Joint Session 58 32nd Conference on Hydrology

Program Chairs: Joshua K. Roundy , Univ. of Kansas ; Michael Hobbins , CIRES ; Yu Zhang , Univ. of Texas ; Nick Z. Fang , Univ. of Texas ; John McHenry , Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 7 January 2018

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Monday, 8 January 2018

8:30 AM-8:45 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Plenary Session 2
Welcoming Address
Location: Austin, Texas

8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 1
Hydrometeorological Extremes for Hydrologic Design
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Kathleen D. Holman, Department of the Interior; Victoria Bahls, MetStat, Inc.; Charles D. McWilliams, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
8:45 AM
1.1
9:00 AM
1.2
9:15 AM
1.3
Accounting for Uncertainties in NOAA Atlas 14 Precipitation Frequency Estimates
Sanja Perica, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Pavlovic, M. St. Laurent, C. Trypaluk, D. Unruh, and O. Wilhite

9:30 AM
1.4
Precipitation Frequency Analysis over Complex Terrain Using the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh
Trevor Alcott, OAR, Boulder, CO; and E. P. James, K. Mahoney, and R. Cifelli
9:45 AM
1.5
Precipitation Frequency Analysis in Regions of Complex Topography
Kathleen Holman, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and A. Verdin, D. P. Keeney, and J. Kanney

Handout (3.0 MB)

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Danielle Wood, MIT; Margaret M. Hurwitz, Science Systems and Applications, Inc.; Bradley Doorn, NASA
8:45 AM
J2.1
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture (Invited Presentation)
Debra Peters, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Las Cruces, NM; and A. Bartuska and R. Tetrault

9:00 AM
J2.2
Enhancing Famine Early Warning Systems with Improved Forecasts, Satellite Observations, and Hydrologic Simulations (Invited Presentation)
Chris C. Funk, USGS, Santa Barbara, CA; and J. P. Verdin, W. M. Thiaw, A. Hoell, S. Shukla, A. McNally, G. Galu, N. S. Novella, D. Korecha, K. R. Arsenault, M. Robjohn, J. Rowland, M. Budde, C. Peters-Lidard, T. Magadzire, E. Bekele, L. S. Harrison, P. Peterson, C. Pomposi, and G. Husak
9:15 AM
J2.3
Riding the Wave of Combined Drought Indicators to Enhance Drought Early Warning for Decision Support
Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Wardlow, B. Fuchs, C. Poulsen, J. Swigart, C. R. Hain, R. McDonnell, and C. M. U. Neale
9:30 AM
J2.4
Prediction of Winter Wheat High Yield from Remote Sensing–Based Model: Application in the United States and Ukraine
Eric Vermote, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Franch, J. C. Roger, S. Skakun, I. Becker-Reshef, and C. O. Justice

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 2A
Drought Analysis and Prediction, Part I
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jason A. Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin; Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas
10:30 AM
2A.1
Impacts of Pixel Scale and Phenology on the Satellite-Based Evaporative Stress Index (Invited Presentation)
Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and Y. Yang, F. Gao, C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, and Y. Yang
10:45 AM
2A.2
Developing Integrative Soil Moisture Products to Improve Drought Monitoring and Forecasting in the United States (Invited Presentation)
Trent Ford, Southern Illinois Univ., Carbondale, IL; and S. M. Quiring, J. M. Lucido, and M. L. Strobel
11:00 AM
2A.3
Drought Depiction in the Noah-MP (Multiphysics) Land Surface Model in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS)
David M. Mocko, SAIC at NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. Wang, S. V. Kumar, and Y. Xia
11:15 AM
2A.4
The Evaporative Stress Index as an Indictor for Flash Drought Across the United States Using Reanalysis Datasets
Jordan I. Christian, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. A. Otkin, E. D. Hunt, and X. Xiao
11:30 AM
2A.5
Monitoring Droughts and Floods through the Assimilation of GRACE and GRACE Follow-On Data
Matthew Rodell, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Li, H. Beaudoing, A. Getirana, S. V. Kumar, B. F. Zaitchik, S. V. Bettadpur, H. Save, B. Wardlow, and M. D. Svoboda
11:45 AM
2A.6
Development of a Global Evaporative Stress Index Based on Thermal and Microwave LST toward Improved Monitoring of Agricultural Drought
Christopher Hain, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL; and M. C. Anderson, J. A. Otkin, T. R. H. Holmes, F. Gao, and X. Zhan
Recording files available
Session 2B
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling, Part I
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas; Paul A. Kucera, UCAR
10:30 AM
2B.1
An Operational Passive Microwave Snowfall Rate Product and Its Application in Hydrology
Huan Meng, NOAA/NESDIS/Center for Satellite Applications and Research, College Park, MD; and J. Dong, C. Kongoli, R. R. Ferraro, B. Yan, L. Zhao, P. Xie, and R. Joyce
10:45 AM
2B.2
Errors Analysis on Estimating Raindrop Size Distribution in a Mei-Yu Front Heavy Rainfall Process
Zhimin Zhou, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan City, China; and Z. Fu

11:00 AM
2B.3A
Global-Scale Evaluation of 22 Precipitation Datasets Using Gauge Observations and Hydrological Modeling
Hylke Beck, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and N. Vergopolan, M. Pan, V. Levizzani, A. I. J. M. van Dijk, G. Weedon, L. Brocca, F. Pappenberger, G. J. Huffman, and E. F. Wood
11:15 AM
2B.4
Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) QPE Products Update—2016/2017
Jian Zhang, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. W. Howard, L. Tang, S. M. Martinaitis, Y. Qi, S. B. Cocks, C. Langston, B. T. Kaney, and K. Cooper

11:30 AM
2B.5
Comparison of Ground-Based Observations for Detecting Falling Snow
Bailey Swick, St. Cloud State Univ., Thief River Falls, MN; and A. Tokay, D. A. Marks, J. L. Pippitt, D. B. Wolff, and W. Petersen
11:45 AM
2B.6
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimates with Ground- and Space-Based Radars
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, NOAA/NSSL, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley and J. Zhang

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Lunch Break

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 1
2018 Haurwitz Lecture
Location: Salon K (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Cochairs: Ángel F. Adames, GFDL; Scott W. Powell, Colorado State Univ.

2:00 PM-4:15 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3A
Drought Analysis and Prediction, Part II
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jason A. Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin; Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas
2:00 PM
3A.1
VegOut-GHA: A Seasonal Vegetation Outlook for the Greater Horn of Africa (Invited Presentation)
Tsegaye Tadesse, National Drought Mitigation Center, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and Y. A. Bayissa, G. B. Demisse, and B. Wardlow
2:30 PM
3A.3
Seasonal-Scale Drought Forecasting in Africa and the Middle East Using the NASA Land Information System (LIS)
Kristi R. Arsenault, NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Shukla, A. Hazra, C. D. Peters-Lidard, A. Getirana, S. Kumar, A. McNally, R. D. Koster, C. C. Funk, K. Bergaoui, R. McDonnell, J. B. Eylander, B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, and L. S. Harrison

2:45 PM
3A.4
Predicting Global Drought Conditions Using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
Raymond B. Kiess, AWS, Asheville, NC; and J. P. Anthony, R. M. Randall, and R. D. Smith
3:00 PM
3A.5
Establishing Relationships between Drought and Wildfire Danger Indices for Improved Wildfire Risk Management
Dan McEvoy, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. Wall, T. J. Brown, J. Huntington, M. Hobbins, and M. Svoboda
3:15 PM
3A.6
Exploring the Relationship between Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Drought Intensity and Dust Storm Point Sources in New Mexico, Texas, and Oklahoma 
Iyasu G. Eibedingil, Univ. of Texas, El Paso, TX; and J. E. Ceniceros, T. E. Gill, T. Kandakji, M. Dominguez Acosta, A. D. Garcia, J. A. Lee, and J. Li

3:30 PM
3A.7
3:45 PM
3A.8
Advancing Ecological Drought with a Focus on Preparedness and Innovative Uses of Drought Prediction
Shelley Crausbay, Conservation Science Partners, Fort Collins, CO; and A. E. Cravens, J. McEvoy, A. Ramirez, J. Bradford, and S. Munson
4:00 PM
3A.9
Regional Drought Early Warning, Impacts, and Assessment for Water and Agriculture in the Rio Grande Basin, 2016–2017
David P. Brown, USDA, El Reno, OK; and T. K. Bernadt, D. DuBois, B. Fuchs, W. L. Hargrove, S. Hermitte, L. Kos, A. Kremen, M. A. Shafer, C. Steele, R. Steele, C. Turner, C. West, and C. Simpson
Recording files available
Session 3B
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling, Part II
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas; Paul A. Kucera, UCAR
2:00 PM
3B.1
Evaluation of a Mesoscale Convective System in Variable-Resolution CESM
Ashley E. Payne, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski
2:30 PM
3B.3
A Quick Summary of IMERG Versions and Features
George J. Huffman, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. T. Bolvin, D. Braithwaite, K. Hsu, R. J. Joyce, C. Kidd, E. J. Nelkin, S. Sorooshian, J. Tan, and P. Xie
2:45 PM
3B.4
3:00 PM
3B.5
Evaluation of the Mountain Mapper Product Generated by the Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor System (MRMS) over the Russian River Basin Region in California
Sounak K. Biswas, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and V. Chandrasekar, R. Cifelli, and J. Bytheway

