Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium

Program Chairs: S. Braun , NASA/GSFC ; Zhuo Wang , Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign ; Chun-Chieh Wu , National Taiwan University

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Monday, 13 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Monday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Lunch Break (Monday)

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Convection over the Maritime Continent
Location: 254B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; and the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium )
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
2:00 PM
J7.1
Early Observation and Modeling Results from the NASA Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex)
D. J. Posselt, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and J. S. Reid, S. van den Heever, J. Mace, L. Di Girolamo, and L. D. Ziemba
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J7.2
Diurnal Forcing and Phase Locking of Gravity Waves in the Maritime Continent
James Ruppert Jr., The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang and X. Chen
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
J7.3
Numerical Simulations of the Precipitation along the Coastal Areas of Sumatra Island
Kazuaki Yasunaga, Univ. of Toyama, Toyama, Japan; and R. Okugawa
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
J7.4
Characteristics of Convective Properties during Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) over the Maritime Continent Using Numerical Simulations at a Cloud-Permitting Scale with Assimilation of Satellite, Radar, and In Situ Observations
Zhaoxia Pu, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Cui, B. Zhu, Y. Wei, and C. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Variability and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones
Location: 254B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; and the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium )
Chair: Suzana Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ.
3:00 PM
J10.1
Subseasonal Predictability of a Genesis Potential Index
Rodrigo Bombardi, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and L. Trenary and K. Emanuel
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
J10.2
The Relationship between Autumn Cold Surge Activity and Tropical Cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
Alex K. Mitchell, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart
Recorded Presentation

J10.3
The Impact of the MJO on NHC Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts

3:30 PM
J10.3A
Tropical Cyclones in Current Seasonal Forecast Models
Daniel J. Befort, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; and K. I. Hodges and A. Weisheimer

3:45 PM
J10.4
The Relationship between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification
Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL; and J. Kaplan
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Mon)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Eighth Symposium of the MJO and Subseasonal Monsoon Variability Poster Session
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability; and the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium )
446
Tropical Cyclone Activity Prediction on Subseasonal Time Scales
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and C. Y. Lee, F. Vitart, A. H. Sobel, M. K. Tippett, S. Wang, and J. Camp

447
The Influence of ENSO on Tropical Cyclone Impacts along the Pacific Coast of Mexico
Nicholas S. Grondin, Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN; and B. D. Keim

448
Assessing PV Streamer Activity and Its Relationship with TC Predictability in Subseasonal Forecasts
Philippe P. Papin, NRL, Monterey, CA; NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Reynolds and M. A. Janiga

Poster 449 is now Paper J10.3A

450
On the Predictability of 30-day Global Mesoscale Simulations of African Easterly Waves during Summer 2006: A View with the Generalized Lorenz Model
Bo-Wen Shen, San Diego State Univ., San Diego, CA

Handout (7.8 MB)

451
Large-Scale State and Evolution of the Atmosphere and Ocean during PISTON
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and Z. K. Martin, S. Wang, J. Sprintall, and E. Maloney

452
The Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall and the Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves over the Maritime Continent
Naoko Sakaeda, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. Kiladis and J. Dias

453
Tidal Mixing Effects on Sea Surface Temperatures, Diurnal Rainfall and the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Maritime Continent
John D. Steffen, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA; and H. Seo

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 1
Tropical Cyclone Research and Forecasting. Part I: Prediction
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Cochairs: Scott Braun, NASA GSFC; Zhuo Wang, The Pennsylvania State Univ.
8:30 AM
1.1
Recent Progress and Challenges in Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction Using COAMPS-TC
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, Y. Jin, W. A. Komaromi, S. Chen, H. Jin, A. Reinecke, Q. Zhao, and D. P. Stern
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
A Gridded Version of the National Hurricane Center Official Forecasts to Support Operations at National Centers and Weather Forecast Offices. Part I: Model Formulation
M. DeMaria, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and P. Santos Jr., M. Onderlinde, G. Demaria, and O. Ostwald
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.3
Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Next-Generation Strategies: Reengineering the Hurricane Analysis Forecast System (HAFS)
Dorothy M. Koch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Silver Spring, MD; NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and F. D. Marks, E. Rappaport, S. Gopalakrishnan, V. Tallapragada, A. Mehra, N. Lett, and S. Upadhayay
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
NOAA’s Intensity Forecasting Experiment: Past, Present, and Future
R. F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
Recorded Presentation

