Real-Time Severe Weather Forecasts

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Monday, 3 November 2014: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Madison Ballroom (Madison Concourse Hotel)
Host: 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Chair:  Dustan M. Wheatley, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

  10:30 AM
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh: The Operational Implementation and Ongoing Research
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory/Global Systems Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, E. P. James, J. B. Olson, J. S. Kenyon, and J. M. Brown
  10:45 AM
Convective Scale Forecast for Day Two from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander and S. Benjamin
  11:00 AM
Performance of the New NCEP/EMC High-Resolution Window and NAM CONUS Nest Models for Operational Severe Weather Forecasting Applications at the Storm Prediction Center
Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, A. R. Dean, C. J. Melick, P. Marsh, M. Pyle, B. S. Ferrier, E. Aligo, E. Rogers, J. Carley, and G. DiMego
  11:15 AM
The Real-time National Severe Storms Laboratory 4-km WRF Model Ensemble
Adam Clark, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, S. R. Dembek, K. H. Knopfmeier, I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, M. C. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, C. J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., and P. T. Marsh
  11:45 AM
Deriving Hourly Severe Weather Probabilities from Convection Allowing Ensembles
James Correia Jr., NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, M. C. Coniglio, C. D. Karstens, P. Marsh, and D. A. Imy