3:30 PM
3B.7
Upgrading the United States Air Force Land Information System: Improvements to Global Precipitation Analysis
Eric M. Kemp, SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Wegiel, S. V. Kumar, J. Geiger, and C. D. Peters-Lidard

3:45 PM
3B.8
4:00 PM
3B.9

4:15 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Joint Poster Session 1
Advancing the Use of Earth Observations to Benefit Global Food Security and Agriculture
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Danielle Wood, MIT; Margaret M. Hurwitz, Science Systems and Applications, Inc.; Bradley Doorn, NASA
9
Views of the 2016 Northern Plains Flash Drought: Farmer Perspectives and Remote Sensing Data
Tonya Haigh, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and J. A. Otkin and A. Mucia

10
Seasonal-Scale Water Deficit Forecasting in Africa and the Middle East Using NASA’s Land Information System (LIS)
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and K. R. Arsenault, S. Shukla, A. Getirana, A. McNally, R. D. Koster, B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, J. M. Roningen, S. Kumar, and C. C. Funk

11
Examining the Value of Global Seasonal Reference Evapotranspiration Forecasts to Support FEWS NET's Food Insecurity Outlooks
Dan McEvoy, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. Shukla, M. Hobbins, G. Husak, J. Huntington, C. C. Funk, D. Macharia, and J. Verdin

12
A New Global Reference Evapotranspiration Reanalysis Forced by MERRA2: Opportunities for Famine Early Warning, Drought Attribution, and Improving Drought Monitoring
Michael Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and C. Dewes, D. McEvoy, S. Shukla, L. S. Harrison, S. L. Blakeley, A. McNally, and J. P. Verdin

13
Changing Precipitation Patterns Challenges Food Security in the Indus Basin
Ashish Kondal, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV; and M. Usmani, L. Lin, and A. Jutla

17
A New Remote-Sensing Indicator for Measuring Degree of Crop Damage due to Natural Disasters
Liping Di, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and E. Yu and R. Shrestha

18
The Research on Disastrous Law of Drought and Flood in Hubei Province in China
Yue Zhou, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China; and Y. Zhou and L. Ye


Poster Session 1
Drought Analysis and Prediction
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jason A. Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin; Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas
19
Do Floods Terminate a Drought?
Michael C. Kruk, Earth Resources Technology, Inc., Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim Jr., D. McEvoy, and A. M. Sheffield

20
An Evaluation of Recent U.S. Drought Events Using a Newly Available Standardized Soil Moisture Dataset
Ronald. D. Leeper, NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Information/North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC

21
Combining GEFS with CHIRPS Precipitation Estimates to Bias Correct Precipitation Forecasts for Food Security Analysis
Martin Landsfeld, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk, L. S. Harrison, P. Peterson, S. Shukla, and G. Husak

22
Improving the Communication of Drought Conditions in Canada—Advancements in the Canadian Drought Monitor
Trevor Hadwen, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Regina, Canada; and P. Cherneski, L. Richard, M. Magendrathajan, and M. McBurney

23
Recovery of Hydrological Conditions in California: A GIS Case Study
Zachary S. Bruick, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. Wei, A. Savtchenko, and W. Yang

24
Local Drought Management
Mark A. Shafer, Southern Climate Impacts Planning Program, Norman, OK

25
A New 34-Year Satellite-Based Monthly Tmax Climate Data Record, the Climate Hazards Infrared/MERRA2 Tmax with Stations: CHIMERRAS Tmax
Pete Peterson, Univ. of California, Climate Hazards Group, Santa Barbara, CA; and S. Peterson, A. Meiburg, C. C. Funk, J. Michaelsen, F. Davenport, G. Husak, S. Shukla, D. Pedreros, D. Macharia, N. Mata, K. Knapp, and T. Dinku

26
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Climate Forecast Rodeo
Ken Nowak, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and R. Cifelli and L. D. Brekke

27
Drivers of Atmospheric Evaporative Demand during African Droughts
Laura S. Harrison, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and S. L. Blakeley, M. Hobbins, C. Dewes, C. C. Funk, S. Shukla, P. Peterson, and G. Husak

28
Generating Forecasts of Reservoir Storage Using Climate Information from Probability of Exceedance (POE) Plots of Seasonal Rainfall
D. Nelun Fernando, Texas Water Development Board, Austin, TX; and J. Zhu and S. Negusse

29
Satellite WRSI-Based Drought Vulnerability Functions and Agricultural Drought Risks Using Paired CHIRPS and Reference ET GRIDS in Senegal
Harikishan Jayanthi, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD; and G. Husak, C. C. Funk, J. P. Verdin, M. T. Hobbins, T. Magadzire, A. Adoum, and G. Galu

31
Development of Prototype National Water Model Soil Moisture Products for Drought Monitoring
Mimi Hughes, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Zamora, D. L. Jackson, R. Cifelli, R. S. Webb, D. DeWitt, and P. Colohan

32
GRACE-Assimilated Drought Indicators for Drought Monitor
Hualan Rui, NASA GSFC and Adnet Systems, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Vollmer, W. Teng, C. F. Loeser, H. Beaudoing, and M. Rodell

33
Prediction of Winter Wheat Yield Loss Caused By Dry-Hot Wind Based on Remote Sensing
Ying Li, China Meteorological Administration/Henan Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Support and Applied Technique, Zhengzhou, China; and H. Chen, X. Wang, and H. Zhang
Manuscript (338.0 kB)

Handout (48.9 MB)

34
The Southeast Drought and Wildfires of 2016: How It Developed and What We Learned
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and C. E. Konrad and C. E. Konrad

35
The Evolution of Drought Planning in Georgia Since 2000: A Cautionary Tale
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. E. Stooksbury

37
Madden–Julian Oscillation and Summer Precipitation/Drought in the Canadian Prairies
Zhenhua Li, Univ. of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada; and Y. Li, A. Manson, and B. R. Bonsal


Poster Session 2
Hydrometeorological Extremes for Hydrologic Design
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Kathleen D. Holman, Department of the Interior; Victoria Bahls, MetStat, Inc.; Charles D. McWilliams, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
39
40
Meteorological Review on 10 Significant Annual Precipitations in Seoul during 1778–2016
Jae Won Lee, KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. S. Kim

41
Developing an Accessible Database of Extreme Storms for Hydrologic Modeling and Research
George W Hayes III, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Omaha, NE; and C. D. McWilliams and B. P. Mulcahy

44
A Web-Based Stochastic Storm Transposition Toolkit for Physically Based Rainfall and Flood Hazard Analysis
Daniel B. Wright, Daniel B., Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. Yu and K. Holman

45
Everyone at the Table: Colorado and New Mexico’s Comprehensive Approach to Modernizing Extreme Precipitation Estimation for Dam Safety Decision-Making
Kelly Mahoney, ESRL, Boulder, CO; and B. McCormick, T. Alcott, R. Cifelli, E. P. James, and R. S. Webb


Poster Session 3
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Emad Habib, Univ. of Louisiana; Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas; Paul A. Kucera, UCAR
48
Evaluation of Precipitation from NU-WRF Models at Multiple Spatiotemporal Resolutions over CONUS
Yuqi Zhang, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and J. K. Roundy and J. A. Santanello

49
The NCEP's Climatology-Calibrated Precipitation Analysis (CCPA) Version 4
Yan Luo, NOAA/NCEP/EMC and IMSG, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, D. Hou, Y. Lin, and P. Xie

50
Characteristics of Raindrop Size Distribution in a Mei-Yu Front Heavy Rainfall Process over Central China
Chunguang Cui Sr., China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China; and Z. Zhou, Z. Fu, and X. Dong

52
Developments within the TAMSAT Group for Long-Term Rainfall Monitoring and Assessement across Africa
Ross Maidment, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and E. Black, M. Young, and H. Greatrex

55
An Evaluation of Quantitative Precipitation Estimators over the Western United States
Matthew E. Jeglum, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and C. Kahler, P. Veals, and A. Edman

Handout (2.1 MB)

56
An Operational Real-Time and Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasting System (HFS) for the Upper Zambezi Basin, Africa
Rodrigo Valdés-Pineda, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. B. Valdés, E. Demaria, T. Roy, M. Durcik, S. Wi, A. Serrat-Capdevila, J. Brent Roberts, and F. R. Robertson

57
Intercomparison of Reflectivity Measurements between GPM DPR and NEXRAD Radars
Munsung Keem, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and B. C. Seo and W. F. Krajewski

58
Advancing Precipitation Estimation in Data-Sparse Regions—The MRMS Multi-Sensor QPE Product
Steven M. Martinaitis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. Langston, J. Zhang, K. W. Howard, and Y. Qi