Tropical cyclone genesis in the GFDL FV3-powered global model

9:30 AM
1.5
Development of a Convection-Permitting Air–Sea Coupled Ensemble Data Assimilation System for Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Xingchao Chen, The Pennsylvania State University, Univ. Park, PA; and F. Zhang
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
1.6
A Probabilistic, Large-Ensemble Approach to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Jonathan Lin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel and J. L. Vigh
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Exhibit Hall (Tuesday)
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 2
Tropical Cyclone Research and Forecasting. Part II: Observation
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Chairs: Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign; Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University
10:30 AM
2.1
Space-Based Precipitation Measurements in Tropical Cyclones: Past, Present, and Future
Scott A. Braun, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
An Overview of NASA TROPICS Applications and Early Adopter Program
E. Berndt, NASA MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. P. Dunion, W. Blackwell, S. A. Braun, and D. S. Green

11:00 AM
2.3
An Examination of Local Shear, Vortex Tilt, and Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Using Airborne Radar Observations
Michael S. Fischer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers and P. Reasor
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Sampling Hurricanes Using a Small Unmanned Aircraft System
Joseph J. Cione, AOML, Miami, FL; and G. H. Bryan, R. J. Dobosy, J. A. Zhang, G. de Boer, A. Aksoy, J. B. Wadler, E. A. Kalina, B. A. Dahl, K. E. Ryan, J. Neuhaus, E. Dumas, F. D. Marks, A. Farber, T. Hock, and X. Chen
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Use of Targeted High-Altitude Dropsonde Observations from Unmanned and Manned Aircraft to Test Tropical Cyclone Operational Forecast Improvement
Peter Gerard Black, I.M. Systems Group, Miami, FL; and V. Tallapragada, A. Mehra, X. Wu, G. Wick, and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
The Unique Observations of Hurricane Michael (2018), Theory for Rapid Intensification, and Implications for Future Research
Joshua B. Wadler, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, R. F. Rogers, B. Jaimes, L. K. Shay, and J. Zawislak
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 24
Women in the Tropics. Part I
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium; and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chairs: Kelly M. Nunez Ocasio; Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ.
Speaker: Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ.
Introductory Remarks by AMS President Jenni Evans

1:30 PM
J24.1
Women in the Tropics: Contributions to Our Understanding of Tropical Cyclones in Vertical Wind Shear
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
J24.2
Contributions of Women in the English-Speaking Caribbean to Tropical Meteorology Operations, Education, Research, and Applications
Arlene G. Laing, Caribbean Meteorological Organization, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago; and K. A. Caesar, A. Sealy, R. Mahon, and T. S. Stephenson
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
J24.3
Leaving the Tropics to Study the Tropics
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J24.4
Combining Observational Studies and Numerical Modeling to Further the Understanding and Prediction of Convective Systems in the Tropics: The Role of Brazilian Scientist Maria a. F. Silva Dias
Ligia Bernardet, CU/CIRES at NOAA/GSD, Boulder, CO; and L. M. V. Carvalho
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 27
Women in the Tropics. Part II
Location: 151A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium )
Chairs: Kelly M. Nunez Ocasio; Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ.
Introductory Remarks by AMS President Jenni Evans

3:00 PM
J27.1
The Availability and Reliability of Precipitation and Zonal Wind Estimates over Africa
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

3:15 PM
J27.2
Multiscale Nature of Tropical Influence on Precipitation Variability in Southern South America
Carolina Vera, Univ. of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
J27.3
Women's Careers Fostered by the Large-Scale Biosphere Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia—LBA
Maria A. F. Silva Dias, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Barueri, Brazil
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
J27.4
Projecting Regional Climate Change in the Tropics
Kerry H. Cook, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX

Recording files available
Joint Session 31
Tropical Convection. Part I
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium; and the Eighth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability )
Chairs: Allison A. Wing, Florida State Univ.; Torri Giuseppe, University of Hawai‘i
3:00 PM
J31.1
What Does Convective Organization Look Like in a GCM?
Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
J31.2
Comparing Convective Self-Aggregation in Idealized Models to Observed Moist Static Energy Variability near the Equator
Tom Beucler, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; Columbia Univ., New York, CA; and T. H. Abbott, T. W. Cronin, and M. S. Pritchard
Recorded Presentation

J31.3
Cold Pools and the Organization of Tropical Convection in Global Cloud-System Resolving Simulations

