (CIP)
Jeremy E. Solbrig, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. A. Wolff, and S. D. Miller |
| 4:15 PM | 6.4 | A new narrowbeam, multi-frequency scanning radiometer and its applications to in-flight icing detection
David Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Beaty, A. Reehorst, P. C. Kennedy, F. Solheim, R. Ware, M. K. Politovich, D. A. Brunkow, and B. Bowie |
| 4:30 PM | 6.5 | Diagnosing icing severity and supercooled large drop regions within an operational aircraft icing nowcast system using advanced satellite products
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, J. Black, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith |
| 4:45 PM | 6.6 | Global icing forecast verification using CloudSat data
Sean Madine, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and C. Lu, M. P. Kay, and J. L. Mahoney |
| 5:00 PM | 6.7 | Further ruminations on predicting icing severity
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 5:15 PM | 6.8 | Weather Conditions Associated with Jet Engine Power-loss and Damage Due to Ingestion of Ice Particles: What We've Learned Through 2009
Matthew L. Grzych,, Boeing, Colorado Springs, CO |
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| Wednesday, 20 January 2010 |
| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B314
Joint Session 4 Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 1 (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum) |
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:30 AM | J4.1 | NextGen Weather Requirements: An Update
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Kays, C. Miner, S. Abelman, R. C. Showalter, F. Bayne, J. Tauss, E. R. Dash, J. A. May, and L. Leonard |
| 8:45 AM | J4.2 | The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Roadmap to 2022
Mark B. Miller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and T. E. Ryan and D. A. Miller |
| 9:00 AM | J4.3 | The 4-D Weather Single Authoritative Source for air traffic management
Edward R. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Siver Spring, MD; and R. Heuwinkel, S. Abelman, and C. Miner |
| 9:15 AM | J4.4 | The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Data Services, standards and IT architecture
Timothy Hopkins, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. C. Deininger and C. MacDermaid |
| 9:30 AM | J4.5 | Satellite data and products in the NextGen 4-D data cube
David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Richards, W. Feltz, and T. J. Schmit |
| 9:45 AM | J4.6 | User-specific evaluation technologies for the NextGen weather Single Authoritative Source
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine |
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| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 5 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part I (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology) |
Chair: Ed Olenic, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 8:30 AM | J5.1 | On the seamless prediction of weather and climate
Timothy N. Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom |
| 8:45 AM | J5.2 | Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season
Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and S. Benjamin |
| 9:00 AM | J5.3 | Why does cloud superparameterization improve the simulated daily rainfall cycle in a multiscale climate modeling framework?
Michael S. Pritchard, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville |
| 9:15 AM | J5.4 | North Pacific decadal variability and climate change in the IPCC AR4 models
Jason C. Furtado, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo |
| 9:30 AM | J5.5 | Aquaplanet GCM simulations of tropical intraseasonal variability
Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Hannah |
| 9:45 AM | J5.6 | Factors affecting forecast skill of the MJO over the Maritime Continent
Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC - SAIC, Camp Springs, MD |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B215
Joint Session 6 Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part II (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 24th Conference on Hydrology) |
Chair: Ed Olenic, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 10:30 AM | J6.1 | Quantifying Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification in a Coupled General Circulation Model
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Lu |
| 10:45 AM | J6.2 | The development of a coupled hurricane storm surge forecasting Model for the Pascagoula River
David A. Ramirez Jr., NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA |
| 11:00 AM | J6.3 | Evaluation of the new Australian climate model ACCESS
Ian G. Watterson, CAWCR, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and L. Rikus, B. Hu, and T. Elliott |
| 11:15 AM | J6.4 | Mesoscale circulations in the urban-coastal environment: a modeling analysis and assessment of sensitivity to high-fidelity representation of the urban canopy
Michael Carter, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and J. M. Shepherd, S. Burian, and I. Jeyachandran |
| 11:30 AM | J6.5 | Ensemble downscaling of seasonal forecasts
R. W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA |
| 11:45 AM | J6.6 | The misrepresentation of Tropical SSTs in climate models
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, B314
Joint Session 12 Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 2 (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum) |
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 10:30 AM | J12.1 | Gridding Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasting
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn |
| 10:45 AM | J12.2 | Upcoming improvements in NOAA modeling toward meeting NextGen aviation requirements
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego |
| 11:00 AM | J12.3 | Introduction to the NCEP Very Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (VSREF)
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du and G. DiMego |
| 11:15 AM | J12.4 | Translating weather into traffic flow management impacts for NextGen
Tenny A. Lindholm, STAR Institute, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, J. A. Krozel, V. Klimenko, S. Krishna, N. Downs, and J. S. B. Mitchell |
| 11:30 AM | J12.5 | An Example of NextGen Weather Information Integration and Management
Russ Sinclair, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL; and T. Hicks, C. Felix, and K. Bourke |
| 11:45 AM | J12.6 | Aviation Weather Avoidance Service for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories
Tom Hicks, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL |
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| 11:00 AM-6:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall) |
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| 1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, B314
Session 7 Range and Aerospace Meteorology |
Cochairs: Edward H. Teets, Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC; Timothy Oram, NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX
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| 1:30 PM | 7.1 | Aerospace Meteorology: Some Lessons Learned
William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. L. Johnson |
| 1:45 PM | 7.2 | Predicting lightning potential on different time scales at the White Sands Missile Range
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and W. Deierling, E. Nelson, N. Oien, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner |
| 2:00 PM | 7.3 | Recent improvements in lightning reporting at 45th Weather Squadron
F. Clay Flinn, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, D. F. Pinter, S. M. Holmquist, M. D. Buchanan, T. M. McNamara, M. McAleenan, K. A. Winters, P. S. Gemmer, M. E. Fitzpatrick, and R. D. Gonzalez |
| 2:15 PM | 7.4 | Estimates of Cn2 from numerical weather prediction model output
Rod Frehlich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, F. Vandenberghe, W. Yu, Y. Liu, J. Knievel, and G. Y. Jumper |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Joint Poster Session 2 Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Posters (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology and the Presidential Forum) |
| | JP2.1 | Real-Time Verification of NWS Aviation Services Products Supporting the NextGen Initial Operating Capabilities
Jamie L. Vavra, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Mahoney |
| | JP2.2 | Four dimensional weather visualization
Adam R. Edson, ITT Visual Information Solutions, Springfield, VA |
| | JP2.3 | AFWA and Industry: A Case Study in NextGen Evolution
Ronald P. Lowther, PhD, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Bellevue, NE; and D. C. Plum, M. M. Brill, and K. M. Starr |
| | JP2.4 | Transformation of the NAS to NextGen and the FAA Weather Architecture Impacts: An Update
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, and L. Leonard |
| | JP2.5 | Evaluating compoents of the forecast process for populating and maintaining the NextGen Weather Information Database
William Roberts, OAR, Boulder, CO; and L. K. Cheatwood and T. J. LeFebvre |
| | JP2.6 | MADIS web services in support of NextGen
Joanne Edwards, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. F. Barth, L. A. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, and D. Helms |
| | JP2.7 | The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): Evaluating weather forecast quality in NextGen
Sean Madine, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and N. D. Matheson, M. A. Petty, D. S. Schaffer, T. Pease, and J. L. Mahoney |
| | JP2.8 | Aviation Weather Route Optimization for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories
David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Jameson and T. Hicks |
| | JP2.9 | A Weather and Aviation Data Server for NextGen Applications
Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and M. Masscotte, S. Lewandowski, F. R. Mosher, J. P. Chamberlain, D. Finkelsztein, and P. Beaudoin |
| | JP2.10 | WRF Model Simulations of Convective Weather for the Evaluation and Testing of
Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and F. Mosher, M. Masscotte, and N. Gusack |
| | JP2.11 | Progress on Next Generation Air Transportation System 4-D Weather Cube
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Abelman, J. G. Stobie, S. Larsen, and B. Williams |
| | JP2.12 | NextGen Weather Demonstration Coordination
Steve Abelman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Strande |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Poster Session 5 Range and Aerospace Meteorology Posters |
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| 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, B212
Joint Session 7 Communication Among Stakeholders That Addresses Issues of Policy, Operations, and New Opportunities (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the First Environment and Health Symposium, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 24th Conference on Hydrology, the Presidential Forum, the Third Annual CCM Forum, and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research) |
| 4:00 PM | J7.1 | Great expectations: Improving climate data services
Trisha U. Ralph, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Lau and T. H. Sopoco |
| 4:15 PM | J7.2 | Customer satisfaction at NOAA's NESDIS data centers
Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 4:30 PM | J7.3 | Applied climatology guidance for development of Army materiel for world wide use
Charles C. Ryerson, Cold Regions Research & Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and L. Spears, G. Stullenbarger, and L. Page |
| 4:45 PM | J7.4 | NOAA Climate Users Engagement Using Training and Education Activities
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Verdin, J. Jones, and R. S. Pulwarty |
| 5:00 PM | J7.5 | Developing indicators to support climate change policy and programs
Jason Samenow, EPA, Washington, DC |
| 5:15 PM | J7.6 | Beyond the boundary: it takes a village to provide climate services
Daniel Ferguson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Owen |
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| 4:00 PM-5:45 PM, Wednesday, B204
