Session 7 Ensemble and Statistical Post-Processing, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine-Learning for Decision Support

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Cochairs:
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD and Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
10:30 AM
7.1
Generating Spatio-Temporal Precipitation Forecast Fields Based on the Output of the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (Core Science Keynote)
Michael Scheuerer, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
7.2
Gridded Cloud Layer Guidance to Support the TAF
Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD; and A. D. Schnapp
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (746.0 kB)

Handout (8.1 MB)

11:15 AM
7.3
Overview of National Blend of Models Version 3.1. Part I: Capabilities and an Outlook for Future Upgrades
Jeffrey P. Craven, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. E. Rudack, R. S. James, E. Engle, T. M. Hamill, S. Scallion, P. E. Shafer, J. Wagner Jr., M. N. Baker, J. R. Wiedenfeld, C. Buxton, D. P. Nielsen, and C. A. Stearns
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
7.4
Gridded Bayesian Linear Regression to Improve Storm Forecasts Using NCAR’s Real-Time Prediction System for Northeast United States
Jaemo Yang, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and M. Astitha and C. S. Schwartz
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
7.5
An Evaluation of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Forecasts of Sensible Weather Parameters
Joseph P. Koval, The Weather Company: An IBM Business, Atlanta, GA; and H. C. Hassenzahl, W. A. Cassanova, and J. I. Belanger
Recorded Presentation

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