3:30 PM
J31.3A
Representing Moist Convection with a Collection of Linear Response Functions
Zhiming Kuang, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA

3:45 PM
J31.4
A Simple Framework for Understanding Slow, Convectively Coupled Circulations
Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Poster Session 1
Tropical Convection: Poster Session
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
832
Lightning Density and Thunderstorm Initiation in the Lake Victoria Region in East Africa
K. S. Virts, NASA, Huntsville, AL; and S. J. Goodman

833
On the Water Vapor Isotopic Composition of Cold Pools in Tropical Boundary Layers
Giuseppe Torri, Univ. of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI

834
Observations of a Diurnal Pulse within the Cirrus Canopy of Typhoon Kong-rey (2018)
Benjamin C. Trabing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. M. Bell

835
Improving Model Representation of Interactions between Moisture and Tropical Convection
Brandon O. Wolding, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias, G. Kiladis, F. Ahmed, E. Maloney, and M. Branson

836
Easterly Wave Contributions to Seasonal Rainfall over the Tropical Americas in Observations and a Regional Climate Model
Christian Dominguez, Centro de Ciencias Atmosfericas, UNAM, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and J. Done and C. L. Bruyère

Handout (3.6 MB)

837
Tropical Cyclone Interactions with the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the Indian Ocean
Jeffrey D. Thayer, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Urbana, IL; and D. A. Hence

Poster 838 is now Paper J31.3A.

839
Assessing Shallow Meridional Circulations over the East Atlantic ITCZ and West African Monsoon Regions
Lidia Huaman, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and E. Buttitta and C. Schumacher

840
Organizational Modes of Mesoscale Convective Systems Associated with Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfalls
Sa Li, Peking Univ., Beijing, China; and Z. Meng

841
Sensitivity of the Walker Circulation to Convective Entrainment in a Changing Climate
Margaret L. Duffy, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and P. A. O'Gorman

842
Evaluating the Microphysical and Dynamical Impacts of Saharan Dust Plumes on Tropical Cyclones across the Tropical Atlantic Basin
Jordan Rabinowitz, Univ. of Missouri—Columbia, Columbia, MO

843
Diurnal Cycle of Coastal Convection in the South China Sea Region and Modulation by the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation
Weixin XU, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Zhuhai, China; and S. A. Rutledge and K. Chudler

844
An Investigation of Dust Impacts on Local Convective Processes over Puerto Rico
Nathan Hosannah, CUNY LaGuardia Community College, Long Island City, NY; and J. E. Gonzalez

845
Thresholds for Atmospheric Convection in Amazonian Rainforests
Mengxi Wu, Brown Univ., Providence, RI; and J. E. Lee

846
How Tropical Convection Couples High Moist Static Energy over Land and Ocean
Yi Zhang, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and S. Fueglistaler

847
Mechanisms Controlling Rainfall over Idealized Tropical Islands in Radiative–Convective Equilibrium
Martin Velez-Pardo, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and T. W. Cronin and P. Molnar

848
Phenomenological Paradigm for Midtropospheric Cyclogenesis in the Indian Summer Monsoon
Ayantika Dey Choudhury, IITM, Pune, India; and R. Krishnan, M. V. S. Ramarao, R. Vellore, M. Singh, and B. E. Mapes

849
Can Shifting Cloud Radiative Effects Influence Tropical Stratification Changes?
Timothy M. Merlis, McGill Univ., Montreal, Canada; and Y. Li and A. A. Wing


Poster Session 2
Tropical Cyclones Research and Forecasting: Poster Session I
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
850
A Recent Reversal in the Poleward Shift of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Yuan Sun, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Zhong and Y. Shen

851
The Air–Sea Response during Hurricane Irma’s (2017) Rapid Intensification over the Amazon–Orinoco River Plume as Measured by Atmospheric and Oceanic Observations
Johna E. Rudzin, NRC/NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, E. R. Sanabia, and S. R. Jayne

852
Idealized Simulations of the Brown Ocean Effect—Sensitivity to Land Use and Soil Moisture Availability
Andrew Michael Thomas, The Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. A. Santanello and M. Shepherd

853
A Synoptic Climatology of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia
Abigail R. Pettett, NWS, North Charleston, SC

854
A Climatology of the Extratropical Flow Response to Recurving Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Allison Lynn Brannan, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. M. Chagnon

855
Pathways to Tropical Cyclogenesis in Rotating Radiative–Convective Equilibrium Simulations
Jacob D. Carstens, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and A. A. Wing

