Session 5 Two Sessions in One: Uncertainty, Risk, and Decision-Making (Part I) and International Community Contributions on Weather-Ready Nation-Like Efforts —Part II

Tuesday, 9 January 2018: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Ballroom E (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation
Cochairs:
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD and Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc., Halethorpe, MD

Papers:
1:30 PM
5.1
Major Risks, Uncertain Outcomes: Making Ensemble Forecasts Work for Multiple Audiences
Burrell E. Montz, East Carolina Univ., Greenville, NC; and R. H. Carr, K. Semmens, K. Maxfield, P. R. Ahnert, R. Shedd, and J. C. Elliott
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
5.2
8-10-Day Probabilistic Forecasts: What Do Users Need to Understand and Use Longer-Range Uncertainty Information in Decision-Making?
Rachel Hogan Carr, Nurture Nature Center, Easton, PA; and B. E. Montz, K. Maxfield, K. Semmens, D. Halperin, M. J. Bodner, J. A. Nelson Jr., J. Kastman, S. Ganetis, K. K. Gilbert, W. S. Lamberson, and J. Sprague
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
5.3
An Examination of Decision-Making by Emergency Managers During Severe Weather Events: A Test of Fuzzy Trace Theory
Shadya J. Sanders, Howard Univ., Washington, DC

2:15 PM
5.4
Communicating and Comprehending Uncertainty During a Significant Northeast Storm
Melissa Di Spigna, NWS, Upton, NY; and J. Picca
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
5.5
Winter Weather Science and Service Advances and Challenges
David Novak, NOAA/NCEP/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

5.6
#DYK ECCC Uses DSD, TOPOWOAM, VCC, and IKEA? Making Sense of Canada's Weather Preparedness

3:00 PM
5.7
Disruptive Weather and Water Events: Framing the National and International Security Dimensions
Roger Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and S. Goodman and A. King
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
5.8
Towards a Drought Information System for South America
Viviane Silva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD; and G. Podesta, C. Saulo, J. Báez, R. Martinez, R. Pulwarty, M. Skansi, R. Stefanski, J. Camacho, and J. Peronto

3:30 PM
5.9
Joint Typhoon Warning Center: Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in the Pacific and Indian Oceans
Owen H. Shieh, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
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