27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 14A

 Tropical Cyclone Prediction VI - Intensity
 Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter United Kingdom
3:30 PM14A.1Tropical cyclone genesis in TC-LAPS: The importance of sufficient net deep convection and system scale cyclonic absolute vorticty  extended abstract
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and N. E. Davidson and M. T. Montgomery
3:45 PM14A.2Validation of TC-LAPS structure forecasts of some significant 20042005 US hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recording
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and L. J. Rikus, R. A. Dare, C. I. W. Tingwell, and H. C. Weber
4:00 PM14A.3Statistical tropical cyclone intensity forecast improvements using GOES and aircraft reconnaissance data  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
4:15 PM14A.4On the Calculation of Vertical Shear: An Operational Perspective  extended abstract wrf recording
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Sisko and R. D. Knabb
4:30 PM14A.5Recent updates to SHIPS-MI  extended abstract
Thomas A. Jones, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil
4:45 PM14A.6On the pressure-wind relationship in tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Harry C. Weber, Univ. of Munich, Munich, Germany
5:00 PM14A.7Estimating the likelihood of rapid intensification in the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins using SHIPS model data  extended abstract wrf recording
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria
5:15 PM14A.8Equilibrium translation model a key to prediction of tropical hurricane intensity  extended abstract
Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia

Thursday, 27 April 2006: 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Regency Grand BR 4-6

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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