J11.2 Use of Bayesian Statistics to Quantify Risk in Forensic Science: A Paradigm for Communicating Weather Risk?

Monday, 8 January 2018: 2:00 PM
Ballroom B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Allan C. Eustis, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD

Bayesian statistics offer a controversial risk measurement metric in the courtroom. There is evidence that applying Bayesian methods provide useful quatifiable evidence unavailable with classic statistics in the analysis of forensic evidence. The author will examine some parellels with communication of risk in meteorology and climatology.
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