IMPACTS will improve our nation’s tornado response capabilities by providing reliable, probabilistic predictions of potential societal impacts to decision-makers at the local, regional (FEMA and states), and national (FEMA) level. Additionally, the methods underlying IMPACTS will serve as the foundation for societal-impact prediction involving other hazardous weather phenomena at a multitude of temporal and spatial scales. These methods are therefore uniquely positioned to capitalize upon NOAA’s FACETs initiative.
A primary outcome of IMPACTS is the creation, sharing, and use of transformational datasets that enhance emergency managers’ abilities to respond to high-impact tornado events. This presentation will focus on the creation of IMPACTS and its initial operating capacity of estimating the number of people exposed to tornadoes. A companion presentation will focus on efforts to extend this model to estimating potential tornadic fatalities and damage.