84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 21: Ensemble Forecasting: Part I (ROOM 605/606)

Thursday, 15 January 2004: 11:00 AM-12:15 PM
Room 605/606
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Chair:  Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington
Papers:
  11:00 AM
21.1
Performance of ensemble forecasts with multiple versions of NCEP's GFS model
Dingchen Hou, SAIC at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, Y. Zhu, and R. Wobus

  Recorded presentation
  11:15 AM
21.2
On the need for perturbed LBCs in limited-area ensemble forecasts
Paul Nutter, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and D. Stensrud

Poster PDF (2.1 MB)
  11:30 AM
21.3
The NOAA/NWS/NCEP Short Range Eensemble Forecast (SREF) System: Evaluation of an Initial Condition Ensemble vs. Multiple Model Physics Ensemble Approach
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. McQueen, G. DiMego, T. Black, H. Juang, E. Rogers, B. Ferrier, B. Zhou, Z. Toth, and S. Tracton

Poster PDF (426.3 kB)
  11:45 AM
21.4
A non-linear fuzzy set technique for combining precipitation forecasts
Brian P. Mackey, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (188.5 kB)
  12:00 PM
21.5
Ensemble methods for seasonal limited-area forecasts
Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and E. al

Poster PDF (474.2 kB)
See more of: 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
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