87th AMS Annual Meeting

Joint Session 5: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research

Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Monday, 15 January 2007

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 15 January 2007


Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day)
Location: Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center

Tuesday, 16 January 2007

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


Panel Discussion 1
Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 1
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment
Panelists: Peter Park, University of Massachusetts; James Kunde, University of Texas at Arlington; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART

Papers:
  1:30 PM
2.1
Introduction
Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA

  2:00 PM
2.3
  2:15 PM
2.4
Kristina Peterson
Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART, New Orleans, LA

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


1
Policy and socio-economic research methodology and applications
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: William Hooke, AMS Policy Program; Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment

Papers:
  3:30 PM
1.1
Working at the boundary: facilitating communication in climate change adaptation research
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. Tryhorn, R. Abramson, and L. V. Alexander

  4:15 PM
1.4
Sensitivity of the United States Economy to Weather Variability
Jeffrey K. Lazo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Larsen and D. Waldman

  4:30 PM
1.5
What We Know About Tornado Casualties and How to Reduce Them
Daniel Sutter, University of Texas - Pan American, Edinburg, TX; and K. M. Simmons

  4:45 PM
1.6
  5:00 PM
1.7
Defining "usable" science
Lisa Dilling, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Lemos

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007


Panel Discussion 2
Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 2
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment
Panelists: Peter Park, University of Massachusetts; James Kunde, University of Texas at Arlington; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART

Wednesday, 17 January 2007

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Joint Session 1
Town Hall Meeting (Joint between Sixth Communications and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Communications Workshop; and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Papers:

10:30 AM-11:15 AM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Joint Session 3
Communicating Uncertainty (Joint with 2nd Policy Symposium, 35th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology and 6th Communications Workshop)
Location: 205 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 35th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology; the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Sixth Communications Workshop )
Chair: Veronica Johnson, NBC4

Papers:
  10:45 AM
Weather[sic] or Not we Know for Sure
Timothy A. Cohn, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA

  11:00 AM
7-Day, 10-Day, 14-Day Forecasts: How far can we go?
Glenn Schwartz, NBC10 - Philadelphia, Bala Cynwyd, PA

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Joint Panel Discussion 1
Is Any Number Better Than No Number? (Joint between Sixth Communications, 35th Broadcast Conference, and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research)
Location: 205 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 35th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology; the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Sixth Communications Workshop )
Moderator: Veronica Johnson, NBC4
Panelists: Larry Rickel, The Broadcast Image Group; Stephanie Rickel, The Broadcast Image Group; Patrick McCreery, News Director, KPTV; Gary Koelfgen, KABB-TV

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


2
characterizing and communicating policy & socio-economic information
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Genene Fisher, AMS Policy Program; Roger Pulwarty, NOAA/CIRES/CDC

Papers:
  1:45 PM
2.2
  2:00 PM
2.3
Seaside, Oregon, Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment Pilot Study
Paula Dunbar, NOAA/National Geophysical Data Center, Boulder, CO; and D. Dominey-Howes and J. Varner

  2:15 PM
2.4
Communicating surge information
Betty Hearn Morrow, SocResearch Miami, Miami, FL

  2:30 PM
Coffee Break

  4:45 PM
2.8
Societal and Economic Research and Applications priorities for the North American THORPEX program
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo, H. Brooks, B. Brown, P. Ganderton, and B. Mills

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Poster Session 1
Policy and socio-economic research posters
Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research

Papers:
 
The impact of climate change on global wind trends and wind resource assessment
Glenn E. Van Knowe, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack, K. T. Waight, and M. Brower

 
Forging a Public-Private Partnership Through Adult Education
Daphne S. LaDue, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. L. Heinselman, E. R. Johnson, J. Toohey-Morales, P. W. Thomas, and E. A. Mahoney


Joint Poster Session 4
Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather)
Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather; the Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability; and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Papers:
 
Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich

Poster PDF (331.3 kB)
 
An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity
Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie

 
Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A

 
The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo

 
Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier

 
Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation
J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien

 
Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat
Cynthia A. Van Den Broeke, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson

Poster PDF (861.2 kB)
 
Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin

 
A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer

 
Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith

 
Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie

 
Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall
Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)
 
Trends towards wetter hurricane basins
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote

 
Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm

Poster PDF (819.9 kB)
 
The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

 
The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas
Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie Sr. and H. Sharif

 
Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin

 
Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

 
Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest

 
Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart

 
Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown

 
ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler

 
Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos

Poster PDF (61.3 kB)

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007


Panel Discussion 3
Panel on Participatory Action Research methodology and applications Part 3
Location: 209 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsor: Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Moderator: Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment
Panelists: James Kunde, Univ. of Texas; Peter Park, University of Massachusetts; Kristina Peterson, University of New Orleans- CHART

Thursday, 18 January 2007

8:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007


Joint Session 5
intersection between climate change policy and economics (Joint between the 2nd Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, 16th Conference on Applied Climatology, and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Location: 214C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the 16th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Cochairs: Mathew Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts; Anthony Socci, AMS Policy Program

Papers:
  8:30 AM
  8:45 AM
The Role of Boundary Organizations in the Dissemination of Climate Information to Support Agricultural Production in Argentina
Alejandra Celis, CENTRO Estudios Sociales y Ambientales, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. G. Caputo and G. Podesta

  9:00 AM
A Climate Services Division-A Second Look
Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
Individual Decision-Making: Where Climate and Policy Meet
Guillermo Podesta, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. U. Weber, F. Bert, D. Letson, C. A. Laciana, M. Re, and A. N. Menendez

  9:45 AM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

  11:00 AM
  11:30 AM
Next steps for the AMS symposia on policy and socio-economic research
William Hooke, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC