Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Timothy J. Brown, DRI
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service
Narasimhan K. ("Sim") Larkin, USDA Forest Service
Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service

Compact View of Conference

Monday, 22 October 2007
3:00 PM-5:00 PM, Monday 2007, Shore Acres
Registration Begins
 
Tuesday, 23 October 2007
7:30 AM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2007, Shore Acres
Registration continues through 25 October
 
9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday 2007, The Turrets
Joint Session 1 Symposium Welcome and Northeast Fire Perspectives (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team)
Chair: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada
9:00 AMWelcoming Remarks-Timothy Brown, DRI, Reno, NV  
9:10 AMWelcoming Remarks-Tom Parent, Northeast Fire Protection Compact, China Village, ME  
9:15 AMJ1.1Background of the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact  
Tom Parent, Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact, China Village, ME
9:25 AMJ1.2Background of the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Fire Science Working Team  
Michael Ricci, Maine Forest Service, Old Town, ME
9:35 AMJ1.3Use of Fire Science in the Eastern Canadian Provinces  
Timothy Greer, Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact, Fredericton, NB, Canada
9:45 AMJ1.4Fire Weather Services for the Northeastern Compact Area  
Eric C. Evenson, NOAA/NWS, South Burlington, VT
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2007, The Turrets
Joint Session 2 Application of Weather and Climate Science to the Management of Wildland Fire (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team)
Chair: Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB Canada
10:30 AMJ2.1BehavePlus fire modeling system: past, present, and future  extended abstract wrf recording
Patricia L. Andrews, US Forest Service Research, Missoula, MT
10:45 AMJ2.2OK-FIRE: A weather-based decision support system for wildland fire managers in Oklahoma   wrf recording
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK; and R. Jabrzemski, S. Blackburn, and J. M. Wolfinbarger
11:00 AMJ2.3A Collaborative Fire Weather Training Endeavor Involving the National Weather Service and the Northeast Compact  extended abstract wrf recording
Eric C. Evenson, NOAA/NWS, South Burlington, VT; and R. J. Schiesser and S. Hogan
11:15 AMJ2.4Climatology of fire danger from the North American Regional Reanalysis dataset   wrf recording
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and W. M. Jolly
11:30 AMJ2.5The BlueSky smoke modeling framework: current status and ongoing development  
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and D. Sullivan, D. Pryden, S. Raffuse, R. Solomon, L. Chinkin, and C. Ovard
11:45 AMJ2.6Assessment of New Hampshire red flag criteria   wrf recording
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and J. Kennedy
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday 2007
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 1 Impacts of Weather and Climate on Wildfire
Chair: Valerie M. L. Trouet, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Birmensdorf Switzerland
1:30 PM1.1Climate and predictability of Alaskan wildfires   wrf recording
Peter Bieniek, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and M. Shulski and G. Wendler
1:45 PM1.2Correlation between wildfire statistical datas, weather parameters, and climate  extended abstract wrf recording
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard
2:00 PM1.3Weather seasonality and pattern of thermochemical properties in Mediterranean vegetation  extended abstract wrf recording
Grazia Pellizzaro, CNR - Institute of Biometeorology, Sassari, Italy; and C. Cesaraccio, P. Duce, A. Ventura, and P. Zara
2:15 PM1.4Determination of weather parameters used to predict fire behavior and growth   wrf recording
Laurie L. Kurth, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and C. McHugh and L. T. Hollingsworth
2:30 PM1.5Predictability of sea surface temperatures for fire danger   wrf recording
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and J. R. Banta and B. L. Hall
2:45 PM1.6Multi-decadal variability of fire weather and fire extent in northern California and Oregon   wrf recording
Valerie M. L. Trouet, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland; and A. H. Taylor, A. M. Carleton, and C. N. Skinner
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 2 Climate Change
Chair: Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV
3:30 PM2.1Recent large-scale forest fires in boreal forests and climate change -Discussion based on weather data in Alaska and Sakha-  extended abstract wrf recording
Hiroshi Hayasaka, Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan; and M. Fukuda, K. Kushida, R. Jandt, and F. Alexander
3:45 PM2.2Climate change and bushfire weather in southeast Australia   wrf recording
Chris Lucas, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
4:00 PM2.3Forest fire emissions under climate change: impacts on air quality  extended abstract wrf recording
Anabela Carvalho, Univ. of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal; and A. Monteiro, M. D. Flannigan, V. Martins, A. I. Miranda, and C. Borrego
4:15 PM2.4Effects of climate change on forest fires over North America and impact on U.S. air quality and visibility   wrf recording
Rynda C. Hudman, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and D. V. Spracklen, J. A. Logan, L. J. Mickley, R. M. Yevich, M. D. Flannigan, and A. L. Westerling
4:30 PM2.5Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest  extended abstract wrf recording
M.D. Flannigan, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste Marie, Ontario, Canada; and B. J. Stocks, M. Turetsky, and B. M. Wotton
4:45 PM2.6Future climate and the Haines Index as simulated by the NCAR CCSM3.0 general circulation model   wrf recording
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. A. Winkler, H. Prawiranata, K. Piromsopa, and X. Bian
5:00 PM2.7Assessing climate change and fire danger   wrf recording
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; and W. M. Jolly and B. L. Hall
 
5:15 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 3 Poster Introductions
Presider: Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Tuesday 2007, Wingwood
Poster Session 1 Formal Poster Reviewing with Icebreaker Reception
Chair: Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
 P1.1Large forest fires in Canada and the relationship to global sea surface temperatures  
Walter Skinner, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and A. Shabbar, M. Flannigan, and K. Logan
 P1.2A bio-geophysical model of Net Primary Productivity from the climatologic chart concept  
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard
 P1.3The impact of climate change on fire weather as predicted by a regional climate model  
Xindi Bian, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and B. Potter, H. Prawiranata, K. Piromsopa, and J. A. Winkler
 P1.4Regional Climate Change Impact on Fire Regimes in Midwest and Eastern United States  
Xindi Bian, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and W. E. Heilman, S. Zhong, and J. A. Winkler
 P1.5Correlation between remotely sensed fire intensity and fuel consumption in California chaparral – a case study  extended abstract
David R. Weise, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and P. J. Riggan
 P1.6West Texas Mesonet observations in proximity to a dangerous wildfire and wind shift interactions  
Kenneth R. Widelski, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX; and T. T. Lindley
 P1.7Fire intensity in moderate drought conditions: effect on topsoil properties in Mediterranean shrubland vegetation  extended abstract
Annalisa Canu, Institute of Biometeorology, Sassari, Italy; and B. Arca, G. Ghiglieri, D. Pittalis, M. Deroma, A. Ventura, and A. Arca
 P1.8Application of climatologic chart concepts to a new classification of climates and to climatic change studies  
Michel L. Bernard, Université de provence, Marseille, France; and L. G. Bernard
 P1.9Moisture measures and their correlations with wildland fire in the Lake States  
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. J. Charney
 P1.10Use of FARSITE simulator to produce fire probability maps in a Mediterranean area  extended abstract
Bachisio Arca, National Research Council of Italy, Sassari, Italy; and V. Bacciu, P. Duce, G. Pellizzaro, M. Salis, and D. Spano
 P1.11Forest fires detected by using doppler weather radar  
Kehui Huang, Wenzhou Meteorological Bureau, Wenzhou City, Zhejiang, China; and F. Gu, F. Zhao, J. Zhu, B. Zhou, H. Xie, and J. Zhong
 P1.12A journey down under: Operational fire weather forecasting exchange for the 2006-2007 fire season  
Heath Hockenberry, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID; and R. Hicks and R. Ochoa
 P1.13A review of 2006 fire weather support – A record year  
Larry Van Bussum, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID; and R. Lamoni
 P1.14Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications  
Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
 P1.15Climate in the context of Wildland Fire Use: Windows of opportunity  
Crystal A. Kolden, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
 P1.16Stereo Photo Series for Quantifying Natural Fuels Volume VIII: Hardwood, Pitch Pine, and Red Spruce/Balsam Fir Types in the Northeastern United States  
Clinton S. Wright, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA; and R. D. Ottmar and R. E. Vihnanek
 P1.17The MJO-Lightning Connection: Understanding Intraseasonal Variations in Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Strikes over the Continental US  
John T. Abatzoglou, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
 