856
On the Contributions of Incipient Vortex Circulation and Environmental Moisture to Tropical Cyclone Expansion
Jonathan Martinez, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. C. Nam and M. M. Bell

857
Analysis of Tornadic and Nontornadic Convective Cell Environments during Hurricane Harvey
Justin R. Spotts, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. J. Nowotarski, S. Overpeck, B. Filipiak, and R. Edwards
Manuscript (2.2 MB)

858
High-Resolution Atmospheric Motion Vector Fields of Typhoon Revealed by GF-4 Images
Jingsong Yang, Second Institute of Oceanography, MNR, Hangzhou, China; and J. Liu, G. Zheng, J. Wang, and L. Ren

859
Using Observational In Situ Argo Float Data to Analyze Amazon–Orinoco Plume Structure and Its Impact on Atlantic Hurricane Activity
Xiao Yu, College Station, TX; and R. Saravanan

860
Estimation of the Tropical Cyclone Diurnal Cycle Using Simulated Observations from the TROPICS NASA Earth Venture Mission
Erika L. Duran, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and E. Berndt

861
Application of Statistical Methods to Improving Model Predictions of Rapid Intensification in Tropical Cyclones
Ivy C. MacDaniel, Austin Peay State Univ., Clarksville, TN; and C. M. Rozoff and J. L. Vigh

862
Characteristics of Upper-Tropospheric Jets during Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change
Levi Cowan, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

863
WRF Modeling of Historical Landfalling New England Tropical Cyclones: Design and Climatology
Ryan Remondelli, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

864
WRF Modeling of Historical Landfalling New England Tropical Cyclones: Statistical and Meteorological Analysis and Implied Predictability
Ryan Remondelli, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

865
A Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Asymmetry Postlandfall and an Examination of the Factors Influencing That Evolution
Justin A. McReynolds, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

866
A Gridded Version of the National Hurricane Center Official Forecasts to Support Operations at National Centers and Weather Forecast Offices. Part II: Validation.
Pablo Santos Jr., NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and O. Ostwald, G. Demaria, M. DeMaria, M. Onderlinde, and J. Rogers

867
Secondary Eyewall Formation in an Idealized Axisymmetric Model
Rohini Shivamoggi, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel

868
Validation of Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasts for the 2017 and 2018 Hurricane Seasons
Kevin Bachmann, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

869
Climate Change Influences on the Extratropical Transition of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Chunyong Jung, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Paper 3.5A will also be presented at Poster 870.

871
Growing Representation of Women in NOAA Tropical Cyclone Reconnaissance Research: Part I
Kelly Ryan, NOAA/AOML and Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; CIMAS/Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. Bucci

872
The Mechanism for Extremely Active Tropical Cyclone Activities in Summer 2018 over the WNP and SCS: Joint Effects of the Decaying La Niña Events and the Intraseasonal Oscillation
Lijuan Chen, BCC, Beijing, China

873
Effects of Hurricane Strikes on Neotropical Lizard Morphology
Colin Donihue, Washington Univ. in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO; and A. M. Kowaleski

874
Probabilistic Prediction of North Atlantic Hurricane Track and Intensity
Christopher Dickson, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Atlanta, GA; and J. Curry

875
The Influence of Coupled Model Sea Surface Temperature Biases on Tropical Cyclone Environmental Conditions
Hunter Tubbs, Univ. of Maine, Orono, ME; and B. Lyon and S. J. Camargo

876
Growing Representation of Women in NOAA Tropical Cyclone Reconnaissance Research: Part II
Lisa Bucci, NOAA, Miami, FL; and K. Ryan

877
The Dependence of the Tropical Cyclone Response to Moderate Vertical Wind Shear on the Initial Storm Intensity
Rosimar Ríos-Berríos, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. M. Finocchio

878
A Preliminary Analysis of the RIPA and SPICE Models for the 2019 Hurricane Season
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff and C. R. Sampson

879
Real-Time Mobile Radar Hurricane Wind Retrievals during Landfall
A. Addison Alford, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff and G. D. Carrie

880
Reevaluating the Effect of the Tropical Cyclone Environment on Intensity
Justin Palmer Stow, CIRA, Fort Collins, FL; and C. J. Slocum and J. Knaff