59
Current Advancements and Future Direction of Gauge Ingest and Quality Control in the MRMS System
Steven M. Martinaitis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. Langston, Y. Qi, S. B. Cocks, J. Zhang, and K. W. Howard

61
Changes in Patterns of Rainy Days in Nigeria
Sheyi, Adewole Aworinde, Adeyemi college of education, Ondo, Nigeria

62
A Long-Term Global Precipitation Dataset Based on the Latest Advances in GPM Algorithm Development and Sensor Intercalibration
Wesley Berg, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. D. Kummerow, V. Petković, and P. J. Brown

64
Application of Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor Precipitation Product in Flash Flood Modeling
Almoutaz A. El Hassan, Prairie View A&M Univ., Prairie View, TX; and H. K. Bayabil, A. Fares, E. Risch, and H. Sharif

66
Improving the Drought Monitoring Capabilities of Land Surface Models by Integrating Bias-Corrected, Gridded Precipitation Estimates
D. Brent McRoberts, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. M. Quiring, B. T. Zavodsky, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. W. Nielsen-Gammon, J. L. Case, and D. M. Mocko


Poster Session 4
Severe Precipitation Detection, Estimation, Forecast and Hydrometeorological Applications, Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Chair: Ming Xue, Univ. of Oklahoma
67
Convective-Permitting Simulations of Extreme Weather and Climate Events in El Salavador with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Christopher L. Castro, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Ochoa-Moya and A. I. Quintanar

Handout (2.2 MB)

69
Assessment of Distributed Hydrological Model Products for Flash Flood Operations
James Halgren, RTI International, Fort Collins, CO; and L. E. Johnson, T. Coleman, and R. Cifelli

70
A Scale to Characterize the Strength and Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers
Jonathan J. Rutz, NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and F. M. Ralph, M. Dettinger, J. M. Cordeira, L. J. Schick, M. L. Anderson, C. Smallcomb, and D. W. Reynolds

71
Dynamical Insights into Extreme Short-Term Precipitation Associated with Supercells and Mesovortices
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Handout (14.8 MB)

72
Forecasting and Simulation of Floods in Western Boundary Basin Ilam,Iran
Farahnaz Taghavi, Univ. of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

73
The Research on Hydrometeorology Coupling Method in Basin Flood Warning and Forecasting
Tao Peng, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China; and T. Peng, C. G. Cui, Z. Y. Yin, T. Y. Shen, and J. C. Wang

74
Multi-Sensor QPE for Operational Hydrological Application in Brazil
Cesar Beneti, Paraná Meteorological System (SIMEPAR), Curitiba, Brazil; and R. V. Calheiros, L. Calvetti, M. Sorribas, C. Oliveira, R. L. Neundorf, J. Ruviaro, and A. Breda

75
Tackling the Verification of Flash Floods
Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

76
High-Resolution Quantitative Precipitation Estimation from Measurement of S-Band Doppler Weather Radar Network over Eastern China
Chaoying Huang, Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf (Guangxi Teachers Education Univ.), Nanning, China; and S. Chen, Z. Liang, and B. Hu

77
MRMS Precipitation Estimates Using Specific Attenuation
Stephen B. Cocks, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Tang, Y. Wang, J. Zhang, A. Ryzhkov, P. Zhang, and K. W. Howard

78
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Using X-Band Dual-Pol Phase-Array Radar Measurements over Southern China
Sheng Chen, Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and A. Zhang, J. Hu, and W. Yuan

79
Improving Multisensor Estimation of Heavy-to-Extreme Precipitation via Conditional Bias-Penalized Optimal Estimation
Mohammad Nabatian, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and D. J. Seo, S. Noh, L. Tang, J. Zhang, D. Kitzmiller, and G. Fall

81
The Caribbean Dewetra Platform
Shawn Anthony Boyce, Caribbean Insitute for Meteorology and Hydrology, Saint James, Barbados; and D. Farrell

Handout (2.8 MB)

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 8 January 2018


Ryan Symposium Reception
Location: The Reverbery at the Hilton (Austin, Texas)

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Severe Precipitation Detection, Estimation, Forecast and Hydrometeorological Applications
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Youcun Qi, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL; Ming Xue, Univ. of Oklahoma
8:30 AM
4.1
Improving Satellite-Based Rainfall Retrievals By Incorporating High-Resolution Ground Radar Network Observations (Invited Presentation)
Haonan Chen, Colorado State Univ. and NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Fort Collins, CO; and V. Chandrasekar, R. Cifelli, and P. Xie
9:00 AM
4.3
Operational Strengths and Challenges for the New Dual-Pol MRMS QPE on a Real-Time System
Stephen B. Cocks, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. Tang, Y. Wang, J. Zhang, A. Ryzhkov, P. Zhang, and K. W. Howard
9:15 AM
4.4
Application of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) to the Bay Area Advanced Quantitative Precipitation Information Project
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and E. James, J. M. Brown, D. D. Turner, S. G. Benjamin, G. Pratt, V. Chandrasekar, and R. Cifelli
9:30 AM
4.5
9:45 AM
4.6
Hurricane Harvey’s Flooding Across Harris County
Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/WFO, Dickinson, TX; and J. Lindner
Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Land Surface–Atmosphere Interactions, Part I
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA GSFC; Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS; Joseph A. Santanello, NASA GSFC; Steven M. Quiring, Ohio State Univ.
8:30 AM
J20.1
Do State-of-the-Art CMIP5 ESMs Accurately Represent Observed Vegetation-Rainfall Feedbacks? Focus on the Sahel
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and F. Wang, Y. Yu, J. Mao, X. Shi, and Y. Wei
8:45 AM
J20.2
9:15 AM
J20.4
Local versus Remote Soil Moisture Contributions to Near-Surface Temperature Variability
Randal D. Koster, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert, H. Wang, and Y. Chang

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 5
Hydrometeorological Extremes, Part I
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia–Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro
10:45 AM
5.2
Using Optical Remote Sensing and Synthetic Aperture Radar for Near-Real-Time Response to the Central U.S. Flooding in April–May 2017
Jordan R. Bell, Univ. of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and L. A. Schultz, M. Jones, A. L. Molthan, S. A. Arko, K. A. Hogenson, and F. J. Meyer
11:00 AM
5.3A
Primary Atmospheric Drivers of Pluvial Years in the United States Great Plains
Paul X. Flanagan, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, J. C. Furtado, and X. Xiao
11:15 AM
5.4
The Rapid Response Flood Team (RAFT) Paradigm
Amanda J. Schroeder, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and D. Giardino, G. K. Waller, A. Austin-Smith, and K. S. Lander
11:30 AM
5.5
Rain Type and Flood Events in Southern of Brazil
Diego Oliveira de Souza Sr., National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), São José dos Campos, Brazil; and R. S. A. Palharini, G. S. B. Miranda, P. H. M. de Souza, and M. G. D. Nascimento
11:45 AM
5.6
National Water Model Forecast Evaluation of Extreme Hydrometeorological Events over the Western United States
Francesca Viterbo, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and A. R. Thorstensen, R. Cifelli, M. Hughes, L. E. Johnson, D. J. Gochis, A. W. Wood, K. Nowak, and K. Dahm
Recording files available
Joint Session 24
Land Surface–Atmosphere Interactions, Part II
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA GSFC; Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS; Joseph A. Santanello, NASA GSFC; Steven M. Quiring, Ohio State Univ.
10:30 AM
J24.1
Investigation of Land–Atmosphere Feedbacks in Oklahoma Using Local Coupling Metrics
Ryann Ashley Wakefield, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara
11:00 AM
J24.3
Potential Reemergence of Seasonal Soil Moisture Anomalies in North America
Matthew Newman, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and S. Kumar, Y. Wang, and B. Livneh
11:15 AM
J24.4
Moisture Sources for Flash Floods in the United States
Jessica M. Erlingis, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; and J. J. Gourley
11:30 AM
J24.5
11:45 AM
J24.6
Satellite Observations Revealed Major Biophysical Climate Effects of Grassland–Cropland Conversion over East Asia Drylands
Gensuo Jia, CAS Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China; and W. Ma and W. Lu

Recording files available
Joint Session 27
The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise
Location: Room 1 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 32nd Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Duane E. Waliser, JPL
10:30 AM
J27.1
Sensitivity of High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones to Water Vapor Filaments
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds
10:45 AM
J27.2
An Assessment of Numerical Weather Prediction Models in Forecasting Atmospheric Rivers
Kyle M. Nardi, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. A. Barnes
11:00 AM
J27.3
11:15 AM
J27.4
11:30 AM
J27.5
The ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index for Water Vapour Transport
David A. Lavers, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and E. Zsoter, D. S. Richardson, and F. Pappenberger

