Joint Session 40 Flood Prediction, Analysis, High Performance Computing, Decision Support, Management, and Tropical Cyclones, Part II

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )
Nick Z. Fang, Univ. of Texas, Department of Civil Engineering, Arlington, TX; Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas, Depart. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, San Antonio, TX; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL, Pasadena, CA; David J. Gochis, NCAR, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC, Chief Scientist, Raleigh, NC; Gerry Creager, Oklahoma Univ./CIMMS, and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Benjamin Bass, Rice Univ., Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX and Philip B. Bedient, Rice Univ., Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX

A number of regional and national real-time flood forecasting systems are emerging for a variety of different flood-related applications. These new systems are taking advantage of new national hydrologic data standards, new advances in supercomputing availability and improvements in model parameterizations and meteorological forcing datasets. This session encourages contributions from all sectors of the AMS enterprise (academic, government and the private sector) who have built and deployed such systems. Additionally, contributions are welcome from researchers who have developed novel methodologies to sense and model flood generation dynamics at a variety of time and space scales. We are also seeking abstracts that focus on hydrological modeling systems which require, and utilize high performance computing (HPC) resources to improve the overall understanding and real-time prediction of hydrologic processes at all scales (land surface, aquifer, and stream/river flows) and their extremes (especially those with high impacts on society). Also in this session, interdisciplinary researchers, from meteorologists to engineers, are encouraged to demonstrate different methodologies and tools for better understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) and improving risk-based analysis and real-time forecasts of the rainfall and/or storm surge associated with TCs. In addition, studies involving flood mitigation from the local to the regional scale are invited given the increasing need for protection from such events. Research and application contributions from within the United States as well as internationally are also encouraged.

10:30 AM
National Water Model-Based Diagnoses of Recent High-Impact Floods
David Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Cosgrove, A. Dugger, J. McCreight, F. Salas, D. Yates, L. K. Read, W. Yu, K. Sampson, A. RafieeiNasab, Y. Liu, L. Pan, M. Barlage, and L. Karsten
10:45 AM
An Update on the NOAA National Water Model and Related Activities
Brian A. Cosgrove, NWS/Office of Water Prediction, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Gochis, T. Graziano, E. Clark, and T. Flowers
11:00 AM
Development and Demonstration of Ensemble Hydrologic Data Assimilation Strategies for a Real-Time Distributed Regional Hydrologic Forecast System
Andrew W. Wood, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Saharia, E. A. Clark, B. Nijssen, A. Bennett, and M. Clark

11:30 AM
11:45 AM
Estimating the Risk of Flood Severity over the United States
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley, H. Vergara, Z. L. Flamig, and J. M. Erlingis
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