Session 3A Drought Analysis and Prediction, Part II

Monday, 8 January 2018: 2:00 PM-4:15 PM
Room 18A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hydrology
Michael Hobbins, CIRES, Boulder, CO; Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; Jason A. Otkin, Univ. of Wisconsin–Madison, CIMSS/SSEC, Madison, WI and Joshua K. Roundy, Univ. of Kansas, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Lawrence, KS

Drought is a multifaceted phenomenon that challenges our current monitoring and prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications, and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include, but are not limited to, current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times, innovative management uses of that science, and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring, and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for monitoring and predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited.

2:00 PM
VegOut-GHA: A Seasonal Vegetation Outlook for the Greater Horn of Africa (Invited Presentation)
Tsegaye Tadesse, National Drought Mitigation Center, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and Y. A. Bayissa, G. B. Demisse, and B. Wardlow
2:30 PM
Seasonal-Scale Drought Forecasting in Africa and the Middle East Using the NASA Land Information System (LIS)
Kristi R. Arsenault, NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Shukla, A. Hazra, C. D. Peters-Lidard, A. Getirana, S. Kumar, A. McNally, R. D. Koster, C. C. Funk, K. Bergaoui, R. McDonnell, J. B. Eylander, B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, and L. S. Harrison

2:45 PM
Predicting Global Drought Conditions Using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
Raymond B. Kiess, AWS, Asheville, NC; and J. P. Anthony, R. M. Randall, and R. D. Smith
3:00 PM
Establishing Relationships between Drought and Wildfire Danger Indices for Improved Wildfire Risk Management
Dan McEvoy, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. Wall, T. J. Brown, J. Huntington, M. Hobbins, and M. Svoboda
3:15 PM
Exploring the Relationship between Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Drought Intensity and Dust Storm Point Sources in New Mexico, Texas, and Oklahoma 
Iyasu G. Eibedingil, Univ. of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX; and J. E. Ceniceros, T. E. Gill, T. Kandakji, M. Dominguez Acosta, A. D. Garcia, J. A. Lee, and J. Li

3:30 PM
3:45 PM
Advancing Ecological Drought with a Focus on Preparedness and Innovative Uses of Drought Prediction
Shelley Crausbay, Conservation Science Partners, Fort Collins, CO; and A. E. Cravens, J. McEvoy, A. Ramirez, J. Bradford, and S. Munson
4:00 PM
Regional Drought Early Warning, Impacts, and Assessment for Water and Agriculture in the Rio Grande Basin, 2016–2017
David P. Brown, USDA, El Reno, OK; and T. K. Bernadt, D. DuBois, B. Fuchs, W. L. Hargrove, S. Hermitte, L. Kos, A. Kremen, M. A. Shafer, C. Steele, R. Steele, C. Turner, C. West, and C. Simpson
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner