Joint Session 10 Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience

Program Chairs: Kenneth Carey , Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc. ; Andrew L. Molthan , NASA/MSFC ; Patrick A. Harr , NSF

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Sunday, 10 January 2016

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Moderator: Maureen McCann, News 13
Panelists: Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Kerry Emanuel, MIT; Shirley Laska, University of New Orleans; Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former NOAA/National Hurricane Center Director
9:00 AM
Presidential Forum on Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
9:05 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Alexander E. “Sandy” MacDonald)

9:15 AM
Introduction of Moderator McCann (MacDonald)

9:16 AM
Introduction of Speakers (McCann)

9:20 AM
Opening Remarks of Speakers

10:05 AM
Q&A

10:30 AM
Concluding Remarks

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Patrick A. Harr, NSF
8:30 AM
Panel

8:45 AM
Joint Session 7 - Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
9:00 AM
Opening Remarks by AMS President Sandy MacDonald

9:15 AM
Keynote Presentation by Former National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield

9:45 AM
Keynote Presentation by Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Craig Fugate

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina Monday/Tuesday Posters
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS; Patrick A. Harr, NSF; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University
477
Development and Evolution of Convective Bursts in WRF Simulations of Dean (2007) and Bill (2009)
Andrew Todd Hazelton, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and R. F. Rogers

480
Tropical Cyclone (TC) Intensity Change Caused by Binary TC Interaction
Lianshou Chen, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Yu and Z. Zeng

481
Hurricane Katrina in the Courtroom
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

482
Short-Fuse Hurricanes: Time to Landfall and the Influence of ENSO
Coryn Collins, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and J. Nielsen-Gammon and T. M. Hall

483
On the Multiple Intensity Changes of Hurricane Earl (2010)
Daniel P. Nielsen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. H. Shin and D. L. Zhang

Handout (2.1 MB)

485
Non-equilibrium Multi-fluid Model of a Marine Boundary Layer Laden with Evaporating Ocean Spray under High-wind Conditions
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

486
Probabilistic Prediction of Hurricane Intensity with an Analog Ensemble
Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Delle Monache, C. M. Rozoff, and W. E. Lewis

487
The Arbitrary Definition of the Current Atlantic Major Hurricane Landfall Drought
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and D. R. Chavas and M. P. Guishard

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Innovations and Improvements in Hurricane Preparedness, Communication and Resilience Since Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Joshua Hacker, NCAR; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
11:00 AM
J8.1
Taking Katrina Storm Surge Resilience Lessons to Galveston Bay
William Read, Former Director, National Hurricane Center, League City, TX
11:15 AM
J8.2
11:30 AM
J8.3
Communicating Hurricane and Storm Surge Risks in the Modern Information Environment
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, C. Snyder, K. Fossell, D. A. Ahijevych, K. M. Anderson, C. M. Barton, J. L. Demuth, H. Lazrus, L. Palen, J. Watts, and O. Wilhelmi

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Town Hall Meeting: “What if the water can’t be stopped?” Tribal Resilience in an Age of Sea Level Rise
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Town Hall Meetings; and the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 2
Local Voices: Louisiana Bayou Tribes Discuss Living with Climate Challenges
Location: Room 333-334 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience )
Moderators: Heather Lazrus, NCAR; Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
Panelists: Chief Albert Naquin, Chief of the Isle de Jean Charles Band of Biloxi-Chitimacha-Choctaw Indians; Theresa Dardar, Member of the Pointe-au-Chien Indian Tribe; Rosina Philippe, Member of the Grand Bayou Village Indian Tribe; Kristina Peterson, Facilitator for the Lowlander Center; Julie Maldonado, Livelihoods Knowledge Exchange Network/Univ. of California; Bob Gough, Intertribal Council on Utility Policy
1:30 PM
PD2.1
Local Voices: Louisiana Bayou Tribes Discuss Living with Climate Challenges
Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Lazrus
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Innovations in Observing Tropical Cyclones and Aspects of Storm Surge
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Unviersity of Wisconsin; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University; Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC
2:15 PM
J9.4
Storm Surge Then and Now: Improvements since Hurricane Katrina
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; and N. Hardin, W. Booth, C. Forbes, C. L. Fritz, E. Gibney, T. Sharon, and B. C. Zachry

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Advances in Modeling and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones and Associated Hazards
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/NWS/NHC; Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML
3:30 PM
J10.1
4:30 PM
J10.5
4:45 PM
J10.6
Impact of Atmospheric and Ocean Initial Conditions on the Intensity Prediction of Hurricane Katrina with the GFDL Hurricane Model
Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, M. J. Morin, J. A. Knaff, and C. R. Sampson
5:00 PM
J10.7
Ensemble Hurricane Flood Forecasting with Atmosphere and Wind Stress Uncertainties
Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and J. Doyle, A. Reinecke, N. Georgas, A. F. Blumberg, and J. Pullen
5:15 PM
Closing Remarks -- AMS President Sandy MacDonald