Wednesday, 24 October 2007
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 4 Field Studies
Chair: Randall P. Benson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD
8:30 AM4.1Field evaluation of PB-Piedmont, a mesoscale nighttime smoke dispersion model, for application to Oklahoma landscapes   wrf recording
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK; and G. L. Achtemeier
8:45 AM4.2Rapid Response Field Observations in Support of Improving BlueSky Smoke Predictions   wrf recording
Candace Krull, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Rorig, S. Larkin, and R. Solomon
9:00 AM4.3An overview of the FireFlux experiment   wrf recording
Craig B. Clements, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA
9:15 AM4.4Plume moisture enhancement observed during FireFlux   wrf recording
Caroline Kiefer, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and C. B. Clements and B. Potter
9:30 AM4.5Turbulent kinetic energy and fire-induced winds observed during FireFlux   wrf recording
Craig B. Clements, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and S. Zhong, W. E. Heilman, X. Bian, and S. L. Goodrick
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Wednesday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-11:45 AM, Wednesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 5 Improvements to Fire Danger and Fire Behavior Systems I
Chair: Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI
10:15 AM5.1Determination of equilibrium moisture content for several fine fuels in Hawaii  extended abstract wrf recording
David R. Weise, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
10:30 AM5.2The application of radar-derived precipitation and LAPS gridded analyses to real-time fire weather index maps for the state of Michigan   wrf recording
Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and R. H. Ziel and X. Bian
10:45 AM5.3Fire behavior and fire danger systems—the evolution continues   wrf recording
Patricia L. Andrews, US Forest Service Research, Missoula, MT
11:00 AM5.4Assessment of an integrated fire rating index for Sardinia, Italy   wrf recording
Costantino Sirca, Univ. of Sassari, Sassari, Italy; and D. Spano and P. Duce
11:15 AM5.5Validation of fire danger from the North American Regional Reanalysis dataset   wrf recording
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and W. M. Jolly
11:30 AM5.6OPERATIONAL FOREST FIRE-GROWTH PREDICTIONS FOR CANADA  extended abstract wrf recording
Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield and J. Little
 
11:45 AM-1:15 PM, Wednesday 2007, Kebo
Luncheon with Guest Speaker Deb Dyer
Speaker: Deb Dyer, Bar Harbor Historical Society, Bar Harbor, ME
11:45 AM1The Fire of '47  
Deb Dyer, Bar Harbor Historical Society, Bar Harbor, ME
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 6 Smoke Management and Air Quality
Chair: Narasimhan K. ("Sim") Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
1:15 PM6.1Real-time smoke prediction systems  
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
1:30 PM6.2Modeling the air quality effects of the 2007 south Georgia wildfires with SHRMC-4S   wrf recording
Yongqiang Liu, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA; and S. L. Goodrick, G. L. Achtemeier, J. Qu, and L. Naeher
1:45 PM6.3Spatial/temporal characteristics of air quality prediction errors in the Bluesky modeling framework  extended abstract wrf recording
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and K. S. Lii and S. Chen
2:00 PM6.4Reconcilation of satellite detected and ground reported fire information  
Sean Raffuse, Sonoma Technologies, Petaluma, CA; and N. K. Larkin, A. Soja, R. Solomon, D. Sullivan, and L. Chinkin
2:15 PM6.5Estimating the contribution of forest fire emissions to ozone peaks during a 14-20 July 2005 prescribed fire escape in central California using CMAQ modeling system   wrf recording
Tesfamichael Ghidey, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
2:30 PM6.6Automated verification of the BlueSky smoke modeling framework   wrf recording
Robert Solomon, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. O'Neill and J. Vaughan
2:45 PM6.7The 2003 fire season in Portugal: impacts on air quality  extended abstract wrf recording
Ana Isabel Miranda, Univ. of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal; and A. Monteiro, V. Martins, A. Carvalho, and C. Borrego
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday 2007, The Turrets
Session 7 Fire-Atmosphere Interactions and Coupled Modeling
Chair: Scott L. Goodrick, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA
3:30 PM7.1The Esperanza Fire: Comparison of coupled atmosphere-fire model simulation and FireMapper thermal imaging data   wrf recording
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Fujioka, C. Jones, and P. J. Riggan
3:45 PM7.2Mesoscale model simulations of the meteorological conditions during the 2 June 2002 Double Trouble State Park wildfire   wrf recording
Joseph J. Charney, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and D. Keyser
4:00 PM7.3Effect of Vertical Wind Shear on the Grassfire Evolution  extended abstract wrf recording
Mary Ann Jenkins, York Univ., Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. Sun, S. K. Krueger, J. J. Charney, and M. A. Zulauf
4:15 PM7.4A rule-based fire spread model for simulating prescribed burns  extended abstract wrf recording
Gary L. Achtemeier, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA
7.5Applying FIRETEC to real world wildfire scenarios  
Judith L. Winterkamp, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and R. R. Linn, W. S. Smith, S. P. Brumby, and J. A. Sauer
7.6Influence of wind variations and fluctuations on fire behavior in FIRETEC simulations  
Rodman R. Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. M. Canfield, P. Cunningham, F. Pimont, J. A. Sauer, and J. L. Winterkamp
4:30 PM7.7The dynamics of fire interactions: Simulations of multiple fire lines using FIRETEC  
Brandon S. Daly, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and P. Cunningham, J. K. Hiers, R. R. Linn, and J. A. Sauer
4:45 PM7.8Modeling buoyant plumes: Fundamentals and applications  
Philip Cunningham, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. L. Goodrick and M. J. Reeder
 
