Session 13A IFEX & HFIP I: Ensemble Forecasting and Data Assimilation

Thursday, 19 April 2012: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Champions DE (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
  1:30 PM
Prediction of tropical cyclone intensity and track using COAMPS-TC
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur, S. Chen, J. Cummings, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, C. S. Liou, J. R. Moskaitis, M. S. Peng, P. A. Reinecke, K. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang

  1:45 PM
Creation of a Statistical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. D. McNoldy and M. DeMaria

  2:45 PM
Real-time ensemble prediction and data assimilation of tropical cyclones with COAMPS-TC
P. Alexander Reinecke, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. Hodyss, J. Moskaitas, and J. Doyle

  3:15 PM
Development of a regional hybrid variational/ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation system for tropical cyclones
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and H. Winterbottom, M. Tong, and T. Vukicevic

  3:30 PM
The Experimental HWRF-HEDAS system: Using satellite and airborne observations from GRIP/PREDICT/IFEX to evaluate the model and to assess the impact of data assimilation
Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and S. Gopalakrishnan, T. Vukicevic, Z. S. Haddad, S. D. Aberson, T. Quirino, F. J. Turk, P. P. Li, B. W. Knosp, B. H. Lambrigtsen, S. L. Durden, and S. Tanelli