Joint Session 41 Robert Dickinson Symposium

Program Chairs: Xubin Zeng , Univ. of Arizona ; Richard B. Rood , Univ. of Michigan ; Leo Donner , Univ. of Michigan
Reviewers: Alan Robock , Rutgers Univ. ; Mike Hobbins , CIRES

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Earth System Modeling and Climate Change (e.g., Earth System Modeling, Regional Climate Modeling, Climate Change, Carbon Cycle). Part I
Location: 210C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium; and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Leo Donner, Univ. of Michigan
Keynote: Gordon Bonan, NCAR
9:00 AM
J11.2
Changes in the Thermosphere/Ionosphere over the Past Century: Results from Whole Atmosphere Model Simulations
Joseph M. McInerney, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. C. Solomon, L. Qian, H. L. Liu, and S. Nossal
9:15 AM
J11.3
The GeoCarb Mission
Berrien Moore III, National Weather Center and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Crowell
9:30 AM
J11.4

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 15
Land Surface Modeling and Remote Sensing (e.g., Integration of Remote Sensing Data with Land Modeling, Land Model Development, Land Cover/Land-Use Change)
Location: 210C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium; and the 34th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona
Keynote: Inez Fung, Univ. of California, Berkeley
10:30 AM
J15.1
Challenges in Modeling Biosphere–Atmosphere Interactions
Inez Fung, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
11:00 AM
J15.2
Multidecadal MODIS and VIIRS Climate Products
Crystal Schaaf, Univ. of Massachusetts, Boston, MA; and Z. Wang, A. Elmes, Q. Sun, A. Erb, F. Gao, W. Lucht, and A. Strahler
11:15 AM
J15.3
The Remote Effects of Tibetan Plateau Spring Land Temperature on Global Summer Precipitation—The GEWEX/GASS/LS4P First Phase Activity
Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and I. Diallo, T. Yao, A. A. Boone, X. Zeng, Y. Liu, W. K. M. Lau, C. Ardilouze, Q. Bao, J. Feng, W. Guo, D. Klocke, M. S. Koo, X. Li, Z. Lin, S. K. Saha, F. Vitart, R. Senan, C. Shi, Y. Takaya, Q. Tang, H. Wei, M. Zhao, and T. LS4P Team
11:45 AM
J15.5A
Remarks by Robert E. Dickinson

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 1
Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics (e.g., Planetary Waves, Atmospheric Circulations)
Location: 210C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Robert Dickinson Symposium
Chair: Richard Rood, University of Michigan
Keynote: Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza, University of Washington
2:00 PM
1.2
Scale-Dependent Variability in Global Analyses and Prediction Models
Nedjeljka Žagar, Universität of Hamburg, Hamburg, TX, Germany
2:15 PM
1.3
Regionally Varying Assessments of Upper-Level Tropical Width in Reanalyses and CMIP5 Models Using a Tropopause Break Metric
Elinor R. Martin, South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Norman, OK; Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. R. Homeyer, R. A. McKinzie, K. M. McCarthy, and T. Xian

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 25
Aerosol Approaches to Climate Engineering (e.g., Results from Climate Modeling, Using Analogs such as Volcanic Eruptions and Ship Tracks, and Development of Technology to Actually Implement Solar Geoengineering)
Location: 210C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium; the 22nd Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ.
Keynote: Simone Tilmes, NCAR
3:30 PM
J25.2
The North Atlantic Climate Response to Stratospheric Sulfate Geoengineering
James Hurrell, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and L. Sun and K. Dagon
3:45 PM
J25.3

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Earth System Modeling and Climate Change—Posters (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Robert Dickinson Symposium
Chair: Leo Donner, Univ. of Michigan
478
Simulation of Wet and Dry West African Monsoon Rainfall Seasons Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Kehinde Olufunso Ogunjobi, Federal Univ. of Technology, Akure, Ondo State, Nigeria; and I. Gbode, V. Ajayi, and J. Dudhia

479
Added Value of Very High Resolution in the Present and Future Climate Simulations over South Korea Using the WRF Modeling System
Liying Qiu, Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology, Hong Kong SAR, China; and E. S. Im

480
Simulated Influence of Solar Spectral Irradiance on the East Asian Monsoon Rainband on the Decadal Scale and the Mechanism
Qi Zhong, China Meteorological Administration Training Center, Beijing, China; and L. Zhao and Z. Xiao

