Session: Tropical Cyclones Research and Forecasting: Poster Session II (100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

1504

Impact of the Diurnal Radiation Contrast on the Formation, Intensification, and Structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014)

Xiaodong Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; and Z. M. Tan, J. Fang, E. B. Munsell, Y. Q. Sun, and F. Zhang

Handout (10.6 MB)

1505

Parameter Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclones in NASA-GISS ModelE3

Jeffrey D. O. Strong, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel, S. J. Camargo, M. Kelley, and A. D. Genio

1506

Enhancements to Cloud Overlap Radiative Effects for Weather Forecasting and Tropical Cyclone Prediction

Michael J. Iacono, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. M. Henderson, L. Bernardet, E. Kalina, M. K. Biswas, K. M. Newman, B. Liu, Z. Zhang, and Y. T. Hou

Handout (8.0 MB)

1507

A Scale-Aware Horizontal Mixing-Length Scale and Its Impact on Simulations of Harvey (2017) and Lane (2018) in HWRF

Weiguo Wang, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Liu, L. Zhu, Z. Zhang, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

Handout (1.5 MB)

1508

A Study of the Influence of Evaporating Sea Spray on the Air–Sea Heat Exchange in High-Wind Conditions of a Tropical Cyclone

Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

1509

Process-Oriented Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclones in CMIP6 HighResMIP Experiments

Yumin Moon, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Kim, A. A. Wing, S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, L. R. Leung, and M. J. Roberts

The effect of convective momentum transport on tropical cyclones in the Canadian numerical weather prediction system

1510

A Modeling Study of the Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on the Raindrop Size Distribution in Typhoon Nida (2016)

Wenhua Gao, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and L. Deng and Y. Duan

Handout (1.3 MB)

1511

The Impacts of Uncertainty in Air–Sea Enthalpy and Momentum Exchange Coefficients on Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Intensification

Robert G. Nystrom, The Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and F. Zhang, R. Rotunno, and C. A. Davis

1512

Testing the DTC’s Single-Column Model for Tropical Cyclone Environment

Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. Firl, M. Ek, and J. Zhang

1514

Vorticity Profiles of Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic Basin

Erica Bower, Western Connecticut State Univ., Danbury, CT; and A. Owino

1515

Reevaluating How Well Tropical Cyclone Activity Can Be Predicted over the Twentieth Century from Sea Surface Temperatures

Duo Chan, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and G. A. Vecchi and P. Huybers

1513

Evaluation of operational high resolution global ensemble forecast system for Tropical Cyclone prediction over North Indian Ocean

1516

Potential Sources of Variability in the Vortex Precession Process prior to the Onset of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification

Masashi Minamide, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and D. J. Posselt

1517

Does Tropical Cyclone Formation over the Western North Pacific Have Poleward Shifts Due to Anthropogenic Forcing?

Xiaofang Feng, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and L. Wu

1518

The JPL Tropical Cyclone Information System: A Wealth of Data for Quickly Advancing the Physical Understanding and Forecasting of Hurricanes

Svetla Hristova-Veleva, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and P. P. Li, B. Knosp, Q. A. Vu, F. J. Turk, W. L. Poulsen, Z. S. Haddad, B. H. Lambrigtsen, B. W. Stiles, T. P. J. Shen, N. Niamsuwan, S. Tanelli, O. O. Sy, H. Su, D. G. Vane, Y. Chao, P. S. Callahan, R. S. Dunbar, M. T. Montgomery, M. A. Boothe, V. Tallapragada, S. Trahan, A. Wimmers, R. Holz, J. S. Reid, F. D. Marks, T. Vukicevic, S. Bhalachandran, H. Leighton, S. Gopalakrishnan, A. Navarro, and F. J. Tapiador

1519

Multiscale Interaction and Barotropic Instability at the Subtropical High Lead to the Sudden Typhoon Recurvature in the Northwestern Pacific

X. San Liang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, China; and J. Ma and Y. Rong

1520

Synergistic Effects of Midlevel Dry Air and Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Development via Ventilation

Joshua J. Alland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Tang, K. L. Corbosiero, and G. H. Bryan

1521

Tropical Cyclones Internal Dynamics and Its Influence over the Intensity Changes: WRF Idealized Simulation in a Quiescent Environment and GOES-R IR and GLM Data Analysis

Jhayron S. Perez, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; Sistema de Alerta Temprana de Medellín y el Valle de Aburrá, Área Metropolitana del Valle de Aburrá, Medellín, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos

1522

Future Changes in a Typhoon in the Midlatitude Regions: Downscaling Simulations from d4PDF Data by Using a 4-km-Mesh Nonhydrostatic Model

Sachie Kanada, Nagoya Univ., Nagoya, Japan; and K. Tsuboki and I. Takayabu

1523

Observational Analysis on the Evolution Features of Severe Convective Rainbands of the Torrential Heavy Rain Producing Typhoon Rumbia (2018)

Shuanzhu Gao, China National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China

1524

An Investigation of Ocean–Atmospheric Interactions, Intensity Change, and Track Prediction Associated with Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Activity over the Gulf of Mexico Using Satellite Data and Numerical Modeling

Remata S. Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and D. Lu and M. Fadavi

1525

Hybrid Statistical–Dynamical Probabilistic Prediction of Hurricane Landfall Winds

Jeffrey Miller, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Norcross, GA; and C. Dickson and J. Curry

1526

Tropical Cyclone Activity under Varying SSTs in Aquaplanet Simulations

Adam C. Burnett, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and A. Sheshadri, L. Silvers, and T. E. Robinson Jr.

1527

Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) Stand-Alone Regional Model (SAR) 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Real-Time Forecasts

Jili Dong, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Liu, Z. Zhang, W. Wang, L. Zhu, C. Zhang, K. Wu, A. Hazelton, X. Zhang, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada

1529

Interactions between African Easterly Waves and Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves and the Impact on the Probability of Tropical Cyclogenesis: A Case Study of Cristobal (2014)

Krista Dotterer, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft

1532

Track-Centered Moving Grids for Tropical Cyclone Forecast Assessment in the Model Evaluation Tools (MET) Verification Package

David W. Fillmore, Boulder, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. J. Hertneky, K. M. Newman, E. A. Kalina, R. G. Bullock, M. K. Biswas, J. E. Halley Gotway, and T. L. Jensen

1528

The Characteristics of Wind and Rainfall Variation of Tropical Cyclones during Its ET Process over the Western North Pacific

1533

Observational Study of a Coastal Barrier Jet Induced by a Landfalling Tropical Cyclone

Ben Jong-Dao Jou, OAR, Taipei, Taiwan

1534

Control of the Intertropical Convergence Zone on Tropical Cyclones during Early and Late Stages of Genesis

Tsung-Lin Hsieh, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ

1530

Surface Wind Reconstructions for Hurricane Michael at Landfall with a New Parametric Model with Observational Optimization

1535

Evaluation of Independent Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendency (iSPPT) Scheme on Ensemble TC Intensity Forecasts Using HWRF