1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 6
Hydrometeorological ExtremesPart II
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia–Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL
1:45 PM
6.2
2:00 PM
6.3
Understanding Processes and Improving Predictions of Hydrometeorological Extremes in Subtropical South America: Proyecto RELAMPAGO-CACTI
Stephen W. Nesbitt, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and P. Salio, R. J. Trapp, R. D. Roberts, A. C. Varble, F. Dominguez, L. A. T. Machado, and C. Saulo
2:15 PM
6.4
The Meteorology of Extreme Precipitation and Implications for Future Planning (Invited Presentation)
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and S. M. Champion
2:45 PM
6.6
Examination of the Current and Next Version of the HRRR Model for Some Recent Heavy Precipitation Events
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, C. Alexander, J. Brown, T. Alcott, and E. P. James
3:00 PM
6.7
Dynamics of Tropical–Extratropical Interactions and Extreme Precipitation Events in Saudi Arabia in Autumn, Winter, and Spring
A. J. De Vries, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany; and S. B. Feldstein, M. Riemer, E. Tyrlis, M. Baumgart, M. Fnais, M. Sprenger, and J. Lelieveld
3:15 PM
6.8
Statistical Modeling of Extreme Precipitation with TRMM Data
Levon Demirdjian, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Zhou and G. J. Huffman
3:30 PM
6.9
River Ice, Forecasting, and the Winter of 2016/17
Laura Diamond, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and M. Stoflet and S. Pettis
Recording files available
Joint Session 30
Land Surface–Atmosphere InteractionsPart III
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA GSFC; Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS; Joseph A. Santanello, NASA GSFC; Steven M. Quiring, Ohio State Univ.
1:30 PM
J30.1
The Impact of a Low Bias in SWE Initialization on CFS Seasonal Forecasts
Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. D. Broxton and N. Dawson
1:45 PM
J30.2
High-Impact Weather Forecasts Using a Prototype Warn-on-Forecast System
Nathan T. Lis, Pennsylvania State Univ., Univ. Park, PA; and N. Yussouf and T. A. Jones
2:00 PM
J30.3
2:15 PM
J30.4
Brown Ocean Effect on the Louisiana August 2016 Extreme Flooding Event
Udaysankar Nair, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and E. Rappin, E. Foshee, W. Smith, R. A. Pielke Sr., R. Mahmood, J. L. Case, C. B. Blankenship, J. M. Shepherd, J. A. Santanello, and D. Niyogi
2:45 PM
J30.6A
Observational Evidence for Desert Amplification Using Multiple Satellite Datasets
Nan Wei, Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and L. Zhou, G. Xia, Y. Dai, and W. Hua
3:00 PM
J30.7
Modeling the Convective Response to Land-Use Change in the Northern Great Plains
Gabriel Bromley, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT; and T. Gerken, S. S. Williams, and P. Stoy
3:30 PM
J30.9
Evaluating and Benchmarking Land Surface Models
Heather S. Rumbold, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and G. Weedon, M. J. Best, and S. V. Kumar

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Joint Poster Session 2
Flood Prediction, Analysis, High Performance Computing, Decision Support, Management, and Tropical Cyclones
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )
Cochairs: Nick Z. Fang, Univ. of Texas; Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Gerry Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL; Philip B. Bedient, Rice Univ.; Benjamin Bass, Rice Univ.
450
Evaluation Studies of Real-Time Flood Forecasting: A Review of Issues
Felipe Quintero, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and W. F. Krajewski, G. R. Ghimire, and M. Rojas

451
Utilizing CIPS Analogs in Extended River Flood Forecasts
Emilee Lachenmeier, NWS/NCRFC, Chanhassen, MN

452
Advancements in Estimating and Validating Bankfull Flow and Inundation in the National Water Model
Laura K. Read, NCAR, Boulder, AL; and D. N. Yates, D. J. Gochis, F. Salas, Z. Li, and S. Khan

453
Identifying Runoff Parameters and Predicting Future Runoff with GCM Data in a Mountainous Basin in Japan
Kazumasa Fujimura, Meisei Univ., Hino City, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Iseri, S. Kanae, S. Okada, and M. Murakami

Poster 454 will also present as paper J35.3A

456
Accounting for rainfall spatial variability in the prediction of flash floods
Manabendra Saharia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. E. Kirstetter, J. J. Gourley, Y. Hong, and H. Vergara

457
Spatial Analysis of Rain Rates for Tropical Cyclones Affecting Madagascar or Mozambique
Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and S. M. VanSchoick
Manuscript (712.9 kB)

Handout (2.8 MB)

458
Forecasting and Simulation of Floods in Western Boundary Basin Ilam, Iran
Farahnaz Taghavi, Univ. of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

459
Integrated Flood Forecast Model (Hydro-CoSMoS) for San Francisco Bay
Jungho Kim, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and L. Herdman, L. E. Johnson, R. Martyr-Koller, R. Cifelli, P. Barnard, L. Erikson, J. Finzi Hart, and V. Chandrasekar

460
IFIS Model-Plus: A Web-Based GUI for Visualization, Comparison, and Evaluation of Distributed Flood Forecasts and Hindcasts
Andre Della Libera Zanchetta, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa Flood Center, Iowa City, IA; and R. Mantilla, I. Demir, and W. F. Krajewski

461
Enhancements to the WRF-Hydro Hydrologic Model Structure for Semiarid Environments
Timothy M. Lahmers, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. V. Gupta, P. Hazenberg, C. L. Castro, D. J. Gochis, D. N. Yates, A. Dugger, and D. C. Goodrich

Handout (6.4 MB)

463
Assimilation of Real-Time Streamflow Observations for the National Water Model Using Ensemble Kalman Filter
Seongjin Noh, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and D. J. Seo, A. RafieeiNasab, J. McCreight, D. Gochis, B. Cosgrove, and T. Vukicevic

465
Implementing the WRF-Hydro Modeling System in the Great Lakes Region
Chuliang Xiao, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and B. M. Lofgren, A. Gronewold, D. J. Gochis, L. Mason, L. Pei, and K. Sampson

466
Historical Rainfall Data Analysis of Storm Characteristics in Tropical Cyclones and Noncyclonic Storms
Baxter E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc., Norman, OK; and J. E. Vieux

469
An Assessment of National Water Model Streamflow Forecasts during Tropical Storm Cindy
Xia Feng, NOAA/OWP/NWC, Tuscaloosa, AL; and B. Cosgrove

470
Field Evaluation of NOAA's National Water Model
Scott D. Lindsey, NWS/Alaska Pacific River Forecast Center, Anchorage, AK; and A. Macneil, E. T. Jones, J. Lhotak, and T. Dixon


Joint Poster Session 3
Land Surface–Atmosphere Interactions
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California; Randal D. Koster, NASA GSFC; Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS; Joseph A. Santanello, NASA GSFC; Steven M. Quiring, Ohio State Univ.
471
The Feedback of Carbon–Nitrogen–Water Cycle to Climate Change
Li Dan, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing

472
Examining the Effects of Mosaic Land Cover on Extreme Events in Historical Downscaled WRF Simulations
Megan S. Mallard, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and T. L. Spero

473
The Impacts of Agricultural Land Use and Management on Regional Climate Systems: Interactions with the Asian Summer Monsoon
Sonali McDermid, New York Univ., New York, NY; and D. Singh, B. Cook, M. Puma, and C. Montes

474
The Impacts of Agricultural Land Cover and Management on Land–Atmosphere Coupling: A Midlatitude Sensitivity Assessment
Sonali McDermid, New York Univ., New York, NY; and B. Cook, C. Montes, and M. Puma

476
A Comparison of Air Temperatures at Irrigated and Nonirrigated Sites in Andalucia, Spain
Logan T. Mitchell, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood, P. Ordóñez, A. I. Quintanar, and C. Ochoa-Moya

477
The Role of Soil Moisture over Irrigated Land on Precipitation in the Northern Great Plains at Convective Scales
Eric Rappin, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood, U. Nair, and R. Pielke Sr.

478
Regional Warming Amplification and Land Surface Feedbacks
Ethan David Coffel, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and R. M. Horton

480
Current Trends in Land–Atmosphere Coupling Related to Drought
Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and C. R. Ferguson and J. A. Santanello

482
A 42-Yr Assessment of Cloud-Base-Height Trends in the Luquillo Mountains of Eastern Puerto Using Radiosonde Observations from San Juan
Paul W. Miller, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote, C. A. Ramseyer, A. E. Van Beusekom, and G. González

484
485
Land Surface Skin Temperature Errors in the NCEP Models over CONUS
Weizhong Zheng, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. Ek, Y. Xia, H. Wei, J. Meng, Y. Wu, and Y. Yu

486
Assessing the Effects of LSS Choice on Simulated Geopotential Heights over China: A Case Study Using WRF
Xin-Min Zeng, College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China; and B. Wang and N. Wang

Handout (5.5 MB)

487
Flood Risk and Atmospheric Internal Variability: A Multiscale Study over Ireland
Arianna Valmassoi, Univ. College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; and S. S. Gharbia, F. Matacchiera, F. Barbano, S. Di Sabatino, and F. Pilla

488
Evaluating Climate Model Simulations of Land–Atmosphere Coupling on the U.S. Southern Great Plains
Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and S. A. Klein, H. Y. Ma, Q. Tang, S. Xie, I. N. Williams, J. A. Santanello, D. R. Cook, and M. S. Torn

489
NCA-LDAS, a Terrestrial Hydrology Satellite Data Assimilation System for the National Climate Assessment: Overview and Ver. 1.0 Hydrologic Indicators
Michael F. Jasinski, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, J. S. Borak, D. M. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, M. Rodell, H. Rui, H. Beaudoing, B. Li, K. R. Arsenault, B. Vollmer, and J. Bolten

490
Assimilation of Remotely Sensed Leaf Area Index into the Community Land Model with Explicit Carbon and Nitrogen Components using Data Assimilation Research Testbed
Xiaolu Ling, Insititute for Climate and Global Change Research, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and C. Fu, Z. L. Yang, and W. Guo

494
Melting and Freezing Lake Ice: Getting Phase Transitions Correct in Lake Models
Zack Taebel, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. E. Reed and A. R. Desai

495
Impact of Mesoscale Land–Atmosphere Interactions on Boundary Layer Processes in Arctic Region
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Wang and J. E. Nachamkin

496
Analyzing Surface Energy Balance and Hydrologic Changes in the Dry Andes Using CORDEX Data
Margaret M. Orr, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and B. Hanson, M. O'Neal, and S. A. Rauscher

499
The Importance of Soil Moisture to Influence and Predict Summer Extreme Heat Events in North America
Zhe Zhang, Univ. of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and Y. Li, F. Chen, and M. Barlage

500
Convective Cold Pool Responses to Soil Moisture
Aryeh J. Drager, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Grant and S. C. van den Heever

501
Investigating Soil Moisture–Convective Precipitation Feedbacks Using In Situ Soil Moisture in the Central United States
Shanshui Yuan, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and Y. Wang, S. M. Quiring, T. Ford, A. L. Houston, and L. Goldstein


Poster Session 5
Advances in Evaporation and Evaporative Demand
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Ashley M. Matheny, Ohio State Univ.; Christopher Hain, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center
502
Evaluating Difference between Measured and Modeled Potential Evapotranspiration in the State of Colorado
Peter Goble, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken

503
Assessment of Statewide Remote Sensing-Based Evapotranspiration Estimates
Hatim M. E. Geli, New Mexico State Univ., Las Cruces, NM; and C. R. Hain, M. C. Anderson, and G. B. Senay

504
Estimating ET Partitioning Using a Thermal-Based Two-Source Energy Balance Model in Vineyards
William P. Kustas, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and H. Nieto, J. G. Alfieri, K. Knipper, F. Gao, M. C. Anderson, A. F. Torres-Rua, J. Prueger, and L. E. Hipps

505
Monitoring Water Use and Stress with Evapotranspiration Estimates Derived Using Thermal-Based Satellite Remote Sensing in California Vineyards
Kyle Knipper, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and W. P. Kustas, M. C. Anderson, J. G. Alfieri, J. Prueger, F. Gao, L. G. McKee, L. E. Hipps, and M. Mar Alsina

506
Seasonal Variability of Evapotranspiration in the Huancayo Observatory (Central Peruvian Andes) Using Eddy Covariance Techniques
Stephany Callañaupa, Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Peru; and H. Segura and Y. Silva
Manuscript (178.6 kB)

508
Stationary and Moving Wireless Infrared Thermometers to Calculate Crop ET
Paul D. Colaizzi, USDA/ARS, Bushland, TX; and S. A. O'Shaughnessy, S. R. Evett, and A. Andrade

509
Advancing Remotely Sensed Evapotranspiration Estimates Using the MODIS Soil Moisture-Evapotranspiration (MOD-SMET) Model
William Kyle Blount, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO; and T. S. Hogue, K. J. Franz, and K. Knipper

510
The Role of Biomass Hydraulic Capacitance in Forest Transpiration
Ashley M. Matheny, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Bohrer

511
Demonstration of a Daily High-Resolution (375-m) ALEXI Evapotranspiration Product for the NENA Region
Christopher Hain, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL; and C. M. U. Neale, M. A. Schull, and M. C. Anderson

512
Regional and Field-Scale ET Estimates over the MENA Region Using an Open-Source Tool
Mitchell Andrew Schull, CICS, College Park, MD; and C. Hain, M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, X. Zhan, and C. M. U. Neale


Poster Session 6
Hydrometeorological Extremes
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Eleonora Demaria, USDA–ARS; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; Daniel Rodriguez, Instituto Alberto Luiz Coimbra de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa de Engenharia–Univ. Federal do Rio de Janeiro
514
Lightning and Cloud Electrification in the COSMO Numerical Weather Prediction Model
Zbyněk Sokol, Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Republic; and J. Minářová

516
Track and Circulation Analysis of Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones that Cause Extreme Precipitation and Streamflow Events in the New York City Watershed
Katherine L. Towey, City Univ. of New York Graduate Center, New York, NY; and J. F. Booth, A. Frei, and M. Sinclair

517
Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou—Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments
Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz, G. Pante, T. Engel, and J. Bliefernicht

519
Peak over Threshold Analysis of Heavy Precipitation in Texas
Rebecca Paulsen Edwards, Southwestern Univ., Georgetown, TX; and M. Akers
Manuscript (1.2 MB)

520
Factors Controlling Convective Storm Mode and Heavy Rainfall Production Near the Sierras De Córdoba, Argentina
Jake Mulholland, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt, R. J. Trapp, and K. L. Rasmussen

522
Analysis of the Extreme Rainfall over the State of Texas in 2015
Zaid Subhi, Univ. of Texas, San Antonio, TX; and H. Sharif and E. Omranian

523
Climate Extremes of the United States Northern Great Plains
Skylar S. Williams, Montana State Univ., Bozeman, MT; and G. Bromley, T. Gerken, and P. Stoy

524
Variation Characteristics of Extreme Low Runoff in Midstream Of Ganjiang River and Its Influence Factors
Weilin Liu, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang, China; and L. Liu

526
Regimes of Widspread Heavy Precipitation in Diverse Geographic Regions
Nathan R. Kelly, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

527
Toward Improvement in Seasonal Forecasting in the Southwest United States Using Regional Climate Product at Convective-Permitting Scale
Sujan Pal, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and H. I. Chang, C. L. Castro, and F. Dominguez

Handout (1.5 MB)

528
Understanding Himalayan Extreme Rainfall to Inform Disaster Governance
Anil Kumar, NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, College Park, MD; and M. Ek

531
The Role of Atmospheric Water Vapor in the Observed Upward Trend in Extreme Precipitation
Laura E. Stevens, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and K. E. Kunkel and S. Stevens

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 7
Advances in Evaporation and Evaporative Demand
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael Hobbins, CIRES; Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Ashley M. Matheny, University of Texas; Christopher R. Hain, USRA
8:45 AM
7.2
Groundwater Dependent Ecosystem Connections to Hydrometeorology and Management in Arid Environments (Invited Presentation)
Justin Huntington, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. Morton, K. McGwire, D. McEvoy, S. Peterson, and K. Snyder

9:00 AM
7.3
Using SMAP Satellite Observations to Estimate Terrestrial Evaporation Rates
Ben Livneh, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and E. E. Small, A. Badger, and R. Abolafia-Rosenzweig
9:15 AM
7.4
Hydrodynamic Model Illuminates the Role and Consequences of Tree Hydraulic Traits
Gil Bohrer, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and G. Mirfenderesgi and A. M. Matheny
9:30 AM
7.5
Attribution of Flux Partitioning Variations between Land Surface Models over the Continental United States
Thomas Holmes, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and S. V. Kumar
9:45 AM
7.6
Using Field-Scale Evapotranspiration to Study Impacts of Drought and Disturbance on a Forested Landscape in North Carolina, United States
Yun Yang, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and M. C. Anderson, F. Gao, C. Hain, W. P. Kustas, A. Noormets, G. Sun, R. Wynne, V. Thomas, L. Sun, and Y. Yang
Recording files available
Joint Session 35
Flood Prediction, Analysis, High Performance Computing, Decision Support, Management, and Tropical Cyclones, Part I
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )
Cochairs: Nick Z. Fang, Univ. of Texas; Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Gerry Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL; Benjamin Bass, Rice Univ.; Philip B. Bedient, Rice Univ.
8:30 AM
J35.1
Surfing the Chaos: The 100-Year Flood Myth
Jerry L Cotter, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Fort Worth, TX
8:45 AM
J35.2
9:00 AM
J35.3A
9:30 AM
J35.5
A View of the City of Austin's Common Operating Picture
Baxter E. Vieux, Vieux & Associates, Inc., Norman, OK; and S. Janek, K. McArthur, J. Urquidi, M. Porcher, and J. E. Vieux
9:45 AM
J35.6
Hydrologic Routing Model of the Iowa Flood Center Real-Time Streamflow Forecasting System
Witold F. Krajewski, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and G. R. Ghimire and R. Mantilla