481
Assessment of Projected Change in Temperature, Precipitation, and Related Variables over South America Using CMIP5
Valerie Maria Thaler, Portland State Univ., Portland, OR; and P. Loikith, L. A. Pampuch, and C. R. Mechoso

482
Improved Delta-Eddington Approximation for Optically Thin Clouds
Tong Ren, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and P. Yang, G. Tang, X. Huang, and E. Mlawer

483
Analysis of Radiative Forcing Effects by Oceanic Phytoplankton and Spatiotemporal Variation during 2001–10
Jian Wei, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and P. Yang and P. Chang

484
Climatic Effects of Frozing–Thawing and Snow Melting over the Tibetan Plateau and Application in Seasonal Predictability
Chenghai Wang, Lanzhou Univ., Lanzhou, China; and K. Yang, F. Zhang, K. Li, J. Li, J. Jiang, R. Cheng, and J. Shen

485
Dynamical Downscaling of Near-Term Internal Climate Variability and Change for the Main Hawaiian Islands Using WRF Ensemble Simulations
Katrina Fandrich, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and O. Elison Timm, T. W. Giambelluca, and C. Zhang

486
Role of Snow on the Spring Leaf Onset in the Tundra Ecosystems with NCAR CLM5
Yeonjoo Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. Seo

487
Regional Impacts of Global Warming on Extreme Heat Stress Based on Regional Climate Projections
Eun-Soon Im, The Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and T. Nguyen-Xuan and L. Qiu

489
Vegetation–Climate Interactions in a Warming Climate over Asia
Guiling Wang, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and W. Liu and M. Yu

490
Climatology for Precipitation in Brazil by the BAM Model
Caroline Bresciani, Federal Univ. of Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Brazil; and S. E. T. Ferraz, N. T. Boiaski, and D. L. Herdies

492
An Assessment of the Spinup Time for Soil Moisture over the Iberian Peninsula by Using a Regional Climate Model
Juan José Rosa-Cánovas, Univ. of Granada, Granada, Spain; and M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda, P. Yeste, E. Romero-Jiménez, S. R. Gámiz-Fortis, Y. Castro-Díez, and M. J. Esteban-Parra

494
Cumulative Impacts of Human-Induced Changes on Carbon Cycle Extremes
Bharat Sharma, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; Northeastern Univ., Boston, MA; and F. M. Hoffman, J. Kumar, and A. Ganguly

495
Investigating CESM1 Ability to Capture Heat Waves
Anthony Wilson Jr., UCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Caron and B. Medeiros

496
Hydrological Response of the Duero River Basin under Present and Future Climate
Patricio Yeste, Univ. of Granada, Granada, Spain; and M. García-Valdecasas Ojeda, E. Romero-Jiménez, J. J. Rosa-Cánovas, S. R. Gámiz-Fortis, Y. Castro-Díez, and M. J. Esteban-Parra

497
Estimating Air–Sea Carbon Flux Uncertainty over the Tropical Pacific: Importance of Winds and Wind Analysis Uncertainty
Andrew M. Chiodi, Univ. of Washington, JISAO, and NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. P. Dunne and D. E. Harrison

498
Multiple Equilibria in a Fully Coupled Carbon–Climate Model
Fangze Zhu, SUNY, Albany, NY; and B. E. J. Rose

499
End-of-Century Climate Change Projections in the U.S. Lower Midwest Region
Fengpeng Sun, Univ. of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and L. Zhu, K. Reed, and J. Wei

501
Climate Change Projections in RegCM CORDEX-CORE Simulations via Koeppen–Trewartha Climate Classification
Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech Republic; and M. Belda and R. CORDEX-CORE Team

502
Hadley Cell Expansion: Separating Eddy and Mean Flow Responses to Forcings
Nicholas A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Birner


Poster Session 1
Large-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics—Posters
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Robert Dickinson Symposium
Chair: Richard Rood, University of Michigan
503
Mode-Decomposed Equation Diagnosis for Atmospheric Blocking Development
Masaru Inatsu, Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo, Japan

504
Seasonal and Annual Changes of the Regional Tropical Belt in GPS-RO Measurements and Reanalysis Datasets
Lan Luan, Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN; and P. W. Staten, C. O. Ao, and Q. Fu