Joint Session 11 Probabilistic Forecasting for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) (Joint between the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the Presidential Forum) |
Cochairs: John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 4:00 PM | J11.1 | A proposed framework for estimating and reducing hourly-updated forecast uncertainty products for aviation applications in NextGen
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego |
| 4:15 PM | J11.2 | Advances in the Collaborative Storm Prediction for Aviation (CoSPA)
J. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, M. Steiner, D. Albo, S. Dettling, W. Dupree, D. Morse, H. Iskenderian, T. Xiaofeng, M. Wolfson, C. Reiche, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and C. Alexander |
| 4:30 PM | J11.3 | Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility at CONUS terminals: Development progress
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, J. Cowie, G. Wiener, R. Bateman, and J. Black |
| 4:45 PM | J11.4 | Using a genetic algorithm to estimate source term parameters of volcanic ash clouds
Kerrie J. Long, Penn State University, State College, PA; and D. Truesdell and S. E. Haupt |
| 5:00 PM | J11.5 | Techniques for providing probabilistic forecasts of turbulence for NextGen
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams |
| 5:15 PM | J11.6 | Regionalized probabilistic turbulence forecasting using machine learning with in-situ data
Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams |
| 5:30 PM | J11.7 | A probabilistic global turbulence nowcast and forecast system
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Kessinger, R. D. Sharman, W. F. Feltz, and A. Wimmers |
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| 5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall B1
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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| Thursday, 21 January 2010 |
| 7:30 AM-8:30 AM, Thursday, B208
Washington Symposium Breakfast |
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| 8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, B314
Session 9 Radar |
Cochairs: James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Actionet Inc., Atlantic City, NJ
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| 8:30 AM | 9.1 | Characteristics of microbursts in central Arizona
Elizabeth J. Thompson, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and K. M. Willingham and K. Howard |
| 8:45 AM | 9.2 | Developing, implementing, and evaluating a concept of operations - lessons learned from the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and N. Underhill |
| 9:00 AM | 9.3 | An evaluation of various methods for tracing the propagation of electromagnetic energy through the atmosphere
Randall Johnson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson, J. Tilley, and C. Theisen |
| 9:15 AM | 9.4 | A multi-radar data fusion method for small scale features
Chris Theisen, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson and J. J. Mewes |
| 9:30 AM | 9.5 | Forecast improvement from radar data assimilation within the Rapid Update Cycle, Rapid Refresh, and High Resolution Rapid Refresh forecasts initialized with RUC/RR grids
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, S. E. Peckham, J. M. Brown, K. J. Brundage, G. S. Manikin, and Y. Yang |
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| 9:45 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Poster Session 6 Turbulence and Wind Shear Posters |
CoChair: Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
Chair: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
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| | P6.1 | Converting turbulence eddy dissipation rate (EDR) into aircraft response metric, RMS-g
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris |
| | P6.2 | Alerting of terrain-induced windshear using wind data measured over the mountains
Gerrit Kuhlmann, Institut fuer Meteorologie und Klimatologie, Hannover, Germany, Germany; and T. Hauf and P. W. Chan |
| | P6.3 | Evaluations of upper-level turbulence diagnostics by graphical turbulence guidance (GTG) in the East Asia
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and W. Jang |
| | P6.4 | Sydney Airport Wind Shear Encounter - 15 April 2007
Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and B. Hanstrum and P. Dunda |
| | P6.5 | Use of EDR observations for verification of atmospheric turbulence forecasts
Brian Pettegrew, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. Loughe, J. E. Hart, J. K. Henderson, and J. L. Mahoney |
| | P6.6 | Improvements to an operational clear-air turbulence diagnostic index
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA-Retired, Granby, CT; and J. Knox |
| | P6.7 | Wave-induced turbulence: Insights from T-REX
Vanda Grubisic, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; and J. R. French, S. J. Haimov, and M. Xiao |
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| 11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, B305
Joint Session 10 Verification of Probabilistic Forecasts (Joint between the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science) |
Cochairs: Bjarne Hansen, EC, Dorval, QC Canada; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 11:00 AM | J10.1 | The three dimensions of prediction and service
Philip Chadwick, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada |
| 11:15 AM | J10.2 | Determining Optimal Thresholds for Inland Locations of Tropical Cyclone Incremental Wind Speed Probabilities to Support the Provision of Expressions of Uncertainty within Text Forecast Products
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and D. W. Sharp |
| 11:30 AM | J10.3 | Verification of aviation turbulence detection, nowcast, and forecast products
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Pocernich, R. D. Sharman, and J. Abernethy |
| 11:45 AM | J10.4 | Evaluation of a probabilistic convective nowcast for CoSPA
D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, S. Dettling, H. Cai, and M. Steiner |
| 12:00 PM | J10.5 | Choosing a scoring rule for verification of forecast probability distributions: Continuous ranked probability score or ignorance score?
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, NRL, Monterey, CA |
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| 12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday, B206
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: Dr. Jane Lubchenco’s Plenary Luncheon (Cash and Carry lunch available outside of the meeting room) |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B211
Joint Session 8 New challenges for applied meteorology and climatology (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology, the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres, the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, the First Environment and Health Symposium, the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy, and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research) |
| 1:30 PM | J8.1 | Developing useful science: methods for engaging stakeholders and evaluating integrated climate tools
Gigi Owen, CLIMAS/University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Averyt, K. Werner, and D. Ferguson |
| 1:45 PM | J8.2 | 10 years of the U.S. Drought Monitor: a look back and a look forward
Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs, S. Scott, and J. Nothwehr |
| 2:00 PM | J8.3 | User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and analysis to augment adaptation planning
Edwin P. Maurer, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and L. D. Brekke, T. Pruitt, K. D. White, E. Ochs, P. Duffy, and E. H. Girvetz |
| 2:15 PM | J8.4 | Trends of U.S. snowfall and snow cover in a warming world, 1948-2008
Richard R. Heim Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 2:30 PM | J8.5 | Use of the Brazilian Model of Climate and Health (BHMC) in order to estimate admissions for respiratory diseases in Brazil
Micheline S. Z. S. Coelho, Weather Brasilian Service, Săo Paulo, Săo Paulo, Brazil |
| 2:45 PM | J8.6 | Martian dust storm hazards: improving characterization and forecasting
Nicholas Heavens, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and M. I. Richardson, I. J. McEwan, and M. W. Busch |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, B314
Session 10 Turbulence and Wind Shear I |
Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
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| 1:30 PM | 10.1 | Climatology of turbulence statistics determined from rawinsonde and ACARS/AMDAR data
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Frehlich |
| 1:45 PM | 10.2 | Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of clear air turbulence from World Area Forecast Centres
Philip Gill, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, L. Reid, and A. Mirza |
| 2:00 PM | 10.3 | Optimum routing of aircraft in the presence of meteorological hazards: an approach taking forecast uncertainty into account
R. W. Lunnon, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and L. Reid, A. Mirza, and P. Gill |
| 2:15 PM | 10.4 | Latest developments of windshear alerting services at the Hong Kong International Airport
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and M. L. Kuo |
| 2:30 PM | 10.5 | Update on the turbulence nowcast product GTGN for NextGen IOC
Julia M. Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman and G. Wiener |
| 2:45 PM | 10.6 | Improving forecasts of clear-air turbulence at NOAA's Aviation Weather Center with state-of-the-art diagnostics
John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. P. Ellrod and S. Silberberg |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday, B314
Session 11 Turbulence and Wind Shear II |
Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
|
| 3:30 PM | 11.1 | The Meteorological Environment Surrounding the Air France #447 Disaster
Michael Kaplan, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Vollmer |
| 3:45 PM | 11.2 | A Numerical study of clear-air turbulence (CAT) encounters occurred in Korea
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun |
| 4:00 PM | 11.3 | The use of GPS signals to estimate turbulence intensity in the troposphere and stratosphere
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and A. Weekley |
| 4:15 PM | 11.4 | Progress toward satellite-based atmospheric turbulence interest field detection
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Bedka, A. Wimmers, R. Sharman, and J. K. Williams |
| 4:30 PM | 11.5 | Gravity waves and clear air turbulence generated by convective storms in different wind shear environments
Pao K. Wang, Univ. if Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. H. Su |
| 4:45 PM | 11.6 | A mechanism for convectively-induced turbulence
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. G. Fovell and S. B. Trier |
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| 5:00 PM-5:05 PM, Thursday
AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns |
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