92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Poster Session Probability and Statistics Posters

Wednesday, 25 January 2012: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Hall E (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Barb G. Brown and Barbara Brown, NCARMarina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS
The Rarity of the 1938 New England Hurricane As a Case of Extratropical Transition
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Climatology of Severe Weather Outbreaks
Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. G. Hollingsworth, C. A. Doswell III, A. E. Mercer, L. M. Leslie, and M. B. Richman
Manuscript (2.5 MB)

Poster PDF (4.5 MB)

Need to Document Extreme Precipitation Events and Revisit PMP for Federal Nuclear Power Plants and Dam Design
Victoria Lynn Sankovich, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. England and R. J. Caldwell

Evaluating Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasts in Four Global Models
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg, R. E. Hart, J. Cossuth, and R. Truchelut

Assessing and Comparing Real-Time Northeast Pacific Atmospheric River IWV and IVT Intensities Provided by Model (GFS) and Satellite (SSM/I, SSMIS) Using DTC 's MET/MODE Object Attributes
Wallace L. Clark, Science Technology Corporation and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Wick, E. I. Tollerud, T. L. Jensen, J. H. Gotway, E. Sukovich, and H. Yuan
Manuscript (792.1 kB)

Poster PDF (537.0 kB)

Impact of Ensemble Initial Perturbation From Different Cyclings and Rescaling for NCEP GEFS
Juhui Ma, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and D. Hou

Errors in Error Variance Prediction and Ensemble Post-Processing
Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. H. Bishop

Poster PDF (275.3 kB)

Verification of Oklahoma Weather Lab Student Forecasts From 2009 to 2011
David John Gagne II, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. A. Supinie, A. J. MacKenzie, A. D. Losey, and B. R. Smith

Verification of Ensemble River Forecasts At Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center
Andrew Philpott, NOAA/NWS/Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, State College, PA; and P. Wnek and J. D. Brown
Manuscript (544.4 kB)

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)