Session 6B Short Range Ensemble Forecasting

Wednesday, 27 June 2007: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Summit B (The Yarrow Resort Hotel and Conference Center)
Host: 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Michael Sestak, FNMOC, Monterey, CA

Papers:
6B.1
Short-range ensemble forecasts of high-impact weather from MOGREPS

10:45 AM
6B.1A
Time-expanded sampling for ensemble-based filter with covariance localization: assimilation experiments with a shallow-water equation model
Qin Xu, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK; and L. Wei, H. Lu, and Q. Zhao
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (448.9 kB)

11:00 AM
6B.2
Postprocessing of precipitation forecasts for new configured NCEP short-range ensemble forecasting (SREF) system
Huiling Yuan, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and NRC, Boulder, CO; and J. Du, J. A. McGinley, P. Schultz, B. Zhou, C. Lu, Z. Toth, and G. DiMego

Presentation PDF (269.9 kB)

11:15 AM
6B.3
Verification of extratropical cyclones within NCEP forecast models using an automated tracking algorithm
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University / SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Charles
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (785.0 kB)

11:30 AM
6B.4
The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed: Collaborative testing of ensemble and convection-allowing WRF models and subsequent transfer to operations at the Storm Prediction Center
Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NCEP/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Bright, J. J. Levit, M. E. Pyle, Z. I. Janjic, B. Ferrier, J. Du, M. L. Weisman, and M. Xue
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

11:45 AM
6B.5
Forecast skill and spread in small convection-resolving and large non-convection-resolving WRF model ensembles
Adam J. Clark, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr.
Recorded presentation

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