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Session 39
Advances in the Application of Land Surface Observations and Land Data Assimilation Techniques
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Laura Clemente-Harding, Pennsylvania State Univ.; Clara Draper, CIRES; Rolf Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Sujay V. Kumar, NASA GSFC; Andmorgan Fisher, Engineer Research and Development Center; Michael Lewis, Engineer Research and Development Center; John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
10:30 AM
J39.1
LDAS-Monde Sequential Assimilation of Satellite-Derived Vegetation and Soil Moisture Products Impact over North America (Invited Presentation)
Clément Albergel, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and A. Bocher, S. Munier, D. J. Leroux, C. Draper, and J. C. Calvet
11:00 AM
J39.3
Infusion of SMAP Soil Moisture Data into Offline and Coupled Models (Invited Presentation)
Joseph A. Santanello, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. Lawston, E. J. Dennis, and S. Kumar
11:15 AM
J39.4
Global Assessment of the SMAP Level-4 Surface and Root-Zone Soil Moisture Product Using Assimilation Diagnostics
Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu, G. J. M. De Lannoy, W. T. Crow, J. S. Kimball, R. D. Koster, and J. V. Ardizzone
11:30 AM
J39.5
Toward the Development of Protocols for Soil Moisture Measurement and Monitoring (Invited Presentation)
Michael H. Cosh, USDA ARS Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Beltsville, MD; and A. Berg, R. Bindlish, T. Caldwell, A. Colliander, T. Jackson, T. Ochsner, J. Qu, and S. M. Quiring

11:45 AM
J39.6
Evaluation of Soil Moisture Simulations of the NOAA National Water Model over 5 Years of Retrospective Analysis
Arezoo Rafieeinasab, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Zhang, A. Dugger, M. Barlage, and D. J. Gochis

Recording files available
Joint Session 40
Flood Prediction, Analysis, High Performance Computing, Decision Support, Management, and Tropical Cyclones, Part II
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate )
Cochairs: Nick Z. Fang, Univ. of Texas; Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas; Konstantinos Andreadis, JPL; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC; Gerry Creager, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL; Benjamin Bass, Rice Univ.; Philip B. Bedient, Rice Univ.
10:30 AM
J40.1
National Water Model-Based Diagnoses of Recent High-Impact Floods
David Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Cosgrove, A. Dugger, J. McCreight, F. Salas, D. Yates, L. K. Read, W. Yu, K. Sampson, A. RafieeiNasab, Y. Liu, L. Pan, M. Barlage, and L. Karsten
10:45 AM
J40.2
An Update on the NOAA National Water Model and Related Activities
Brian A. Cosgrove, NWS/Office of Water Prediction, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Gochis, T. Graziano, E. Clark, and T. Flowers
11:00 AM
J40.3
Development and Demonstration of Ensemble Hydrologic Data Assimilation Strategies for a Real-Time Distributed Regional Hydrologic Forecast System
Andrew W. Wood, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Saharia, E. A. Clark, B. Nijssen, A. Bennett, and M. Clark

11:30 AM
J40.5
11:45 AM
J40.6
Estimating the Risk of Flood Severity over the United States
Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, NOAA/NSSL, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley, H. Vergara, Z. L. Flamig, and J. M. Erlingis

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Lecture 2
2018 Horton Lecture
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
1:30 PM
L2.1
Rain Rates from Space: Past & Future (Invited Presentation)
Gerald R. North, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX

2:45 PM-3:45 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 5
Decision-Making by Water Utilities: Using Climate/Weather Information in Short- and Long-Term Planning
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Moderator: Nancy Kay Beller-Simms, NOAA
Panelists: W. Joshua Weiss, Hazen and Sawyer; Katherine Zitsch, Atlanta Regional Commission; Yanan Duan, Auburn Univ.; Marisa Gonzalez, Austin Water Utility
2:45 PM
Panel Discussion
3:45 PM
Utility Climate Resiliency Study - Danny Johnson
4:00 PM
Developing Climate-Based Reservoir Inflow Forecasts Using Machine Learning Methods - Yanan Duan
Recording files available
Session 9
Coupled Processes of Atmosphere, Land, and Hydrology Prediction Models
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Sue Chen, NRL; Neil P. Barton, NRL
2:45 PM
9.1A
Ensemble Cumulus Parameterization Improving Extreme Precipitation Prediction
Xin-Zhong Liang, Nanjing Joint Center of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing, China
3:00 PM
9.2
3:15 PM
9.3A
Mine Dewatering with Environmental Constraints
Timothy Lynar, IBM Research, Carlton, VIC, Australia; and M. Roberts and O. Smith

3:30 PM
9.4
Enhancing Hydrologic Processes in the Noah-MP Land Surface Model to Improve Seasonal Forecast Skill
Michael Barlage, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, G. Miguez-Macho, C. Liu, X. Liu, and D. Niyogi

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Joint Poster Session 4
Advances in the Application of Land Surface Observations and Land Data Assimilation Techniques
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 22nd Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Laura Clemente-Harding, Pennsylvania State Univ.; Clara Draper, CIRES; Rolf Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Sujay V. Kumar, NASA GSFC; Andmorgan Fisher, Engineer Research and Development Center; Michael Lewis, Engineer Research and Development Center; John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
871
Thermal Methods to Monitor Soil Moisture in Different Study Areas
Chenyang Xu, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA

872
A Robust Method to Derive and Predict Soil-Specific Calibration Coefficients for Soil Water Content Sensors
Edward Ayres, National Ecological Observatory Network, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Roberti, H. W. Loescher, and J. Tang

874
Comparison of GeoWatch Soil Moisture and Cone Index Predictions with Field Measurements
Susan Frankenstein, CRREL, Hanover, NH; and S. A. Shoop and J. Stanley

875
Initializing Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Model-Derived and Satellite-Based Soil Moisture Data
Eli J. Dennis, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. A. Santanello and P. Lawston

876
Evaluating Full Physics Hydrological Model Soil Moisture Simulations with Observations
Robert J. Zamora, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and F. Viterbo, D. Gochis, and R. Cifelli

878
Analysis of Land Surface States Obtained from High-Resolution LDAS Experiment Using URMA and GLDAS Products
Roshan Shrestha, IMSG and NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, M. Pondeca, P. Shafran, G. DiMego, and A. M. Gibbs

880
Global Multi-Sensor Land Data Assimilation Using CLM and Dart
Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and L. Zhao and P. Lin


Joint Poster Session 5
Decision-Making by Water Utilities: Using Climate/Weather Information in Short- and Long-Term Planning
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 13th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Chair: Nancy Kay Beller-Simms, NOAA
883
Using Data to Help Characterize and Plan for Future Climate Variability in the Metro Atlanta Region
Katherine Zitsch, Atlanta Regional Commission, Atlanta, GA; and D. E. Johnson and N. S. Ram

885
Optimization of Multi-Reservoir Water Supply Operation Utilizing Ensemble Inflow Forecasts
Reza Ahmad Limon, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and S. Kim and D. J. Seo


Joint Poster Session 6
Monsoons of the Americas: Advancing Understanding and Improving Prediction through Observations and Models
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Illinois; Ben Lintner, Rutgers, The State Univ. of New Jersey; Yolande L. Serra, JISAO
887
Preliminary Foundings from an Experimental Hydrometeorological Network in the North American Monsoon Region
Carlos M. Minjarez-Sosa, Univ. de Sonora, Hermosillo, Mexico; and S. Villegas and G. Cuevas-Figueroa

888
Impact of Initial Estimates on Convective-Permitting Simulations during the North American Monsoon GPS Transect Experiment 2013
James M. Moker Jr., Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. F. Arellano Jr., C. L. Castro, Y. L. Serra, and D. K. Adams

889
A Tale of Seven Hurricanes and Their Interaction with the Monsoon: A Modeling Study
Dorothea Ivanova, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Prescott, AZ

890
Contribution of Extreme Convective Storms to Rainfall in South America
Kristen Lani Rasmussen, Colorado State Univ, Fort Collins, CO; and M. D. Zuluaga and R. A. Houze Jr.

892
The North American Monsoon GPS Hydrometeorological Network 2017
David K. Adams, Univ. Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and E. R. Vivoni, B. R. Lintner, C. Minjarez Sosa, Y. L. Serra, A. Granados, A. Vázquez Galvez, J. C. Rodriguez, V. Verduzco, E. R. Pérez Ruiz, F. Barffuson, M. Grutter, J. S. Haase, H. Liang, E. Cabral Cano, D. J. Gochis, E. Yépez, A. Robles Morua, A. Bezanilla, R. Del Rio Salas, A. I. Quintanar, C. Ochoa Moya, and L. Salazar-Tlaczani


Poster Session 7
Coupled Processes of Atmosphere, Land, and Hydrology Prediction Models
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Sue Chen, NRL; Neil P. Barton, NRL
913
Ocean Model Impact Tiger Team: Ocean Model Impact Study for Hurricane Forecasting
Hyun-Sook Kim, IMSG and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and N. Bond, S. Chen, P. G. Black, J. J. Cione, J. Dong, P. J. Fitzpatrick, I. Ginis, G. R. Halliwell Jr., S. R. Jayne, B. Liu, A. Mehra, E. R. Sanabia, L. K. Shay, V. Tallapragada, B. Thomas, J. Zhang, and L. Zhu

914
Spectral Characterization of River Networks under Climate Change
Armaghan Abed-Elmdoust, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and D. Rempe and Z. L. Yang

915
High-Resolution Coupled Atmosphere–Land–Hydrology Prediction of Coastal Flood from Hurricane Irene
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. R. Holt, J. M. Schmidt, C. DeLuca, R. Dunlap, D. Rosen, C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. Kumar, D. J. Gochis, A. Dugger, M. Ek, J. Dong, and J. B. Eylander

916
Probabilistic Drought Forecasts and Uncertainty Analysis Using the Modified Surface Water Supply Index in the Korean Peninsula
Suk Hwan Jang Sr., Daejin Univ., Pocheon-si, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. K. Lee Sr., J. H. Oh Sr., and J. W. Jo Sr.