881
Application of a Subsetting Ensemble Postprocessing Method on the HWRF-Based Ensemble Prediction System
Zhan Zhang, EMC, College Park, MD; and W. Wang, L. Zhu, B. Liu, K. Wu, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 3
Tropical Cyclone Research and Forecasting. Part III: Climate and Theory
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Chairs: Robert G. Nystrom, The Pennsylvania State University; Xiaodong Tang, Nanjing Univ.
8:30 AM
3.1
Statistical–Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Tropical Cyclone Activity in a Warming Climate: Two Diverging Genesis Scenarios
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and C. Y. Lee, S. J. Camargo, and M. K. Tippett
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
3.2
Past and Future Hurricane Intensity Change along the U.S. East Coast: Anthropogenic Forcing versus Internal Variability
Mingfang Ting, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and J. P. Kossin, S. Camargo, and C. Li
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
3.3
The Role of WISHE in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. J. Cheng
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
3.4
The Importance of Radiative Feedbacks in Tropical Cyclogenesis
Allison A. Wing, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Ruppert Jr., X. Tang, and E. L. Duran
Recorded Presentation

3.5
Formation and Maintenance of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Bands in Idealized Numerical Simulations

9:30 AM
3.5A
Exploring Inland Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Tornadoes under Future Climate Conditions through a Case Study of Hurricane Ivan
Dereka Carroll-Smith, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Trapp and J. Done

9:45 AM
3.6
Investigating Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Using Idealized Simulations with Realistic Initial Vortices
Daniel P. Stern, UCAR/NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and J. L. Vigh
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Exhibit Hall (Wed)
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 43
Tropical Cyclone Analysis and Prediction with Machine Learning I
Location: 156BC (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium; and the Events )
Cochairs: Jebb Stewart, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder and CIRA/Colorado State Univ.; Eric D. Loken, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma
10:30 AM
J43.1
Using Geostationary Imagery to Peer through the Clouds Revealing Hurricane Structure
C. J. Slocum, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Knaff
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J43.2
Probabilistic Rapid Intensification Prediction with Convolutional Neural Networks and HWRF
David John Gagne II, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Rozoff and J. L. Vigh
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.7 MB)

11:00 AM
J43.3
A Review of Support Vector Machine Performance on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction with Imbalanced Datasets
Mu-Chieh Ko, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Kubat, S. G. Gopalakrisnan, and F. D. Marks
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J43.4
Combining Artificial Intelligence and Physics-Based Modeling Techniques to Improve Hurricane Track and Intensity Forecasting
Narges Shahroudi, Riverside Technology, Inc., and NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and E. Maddy, S. A. Boukabara, V. M. Krasnopolsky, and R. N. Hoffman
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J43.5
Using Evolutionary Programming to Generate Improved Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts
Jesse Schaffer, Univ. of Wisconsin−Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and P. Roebber and C. Evans
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J43.6
An Updated Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Scheme Using Machine Learning and Operational Forecast Data
Andrew Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and A. D. Grimes and K. M. Wood
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 44
Tropical Cyclone Rainfall: Physics, Impacts, and Preparedness
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium; and the 34th Conference on Hydrology )
Chairs: Jennifer C. DeHart, Colorado State Univ.; Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida
10:30 AM
J44.1
Characteristics of Recent Prolific Daily Rainfall Associated with Tropical Cyclones Impacting the Southern and Eastern United States
Gregory W. Carbin, NOAA/NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and A. Lamers and D. Roth
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J44.2
Variations in the Intensity and Spatial Extent of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation
Danielle Touma, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and S. Stevenson, S. J. Camargo, D. E. Horton, and N. S. Diffenbaugh
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
J44.3
Examining Storm Asymmetries in Recent Tropical Cyclones Using Polarimetric Radar Observations
Anthony C. Didlake Jr., The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and M. R. Kumjian and C. N. Laurencin
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J44.4
Probabilistic Intense Rainfall Predictions from Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a Convective-Scale Ensemble Data Assimilation System
Nusrat Yussouf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. A. Jones and P. S. Skinner
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J44.5
What if Hurricane Harvey Happened Here? How Boston Wet Weather Scenarios Are Used for Planning Flood Emergency Responses
Charlie Jewel, Boston Water and Sewer Commission, Boston, MA; and B. E. Vieux and C. Wilson
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J44.6
Real-Time Analysis of the 2019 Mozambique Flood Using Satellite Rainfall and the Global Flood Monitoring System (GFMS)
Robert F. Adler, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD; and N. Zhou, G. Gu, and H. Wu
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Lunch Break (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 48
Tropical Convection. Part II
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium; and the Eighth Symposium on the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Sub-Seasonal Monsoon Variability )
Chairs: Allison A. Wing, Florida State Univ.; Lidia Huaman, Texas A&M Univ.
1:30 PM
J48.1
Overview and Highlights of OTREC
Zeljka Fuchs-Stone, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
J48.2
900–700-hPa Static Stability Controls on Tropical Convection in Moist Environments
Scott W. Powell, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
J48.3
The Influence of Moisture on the Development of Tropical Deep Convection in High-Resolution Simulations
Rachel L. Storer, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. A. Schiro and D. J. Posselt
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J48.4
A Simple Conceptual Model for Rainfall over Flat Tropical Islands
Timothy W. Cronin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and M. Velez-Pardo and P. Molnar
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 4
Physical Parameterizations for Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Location: 205B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Cochairs: Weiwei Li, NCAR; Dereka Carroll-Smith, Jackson State University
3:00 PM
4.1
Evaluating the Impact of Boundary Layer Parameterization on Hurricane Intensity and Structure in HWRF Forecasts
Jun Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers, V. Tallapragada, D. S. Nolan, E. A. Kalina, M. K. Biswas, P. Zhu, F. D. Marks, S. Gopalakrishnan, and A. Mehra
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
4.2
Evaluation of Planetary Boundary Layer Schemes in Hurricanes over Land through Comparison of Surface Winds in Observations and Simulations of Hurricane Wilma (2005)
Brian D. McNoldy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and J. Y. Ge
Recorded Presentation

4.3
Microphysics-Based Bulk Parameterizations of Enthalpy and Momentum Fluxes for Tropical Cyclones

3:45 PM
4.4
The Global-Nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS): Results from the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Andrew Hazelton, CIMAS and AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Zhang, J. Dong, B. Liu, W. Wang, G. J. Alaka Jr., X. Zhang, C. Zhang, L. Zhu, K. Wu, S. Gopalakrishnan, F. Marks, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Poster Session 3
Tropical Cyclone Rainfall: Poster Session
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
Chairs: Jennifer C. DeHart, Colorado State Univ.; Rosimar Ríos-Berríos, NCAR
1487
Representation of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation in Global Reanalysis Datasets
Evan Jones, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and A. A. Wing and R. Parfitt

1488
Analyzing the Location of TC Rainbands Relative to the Storm Center Using Metrics of Dispersion, Displacement, and Closure to Account for Changes in Radial and Tangential Directions
Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and J. Tang
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

1489
The Evolution and Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones during the 2017 Hurricane Season from a GLM, ISS Lis, and GPM Perspective
Lena Heuscher, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and P. N. Gatlin, W. A. Petersen, D. J. Cecil, and C. Liu

1490
Extreme Rainfall in the Carolinas during the Extratropical Transition of Hurricane Matthew (2016)
Scott W. Powell, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. M. Bell

1491
Past and Future Rainfall from Dissipating Tropical Cyclones in Southwestern California
James D. Means, California State Univ., San Marcos, San Marcos, CA; WeatherExtreme Ltd., Incline Village, NV; and M. Burin and F. De Sales
Manuscript (2.8 MB)

1492
Development of a Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Model: P-Rain
F. D. Marks, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and B. D. McNoldy, M. C. Ko, and A. B. Schumacher

1493
Exploring Precipitation Biases for U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in ECMWF Forecasts
Manuel D. Zuluaga, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Reno, NV; and V. Toma, C. Dickson, and J. Curry

1494
Effect of High-Resolution Topography in Simulations of Hurricane Maria's Landfall in Puerto Rico
Nathalie G. Rivera-Torres, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and F. Judt

1495
Studying the Sudden Onset and Evolution of Outer Rainband Precipitation of Hurricane Harvey (2017) Using Numerical Simulations with Data Assimilation and Cloud Initiation
Peter Saunders, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

1496
Evaluation of a Physics-Based Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Model and Its Application for Risk Assessment

1497
Investigation of the Dynamics of Extreme Rainfall in Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Handout (75.3 MB)

1498
Challenges Associated with Extreme Rainfall Measurement during Hurricane Maria
Scott Weaver, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD; and M. Dillard and M. Levitan

1499
Blending A High-Dimensional State Space Model With A Data Assimilation Technique For Efficient Simulation Of Nonstationary Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Patterns
Daiwei Wang, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and M. Marcella and B. Dodov

1500
A Comparative Analysis of Extreme Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Events along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts
Derek Ortt, StormGeo, Inc, Houston, TX

1501
More Than a Storm: A Look at the Personal Impact a Hurricane Has on the Lives of the National Weather Service Employees
Erik M. Heden, NOAA, Newport, NC; and D. A. Glenn

1502
Estimating Long-Term Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Frequency—A Physics-Based Approach
Monika Feldmann, ETH Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; and K. Emanuel, L. Zhu, and U. Lohmann

1503
Land–Sea Contrast in the Diurnal Variation of Precipitation from Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Xiaodong Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and Q. Cai, J. Fang, and Z. M. Tan

Handout (5.8 MB)


Poster Session 4
Tropical Cyclones Research and Forecasting: Poster Session II
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium
1504
Impact of the Diurnal Radiation Contrast on the Formation, Intensification, and Structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014)
Xiaodong Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and Z. M. Tan, J. Fang, E. B. Munsell, Y. Q. Sun, and F. Zhang

Handout (10.6 MB)

1505
Parameter Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclones in NASA-GISS ModelE3
Jeffrey D. O. Strong, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel, S. J. Camargo, M. Kelley, and A. D. Genio

1506
Enhancements to Cloud Overlap Radiative Effects for Weather Forecasting and Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Michael J. Iacono, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. M. Henderson, L. Bernardet, E. Kalina, M. K. Biswas, K. M. Newman, B. Liu, Z. Zhang, and Y. T. Hou

Handout (8.0 MB)

1507
A Scale-Aware Horizontal Mixing-Length Scale and Its Impact on Simulations of Harvey (2017) and Lane (2018) in HWRF
Weiguo Wang, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Liu, L. Zhu, Z. Zhang, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

Handout (1.5 MB)

1508
A Study of the Influence of Evaporating Sea Spray on the Air–Sea Heat Exchange in High-Wind Conditions of a Tropical Cyclone
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

1509
Process-Oriented Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclones in CMIP6 HighResMIP Experiments
Yumin Moon, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Kim, A. A. Wing, S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, L. R. Leung, and M. J. Roberts

The effect of convective momentum transport on tropical cyclones in the Canadian numerical weather prediction system

1510
A Modeling Study of the Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on the Raindrop Size Distribution in Typhoon Nida (2016)
Wenhua Gao, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and L. Deng and Y. Duan

Handout (1.3 MB)

1511
The Impacts of Uncertainty in Air–Sea Enthalpy and Momentum Exchange Coefficients on Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Intensification
Robert G. Nystrom, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and F. Zhang, R. Rotunno, and C. A. Davis

1512
Testing the DTC’s Single-Column Model for Tropical Cyclone Environment
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. Firl, M. Ek, and J. Zhang

1514
Vorticity Profiles of Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic Basin
Erica Bower, Western Connecticut State Univ., Danbury, CT; and A. Owino

1515
Reevaluating How Well Tropical Cyclone Activity Can Be Predicted over the Twentieth Century from Sea Surface Temperatures
Duo Chan, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and G. A. Vecchi and P. Huybers

1513
Evaluation of operational high resolution global ensemble forecast system for Tropical Cyclone prediction over North Indian Ocean

1516
Potential Sources of Variability in the Vortex Precession Process prior to the Onset of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification
Masashi Minamide, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and D. J. Posselt

1517
Does Tropical Cyclone Formation over the Western North Pacific Have Poleward Shifts Due to Anthropogenic Forcing?
Xiaofang Feng, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and L. Wu

1518
The JPL Tropical Cyclone Information System: A Wealth of Data for Quickly Advancing the Physical Understanding and Forecasting of Hurricanes
Svetla Hristova-Veleva, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and P. P. Li, B. Knosp, Q. A. Vu, F. J. Turk, W. L. Poulsen, Z. S. Haddad, B. H. Lambrigtsen, B. W. Stiles, T. P. J. Shen, N. Niamsuwan, S. Tanelli, O. O. Sy, H. Su, D. G. Vane, Y. Chao, P. S. Callahan, R. S. Dunbar, M. T. Montgomery, M. A. Boothe, V. Tallapragada, S. Trahan, A. Wimmers, R. Holz, J. S. Reid, F. D. Marks, T. Vukicevic, S. Bhalachandran, H. Leighton, S. Gopalakrishnan, A. Navarro, and F. J. Tapiador

