84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 23: Ensemble Forecasting: Part II (ROOM 605/606)

Thursday, 15 January 2004: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM
Room 605/606
Chair:  Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington
Papers:
  1:30 PM
An Eta model precipitation type mini-ensemble for winter weather forecasting
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. F. Brill and B. Ferrier

  1:45 PM
An investigation of the mesoscale predictability over the Northeast U.S
Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Jones, J. S. Tongue, and J. B. Olson

  2:00 PM
CONSTRUCTION OF AN ENSEMBLE OF FORECASTS USING ADJOINT-DERIVED SENSITIVITIES
Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. T. Kleist

  2:15 PM
Evaluation of Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts during the SPC/NSSL 2003 Spring Program
Jason J. Levit, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud, D. R. Bright, and S. J. Weiss

  2:30 PM
Flow-Dependent Calibration of Ensemble Spread Using Forecast Spectra
Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Baumhefner

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
  2:45 PM
High-Resolution Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts of the March 28, 2000 Fort Worth Tornadic Storms
Nicki L. Levit, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier and F. Kong

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)