Joint Poster Session 7
Probabilistic Hydrometeorological Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Cochairs: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ.; Qingyun Duan, Beijing Normal Univ.; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.
894
Impact of Downscaling on Forcing Engine for Operational Water Prediction System of National Water Center
Linlin Pan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Gochis, W. Yu, A. Dugger, J. Grim, Y. Zhang, A. Rafieeinasab, L. Karsten, Y. Liu, and B. Cosgrove

895
Improving Hydrologic Forecasting Using Ensemble Conditional Bias-Penalized Kalman Filter
Haksu Lee, Len Technologies, Inc., Oak Hill, VA; and D. J. Seo, Y. Zhang, S. Kim, and S. Noh

896
High-Resolution, Multi-Model Hydrological Seasonal Forecasting for Water Resources Management over Europe
Ming Pan, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and N. Wanders, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, L. Samaniego, S. Thober, R. Kumar, C. Prudhomme, and H. Houghton-Carr

897
Simulation and Test of Flood Routing Based on GIS Rainstorm Flood Inundation Model
Limei Ye, Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China; and T. Peng and Y. Zhou

898
NWP Forecast Performance for Significant Precipitation Events over Southwest British Columbia
Anthony Di Stefano, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and D. M. Siuta, G. L. West, and R. B. Stull

899
Calibration of QPF Using the Optimal Percentile Method
Kan Dai, National Meteorological Center of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and Y. Zhu

900
Evaluation and Statistical Analysis of Short-Term WRF QPFs for Santa Clara Valley in Winter 2016/17
Arthur Eiserloh, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and C. Keene and S. Chiao

901
902
An Investigation of the Forecast Performance for Precipitation in the Extended Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Reforecast
Eric Sinsky, NCEP, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, H. Guan, C. Melhauser, Y. Luo, and W. Li

903
Evaluation of GRAPES Global Ensemble Prediction System (GRAPES-GEPS) of CMA
Yinglin LI, National Meteorological Center of the China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

905
Jiangsu Moisture Characteristics Analysis in Different Weather Background of Plum Flood Season
Mei Liu, Jiangsu Meteorology Observation, Nanjing, China; and J. Yu, L. Wang, and M. Yang

906
Sensitivity of Orographic Precipitation to Microphysics Parameter and Process Perturbations
Annareli Morales, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt and H. Morrison

907
Stochastic Parameter Perturbation in Grell-Freitas Convective Parameterization
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and G. Grell and J. Berner

908
Analysis on the Key Factors in Causing Heavy Rain and Precipitation Forecast Deviation in a Regional Persistent Heavy Rainfall
Jianwei Yu, Jiangsu Meteorology Observation, Nanjing, China; and M. Liu, M. Yang, and S. Chen

909
Analysis for Cold Water Lenses off the Jiangsu Coast Based on Observation and Simulation
Wenjing Zhang, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Nanjing, China; and S. Zhu and X. Z. Wang

910
On the Detection of Statistical Heterogeneity in Rain Measurement
A. R. Jameson, RJH Scientific, Inc., Arlington, VA; and M. L. Larsen and A. B. Kostinski

Handout (85.0 kB) Handout (85.7 kB)


Poster Session 8
Snow Hydrology Applications Through Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation, Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; Elias J. Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; Carrie Vuyovich, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; Jennifer M. Jacobs, Univ. of New Hampshire
930
Evaluation of the NASA MEaSUREs Enhanced-Resolution Brightness Temperature Data in the Red River of the North Basin
Marina Reilly-Collette, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; and C. Vuyovich, R. Schroeder, M. J. Brodzik, and J. M. Jacobs

931
Snow Contributions to Seasonal Streamflow Prediction Skill in the NOAA National Water Model and Pathways to Improvement
Aubrey Dugger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Rittger, K. A. Watson, L. Karsten, J. McCreight, D. J. Gochis, and B. Cosgrove

932
Impact of Snow Grain Shape and Internal Mixing with Black Carbon Aerosol on Snow Albedo and Radiative Effect Analysis
Cenlin He, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and K. N. Liou, Y. Takano, P. Yang, and F. Chen

933
High-Resolution Flood Hazard Simulation of the Red River of the North Using a Single-Pass InSAR DEM
Guy J.-P. Schumann, Univ. of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom; and R. Schroeder, D. Faherty, D. Moller, and J. M. Jacobs

934
Evaluating the Effects of Inundated Land Area on Downstream Flow Using the LIS-VIC Model
Stuart D. Smith, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and S. Wang, A. W. Wood, M. M. DeWeese, K. A. Cherkauer, and L. C. Bowling


Joint Poster Session 8
Variability of Regional Hydroclimate, Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Paul X. Flanagan, Univ. of Oklahoma; Benjamin Cook, NASA GISS
919
Optimal Application of Basin Management Practices in Geumho River for Reducing Effect of Climate Change
Yoonkyung Park, Pukyong National Univ., Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Choi, W. Cha, O. Lee, and S. Kim
Manuscript (66.9 kB)

921
Future IDF Curves in Korea Using Scale-Invariance Technique under AR5 RCP Scenarios
Sangdan Kim, Pukyong National Univ., Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and Y. Park and J. Choi
Manuscript (160.6 kB)

923
Study on the Improvement of Disaster Prevention Target Rainfall for Disaster Prevention in South Korea 
Youngseok Song, Hanseo Univ., Seosan-Si, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. Lee, Y. Song, J. Lee, and M. Park
Manuscript (144.5 kB)

924
Changes of Hydroclimatic Intensity over East Asia Projected by Multiregional Climate Model Ensemble under RCP Scenarios.
Ahn Joong-Bae, Pusan National Univ., Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. Yeon-Woo and I. Eun-Soon

926
Impacts of the Surface Heterogeneities on Local Climate in the Amazonian Subbasin of Ji-Paraná Using the Eta/Noah-MP Model
Isabel L. Pilotto, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São José dos Campos, Brazil; and D. A. Rodriguez and S. C. Chou


Poster Session 9
Local and Regional Response in the Water Cycle Due to Urbanization, Posters 
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.; Neil Debbage, Univ. of Georgia
938
Characterizing London’s Urban Boundary Layer Based on Ceilometer Observations
Simone Kotthaus, Univ. of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and S. Grimmond and D. Hertwig

939
Impact of Urbanization on Predicting Extreme Rainfall Events over Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Thang M. Luong, King Abdullah Univ. of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia; and V. Q. Doan, O. Knio, T. M. Nguyen, C. L. Castro, and I. Hoteit

940

Poster Session 10
Multiprocesses Analysis and Modeling, and Product Application in Arid and Semiarid Regions, Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yaohui Li, Chinese Meterological Administration; Xing Yuan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
863
Simulation of Water and Energy Cycles within the NLDAS System in the Great Plains: Challenges and Prospects
Youlong Xia, EMC/NCEP/IMSG, College Park, MD; and D. M. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and M. Ek

864
Drought Monitoring over Semihumid Rain-Fed Winter Wheat Region of Longdong in Northwest China Using Remote Sensing Data from 1981 to 2010
Ni Guo, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou, China; and Y. Lu and W. Wang

867
Mechanism of Nonappearance of Hiatus in the Tibetan Plateau
Jieru Ma, College of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou Univ., Lanzhou, China; and X. Guan, J. Huang, and R. Guo

868
The Latest Evidences of a Warm–Wet Climatic Shift in Hexi Corridor, Gansu
Shu Lin, Northwest Regional Climate Center, Lanzhou, China

870
Different Roles of Dynamic and Thermodynamic Effects in Enhanced Semiarid Warming
Ruixia Guo, Lanzhou Univ., Lanzhou, China; and X. Guan

Thursday, 11 January 2018

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 10
Local and Regional Response in the Water Cycle Due to Urbanization
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.; Neil Debbage, Univ. of Georgia
8:45 AM
10.2
Spatiotemporal Rainfall Patterns Around Atlanta, Georgia, and Possible Relationships to Urban Land Cover
Jordan T. McLeod, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. M. Shepherd and C. E. Konrad
9:00 AM
10.3
Hydrological Determinants of Temperature Extremes in Cities
Elie Bou-Zeid, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and J. Yang
9:15 AM
10.4
A WRF Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis of Urbanization on Winter Precipitation Type
Bradford Johnson, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. M. Shepherd
Recording files available
Joint Session 48
Monsoons of the Americas: Advancing Understanding and Improving Prediction through Observations and Models
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Illinois; Ben Lintner, Rutgers, State Univ. of New Jersey; Yolande L. Serra, JISAO
8:30 AM
J48.1
An Interhemispheric View of the American Monsoons: Vegetation and Moisture Transport Processes (Invited Talk)
Paola A. Arias, Univ. de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia; and J. A. Martinez, S. C. Vieira, and J. C. Villegas
8:45 AM
J48.2
Seasonal Predictability of Summer Rainfall over South America (Invited Talk)
Rodrigo Bombardi, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and L. Trenary, K. Pegion, B. Cash, T. DelSole, and J. L. Kinter III
9:00 AM
J48.3
The More Extreme Nature of North American Monsoon Precipitation in the Southwestern United States (Invited Presentation)
Christopher L. Castro, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and H. I. Chang, D. K. Adams, T. Luong, T. M. Lahmers, and C. Ochoa-Moya
9:15 AM
J48.4
"The Paroxysmal Precipitation of the Desert": Flash Floods in the Southwestern United States
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and M. L. Baeck, J. Signell, L. Yang, E. Morin II, and D. C. Goodrich

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


Exhibit Hall Breakfast
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 11A
Multiprocesses Analysis, Modeling, and Product Application in Arid and Semiarid Regions
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Yaohui Li, Chinese Meterological Administration; Xing Yuan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
10:30 AM
11A.1
MetOp ASCAT Observations of the Soil–Vegetation Continuum in the North American Prairies (Invited Presentation)
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, Delft Univ. of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and S. Hahn and W. Wagner

10:45 AM
11A.2
Contributions of Radiative Factors to Enhanced Dryland Warming (Invited Presentation)
Xiaodan Guan, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou Univ., Lanzhou, China; and Y. Zhang and Z. Gan

11:00 AM
11A.3
11:30 AM
11A.5
11:45 AM
11A.6
Merging of Microwave Remote Sensing and Land Surface Modeling of Soil Moisture for Regional and Global Drought Analysis
Xing Yuan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Recording files available
Session 11B
Snow Hydrology Applications Through Remote Sensing, Modeling, and Data Assimilation
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: John B. Eylander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; Elias J. Deeb, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; Carrie Vuyovich, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab; Jennifer M. Jacobs, Univ. of New Hampshire
10:30 AM
11B.1
Operational Applications of Suomi-NPP VIIRS Satellite-Based Flood Mapping (Invited Presentation)
Michael M. DeWeese, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and S. Li and J. P. Hoffman

10:45 AM
11B.2
Assessment of Passive Microwave Satellite and Modeled Snow Water Equivalent Estimates in the Red River Basin of the North
Ronny Schroeder, Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and J. M. Jacobs, C. M. Vuyovich, E. Cho, and S. Tuttle
11:00 AM
11B.3A
A New Estimate of North American Mountain Snow Accumulation from Regional Climate Model Simulations
Melissa L. Wrzesien, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and M. T. Durand, T. M. Pavelsky, and S. Kapnick
11:30 AM
11B.5
Evaluation of Snow Modeling with Noah and Noah-MP Land Surface Models and Assimilation of the AFWA Snow Depth Products into NCEP Operational CFS/GFS System
Jiarui Dong, NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, H. Wei, J. Meng, W. Zheng, S. V. Kumar, R. Reichle, D. Mocko, and C. D. Peters-Lidard
11:45 AM
11B.6
Operational Snow Data Assimilation at the U.S. Air Force 557th Weather Wing Using the NASA Land Information System
Yeosang Yoon, NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, J. Wegiel, K. R. Arsenault, M. Navari, E. M. Kemp, J. Geiger, and C. D. Peters-Lidard

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Session 53
Probabilistic Hydrometeorological Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis, Part I
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Cochairs: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ.; Qingyun Duan, Beijing Normal Univ.; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.
1:30 PM
J53.1
Stochastic Approaches within a High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (Invited Presentation)
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and J. Beck, J. K. Wolff, M. Harold, G. Grell, J. B. Olson, T. G. Smirnova, J. Berner, C. R. Alexander, and S. Benjamin
1:45 PM
J53.2
Relative Skills of Two PQPF Mechanisms for Postprocessing Medium-Term Precipitation Forecast
Yu Zhang, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and M. Scheuerer, J. C. Schaake, L. Wu, and C. Kongoli

2:15 PM
J53.4
Probability Forecast Model of Tropical Cyclone Heavy Rainfall Area Based on Multielement Diagnosis
Hong Huang, National Univ. of Defense Technology, Nanjing, China; and J. Wang and X. Z. Wang

Handout (571.8 kB)

2:30 PM
J53.5
Implementation and Preliminary Assessment of PQPF Guidance at NWS Miami–South Florida and Detroit/Pontiac, Michigan
Ian R. Lee, NOAA, White Lake, MI; and P. Santos, K. Scharfenberg, B. Veenhuis Jr., J. A. Nelson Jr., J. R. Wiedenfeld, J. A. Thomas, and J. Maloney
2:45 PM
J53.6
On the Use of High-Resolution Ensembles for Operational Heavy Rainfall Forecasting in the Denver Metro Area
Dmitry Smirnov, Dewberry, Denver, CO; and D. McGlone, A. J. Clark, C. Schwartz, and K. Stewart

Recording files available
Joint Session 54
Variability of Regional Hydroclimate, Part I
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Paul X. Flanagan, Univ. of Oklahoma; Jeffrey Basara, University of Oklahoma
1:30 PM
J54.1
1:45 PM
J54.2
The Role of Synoptic-Scale Circulation in Great Lakes Basin Snow Cover Ablation
Zachary Suriano, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. J. Leathers

2:00 PM
J54.3
2:15 PM
J54.4A
Storm-Scale Variations of Water Isotopes in the Tropical High Andes
Anton Seimon, Appalachian State Univ., Boone, NC; and H. Guy, L. B. Perry, E. Burton, S. Arias, N. Quispe, N. Montoya, M. Rado, M. Andrade, R. Winkelman, M. Peñaloza, C. Cooper, and E. Montpellier
2:30 PM
J54.5
The United States Seasonal Drought Atlas: Gridded Cool and Warm Season Moisture Balance Reconstructions from 1400 to 2016
David Stahle, Univ. of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR; and E. Cook, D. Burnette, M. Torbenson, D. Griffin, I. Howard, A. P. Williams, and B. Cook
2:45 PM
J54.6
Detectability of Decadal Anthropogenic Hydroclimate Changes over North America
Honghai Zhang, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018


Coffee Break

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 11 January 2018

Recording files available
Joint Session 57
Probabilistic Hydrometeorological Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis, Part II
Location: Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Cochairs: Huiling Yuan, Nanjing Univ.; Qingyun Duan, Beijing Normal Univ.; Kristie J. Franz, Iowa State Univ.
3:30 PM
J57.1
Developing Climate Services for Europe: The End-to-End Demonstrator for Improved Decision-Making in the Water Sector in Europe (EDgE)
Eric F. Wood, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and N. Wanders, M. Pan, J. Sheffield, L. Samaniego, S. Thober, R. Kumar, O. Rakovec, C. Prudhomme, M. Fry, and H. Houghton-Carr
4:00 PM
J57.3
Ensemble Flood Forecasting Based on Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts and Distributed Hydrological Model
Hongjun Bao, National Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

Handout (2.5 MB)

4:15 PM
J57.4
Probabilistic Verification of the National Water Model
Erin Towler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. McCreight, A. Dugger, D. Gochis, K. M. Mahoney, and T. J. Mills
4:30 PM
J57.5
A Multiscale Postprocessor for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction
Babak Alizadeh, Univ. of Texas, Arlington, TX; and D. J. Seo and H. Lee
4:45 PM
J57.6
Assessing the Utility of Multiple Land Surface Models for Drought Simulation
Shugong Wang, SAIC at NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, D. M. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, and Y. Xia
Recording files available
Joint Session 58
Variability of Regional Hydroclimate, Part II
Location: Room 18B (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Paul X. Flanagan, Univ. of Oklahoma; Benjamin Cook, NASA GISS
3:30 PM
J58.1
Development and Use of Ensemble Hydroclimate Projections in the Columbia Basin: A Practitioner’s Perspective
Erik S. Pytlak, Bonneville Power Administration, Portland, OR; and O. S. Chegwidden and B. Nijssen
4:00 PM
J58.3
Assessing Future Climate Extremes over the United States Using the rCEI Index
Emily Aiken, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and S. A. Rauscher

4:15 PM
J58.4
Detection and Attribution of the Terrestrial Runoff in the Conterminous United States
Jiafu Mao, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. Forbes, W. Fu, X. Shi, D. Ricciuto, M. Jin, and S. C. Kao

4:30 PM
J58.5
4:45 PM
J58.6
The Effect of Global Warming on Water Availability
Craig R. Ferguson, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, State Univ. of New York, Albany, NY; and M. Pan