HFIP III

Thursday, 21 April 2016: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Ponce de Leon C (The Condado Hilton Plaza)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD

Papers:
8:00 AM
13A.1
Evaluating the Predictability of TC Intensity Using the HWRF Ensemble Prediction System
Ryan D. Torn, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM
13A.2
Examination of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Guidance with Multiple Dynamical Model Inputs
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria and J. Kaplan
Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM
13A.3
Evaluation of a New Ensemble Mean Weighting Technique for the 2015 GFDL Hurricane Ensemble Forecast System
Matthew J. Morin, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. P. Marchok and M. A. Bender
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
13A.4
Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Intensification with an Analog Ensemble
Luca Delle Monache, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Alessandrini, C. M. Rozoff, and W. E. Lewis
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
13A.5
Incorporating Global Model Uncertainty Information into the Monte Carlo Wind Speed Probability Model
Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
13A.6
Improving High-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Prediction using a GSI-based, Cycled, Dual Resolution Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation System for HWRF: system description and experiment results
Xu Lu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (711.5 kB)

9:30 AM
13A.7
Towards Improving Hurricane Vortex Initialization Through Assimilation of Radar and All-sky Satellite Observations
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
13A.8
Direct Assimilation of Satellite-Derived AMVs into HWRF: First Results
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, V. Tallapragada, and J. M. Daniels
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Submission entered in competition
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