Program: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification (93rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Program Chair: Daniel Breed , NCAR/RAL

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Saturday, 5 January 2013

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013

Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

Registration Open for Annual Meeting

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013

WeatherFest

Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Registration Continues Through January 9

Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Lunch Break

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Reception and Exhibits Opening

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Session 1

Cloud Seeding: Conceptual Models and Program Evaluations

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Cochairs: Terry W. Krauss, Alberta Severe Weather Management Society and Krauss Weather Services Inc., Red Deer, AB; Sarah Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO

8:30 AM

1.1

Winter Cloud Seeding Windows and Potential Influences of the Targeted Mountain Barriers

Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

1.2

Guiding Cloud Seeding by Aircraft and Satellite Measurements of the Height for Onset of Precipitation Above Cloud Base in Growing Convective Clouds

Daniel Rosenfeld, Hebrew Univ. of Jerusalem, Jerusalem 91904, , Israel

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

1.3

A 10-year Analysis of Operational Cloud Seeding Conducted by the Texas Weather Modification Association

Jonathan A. Jennings, Texas Weather Modification Association, San Angelo, TX; and T. R. Flanagan, S. D. Beall, J. Wright Puryear, and A. Ruiz Columbe

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

1.4

A new look at statistical evaluations of cloud seeding experiments

Roelof Bruintjes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Dixon, C. Weeks, and S. Tessendorf

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:30 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Poster Session 1

Weather Modification: Aerosol Effects, Urban Effects, Modeling Studies.

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Chair: Daniel Breed, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO

214

Validation of WRF and WRF LES Simulations of the Dispersal of Ground-generated AgI Nuclei

Xia Chu, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and L. Xue, B. Geerts, and B. A. Boe

Handout (1.0 MB)

215

Estimating Boundary Layer Depths in Mexico City

Evi Becerra-Acosta, Secretaria del Medio Ambiente, Distrito Federal, Mexico; and D. K. Adams, A. Retama-Hernandez, W. Gutierrez-Lopez, M. Garcia-Espinoza, O. Hernandez-Rivera, and M. Robles-Roldan

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Cause and Effect: Detecting Planned and Inadvertent Changes in the Weather

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; and the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction )

Moderators: Daniel Breed, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Panelists: Arlen Huggins, DRI, Reno, NV; Marion P. Mittermaier, Met Office, Exeter, ; Tressa Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; David W. Pierce, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA

11:00 AM

Detection and Attribution by David Pierce

11:15 AM

Panel Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Themed Joint Session 23

Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Clouds, Precipitation, Circulation, and Severe Storms—Part I

Location: Room 5ABC (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )

Chair: Jiwen Fan, PNNL, Richland, WA

CoChair: Daniel Rosenfeld, Hebrew University, Jerusalem,

1:30 PM

TJ23.1

Invited Presentation: Increasing Evidences of the Impact of Aerosols on Cloud, Precipitation and Radiation due to Aerosol Indirect Effects

Zhanqing Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

Recorded Presentation

TJ23.2

Do hailstorms and tornadoes really 'rest on weekends'?

2:15 PM

TJ23.3

Aerosol effects on the microphysics of precipitation development in tropical and sub-tropical convective clouds

Roelof Bruintjes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Weeks, S. Tessendorf, and D. Axisa

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

TJ23.4

Does aerosol pollution of orographic clouds result in precipitation suppression in the Australian Snowy Mountains?

Thomas H. Chubb, Monash Univ., Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and S. T. Siems and M. J. Manton

Recorded Presentation

TJ23.5

Cloud Aerosol Interaction and Precipitation Enhancement Experiment (CAIPEEX) over India: Overview and Results

2:45 PM

TJ23.5A

Electrical Activity and Microphysics of Deep Convective Clouds

Nir Benmoshe, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and A. P. Khain

Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President

Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Session 2

Applications of Numerical Models to Weather and Climate Modification

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Cochairs: Paul A. Kucera, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Bruce A. Boe, Weather Modification, Inc., Fargo, ND

3:30 PM

2.1

Effects of Increased Horizontal Resolution on Resolving Convection and Convective Initiation

Mariusz Starzec, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and G. Mullendore, P. A. Kucera, D. Delene, and D. Langerud

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

2.2

Utilizing Surface Observations and Modeling with HYSPLIT to Assess Low-Level Stability for the Targeting of Cloud Seeding Material

David P. Yorty, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and W. Weston, M. Solak, and D. Griffith

Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM

2.3

AgI cloud seeding effects as seen in WRF simulations

Lulin Xue, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Hashimoto, M. Murakami, S. Tessendorf, R. M. Rasmussen, E. Nelson, D. Breed, D. Blestrud, P. Holbrook, and S. Parkinson

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

2.4

A real-time cloud seeding guidance system based on the WRF model

Sarah Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Xue, R. Rasmussen, D. Blestrud, P. Holbrook, and S. Parkinson

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

2.5

Comparisons between WRF simulations and ground observed trace chemistry

Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Xue, S. Tessendorf, D. Blestrud, P. Holbrook, and S. Parkinson

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

2.6

Seeding of Cirrus Clouds to Reduce Global Warming

David L. Mitchell, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia, M. Kuebbeler, U. Lohmann, and M. Xiao

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

2.7

Land use change impacts on cloud and precipitation formation in the coastal regions of Sarawak, Malaysia

Udaysankar Nair, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. G. Fairman Jr., S. Cantonwine, J. S. Reid, and S. Christopher

5:15 PM

2.8

New York City's Summer 2010 Numerical Simulations using WRF's Building Energy Parameterization

Estatio Gutierrez, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. Gonzalez, M. Arend, and B. Bornstein

Recorded Presentation

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Duce Symposium Banquet

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 3

Research Field Programs and Physical Evidence of Seeding Effects

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Cochairs: Arlen Huggins, DRI, Reno, NV; Roelof Bruintjes, NCAR, Boulder, CO

8:30 AM

3.1

Overview of the POLarimetric Cloud Analysis and Seeding Test (POLCAST) Field Program in Eastern North Dakota

Paul A. Kucera, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Weeks, D. J. Delene, G. L. Mullendore, and D. Langerud

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

3.2

Ground based evaluations of an experimental cloud seeding module implemented in a high-resolution (1.8km) WRF model for wintertime orographic cloud seeding

Melvin L. Kunkel, Idaho Power, Boise, ID; and D. Blestrud, V. P. Holbrook, S. Parkinson, R. Rasmussen, S. Tessendorf, L. Xue, and M. Leuthold

9:00 AM

3.3

An overview of the ASCII 2012 (AgI Cloud Seeding Impact Investigation) campaign

Bart Geerts, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and X. Chu, B. Pokharel, K. Friedrich, and D. Breed

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

3.4

Airborne and Ground-based Sampling of Ice Nuclei over the Medicine Range of Wyoming

Bruce A. Boe, Weather Modification, Inc., Fargo, ND; and J. T. McPartland, T. W. Krauss, J. A. Heimbach, L. Xue, and X. Chu

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

3.5

Dual-Polarization Radar Observations of an Enhanced Precipitation Hail and Flash Flood Event

Kristin N. Scotten, NOAA/NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and T. T. Lindley, J. B. Boettcher, M. Martinez, and J. Puryear

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Spouses' Coffee

Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President

Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Themed Joint Session 51

Aerosol-cloud Interactions in Weather Forecasting

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; and the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions )

Cochairs: William. R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; Daniel Rosenfeld, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Non US

10:30 AM

TJ51.1

The Potential Impact of Aerosols on Severe and Tropical Storms

Barry H. Lynn, Hebrew Univ., Jerusalem, Israel; and A. Khain

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

TJ51.2

What is the Role of Aerosol Particle Size Distributions on Precipitation in Coastal Urban Environments?

