Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services

Program Chairs: Clark Evans , University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee ; Michael Lowry , The Weather Channel ; Morgan Barry , NOAA/NWS

« Collapse View
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 7 January 2018

Sunday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


Plenary Session 1
18th Presidential Forum: Transforming Communication in the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise—Focusing on Challenges Facing Our Sciences
Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
4:00 PM
PL1.1
Transforming Communication in the Environmental Sciences: Some Thoughts from a Reluctant Participant (Invited Presentation)
Richard B. Alley, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Sunday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 1
Best Practices (from across the Weather Enterprise)
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Chair: Clark Evans, Univ. of Wisconsin
8:30 AM
1.1
IDSS: Where We Stand and What Lies before Us (Core Science Keynote)
Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1.2
Warning Received: The Use of Weather Warning Tools in Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Laura Myers, Univ. of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and T. L. Brown, S. A. Jasko, and S. Gallman
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.3
Implementation of the WFO Tulsa Vision for Local Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Karen Hatfield, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and S. F. Piltz, E. J. Calianese Jr., J. M. Frederick, J. B. McGavock, and M. E. Plate
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (3.4 MB)

1.4
Optimizing Confidence Messaging in Decision Support Services

9:45 AM
1.5A
Delivering and Improving Impact-Based Seasonal Outlooks for South-Central Texas
Larry J. Hopper Jr., NWS, New Braunfels, TX; and T. Dickinson and J. W. Zeitler
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.7 MB)

1.5
Multihazard Impact-Based Alerts via Cell Broadcast in New Zealand: Targeted Short Messages for Promoting Effective Responses

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 2
Needs (Physical and Social Science research, Practice, etc.)
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Chair: Morgan Barry, NOAA/NWS
10:30 AM
2.1
Conducting a Briefing: Decision Support? How Meteorologists Can Move beyond the Role of Weather Forecaster to Become a Trusted Key Part of the Team (Invited Presentation)
Rebecca Moulton, FEMA, Washington
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
2.2
The Three-Legged Stool of Weather Decision Support Services: Public, Private, and Academia in Partnership (Invited Presentation)
Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.3
Making Impact-Based Information and Advice Impactful
Rebecca Hemingway, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and I. Lisk
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Impact-Based Decision Support Services for Severe Winter Storms: A New York Case Study
Heather Hosterman, Abt Associates, Boulder, CO; and J. Lazo
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
An Overview of the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center’s Integrated Machine-Based Predictive Analytics for Convective Threats to Society (IMPACTS) Statistical Model
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and R. Clark III, R. S. Schneider, H. E. Brooks, S. A. Erickson, and A. R. Dean
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Enhanced Decision Support Services in Action—Cultivating a Deep Core Relationship with the U.S. Coast Guard and Others through Engaging Web Services
Noel S. Keene, NWS, Medford, OR; and K. B. Kasper and S. B. Nelaimischkies
Recorded Presentation

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3
Challenges (Barriers to Providing Effective Impact-Based Decision Support Services)
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Chair: Michael Lowry, UCAR/NHC
1:30 PM
3.1
Deployment Ready: Evolving NWS Impact-Based Decision Support Services (Invited Presentation)
Charlie Woodrum, NWS, Honolulu, HI; and J. J. Zeltwanger and C. McKinney
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
3.2
Effective Communication during High-Impact Events: An Analysis of the January 6-7, 2017 Winter Weather Event across North/Central Georgia
Lara E. Pagano, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA; and K. M. Stellman, S. E. Nelson, and D. J. Nadler
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
3.3
A Tale of Two Fridays: How Impact Decision Support Services and Consistent Risk Communication Can Alter News Headlines
Kevin Deitsch, NWS, St. Charles, MO
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.4
A Glimpse into the Future of IDSS with Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) for Tornadoes
James Correia Jr., Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and D. LaDue and C. Karstens
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Collaborations (also across the Weather Enterprise)
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Chair: Clark Evans, Univ. of Wisconsin
2:45 PM
4.1
Neither the GFS nor the ECMWF: Two Models for Your Next Forecast (Invited Presentation)
Joshua D. Eachus, WBRZ, Baton Rouge, LA
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
4.2
From Early Detection and Probabilistic Forecasting of High-Impact Weather to Emergency Response Actions: The I-REACT Project
Pertti Nurmi, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and K. Ylinen
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
4.3
A Local Perspective on National Weather Service Decision Support for the 2017 National Boy Scout Jamboree
Maura Casey, NWS RLX, Charleston, WV; and M. Zwier, D. T. Cooper, J. Wolfe, and J. Hovis
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
4.4
Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Probabilities and Warnings within an Integrated Warning Team
Kristin M. Calhoun, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. C. Meyer, K. Berry, H. Obermeier, S. J. Sanders, C. A. Shivers, C. D. Karstens, J. P. Wolfe, and K. E. Klockow
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Poster Session 1
Impact-Based Decision Support Services Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Special Symposium on Impact-Based Decision Support Services
Cochairs: Clark Evans, Univ. of Wisconsin; Morgan Barry, NOAA/NWS; Michael Lowry, UCAR/NHC
803
Multimodel (Parametric) Tropical Cyclone Model Data: The First Line of Defense for Emergency Risk Management
Sean S. Miller, Kinetic Analysis Corporation, Silver Spring, MD; and J. P. Michael

804
The "Battle at Bristol": An IDSS Review of the Highest Attended College Football Game
Matthew E. Anderson, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN; and A. Pritchett

805
Improving Global Precipitation Product Access at NASA GES DISC
Zhong Liu, George Mason Univ., and Center for Spatial Information Science, and Systems and NASA/GSFC/GES DISC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Vollmer, A. Savtchenko, D. Ostrenga, B. Deshong, F. Fang, R. Albayrak, E. Sherman, M. Greene, A. W. Li, C. L. Shie, W. Teng, and D. Meyer

806
DOD Climate Services—User Engagement Strategies to Optimize National Security
Robb M. Randall, U.S. Air Force, Asheville, NC; and R. B. Kiess, J. H. Zautner, G. T. Moody, and B. D. Mundhenk

807
Using Probabilistic Rainfall and Probabilistic River Information to Provide Long-Lead IDSS for Record Flooding along the Illinois River Basin in Eastern Oklahoma during the 2015 Christmas Holiday
Nicole M. McGavock, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and S. F. Piltz

Handout (3.7 MB)

808
Evolution of Aviation Decision Support Services for High-Impact Events
Roland Nunez, NWS/Center Weather Service Unit, Houston, TX

809
Utilizing Technology to Customize Impact Decision Support for NWS Portland Partners
Evan Bentley, NWSFO, Portland, OR; and J. F. Pyle and T. Wilde

Handout (1.8 MB)

810
Rewriting the Playbook: An Overview and Evaluation of Super Bowl LI Decision Support
Melissa Huffman, National Weather Service, Dickinson, TX; and M. E. Merrifield

811
Driving Decisions and Supporting Claims Operations in P&C Insurance by Utilizing Ground Hail Measurement Networks
Alex Kubicek, Understory Weather, Somerville, MA; and E. Hewitt, R. S. Bussman, and K. E. Willmot

812
Automating Decisions within Weather-Influenced Markets

813
Exploring the Limitations of Impact-Based Decision Support Services Based on Remote Sensing Using High-Resolution Hail Reports
Kiel L. Ortega, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK

Handout (3.2 MB)

814
Relationship Building with Central California's Tribal Governments via a Tribal Summit
Jerald Meadows, NWS, Hanford, CA

815
The Evolution of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Data Services
Fabio Venuti, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom

Handout (489.0 kB)

816
Providing Decision Support at 20,310 Feet: The Challenges and Best Practices of Forecasting for North America’s Highest Peak
Edward W. Plumb, NOAA/NWS, Fairbanks, AK

817
Communicating Fire Weather Risks at Short Lead Times Using the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Forecast Modeling System
Taylor A. McCorkle, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. D. Horel and B. K. Blaylock

818
Teaching Probability, Uncertainty, and Hazard Communication to Undergraduates: A First-Year Seminar Experience

819
Attempting to Design the IDSS-Centric NWS Office of the Future

820
Fatality and Damage Predictions from Potential Tornado Outbreaks as Simulated by the SPC IMPACTS Statistical Model
Kevin M. Simmons, Austin College, Sherman, TX; and P. T. Marsh, R. S. Schneider, A. B. Smith, R. Clark III, S. A. Erickson, and H. E. Brooks

821
A Climatology of Warm Season Elevated Thunderstorm Events in Extreme Southwest California
Stephen J. Harrison, NWS, San Diego, CA

Poster 822 has been moved. New paper number is 1.5A.

823
Earth Observations to Support the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals
Satya Kalluri, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and A. Held and M. Paganini

824
Development of the Colorado Fire Prediction System (CO-FPS): Results and Lessons Learned
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Kosovic, P. A. Jimenez, D. Munoz Esparza, B. Schmidt, A. R. S. Anderson, J. Cowie, K. Sampson, J. Boehnert, and A. DeCastro

825
The Storm Prediction Center’s Weather Generator
Race Clark III, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and P. T. Marsh, R. S. Schneider, H. E. Brooks, and S. A. Erickson

826
A Specialized Flood Potential Index for Impact-Based Decision Support for the Texas Medical Center
Nathan Stanford, StormGeo, Houston, TX; and F. Schmude and J. Basciani

827
Marine Weather Impact-Based Decision Support aboard the NOAA Ship Nancy Foster during a Research Expedition Offshore the Florida Keys
Kennard B. Kasper, NOAA/NWSFO, Key West, FL; and C. Rothwell

Handout (3.8 MB)

828
Tactical Impact—Decision Support Using GOES-16 during the 6 March 2017 Southern Great Plains Firestorm
Luigi F. Meccariello, NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and S. W. Bieda III, T. Lindley, M. Beat, B. J. Simpson, C. M. Gravelle, G. P. Murdoch, and B. R. Smith

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Sunday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break
« Collapse View