Thursday, 25 October 2007
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday 2007, The Turrets
Session 8 Fire Behavior, Spread and Emissions Impacts
Chair: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA
8:30 AM8.1Evolution of turbulent kinetic energy and the Haines Index during wildfires in the north central and northeastern U.S  
Warren E. Heilman, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and X. Bian
8:45 AM8.2Using high-resolution weather data to predict fire spread using the FARSITE simulator—a case study in California chaparral  extended abstract wrf recording
David R. Weise, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and S. C. Chen, P. J. Riggan, C. Jones, B. W. Butler, and F. M. Fujioka
9:00 AM8.3The structure and evolution of terrain-induced meteorological features influencing the Alberta and Mack Lake wildfire environments   wrf recording
Brian J. Miretzky, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin and B. Potter
9:15 AM8.4Determining carbon emissions from Siberian fires using the Canadian and Russian Fire Danger Rating Systems   wrf recording
Douglas J. McRae, Canadian Forest Service, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada; and J. Z. Jin, Y. Q. Yang, S. P. Baker, S. G. Conard, B. J. Stocks, and A. I. Sukhinin
9:30 AM8.5Mercury emissions and dispersion from the 2007 south Georgia wildfires   wrf recording
Scott L. Goodrick, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA; and Y. Liu, R. J. DiCosty, M. A. Callaham, and J. A. Stanturf
9:45 AM8.6Exploratory study of energy distribution and evolution for wildfires   wrf recording
Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
10:30 AM-11:45 AM, Thursday 2007, The Turrets
Session 9 Improvements to Fire Danger and Fire Behavior Systems II
Chair: J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State Univ., Stillwater, OK
10:30 AM9.1A model for estimating evapotranspiration of natural ecosystems   wrf recording
R. L. Snyder, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and D. Spano, C. Sirca, V. Bacciu, and P. Duce
10:45 AM9.2A model to predict red flag warning days  extended abstract wrf recording
Randall P. Benson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and G. W. Carbin
11:00 AM9.3Spatial/temporal analysis of fire spread modeling errors   wrf recording
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and C. Jones and P. J. Riggan
11:15 AM9.4Development and implementation of a uniform national verification system for the 7-day significant fire potential product   wrf recording
Hauss J. Reinbold, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
11:30 AM9.5Stochastic modeling of fire at daily time steps from mesoscale meteorology  
Donald McKenzie, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and N. K. Larkin, S. O'Neill, R. Norheim, and J. S. Littel
 
11:45 AM-1:15 PM, Thursday 2007
Lunch Break
 
1:15 PM-2:45 PM, Thursday 2007, The Turrets
Session 10 Forecasting
Chair: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center, Boise, ID
1:15 PM10.1Fire Danger Applications of NCEP's Downscaled CFS Forecasts   wrf recording
J. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and P. Tripp, H. M. H. Juang, J. Wang, S. Chen, and F. Fujioka
10.2Critical fire weather events during the Australian summer fires of 2006-7  
Graham A. Mills, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
1:30 PM10.2AEight years of seasonal climate forecasting for the wildfire management community   wrf recording
Klaus E. Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
1:45 PM10.3Significant Errors in Numerical Weather Predictions Prior to the New Year's Day 2006 Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak  extended abstract wrf recording
T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and M. R. Conder and G. P. Murdoch
2:00 PM10.4A meteorological composite of the 2005/06 wildfire outbreaks in the Southern Plains  extended abstract wrf recording
T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Guyer, G. P. Murdoch, S. R. Nagle, K. Schneider, and G. Skwira
2:15 PM10.5Using the BlueSky Smoke Modeling Framework in Decision Support for Landscape-scale Prescribed Burn Operations   wrf recording
Miriam Rorig, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and R. Solomon, C. Krull, and J. Peterson
2:30 PM10.6Predicting fire weather severity using seasonal forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield and R. Carr
 
2:45 PM-3:15 PM, Thursday 2007, Wingwood
Coffee Break
 
3:15 PM-4:45 PM, Thursday 2007, The Turrets
Workshops Session 1 Directions in Fire and Forest Meteorology Research
Moderator: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada
 
4:45 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2007, The Turrets
Joint Session 3 Symposium Closing (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology and the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team)
Presiders: Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, Nevada; Brian Potter, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
 
Friday, 26 October 2007
8:30 AM-12:30 PM, Friday 2007
Breakfast with Tour of Acadia National Park (tickets available until 12 noon Wednesday October 24)
 

Browse the complete program of The Seventh Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology joint with the Northeast Forest Fire Protection Compact Forest Science Working Team (23-25 October 2007)