1519
Multiscale Interaction and Barotropic Instability at the Subtropical High Lead to the Sudden Typhoon Recurvature in the Northwestern Pacific
X. San Liang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, China; and J. Ma and Y. Rong

1520
Synergistic Effects of Midlevel Dry Air and Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Development via Ventilation
Joshua J. Alland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Tang, K. L. Corbosiero, and G. H. Bryan

1521
Tropical Cyclones Internal Dynamics and Its Influence over the Intensity Changes: WRF Idealized Simulation in a Quiescent Environment and GOES-R IR and GLM Data Analysis
Jhayron S. Perez, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; Sistema de Alerta Temprana de Medellín y el Valle de Aburrá, Área Metropolitana del Valle de Aburrá, Medellín, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos

1522
Future Changes in a Typhoon in the Midlatitude Regions: Downscaling Simulations from d4PDF Data by Using a 4-km-Mesh Nonhydrostatic Model
Sachie Kanada, Nagoya Univ., Nagoya, Japan; and K. Tsuboki and I. Takayabu

1523
Observational Analysis on the Evolution Features of Severe Convective Rainbands of the Torrential Heavy Rain Producing Typhoon Rumbia (2018)
Shuanzhu Gao, China National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China

1524
An Investigation of Ocean–Atmospheric Interactions, Intensity Change, and Track Prediction Associated with Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Activity over the Gulf of Mexico Using Satellite Data and Numerical Modeling
Remata S. Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and D. Lu and M. Fadavi

1525
Hybrid Statistical–Dynamical Probabilistic Prediction of Hurricane Landfall Winds
Jeffrey Miller, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Norcross, GA; and C. Dickson and J. Curry

1526
Tropical Cyclone Activity under Varying SSTs in Aquaplanet Simulations
Adam C. Burnett, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and A. Sheshadri, L. Silvers, and T. E. Robinson Jr.

1527
Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) Stand-Alone Regional Model (SAR) 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Real-Time Forecasts
Jili Dong, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Liu, Z. Zhang, W. Wang, L. Zhu, C. Zhang, K. Wu, A. Hazelton, X. Zhang, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

1529
Interactions between African Easterly Waves and Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and the Impact on the Probability of Tropical Cyclogenesis: A Case Study of Cristobal (2014)
Krista Dotterer, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

1532
Track-Centered Moving Grids for Tropical Cyclone Forecast Assessment in the Model Evaluation Tools (MET) Verification Package
David W. Fillmore, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. J. Hertneky, K. M. Newman, E. A. Kalina, R. G. Bullock, M. K. Biswas, J. E. Halley Gotway, and T. L. Jensen

1528
The Characteristics of Wind and Rainfall Variation of Tropical Cyclones during Its ET Process over the Western North Pacific

1533
Observational Study of a Coastal Barrier Jet Induced by a Landfalling Tropical Cyclone
Ben Jong-Dao Jou, OAR, Taipei, Taiwan

1534
Control of the Intertropical Convergence Zone on Tropical Cyclones during Early and Late Stages of Genesis
Tsung-Lin Hsieh, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ

1530
Surface Wind Reconstructions for Hurricane Michael at Landfall with a New Parametric Model with Observational Optimization

1535
Evaluation of Independent Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendency (iSPPT) Scheme on Ensemble TC Intensity Forecasts Using HWRF
Xiaohui Zhao, Univ at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn

1531
How Adaptable Are Catastrophe Risk Models of Tropical Cyclone Wind Fields to Common Deviations from Idealized Hurricane Structure?

Thursday, 16 January 2020

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

10:00 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Session 62
Women in the Tropics. Part III
Location: 252A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion; and the Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symposium )
Chair: Kelly M. Nunez Ocasio
Cochairs: Shirley Murillo, NOAA/AOML; Ada Monzón, CBM -- Chief Meteorologist, WIPR-TV and Univision Radio
Panelists: Kristen L. Corbosiero, SUNY; Arlene Laing, CIRA and NOAA/ESRL/GSD; Lisa Bucci, NOAA/AOML; Yaitza Luna-Cruz, Jupiter Intelligence
Introductory Remarks by AMS President Jenni Evans

10:00 AM
J62.1
Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: Tropical Cyclone Observations from the Ground, High-Altitude Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, and Space
Amber E. Emory, NASA ESTO, Greenbelt, MD
Recorded Presentation

10:15 AM
Panel Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Lunch Break (Thursday)

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Thursday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center
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