92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 11 Ensemble Prediction 2

Thursday, 26 January 2012: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
Room 238 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
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Cochairs:  David A. Peterson, University of NebraskaBarb G. Brown and Eric Gilleland, NCAR
Papers:
  3:30 PM
11.1
Probabilistic Verification of Global and Mesoscale Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclogenesis
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Torn
Recorded Presentation

  3:45 PM
11.2
Evaluation of Ensembles of Opportunity Available During Hazardous Weather Testbed 2011 Spring Experiment
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and B. J. Etherton, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, C. J. Melick, F. Kong, M. Xue, M. C. Coniglio, J. S. Kain, M. Harrold, and G. DiMego
Recorded Presentation

  4:00 PM
11.3
Tropical cyclone probabilistic prediction through multi-model ensemble forecasts
Jiayi Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
Recorded Presentation

  4:15 PM
11.4
Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones Using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry
Recorded Presentation

  4:30 PM
11.5
Cluster Analysis of a WRF Mesoscale Ensemble Data Assimilation System
Logan C. Dawson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and N. Yussouf
Recorded Presentation

  4:45 PM
11.6
Sensitivity Analysis of Hurricane Evacuation Costs in Florida
Michael Lowe, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Young and J. L. Evans

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