Session 14A |
| | Tropical Cyclone Prediction VI - Intensity |
| | Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter United Kingdom
|
| 3:30 PM | 14A.1 | Tropical cyclone genesis in TC-LAPS: The importance of sufficient net deep convection and system scale cyclonic absolute vorticty 
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and N. E. Davidson and M. T. Montgomery |
| 3:45 PM | 14A.2 | Validation of TC-LAPS structure forecasts of some significant 2004–2005 US hurricanes 
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and L. J. Rikus, R. A. Dare, C. I. W. Tingwell, and H. C. Weber |
| 4:00 PM | 14A.3 | Statistical tropical cyclone intensity forecast improvements using GOES and aircraft reconnaissance data
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO |
| 4:15 PM | 14A.4 | On the Calculation of Vertical Shear: An Operational Perspective
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Sisko and R. D. Knabb |
| 4:30 PM | 14A.5 | Recent updates to SHIPS-MI
Thomas A. Jones, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil |
| 4:45 PM | 14A.6 | On the pressure-wind relationship in tropical cyclones
Harry C. Weber, Univ. of Munich, Munich, Germany |
| 5:00 PM | 14A.7 | Estimating the likelihood of rapid intensification in the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins using SHIPS model data
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria |
| 5:15 PM | 14A.8 | Equilibrium translation model – a key to prediction of tropical hurricane intensity
Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia |