18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere

Program Chairs: Steven Pawson , NASA/GSFC ; Thomas Birner , Colorado State Univ.

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 3 January 2015

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Sunday, 4 January 2015

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Monday, 5 January 2015

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon; the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium; and the 15th Presidential Forum )
Program Chair: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Moderator: Kimberly E. Klockow, NOAA
Keynote: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Panelists: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central; Mac Devine, IBM Cloud Services Division; Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA; Curtis L. Walker, University of Nebraska

Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
  9:00 AM
William B (Bill) Gail: Introductory remarks
  9:08 AM
Kimberly E. Klockow: Moderator welcoming remarks
  9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
  9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 1
Extratropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere, Part 1
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Gloria L. Manney, NorthWest Research Associates & New Mexico Tech
  11:00 AM
1.1
Climatology and Variability in Extratropical Multiple Tropopause Regions of Trace Gases from MLS, HIRDLS and ACE-FTS
Michael J. Schwartz, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and G. L. Manney, M. I. Hegglin, N. J. Livesey, and M. L. Santee

  11:15 AM
1.2
The Tropopause Inversion Layer in the GEOS-5 Data Assimilation: Sensitivity to the Observing System
Krzysztof Wargan, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Greenbelt, MD; and W. McCarty and S. Pawson
  11:45 AM
1.4
A Lagrangian Particle Perspective of Tropopause Folds
Marc K. Collins, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. H. Hitchman

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 2
Extratropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere, Part 2
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Shigeo Yoden, Kyoto University
  1:45 PM
2.2
Case Study of a Cold-Season, north Pacific Jet Retraction Event
Melissa L. Breeden, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin
  2:00 PM
2.3
Quantifying isentropic stratosphere-troposphere exchange (STE) of ozone
Huang Yang, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and G. Chen, Q. Tang, P. Hess, and D. Plummer

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 1
Posters, Part 1 (Monday / Tuesday)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere

Posters on: - extratropical upper troposphere / lower stratosphere - gravity waves - middle atmospheric climate variability and change - tropical tropopause layer - middle atmospheric transport
 
270
Balloon-borne Observations of Lower Stratospheric Water Vapor at the Antarctic Syowa Station
Yoshihiro Tomikawa, National Institute of Polar Research, Tokyo, Japan; and K. Sato, M. Tsutsumi, T. Nakamura, and N. Hirasawa

 
272
Gravity Waves and Vertical Mixing in the Tropical Tropopause Layer during ATTREX
Leonhard Pfister, NASA, Moffett Field, CA; and T. P. Bui, R. Ueyama, E. Jensen, and B. H. Lim

 
Poster 274 has been moved. New paper number is 9.1A

 
274A
Wintertime Northern Hemisphere response to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in WACCM
Andrew Kren, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. R. Marsh, A. K. Smith, and P. Pilewskie

 
276
How Seasonal Variations of High Latitude Total Ozone are Controlled by Transport Barriers
John C. Gille, Univ. of Colorado and NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Karol, D. E. Kinnison, J. F. Lamarque, and V. Yudin

 
Poster 277 has been moved. New paper number is 14.2A

 
278
Impact of Interactive Ozone on Climate Reconstruction in an Earth System Model: the Case of Antarctica in mid-Holocene
Satoshi Noda, Kyoto University, Kyoto city, Japan; and R. Mizuta, M. Deushi, K. Kodera, K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, S. Murakami, Y. Adachi, and S. Yoden

 
279
Past and Future Radiative Forcing by Climate Active Agents in the EMAC Chemistry-Climate Model
C. Gellhorn, Freie Universitaet Berlin, Berlin, Germany; and U. Langematz, S. Meul, S. Oberländer, J. Abalichin, S. Dietmüller, M. Ponater, and B. Ayarzagüena

 
280
Effect of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion on the DMS and its Related Aerosols in the Southern Hemisphere
Hiroaki Naoe, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and M. Deushi, T. Y. Tanaka, K. Yoshida, T. Maki, and N. Oshima

 
281
 
282
Impact of a super-volcanic eruption on general circulation and chemistry in the middle atmosphere
Makoto Deushi, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and Y. Adachi, A. Obata, and T. Y. Tanaka

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 3
Gravity Waves
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Elisa Manzini, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie
  4:00 PM
3.1
An Overview of Gravity Wave Observations and Modeling during DEEPWAVE
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. C. Fritts, R. B. Smith, S. D. Eckermann, M. Taylor, A. Doernbrack, M. Uddstrom, P. A. Reinecke, C. A. Reynolds, and Q. Jiang
  4:15 PM
3.2
Stratospheric Gravity Wave Activity during the 2014 DEEPWAVE Field Campaign: An Observational Perspective Using Satellite Nadir Radiances
Stephen D. Eckermann, NRL, Washington, DC; and J. D. Doyle, D. C. Fritts, R. B. Smith, J. Ma, M. Taylor, A. Doernbrack, and M. Uddstrom
  4:30 PM
3.3
Stratospheric mountain wave propagation and dissipation over New Zealand
Christopher G. Kruse, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith, D. C. Fritts, J. D. Doyle, S. D. Eckermann, M. J. Taylor, A. Dörnbrack, and M. Uddstrom
  5:00 PM
3.5
Covering gravity wave propagation from the troposphere to the mesosphere by combining lidar measurements with WRF-ARW modeling
Peggy Achtert, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and B. Ehard, J. Wagner, G. Baumgarten, S. Gisinger, A. Dörnbrack, J. Gumbel, and M. Rapp

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Tuesday, 6 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 4
Middle atmosphere climate variability and change, Part 1
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Amy H. Butler, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory
  8:30 AM
4.1
Observed Stratospheric Temperature Changes during the Satellite Era
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA, College Park, MD; and I. Moradi, C. A. Mears, J. Nash, W. J. Randel, R. Saunders, D. W. J. Thompson, and C. Z. Zou
  8:45 AM
4.2
Variability and Trends in Dynamical Forcing of Tropical Lower Stratospheric Temperatures
Stephan Fueglistaler, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. Abalos, T. Flannaghan, P. Lin, and W. J. Randel
  9:00 AM
4.3
Stratospheric Water Vapor Feedbacks in a simple GCM
Martin Jucker, New York University, New York, NY; and M. Lytle, D. M. Frierson, and E. P. Gerber

  9:15 AM
4.4
Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Elisa Manzini, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany; and A. Y. Karpechko, J. Anstey, M. Baldwin, R. X. Black, C. Cagnazzo, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, B. Christiansen, P. Davini, E. Gerber, M. A. Giorgetta, L. J. Gray, S. C. Hardiman, Y. Y. Lee, D. R. Marsh, B. A. Mc Daniel, A. Purich, A. Scaife, D. Shindell, S. W. Son, S. Watanabe, and G. Zappa
  9:30 AM
4.5
Improving analysis of stratospheric transport variability from SF6 and CO2 measurements
Eric A. Ray, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and F. L. Moore and K. H. Rosenlof

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Presidential Forum; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
  11:00 AM
L1.1
Model Diagnoses of El Nino Teleconnections to the Global Atmosphere-Ocean System
Ngar-Cheung Lau, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Recording files available
Session 5
Middle atmosphere climate variability and change, Part 2
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Clara Orbe, NASA/GSFC
  11:15 AM
5.2
Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Winter Stratosphere to the Strength of Volcanic Eruptions
Matthias Bittner, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and C. Timmreck, H. Schmidt, M. Toohey, and K. Krüger
  11:30 AM
5.3
  11:45 AM
5.4
Southern Hemisphere climate trends skewed by coarse temporal resolution of specified stratospheric ozone
Sean M. Davis, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Neely III, D. R. Marsh, K. L. Smith, L. M. Polvani, K. H. Rosenlof, R. W. Portmann, and P. J. Young

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Harry R. Glahn Symposium Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 6
Middle atmosphere climate variability and change / Tropical tropopause layer
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Stephan Fueglistaler, Princeton University
  1:30 PM
6.1
  2:00 PM
6.3
Processes controlling tropical tropopause temperature and stratospheric water vapour
Steven C. Hardiman, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and I. A. Boutle, A. C. Bushell, N. Butchart, M. J. P. Cullen, P. R. Field, K. Furtado, J. Manners, S. F. Milton, F. M. O'Connor, B. Shipway, C. Smith, D. Walters, K. D. Williams, N. Wood, L. Abraham, J. Keeble, and A. C. Maycock
  2:45 PM
6.6
Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the Tropical Tropopause Layer during the 2011-12 DYNAMO Field Campaign
Erin L. Dagg, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. Birner and R. H. Johnson

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 7
Tropical tropopause layer / Middle atmosphere transport
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Richard S. Stolarski, Johns Hopkins Univ.
  3:45 PM
7.2
  4:00 PM
7.3
Quantifying the Contribution of Vertical Mixing to the Tape Recorder Signal
Anne S. Glanville, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. Birner
  4:15 PM
7.4
Lagrangian approach to quantifying processes influencing the lower stratosphere using Aura MLS observations
Nathaniel Livesey, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. L. Santee, G. L. Manney, M. Schwartz, and M. Rex

  4:30 PM
7.5
  4:45 PM
7.6
Hemispheric differences in tropical lower stratospheric transport
Darryn Waugh, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and R. S. Stolarski, M. Abalos, L. Oman, D. Kinnison, and W. J. Randel
  5:00 PM
7.7
Transport of QBO-induced middle stratospheric variability to the Antarctic lower stratosphere on a one year time scale
Susan E. Strahan, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Oman, L. Coy, and A. R. Douglass

  5:15 PM
7.8
A Journey on the Stratospheric Highway: From Tropical Wind to Polar Spring
Luke Oman, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. E. Strahan, A. R. Douglass, and L. Coy

Wednesday, 7 January 2015

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 8
Sudden stratospheric warmings
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Peter Hitchcock, University of Cambridge
  8:30 AM
8.1
A new look at the stratospheric sudden warming of 1979 using a modern data assimilation system
Steven Pawson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Coy, K. Wargan, and E. Remsberg

  8:45 AM
8.2
The predictability of the Stratospheric Sudden Warming of January 2013 in various NWP systems
Om Tripathi, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and A. J. Charlton, M. P. Baldwin, S. D. Eckermann, D. Jackson, Y. Kuroda, C. A. Reynolds, G. Roff, S. W. Son, and T. Stockdate
  9:15 AM
8.4
  9:45 AM
8.6

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 9
Sudden stratospheric warmings / Stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Aditi Sheshadri, MIT
  10:30 AM
9.1A
Hemispheric Differences in Tropical Lower Stratospheric Constituent Seasonal Cycles
Richard S. Stolarski, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and D. Waugh

  10:45 AM
9.2
Shape and Chemical Diagnostics of the Polar Vortices in WACCM
V. Lynn Harvey, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics (Univerisity of Colorado), Boulder, CO; and K. Greer, C. Randall, J. France, L. Holt, R. Collins, D. R. Marsh, and D. Kinnison
  11:00 AM
9.3
The Disturbed Arctic Lower Stratospheric Vortex and Implications for Early Winter Polar Processing and Ozone Loss in 2012/2013
Gloria L. Manney, NorthWest Research Associates & New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. D. Lawrence, M. L. Santee, N. J. Livesey, K. Minschwaner, A. Lambert, and M. C. Pitts
  11:15 AM
9.4
Statistics of mesospheric coolings during stratosperic warmings in observations and simulations
Christoph Zülicke, Leibniz Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Kühlungsborn, Germany; and E. Becker, V. Matthias, H. Schmidt, and H. L. Liu

  11:30 AM
9.5
Mesospheric and Lower Thermospheric Response to Major Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events
Varavut Limpasuvan, Coastal Carolina University, Conway, SC; and A. Chandran, Y. Orsolini, R. R. Garcia, and D. E. Kinnison

  11:45 AM
9.6
Future changes in Major Stratospheric Warmings in CCMI models
B. Ayarzagüena, Freie Universitaet Berlin, Berlin, Germany; and U. Langematz, L. M. Polvani, J. Abalichin, H. Akiyoshi, A. Klekociuk, M. Michou, O. Morgenstern, L. D. Oman, and K. Shibata

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Eugenia Kalnay Symposium Luncheon
Location: 229B (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Speaker: Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA
  12:00 PM
B.1
Eugenia Kalnay: Scientist, Revolutionary, and a Concerned Citizen of the World
Jagadish Shukla, George Mason Univ./COLA, Fairfax, VA


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC

Session 10
Defining sudden stratospheric warmings
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Steven Pawson, NASA/GSFC

Community Discussion last 45 min
  1:30 PM
10.1
Defining Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
Amy Hawes Butler, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Seidel, S. C. Hardiman, N. Butchart, T. Birner, and A. L. Match

  1:45 PM
Discussion

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 2
Posters, Part 2 (Wednesday / Thursday)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere

Posters related to: - sudden stratospheric warmings - stratosphere-troposphere coupling - middle atmospheric dynamics - reanalyses / data assimilation - ozone
 
731
Onset of circulation anomalies during stratospheric vortex weakening events: the role of planetary-scale waves
Patrick Martineau, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. W. Son

Handout (1.7 MB)

 
733
The interaction between stratospheric sudden warmings and ozone
Steven C. Hardiman, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and N. Butchart and F. M. O'Connor

Handout (1.1 MB)

 
734
Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Zonal Asymmetries on the Tropospheric Circulation
Olga V. Tweedy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and D. Waugh, L. Oman, and F. Li

 
735
A model study of tropospheric impacts of the Arctic ozone depletion
A. Yu. Karpechko, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and J. Perlwitz and E. Manzini

 
736
Seasonal Predictability over Europe arising from El Nino and Stratospheric Variability in the MPI-ESM Seasonal Prediction System
Daniela I.V. Domeisen, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and A. H. Butler, K. Fröhlich, M. Bittner, W. A. Müller, and J. Baehr

 
738
A Comprehensive Set of Polar Processing Diagnostics: Applications to Intercomparisons of Reanalysis Datasets
Zachary D. Lawrence, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and G. L. Manney, K. Minschwaner, M. L. Santee, and A. Lambert

 
739
Assimilation of MLS and OMPS-Limb Profiler Ozone into GEOS-5
Krzysztof Wargan, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Greenbelt, MD; and S. Pawson, M. T. DeLand, P. Q. Xu, and P. K. Bhartia

 
740
Evaluation and correction of GEOS-5 pressure and temperature profiles between 40 and 70 km using Suomi/OMPS-LP data
Philippe Q. Xu, NASA/GSFC - SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. K. Bhartia, M. T. DeLand, Z. Chen, and S. Pawson

Handout (1.2 MB)

 
742
Sunset–sunrise difference in solar occultation ozone measurements (SAGE II, HALOE, and ACE–FTS) and its relationship to tidal vertical winds
Takatoshi Sakazaki, Kyoto University, Uji, Japan; and M. Shiotani, M. Suzuki, J. Zawodny, D. E. Kinnison, M. J. McHugh, and K. A. Walker

 
926
Direct Impacts of Waves on Cold-Point Tropopause Temperature
Ji-Eun Kim, University of Colorado-Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Alexander

 
927
Connections between the TTL and sea surface temperatures: interannual variability and trends
Chaim I. Garfinkel, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and D. W. Waugh, L. Wang, L. Oman, and M. M. Hurwitz

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 11
Stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: John R. Albers, University of Colorado
  4:00 PM
11.1
  4:15 PM
11.2
The Downward Influence of Sudden Warmings
Peter Hitchcock, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and I. R. Simpson
  4:30 PM
11.3
Absorbing- and reflecting sudden stratospheric warming events and their relationship with tropospheric circulation: Case studies
Kunihiko Kodera, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and H. Mukougawa, P. Maury, K. Matthes, M. Ueda, and C. Claud

  5:00 PM
11.5
Skillful Seasonal Prediction of the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic Ozone
William Seviour, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and S. C. Hardiman, L. J. Gray, N. Butchart, C. MacLachlan, and A. A. Scaife
  5:15 PM
11.6

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Thursday, 8 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 12
Middle atmosphere dynamics / stratosphere-troposphere coupling
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Matthew Hitchman, University of Wisconsin - Madison
  9:15 AM
12.4
Responses of tropical deep convection to the QBO: cloud-resolving simulations
Ji Nie, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the 15th Presidential Forum; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium )
  11:00 AM
L3.1
Recording files available
Session 13
Middle atmosphere dynamics, Reanalysis systems, Data assimilation
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Sean M. Davis, NOAA/ESRL
  11:15 AM
13.2
How well do momentum diagnostics explain extratropical stratospheric variability in reanalysis datasets?
Patrick Martineau, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. W. Son and M. Taguchi
  11:45 AM
13.4
Effects of New Data Types and Data Assimilation System Upgrades on Middle Atmosphere Dynamics in GEOS-5 Reanalyses
Lawrence Coy, Sceince Systems and Applications, Inc., Greenbelt, MD; and W. McCarty and S. Pawson

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 14
Middle atmosphere dynamics
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Luke Oman, NASA/GSFC
  1:30 PM
14.1
What drives the Brewer-Dobson circulation?
Naftali Cohen, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and E. P. Gerber and O. Buhler
  1:45 PM
14.2A
Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Ozone Response
L. L. Hood, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. Misios, D. M. Mitchell, E. Rozanov, L. J. Gray, K. Tourpali, K. Matthes, H. Schmidt, G. Chiodo, R. Thieblemont, D. Shindell, and A. Krivolutsky

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 15
Ozone
Location: 212A West Building (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: John Gille, NCAR
  3:30 PM
15.1
ENSO effects on stratospheric ozone: A nudged model perspective
Peter Braesicke, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany; and O. Kirner, S. Versick, and P. Joeckel
  3:45 PM
15.2
Extratropical Lower Stratospheric and Tropospheric Ozone in High Resolution Analyses by the GEOS-5 Ozone Assimilation System
Mark A. Olsen, NASA/GESTAR, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Wargan, S. Pawson, J. C. Witte, and J. E. Nielsen
  4:00 PM
15.3
Trends in the vertical distribution of ozone: Assessment and implications in terms of ozone recovery
Birgit Hassler, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and N. R. P. Harris, F. Tummon, and K. H. Rosenlof
  4:15 PM
15.4
The Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2014 (Core Science Lecture)
Paul A. Newman, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and A. L. Ajavon, J. A. Pyle, and A. R. Ravishankara

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns