Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes

Program Chairs: Charles Jones , Univ. of California ; B.S. Barrett , U.S. Naval Academy
Reviewers: Heidi Centola , CME Group ; Stephen Bennett , EarthRisk Technologies ; Kathleen E. Moore , Integrated Environmental Data, LLC

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Saturday, 1 February 2014

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 1 February 2014


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses

Sunday, 2 February 2014

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 2 February 2014


Registration Open for Annual Meeting

Monday, 3 February 2014

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Registration Continues through February 5

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
14th Presidential Forum: Extreme Weather, Climate, and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nationís Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
Moderator: Margaret Davidson, NOAA/Office for Coastal Management
Panelists: Leslie Chapman-Henderson, Federal Alliance for Safe Homes; David Perkes, Mississippi State Univ.; Ellis Stanley, Hammerman & Gainer International, Inc.; David W. Titley, Penn State University; Peter Kareiva, The Nature Conservancy
Speaker: Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University
  9:00 AM
Welcoming Remarks

  9:05 AM
PL1.1
The New Communication Climate - An exploration of tools and traits that give the best chance of success in facing a fast-forward media landscape and changing climate
Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University, New York, NY
  9:25 AM
Panel Discussion

  10:25 AM
Concluding Remarks

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 3 February 2014


Reception and Exhibits Opening

Tuesday, 4 February 2014

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Atmospheric Circulations Part I
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes )
Chair: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC
  1:30 PM
J1.1
The Madden-Julian Oscillation and extratropical cyclogenesis
Charles Jones, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA
  1:45 PM
J1.2
Predictability of Different ISO Forms
Violeta Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster and F. Hirata
  2:15 PM
J1.4
Associations between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and pan-Arctic terrestrial snow
G. R. Henderson, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and B. S. Barrett and E. Kreyenhagen
  2:30 PM
J1.5
Skill of the MJO and Northern Hemisphere Blocking in GEFS Medium-Range Reforecasts
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill and G. Kiladis
  2:45 PM
J1.6

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Extreme Weather Events Part I
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes )
Chair: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC
  4:15 PM
J2.2
  4:30 PM
J2.3
Skillful wintertime, intraseasonal North American temperature forecasts based on the state of ENSO and the MJO
Nat Johnson, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. C. Collins, S. B. Feldstein, M. L'Heureux, and E. Riddle
  4:45 PM
J2.4
The Madden Julian Oscillation: Identification
Michael Ventrice, Weather Service International, Andover, MA; and M. C. Wheeler, H. Hendon, C. J. Schreck III, C. Thorncroft, and G. Kiladis

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: Room C106 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nationís Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L1.1
Towards a general theory of global monsoons (Invited Presentation)
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Atmospheric Circulations Part II
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes )
Cochairs: Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy; Charles Jones, Univ. of California
  8:45 AM
J4.2
Variability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Matthew Lafleur, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and B. S. Barrett and G. Henderson
  9:00 AM
J4.3
Three-dimensional structure and evolution of the barotropic and baroclinic components of the MJO
Ńngel F. Adames, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace
  9:15 AM
J4.4
A Potential Vorticity Perspective of the South Asian Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation
SebastiŠn Ortega, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster and V. Toma
  9:30 AM
J4.5
Relative Roles of Circumnavigating Waves and Extratropics on the MJO
Pallav Ray, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and T. Li

  9:45 AM
J4.6

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Extreme Weather Events Part II
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes )
Cochairs: Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy; Charles Jones, Univ. of California
  10:45 AM
J5.2
  11:00 AM
J5.3
The Impact of the MJO on Global Ocean Surface Wave Heights
Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and B. Wu, Y. Yung, F. Webb, and S. Kedar
  11:15 AM
J5.4
Extended-Range Multi-Scale Simulations of the Madden Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone 05
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. Doyle, P. May, S. Chen, M. Flatau, and L. W. O'Neill
  11:30 AM
J5.5
Moist static energy and the MJO
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. Wang, D. Kim, and E. D. Maloney

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon: A Conversation about the Future
Location: Room C112 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nationís Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Global Teleconnections and the MJO
Location: Room C114 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; and the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Cochairs: Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma; Charles Jones, Univ. of California
  1:45 PM
J7.2
MJO modulation of surface variables over South America in the CFS reanalysis
Michael Natoli, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. H. Berbery and E. J. Becker

  2:00 PM
J7.3

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: Room C113 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nationís Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L3.1

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


94th AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 6 February 2014

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Registration Closes

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


AMS 94th Annual Meeting Adjourns