Session 15D Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Prediction

Friday, 20 April 2012: 10:30 AM-12:45 PM
Champions FG (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Chair:
Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
Papers:
  10:30 AM
15D.1
**An Intraseasonal Model for the Prediction of Atlantic and East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis**
Stephanie A. Slade, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. Maloney

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (530.3 kB)

  10:45 AM
15D.2
Influences of Large-Scale Climate on Whether Hurricanes Make Landfall in the United States
Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and H. Liu, S. K. Lee, and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

  11:00 AM
15D.3
**Tropical cyclone landfall on the East Asian coast from a statistical track model with ENSO-dependence**
Emmi Yonekura, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. M. Hall

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (57.2 kB)

  11:15 AM
15D.4
Multilevel modeling for seasonal hurricane prediction
Robert E. Hodges, Guy Carpenter

Recorded Presentation

  11:30 AM
15D.5
A simplified early August Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane prediction scheme
Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (114.5 kB)

  11:45 AM
15D.6
Atlantic Hurricane Forecast and Climatological Impacts: A Statistical Analysis
Siamak Daneshvaran, Aon Benfield, Chicago, IL; and M. Haji

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (730.8 kB)

  12:00 PM
15D.7
Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones in the ECMWF 32-day Ensemble Prediction System
Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Tamkang University Taiwan, New Taipei City,, Taiwan; and R. L. Elsberry and M. S. Jordan

Manuscript (452.4 kB)

  12:15 PM
15D.8
Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone by GFDL's 25-km High-Resolution Global Model
Jan-Huey Chen, NOAA GFDL / Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. J. Lin

Recorded Presentation

  12:30 PM
6B.6
Extended-range seasonal forecasts for the North Atlantic and North Pacific TCs with a hybrid dynamical-statistical model
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster and E. Christ

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