505
Formation Mechanism of North Pacific Blocking: Comparison between Winter and Summer
Jaeyoung Hwang, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Son and P. Martineau

506
Regional Attribution of Tropical Expansion
Paul W. Staten, Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN; and K. M. Grise, S. M. Davis, K. B. Karnauskas, and N. A. Davis

507
Perferred Equilibrium Solutions of the Barotropic Vorticity Equation
Yaokun Li, Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing, China


Joint Poster Session 2
Land Surface Modeling and Remote Sensing—Posters (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium and the 34th Conference on Hydrology)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Robert Dickinson Symposium
Chair: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona
508
Toward a New Subgrid Structure of Vegetation Canopies in Land Surface Modeling
Hua Yuan, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and Y. Dai, R. E. Dickinson, S. Zhang, W. Shangguan, S. Liu, X. Lu, and N. Wei

509
What Have We Learned about Land Skin Temperature?
Menglin S. Jin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and S. Liang and J. M. Shepherd

510
Desert Amplification and Its Diurnal Cycle
Liming Zhou, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY

511
Modeling Variably Saturated Flow in Stratified Soils with Explicit Tracking of Wetting Front and Water Table Locations
Yongjiu Dai, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and S. Zhang, H. Yuan, and N. Wei

512
Warming Pattern of Surface and Air Temperature over China during the Last Five Decades and Its Representation in the Atmospheric Reanalyses Abstract
Kaicun Wang, Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing, Beijing, China; Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing, China; and C. Zhou and J. Du

513
A Microbial-Explicit Soil Organic Carbon Decomposition Model (MESDM) Coupled with Noah-MP: Development and Testing in Semiarid Grasslands
Xia Zhang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and G. Y. Niu

514
Ground Heat Flux Determination Based on Near-Surface Soil Thermodynamics Estimated from In Situ Measurements
Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and B. Wu, S. P. Oncley, and F. Chen

515
Improving Mesoscale Weather Simulations through Updated Land-Use and Vegetation Information
Hossein Lotfi, Mississippi State Univ., Starkville, MS; and J. L. Dyer

516
Integrated Soil Physical Schemes in Land Surface Modeling over the Tibetan Plateau
Baoqiang Wu, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and H. Yuan, F. Chen, and M. Barlage

518
Exploring Topography-Based Methods for Downscaling Precipitation for Use in Earth System Modeling
Teklu K. Tesfa, PNNL Hydrology Group, Richland, WA; and L. Y. R. Leung and S. Ghan

519
Finescale Variability in Vegetation Cover over the Southern Great Plains Using High-Resolution Satellite Images: A Case Study
Duli Chand, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. K. Berg, J. Tagestad, C. N. Long, A. A. Matthews, S. L. Tai, Z. Yang, and J. D. Fast

520
Implementation and Evaluation of Plant Hydraulics and Hydraulic Redistribution in the Common Land Model (CoLM)
Xingjie Lu, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and S. Zhu, S. Zhang, N. Wei, H. Yuan, W. Shangguan, S. Liu, and Y. Dai

521
Evaluation of Soil Thermal Conductivity Schemes for Use in Land Surface Modeling
Yongjiu Dai, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and N. Wei, H. Yuan, S. Zhang, W. Shangguan, S. Liu, and X. Lu

522
How Does Land Affect Atmospheric Processes at Diurnal to Seasonal Scales?
Xubin Zeng, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. S. Welty and P. D. Broxton

523
Why Do Land Surface Models Produce a Low Ratio of Transpiration to Evapotranspiration?
Guo-Yue Niu, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and L. Chang and Y. Fang

524
Future Resilient Land-Use Visions for Valdivia, Chile
Ahmed Mustafa, The New School, New York, NY; and E. Cook, T. McPhearson, O. Barbosa, T. Munoz-Erickson, M. Berbés-Blázquez, N. Grimm, and D. M. Iwaniec

525
Develop the Plant Hydrodynamics in the Noah-MP Land Surface Model
Lingcheng Li, The Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang, A. M. Matheny, H. Zheng, S. C. Swenson, D. Lawrence, M. Barlage, and B. Yan


Joint Poster Session 3
Studies Related to Climate Engineering—Posters
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Robert Dickinson Symposium; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )
527
Steered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection: Aircraft and Operation Design, Economic and Environmental Impact
I. E. de Vries, Stockholm Univ., Stockholm, Sweden; and M. Janssens and S. J. Hulshoff

528
Evaluation of Tornadic Environments for Japan Using Multiple Data Sources and Their Potential Responses under Future Climate Change
Sho Kawazoe, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Fujita, S. Sugimoto, Y. Okada, S. Watanabe, and M. Inatsu

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Robert Dickinson Symposium Dinner
Location: 205C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 35
Earth System Modeling and Climate Change (e.g., Earth System Modeling, Regional Climate Modeling, Climate Change, Carbon Cycle). Part II
Location: 150 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Robert Dickinson Symposium )
Chair: Leo Donner, Univ. of Michigan
8:30 AM
J35.1
Evaluation of the Arctic Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6
Mark W. Seefeldt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Cassano, E. Valkonen, and E. N. Cassano
8:45 AM
J35.2
How Different Is the Arctic Sea-Ice Condition Revealed by CMIP6 Models?
Muyin Wang, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland

9:00 AM
J35.3
Understanding Projected Uncertainties in the Northern Winter Climate: Role of the Interhemispheric Sea Surface Temperature Gradient and Arctic Sea Ice Cover
Ho-Nam Cheung, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, China; and N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, T. Tian, Z. Xu, Y. Gao, F. Ogawa, N. E. Omrani, S. Qiao, and W. Zhou
9:15 AM
J35.4
Antarctic Ice Sheet–Climate Feedbacks under High Future Carbon Emissions
Shaina Rogstad, Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA; and A. Condron, R. DeConto, and D. Pollard
9:30 AM
J35.5
Ocean Optics Can Modulate the Cooling of the Southern Ocean under Doubled CO2 by Affecting Mixed Layer Dynamics
Marie-Aude Pradal, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; The Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and G. E. Kim and A. Gnanadesikan
Recording files available
Joint Session 38
Studies Related to Climate Engineering
Location: 105 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Robert Dickinson Symposium )
Cochairs: Simone Tilmes, NCAR; Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ.
8:30 AM
J38.1
Meteorological Response to CO2 Sequestration and Storage in Antarctica
Andrea Orton, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and E. M. Agee and M. E. Baldwin
8:45 AM
J38.2
Climate Impacts from Explosive Volcanic Eruptions, Solar Radiation Change, and CO2 Increase
Wenchang Yang, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi, S. Fueglistaler, L. W. Horowitz, D. Luet, and Á. Muñoz
9:00 AM
J38.3
9:30 AM
J38.5
Sulfate Geoengineering Impacts on Agriculture
Lili Xia, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock, J. Jägermeyr, and S. Tilmes

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 41
Earth System Modeling and Climate Change (e.g., Earth System Modeling, Regional Climate Modeling, Climate Change, Carbon Cycle). Part III
Location: 154 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Robert Dickinson Symposium )
Chair: Richard Rood, University of Michigan
10:30 AM
J41.1
Future Climate Projections in the French West Indies: Regional Climate, Tropical Cyclones, and Storm Waves
Ali Belmadani, Météo-France, Fort-de-France, France; and F. Chauvin, P. Cantet, P. C. Dutrieux, C. Decourcelle, A. Dalphinet, and P. Palany
10:45 AM
J41.2
Extreme Precipitation in the Present and Future Climate over a Topographically Complex Region in a Tropical Environment
Diana Carolina Cruz, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia; and L. A. Gómez, C. D. Hoyos, D. A. Suarez, D. A. Hernandez, L. A. Sanchez, and J. A. Ospina
11:00 AM
J41.3
How Well Do CMIP5/CMIP6 Models Simulate Northeast U.S. Extreme Precipitation and Its Associated Circulation?
Laurie Agel, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow, D. W. Coe, and J. Polonia
11:30 AM
J41.5
Dynamical Forecasts of Tropical Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes with the NASA S2S Retrospective Forecast System
Eunjee Lee, USRA/NASA Goddard, Greenbelt, MD; and F. W. Zeng, L. Ott, R. Koster, S. Shukla, A. Hazra, K. R. Arsenault, and J. Joiner

11:45 AM
J41.6
Comparison of CMIP6 Historical Simulations and Future Projected Warming to an Empirical Model of Global Climate
Laura McBride, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and A. Hope, T. Canty, W. Tribett, B. Bennett, and R. J. Salawitch