Session 2 Synoptic-Scale and Sub-Synoptic Scale Factors

Tuesday, 8 January 2013: 3:30 PM-5:30 PM
Room 4ABC (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts
Chair:
Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC, Miami, FL

Papers:
3:30 PM
2.1
An Ocean-Based Potential Intensity Index for Tropical Cyclones
I. I. Lin, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and P. Black, J. F. Price, C. Y. Yang, S. S. Chen, N. H. Chi, P. A. Harr, M. Lien, E. D'Asaro, and C. C. Wu
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
2.2
Recent Advancements in the Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probability Program
Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, R. Berg, E. Gibney, and R. D. Knabb
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
2.3
Tropical Rainfall Prediction Based on Excitation and Regeneration by Mesoscale SST Gradients
Richard E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Li
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
2.4
The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: Recent accomplishments
Robert L. Gall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Toepfer, F. D. Marks Jr., and E. Rappaport
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
2.5
Upper-Level Precursors Associated with Subtropical Cyclone Formation in the North Atlantic Basin
Alicia M. Bentley, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. F. Bosart
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
2.6
Using NOAA's Second-Generation GFS Ensemble Reforecast Dataset to Generate Tropical Cyclone Forecast Products
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill, M. Fiorino, and J. S. Whitaker
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
2.7
Synoptic Patterns of Atlantic Hurricanes Categorized by Track Error and Forecast Confidence
Lindsey Day, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
2.8
Predictability of a Predecessor Rain Event over Northeastern Japan Associated with Recurving Typhoon Roke (2011)
Heather M. Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. W. Moore
Recorded Presentation

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