Session 17A Predictability and Evaluation of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Modes of Climate Variability—Part II

Thursday, 11 January 2018: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
406 (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Kathy Pegion, George Mason Univ., Raleigh, NC and Dan Collins, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD

3:30 PM
Advancing Convective Severe Weather Outlooks into Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Timescales
Cory F. Baggett, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. N. Zito, K. M. Nardi, S. J. Childs, and E. A. Barnes
3:45 PM
Strong Relations between ENSO and the Arctic Oscillation in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA, College Park, MD; and M. K. Tippett, A. Kumar, A. H. Butler, L. M. Ciasto, Q. Ding, K. J. Harnos, and N. Johnson

4:00 PM
Modulation of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the Winter Blocking Activity over the Ural Mountains
Shuanglin Li, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China; and X. Zhou and W. A. Robinson
4:15 PM
Effects of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Panama Canal Watershed Precipitation
Steven R. Paton, Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Washington, DC; and R. Stallard
4:30 PM
Joint Influences of the MJO and the Stratospheric Polar Vortex on the Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Circulation
Matthew R. Green, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. C. Furtado, E. A. Barnes, M. L'Heureux, L. M. Ciasto, and K. Harnos
4:45 PM
Predictability and Mechanisms of North Atlantic Oscillation Variability—A Signal-to-Noise Paradox
Adam A. Scaife, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; and D. M. Smith, R. Eade, N. Dunstone, C. MacLachlan, L. Hermanson, and R. Comer
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