Session 1 Tropical cyclone research and forecasting I: Prediction

Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Chairs:
Eric Blake, NHC, Miami, FL and Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC, Mesoscale Atmospheric Processes Branch, Greenbelt, MD

Papers:
8:30 AM
1.1
Recent Progress and Challenges in Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction Using COAMPS-TC
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, Y. Jin, W. A. Komaromi, S. Chen, H. Jin, A. Reinecke, Q. Zhao, and D. P. Stern

8:45 AM
1.2
A Gridded Version of the National Hurricane Center Official Forecasts to Support Operations at National Centers and Weather Forecast Offices: Part I: Model Formulation
M. DeMaria, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and P. Santos Jr., M. Onderlinde, G. Demaria, and O. Ostwald

9:00 AM
1.3
Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Next Generation Strategies: Reengineering Hurricane Analysis Forecast System (HAFS)
Dorothy M Koch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and F. D. Marks, E. Rappaport, S. Gopalakrishnan, V. Tallapragada, A. Mehra, N. Lett, and S. Upadhayay

9:15 AM
1.4
Tropical cyclone genesis in the GFDL FV3-powered global model
Jan-Huey Chen, NOAA/GFDL, UCAR, Princeton, NJ; and X. Chen, P. Ginoux, S. J. Lin, and M. A. Bender

9:30 AM
1.5
Development of a Convection-Permitting Air-Sea-Coupled Ensemble Data Assimilation System for Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Xingchao Chen, The Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and F. Zhang

9:45 AM
1.6
A Probabilistic, Large-Ensemble Approach to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Jonathan Lin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel and J. L. Vigh

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