To address these questions, a research team from East Carolina University and Nurture Nature Center, working with WPC, conducted a study of users’ needs for probabilistic forecast information in the 8-10 day timeframe. Using surveys, interviews and focus groups, the research team created and iteratively tested 8-10 day probabilistic weather products and gathered feedback from stakeholders and end users about their needs for probabilistic forecast information in 8-10 day range. The team sought to understand the kinds of decisions core users make, how they use uncertainty information in those decisions, and how web-based products can best deliver information efficiently and clearly.
The presentation will provide insights into how stakeholders and core users want to integrate probabilistic forecast information, particularly in the 8-10 day time frame, into decision-making. Insights into how product design and delivery affect the use of products will also be discussed.