8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts

Program Chair: Pam Emch , Northrop Grumman

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- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 17 January 2010

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010


Annual Meeting Registration Begins

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010


Weatherfest

Monday, 18 January 2010

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Registration Open

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Presidential Forum
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2 (GWCC)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Lunch Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010


Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

Tuesday, 19 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
The New Energy Economy
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Jon Davis, Chesapeake Energy Corporation
  8:30 AM
J3.1
The New Energy Economy Invited Speaker
Steve Messner, Environ Corp., Novato, CA
  8:45 AM
J3.2
The Role of Atmospheric Science in Renewable Energy Usage
Betsy Weatherhead, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
  9:15 AM
J3.4
Global Energy Use and Options for Renewable Economic Growth
Hugo A. Loaiciga, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA
  9:30 AM
J3.5
Space-based Earth observations: Informing energy management decision making
Richard S. Eckman, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and P. W. Stackhouse Jr.

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Applied Studies
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Jon Davis, Chesapeake Energy Corporation
  11:00 AM
J5.1
Improvements in NOAA modeling and data assimilation to improve guidance for the renewable energy industry
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, J. B. Olson, J. Wilczak, R. Banta, G. DiMego, and F. Weng
  11:15 AM
J5.2
Knowledge Discovery and Dissemination for Climate Extremes and Uncertainty
Auroop R. Ganguly, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and K. Steinhaeuser, A. Sorokine, E. Parish, S. C. Kao, N. Singh, and M. L. Branstetter

  11:30 AM
J5.3
  11:45 AM
J5.4
Impacts of climate change on global wind energy resources
Scott J. Eichelberger, 3TIER, Inc., Seattle, WA; and A. W. Wood, B. Nijssen, and K. J. Westrick

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010


Exhibits Open
Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010


Kuettner Symposium Luncheon
Location: B208 (GWCC)
  12:00 PM
B1.1
Joach Kuettner—A Man in Love with the Sky
Einar Enevoldson, The Perlan Project, Emeryville, CA


Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Energy Supply and Demand
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Stephen Bennett, EarthRisk Technologies
  1:30 PM
J6.1
Energy Supply & Demand Invited Speaker
Josh Logsdon, Round Rock Energy LLC, Cincinnati, OH
  1:45 PM
J6.2
  2:00 PM
J6.3
  2:15 PM
J6.4
Forecasting extreme cold snaps in the Northeast: Weather and Climate
Alexander Gershunov, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and K. Guirguis and S. Bennett
  2:30 PM
J6.5
Influence of ENSO on renewable U.S. energy supply
Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
  2:45 PM
J6.6
Improving long-range hydropower forecasts in snowmelt dominated basins
Mark T. Jelinek, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA; and R. D. Garreaud

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Wind Energy
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Jerry H. Crescenti, Iberdrola Renewables
  3:30 PM
J7.1
  3:45 PM
J7.2
Modeling the Atmospheric Boundary Layer for Wind Power
Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and F. J. Zajaczkowski and K. J. Schmehl
  4:00 PM
J7.3
Using AWS-WeatherBug observations and the WRF-ARW model for wind energy applications
Elena Novakovskaia, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and H. Centola and L. A. Treinish

  4:15 PM
J7.4
Gravity wave effects on wind farm efficiency
Ronald B. Smith, Yale University, New Haven, CT
  4:30 PM
J7.5
Estimating threshold confidence for wind energy production
Ethan Cook, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Morrissey
  4:45 PM
J7.6
Lidar measurements as an alternative to traditional anemometry in Wind Energy research
Yelena Pichugina, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Banta and N. D. Kelley
  5:00 PM
J7.7
Applications of scanning Doppler Lidar for the wind energy industry
Rod Frehlich, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and N. D. Kelley
  5:15 PM
J7.8

Wednesday, 20 January 2010

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Wind Energy: Applied Modeling and Forecasting I
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Kathleen E. Moore, Integrated Environmental Data, LLC
  8:30 AM
J9.1
Speaker for Wind Engergy Invited Speaker
Donald Furman, Iberdrola Renewables, Portland, OR
  9:00 AM
J9.3
  9:15 AM
J9.5
  9:45 AM
J9.6
Using a large eddy simulation model to simulate wakes from large wind projects
John Manobianco, AWS Truewind LLC, Albany, NY; and P. Beaucage, C. Alonge, and M. C. Brower

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Wind Energy: Applied Modeling and Forecasting II
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc.
  10:30 AM
J10.1
A Community Wind Energy Project in Rural Albany County, New York State
Kathleen E. Moore, Integrated Environmental Data, Berne, NY; and L. W. Pruskowski
  11:00 AM
J10.3
What really happened in Altona?
Elena Novakovskaia, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and L. A. Treinish and A. Praino

  11:15 AM
J10.4
Peak load matching and the offshore wind resource
Jeffrey M. Freedman, AWS Truewind LLC, Albany, NY; and B. H. Bailey, J. Manobianco, K. T. Waight, J. W. Zack, and M. Brower
  11:30 AM
J10.5
Multiple satellite blended sea surface winds and their applications to offshore renewable energy
Huai-Min Zhang, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Reynolds and J. J. Sturman
  11:45 AM
J10.6
A green roof demonstration project
Richard D. Clark, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and J. Price and J. Dougherty

11:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


Exhibits Open

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 1
Panel Discussion - NPOESS and GOES-R User Community (DoD, NOAA, NASA) Applications
Location: B313 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the 6th Annual Symposium on Future National Operational Environmental Satellite Systems-NPOESS and GOES-R; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Moderator: William Hooke, AMS
Panelists: Mary E. Kicza, NOAA/NESDIS; Robert Winokur, Oceanographer of the Navy; Fred Lewis, Director of Weather, Air Force Pentagon; Dr. Jack Hayes, NOAA/NWS; Lars Peter Riishojgaard, JCSDA; Lars Prahm, EUMETSAT
Cochairs: Michael L. Jamilkowski, Raytheon Intelligence and Information Systems; Hal Bloom, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office
  12:00 PM
JPD1.1
Satellite User Community
Mary E. Kicza, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD
  12:15 PM
JPD1.2
NPOESS
Robert Winokur, Oceanographer of the Navy, Washington, D.C., DC
  12:30 PM
JPD1.3
  12:45 PM
JPD1.4
NPOESS: Panel Discussion
Lars Peter Riishojgaard, Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation, College Park, MD
  1:00 PM
JPD1.5
EUMETSAT
Lars Prahm, EUMETSAT, D-64205 Darmstadt, Germany

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Issues on the Grid
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Russell L. Bigley, Xcel Energy
  1:30 PM
J11.1
Climate Change Impacts on Residential and Commercial Loads in the Western U.S. Grid
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and N. Lu, T. Z. Taylor, W. Jiang, J. Correia, and P. Wong
  1:45 PM
J11.2
Using multiple linear regression to develop a plant damage model for a major utility company
Brian J. Cerruti, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ; and S. G. Decker
  2:00 PM
J11.3
Statistical Solution to Forecasting Electric Power Outages Caused by Severe Storms
Hongfei Li, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Joint Poster Session
New Energy Economy Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
 
497
Risk analysis for a mixed wind farm and solar power plant portfolio
Heinz-Theo Mengelkamp, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and D. Bendel, D. Obst, and R. Meyerhof

 
498
Development of a wind resource map based on mesoscale model WRF over the Korean Peninsula
Young-Jean Choi, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and J. Y. Byon and B. K. Seo

 
499
Incorporating weather into the Smart Grid
James H. Block, Telvent DTN, Minneapolis, MN

 
500
Avoiding "subprime" carbon—applying lessons learnt from the current financial crisis to the carbon derivatives market
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Cornall-Reilly and P. McBride

Handout (133.5 kB)

 
501
Numerical simulation of wind power potential in Upstate New York
Robert J. Ballentine, SUNY, Oswego, NY; and S. Steiger and D. B. Phoenix

Handout (839.9 kB)

 
502
Seasonal predictability of energy-relevant weather/climate variables
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry

 
503
Improved capabilities for siting wind farms and mitigating impacts on RADAR observations
Steven R. Chiswell, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC

Handout (2.2 MB)

 
504
Extreme winds and trends in the U.S
Jeffrey M. Freedman, AWS Truewind LLC, Albany, NY; and N. D. Babij, D. Bernadette, and M. C. Brower

 
505
 
506
Operational evaluation of a meso-scale weather and outage prediction service for electric utility operations
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and A. P. Praino, H. Li, E. Novakovskaia, J. M. Drexel, R. Derech, and B. Hertell

Handout (1.1 MB)

 
507
Weather-driven characteristics of a reliable national renewable energy system
Alexander E. MacDonald, OAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Alexander

 
508
A Plan of Satellite Data Assimilation in Supports of Renewable Energy Forecasts
Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and M. D. Goldberg

 
509
The impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on the U.S. Wind Resource
Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Barrie

 
511
Collective effects of large scale wind energy
Amanda S. Adams, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and D. W. Keith

 
512
California's wind energy resource: seasonal cycle, synoptic and diurnal characteristics, and variability
David K. Mansbach, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. R. Cayan

 
513
Tornadoes, Thomson, and turbulence: an analogous perspective on tornadogenesis and coherent structure in the atmosphere
Marcus L. Büker, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL; and G. J. Tripoli

Handout (810.3 kB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Solar Energy
Location: B202 (GWCC)
Hosts: (Joint between the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 8th Users Forum on Weather and Climate Impacts )
Chair: Heidi Centola, CME Group
  4:00 PM
J12.1
Speaker for Solar Invited Speaker
Richard Perez, SUNY/Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, Albany, NY

  4:15 PM
J12.2
Proposal for a solar and aerosol optical depth network for the United States
Joseph J. Michalsky, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and E. G. Dutton and T. Stoffel
  4:30 PM
J12.3
Short-Term Solar Radiation Forecasts in Support of Smart Grid Technology
George D. Modica, AER, Inc, Lexington, MA; and R. d'Entremont, E. Mlawer, and G. Gustafson
  4:45 PM
J12.4
Global Wind and Solar Energy Estimate and Forecasting
Quanhua Liu, Dell Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng and M. Goldberg
  5:00 PM
J12.5
GOES-based solar energy prediction products for decision makers
Steven D. Miller, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. Combs, S. Kidder, A. K. Heidinger, M. Sengupta, J. Knaff, D. W. Hillger, R. Brummer, and I. Laszlo
  5:15 PM
J12.6
Improved forecasts of cloud fraction due to shallow cumuli
Larry K. Berg, PNNL, Richland, WA; and W. I. Gustafson Jr. and E. I. Kassianov

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010


AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4 (GWCC)

Thursday, 21 January 2010

7:30 AM-8:30 AM: Thursday, 21 January 2010


Washington Symposium Breakfast
Location: B208 (GWCC)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 21 January 2010


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

9:45 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010


Exhibits Open

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010


Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010


AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns