Recent Advancements in the Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probability Program
Collaborations between product developers, operational forecasters, and social scientists have led to the development of several socioeconomic applications of wind speed probabilities. Many of these applications utilize the ensemble-based methodology of the wind speed probability algorithm. As result, improvements made to the wind speed probability ensembles may have a direct impact on the accuracy of the impact-related applications. Some of the more recent socioeconomic applications, such as hurricane warning guidance and landfall timing estimates, will be presented and the potential impacts that the new hybrid algorithm will have on these types of applications will be discussed.
Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and findings contained in this article are those of the authors and should not be construed as an official National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or U.S. Government position, policy, or decision.