Nathan Hosannah, City College, New York, NY; and J. E. González, D. Comarazamy, and B. Bornstein

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

TJ51.3

CCN Pollution Impacts on Hailstorms

William. R. Cotton, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. Loftus and G. G. Carrio

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

TJ51.4

Potential Influences of Aerosol Concentrations on Mode and Degree of Development in Mid-continental Convective Clouds during POLCAST4

Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and D. Delene and P. A. Kucera

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

TJ51.5

Improving tropical cyclone forecasting skill: Investigating the impact of aerosols on the intensity of an idealized tropical cyclone

Stephen R. Herbener, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. van den Heever

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

TJ51.6

Indirect radiative forcing of climate due to aerosols over the continental United States simulated by the two-way coupled WRF-CMAQ model

Shaocai Yu, University, Zhejiang, China, China; and R. Mathur, J. Pleim, D. Wong, and R. Gilliam

Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 4

Urban Impacts on Thunderstorms and Weather Extremes - Part I

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Cochairs: Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; Bob Bornstein, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA

1:30 PM

4.1

Invited Presentation: Satellite detection of impacts of urban pollution plumes on cloud microstructure and precipitation forming processes

Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

4.2

Invited Presentation: Urban Land use – land cover feedbacks on regional climate – Current Understanding, Future needs

Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

4.3

Invited Presentation: Evaluation of urban-dynamic and aerosol impacts on summer thunderstorms

Bob Bornstein, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

4.4

Probing the Effects of City Size, Shape, and Pollution State on Storm Behavior: Prospectus for a New NASA Project

Geoffrey M. Henebry, South Dakota State Univ., Brookings, SD; and D. J. Stensrud, A. L. Steiner, C. Small, L. R. Musacchio, and K. M. de Beurs

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Session 5

Urban Impacts on Thunderstorms and Weather Extremes - Part II

Location: Room 9A (Austin Convention Center)

Host: 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification

Cochairs: Bob Bornstein, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; Dev Niyogi, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN

4:00 PM

5.1

Improving the Conceptual Understanding of Urban Thunderstorm Modification Using the Real Atmosphere Idealized Land-surface (RAIL) Method

Paul Schmid, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and D. Niyogi

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

5.2

A technique for understanding effects of urbanization on local precipitation using ground station data

Cassie A. Stearns, Howard Univ., Beltsville, MD; and E. Joseph

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

5.3

Modeling Urban Impacts on Regional Weather of Central U.S

Laura J. Schisler, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Prescott, AZ; and J. Young, X. Fan, and R. Mahmood

Recorded Presentation

Handout (553.4 kB)

4:45 PM

5.4

The Impacts of Urbanization on Daily Precipitation Trends in the Kentucky-Ohio River Valley

Andrew J. Fultz, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and J. D. Durkee and R. Mahmood

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

5.5

Observation and Modeling of Split Summer Thunderstorms Over New York City

Nathan Hosannah, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. Gonzalez and B. Bornstein

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

5.6

The June 2010 Oklahoma City Flood: Insights into Urban Hydromeoteorological Processes using Precipitable Water Analysis and Dual-polarization Radar Data

Amanda J. Schroeder, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. B. Basara, J. M. Shepherd, and S. E. Nelson

Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

93rd AMS Awards Banquet

Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Themed Joint Session 44

Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Clouds, Precipitation, Circulation, and Severe Storms, Part II

Location: Room 5ABC (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 19th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification )

Chair: Daniel Rosenfeld, Hebrew University , Jerusalem,

CoChair: Zhanqing Li, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

8:30 AM

J44.1

Invited Presentation: Impact of Aerosols on Convective Clouds and Precipitation

Wei-Kuo Tao, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and J. P. Chen, C. Wang, C. Zhang, and Z. Li

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

J44.2

Evidence of Microphysical Buffering of CCN Impacts on Wintertime Orographic clouds

W. R. Cotton, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and G. G. Carrio and S. M. Saleeby

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (705.8 kB)

9:00 AM

J44.3

Aerosol-Induced Feedbacks within Tropical Anvil Clouds

Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

J44.4

Pre-Monsoon Aerosol-Cloud-Rainfall Interactions in the Central Himalayas due to Regional-Scale Pollution in the Indo-Gangetic Plains

Prabhakar Shrestha, Duke Univ., Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros, A. Khlystov, and A. Wilson

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Lunch Break

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Coffee Break

Location: Levels 3 and 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President

Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

AMS 93rd Annual Meeting Adjourns

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