Jay Fein's Affair with the Indian Monsoon: From MONEX to Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Monsoons (Invited Presentation)

This presentation will have two parts. In the first part, a personal anecdotal retrospective of my association with Jay Fein, as well as the tremendous contributions of Jay in the success of MONEX, and the remarkable development of modeling capabilities for prediction of Asian summer monsoon will be described. The second part of the presentation will review the current status of dynamical seasonal prediction of ENSO and monsoon, and challenges ahead for bridging the gap between high theoretical predictability, and low skill in operational prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over India.